Okay, so this is the problem with not knowing statistics.
CRE calculation is score - four standard deviations
The standard deviation
for my data would be simply Sqrt[p*(1 - p) / n]--the 1.96
out front moves it from 68% confidence to 95%
. So what I want, if I'm trusting CRE to be valid, is simply:
This will be reflected in the next month's stats, which will be presented as
C' (C±standard deviation)
Doing it this way seems to give much richer results: Sceptile is a great check for Politoed, Golett is an awesome check for Mienfoo.
Something to look forward to next month!