Some brazilians (who used to bitch a lot too) tested the odds at Pokémon Online using Smeargle with REALLY weak moves for almost infinite turns... and the results were amazing, everything has the same odds of happening, obviously... Before you ask, yes, there are some guys here who are THAT retarded.
That Pokémon Online bitching is just so lame... it pisses me off really. PO is a lot more acessible, so you play a LOT more matches and you have more battles decided by some random luck... not to say some guys need to learn how to minimize the effects of luck on their game or to force luck on the right time when your situation demands it.
Just saying...