Shiny Charm and Masuda Method

Back with a second batch. Unfortunately, no shinies on this one. But that's ok, I'm just starting it ^^

Eggs Hatched: 300
Shinies: 1

Masuda Rate - 1:300
 
Hi all another 2 batches of 60 hatched, no shinies this time :/ working on another. Work this whole week so won't have much until Monday, will try staying up late to get some hatched.

Eggs hatched: 617
Shinies: 4
Shiny rate: 1:154
 
I'm back. 210 eggs hatched in total and still just the one shiny. I'm stopping for now, but maybe I'll come back another time and contribute some more. Thank you, TC; I wouldn't have my shiny Goomy if I hadn't seen this thread.

Sorry, but I don't really know what to do with all the spreadsheet columns. It all looks like a bit of a mess tbh anyway, but I've put down my name, my eggs hatched and my 1 shiny.
 
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I'm back. 210 eggs hatched in total and still just the one shiny. I'm stopping for now, but maybe I'll come back another time and contribute some more. Thank you, TC; I wouldn't have my shiny Goomy if I hadn't seen this thread.

Sorry, but I don't really know what to do with all the spreadsheet columns. It all looks like a bit of a mess tbh anyway, but I've put down my name, my eggs hatched and my 1 shiny.
Everyone has been added and updated :) murdokdracul in my signature is another link to a locked spreadsheet that should make more sense lol ive added your name and totals. If you are on a phone and cant see signatures let me know and ill post the link in an actual post :) MagusDiablo glad you're back with us ^_^ ive added your new totals under the name MagusDiablo2 so your old totals dont go to waste. Happy Hatching everyone!
 
360 Trapinch eggs hatched 0 shinies :( still chugging and I am hopeful that I will get it soon! 6 IV French Ditto with my 6 IV Jolly Trapinch with Superpower to get ready for ORAS! 1/6 chance for 31/31/31/X/31/31 and 1/32 (I think) for 31/31/31/31/31/31. Just joined smogon after going here for the last year for the pokemon simulator and in game chat and finally decided to join!
 
Another 200 down, no more shinies. Starting to stock up on Mawiles now, may aim specifically for a shiny on these.

New total : 4400 eggs, 14 shinies
 
Hey guus I just received a shiny charm ill help I already collected 600 eggs, will have 5 at a time. Have a FRE male Gardevoir and a JPN female Gardevoir working for a shiny ralts.
 
I just can't understand how bad is my hatching rate... when I see your posts, it appear to be so easy, I've made 1900 eggs during approximatively 1 month and, 0 shiny...

PS: With Masuda and Shiny Charm for sure
 
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I just can't understand how bad is my hatching rate... when I see your posts, it appear to be so easy, I've made 1900 eggs during approximatively 1 month and, 0 shiny...

PS: With Masuda and Shiny Charm for sure
Keep at it, bro. Most people on this thread seem disappointed when they dont get a shiny after 60 eggs. I've hatched over 1400 eggs since my last shiny, and others such as you are having even worse luck, so I find it easier to ignore those other posts. Best of luck!
 
I just can't understand how bad is my hatching rate... when I see your posts, it appear to be so easy, I've made 1900 eggs during approximatively 1 month and, 0 shiny...

PS: With Masuda and Shiny Charm for sure
This is bad luck, but you have to realise this is statistics. Say the chance of a shiny is 1 in 500 (which seems to be roughly correct) - this doesn't mean you're guaranteed a shiny if you do 500 eggs, or even 10,000.

In your case, if it's binomial (1900,0.002) then it's a 3.1% chance you don't get a shiny. Ok, that is bad luck, but it's not inexplicable. I'm sure your patience will be rewarded if you keep at it!
(Disc: the above is a normal approx. using my phone's calculator)
 
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Thanks for your support !
I wanted to add that I heard that with the Shiny Charm, the rate of shiny would be 1/512 (caused by a binary system of the game), is it true or is it just a speculation ?
(Sorry if my English is not so good, I'm French)
 
Thanks for your support !
I wanted to add that I heard that with the Shiny Charm, the rate of shiny would be 1/512 (caused by a binary system of the game), is it true or is it just a speculation ?
(Sorry if my English is not so good, I'm French)
I'd say it's very likely that the rate is 1/512 going by the data (and considering that would "make sense" in terms of how the calculation worked in previous generations).
 
