Okay, so this is the problem with not knowing statistics.
CRE calculation is score - four
standard deviations.
The
standard deviation for my data would be simply Sqrt[p*(1 - p) / n]--the
1.96 out front moves it from
68% confidence to 95%. So what I want, if I'm trusting CRE to be valid, is simply:
C'=100[C-
4*sqrt(C*(1-C)/N)]
This will be reflected in the next month's stats, which will be presented as
C' (C±standard deviation)
Doing it this way seems to give much richer results: Sceptile is a great check for Politoed, Golett is an awesome check for Mienfoo.
Something to look forward to next month!