Took a week break, but now I'm back... still no shiny though :(

Total hatched: 210
Hatched today: 90
Shinies: 0

It takes me longer to hatch because I'm trying to time machine one :o (I don't think that affects the probability though)

edit: hatched 30 more, changed numbers
 
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Question for Midnyte:
Where on the spreadsheet can I see the current calculated shiny rate? To my brain it's just a mass of numbers. I figured out that the rate when we hit 250,000 eggs was 1:507 (really homing in on that 1:512) but I can't figure out where the current ratio is. Is it the value in box 2F?

Sorry for being dumb :3
 
shinnies: 12

Growlithe: #1927th
Pumpkaboo: #2077th
Noibat: #2412th
Houndour: #3035th
Sableye: #4248th
Bagon: #4509th
Sneasel: #4649th
Treecko: #4741st
Mudkip: #4778th
Feebas: #4915th
Feebas: #5142nd
Swablu: 5459th
Bagon: (so far hatched 780 eggs, no luck so far) trying to get a shiny sheer force bagon now

eggs hatched so far: 6243

i have exceeded my go and pledge another 3000 eggs.
 
Ok so I'm following up, I collected 860 eggs and on my 291rst egg a shiny ralts, xD hopefully I get a next one for gallade
Keep at it yo, once u guys have the requirements u will get your own shiny :)
 
Total MM egg count: 23010

Shiny: 36th
(1002th egg) Kricketot (Pokeball)
(1088th egg) Blitzle (Pokeball)
(2376th egg) Cottonee (Dusk Ball)
(3340th egg) Eevee (Love Ball)
(3840th egg) Misdreavus (Moon Ball)
(3841th egg) Shuppet (Moon Ball)
(5108th egg) Vulpix (Love Ball)
(5343th egg) Cherubi (Love Ball)
(5410th egg) Mawile (Moon Ball)
(5767th egg) Yamask (Moon Ball)
(6183th egg) Ralts (Love Ball)
(7623th egg) Fennekin (Pokeball)
(7852th egg) Sandshrew (Friend Ball)
(8167th egg) Roselia (Love Ball)
(9789th egg) Skorupi (Lure Ball) IVs: 27 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(10096th egg) Gligar (Moon Ball)
(10188th egg) Rotom (Pokeball)
(11461th egg) Mawile (Moon Ball)
(11558th egg) Mawile (Moon Ball)
(11621th egg) Charmander (Moon Ball) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(11857th egg) Sudowoodo (Safari Ball)
(12140th egg) Togepi (Love Ball) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 12 / 31 (Modest)
(12643th egg) Togepi (Love Ball) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 4 / 31 (Timid)
(14357th egg) Togepi (Love Ball) IVs: 31 / 31 / 19 / 31 / 31 / 31 (Calm)
(15449th egg) Wooper (Love Ball) (Impish) IVs: 31 / 31 / 22 / 31 / 31 / 31
(15841th egg) Ponyta (Moon Ball) (Jolly) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 9 / 31
(16859th egg) Sableye (Moon Ball) (Calm) IVs: 3 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(17515th egg) Mudkip (Moon Ball) (Adamant) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(18048th egg) Torchic (Fast Ball) (Adamant) IVs: 31 / 31 / 28, 29 / 31 / 31 / 31
(18253th egg) Beldum (Pokeball)(Adamant) IVs: 4, 5 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(19340th egg) Riolu (Moon Ball)(Jolly) IVs: 31 / 31 / 18 / 31 / 31 / 31
(20856th egg) Pichu (Fast Ball)(Calm) IVs: 8 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(21175th egg) Trapinch (Friend Ball)(Adamant) IVs: 31 / 6 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(21422th egg) Buneary (Love Ball)(Jolly) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / XX / 31 / 31
(22008th egg) Bagon (Friend Ball)(Jolly) IVs: 27 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 31
(22868th egg) Swablu (Moon Ball)(Calm) IVs: 31 / 31 / 31 / 31 / 11 / 31
 
UPDATE
Total eggs hatched: 6000
New shinies: 2

Total shinies: 14

Shiny Pinsir @ #795

Shiny Fennekin @ #1524

Shiny Gligar @ #2160

Shiny Tyrogue @ #3529

Shiny Tyrogue @ #3595

Shiny Kangaskhan @ #3731

Shiny Klefki @ #4163

Shiny Klefki @ #4200

Shiny Klefki @ #4205

Shiny Klefki @ #4292

Shiny Ralts @ #5164

Shiny Ralts @ #5186

NEW Shiny Totodile @ #5273

NEW Shiny Kangaskhan @ #5655
 

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