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np: Biffy Clyro - Shock Shock
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,679
Malta
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Here are the typical movesets, complete with average EVs and natures boosts and/or reductions, for the month of August:
Typical Movesets in Standard | UU | Uber Here are the moves percentages: Standard: Code:
Earthquake 21.17% Thunderbolt 13.82% Stealth Rock 11.7% Stone Edge 10.3% Surf 9.74% Substitute 8.88% Ice Beam 8.73% Explosion 8.61% U-turn 7.91% Shadow Ball 6.97% Bullet Punch 6.75% Dragon Dance 6.73% Swords Dance 6.71% Close Combat 6.14% Roost 6.13% Waterfall 5.92% Fire Blast 5.89% Flamethrower 5.49% Ice Punch 4.88% Pursuit 4.58% Outrage 4.47% Superpower 4.43% Crunch 4.43% Recover 4.3% Trick 4.18% Taunt 4.1% Thunder Wave 4.04% Calm Mind 3.88% Draco Meteor 3.74% Protect 3.7% Rest 3.65% Toxic 3.6% Grass Knot 3.57% Earth Power 3.56% Psychic 3.54% Rapid Spin 3.52% Fire Punch 3.41% HP-Ice 3.4% Baton Pass 3.3% Wish 3.27% Dragon Pulse 3.18% Roar 3.09% Thunderpunch 3.08% Brick Break 2.79% HP-Fire 2.77% Will-o-wisp 2.74% Extremespeed 2.66% Focus Blast 2.39% Spikes 2.27% Overheat 2.17% Iron Head 2.09% Hydro Pump 2.04% Spore 2.02% Leech Seed 2.0% Sleep Talk 1.99% Toxic Spikes 1.98% Ice Shard 1.95% HP-Grass 1.9% Meteor Mash 1.82% X-Scissor 1.74% Softboiled 1.71% Ice Fang 1.66% Air Slash 1.66% Sucker Punch 1.65% Night Slash 1.59% Nasty Plot 1.59% Gyro Ball 1.54% Seismic Toss 1.47% HP-Electric 1.47% Payback 1.43% Brave Bird 1.43% Agility 1.43% Hypnosis 1.36% Focus Punch 1.34% Rain Dance 1.34% Fake Out 1.32% Heat Wave 1.27% Reflect 1.25% Dynamicpunch 1.24% Whirlwind 1.22% Dragon Claw 1.22% Leaf Storm 1.2% Sleep Powder 1.08% Pain Split 1.06% Curse 1.05% Seed Bomb 1.02% Energy Ball 1.01% Slack Off 0.98% Dark Pulse 0.97% Body Slam 0.96% Flash Cannon 0.91% Signal Beam 0.9% Megahorn 0.9% Return 0.89% HP-Fighting 0.86% Aura Sphere 0.86% Blizzard 0.82% Discharge 0.81% Aromatherapy 0.79% Aqua Jet 0.79% Sludge Bomb 0.78% Mach Punch 0.78% Encore 0.77% Aerial Ace 0.77% Cross Chop 0.77% Yawn 0.76% Tri Attack 0.72% Destiny Bond 0.71% Flare Blitz 0.67% Shadow Sneak 0.66% Aqua Tail 0.65% Rock Slide 0.64% Light Screen 0.62% Knock Off 0.61% Charge Beam 0.61% Avalanche 0.59% Quick Attack 0.57% Vacuum Wave 0.54% Facade 0.5% Belly Drum 0.49% Endeavor 0.49% Bug Buzz 0.46% Trick Room 0.45% Confuse Ray 0.41% Rock Polish 0.41% Drill Peck 0.4% Moonlight 0.4% Psycho Cut 0.4% Heal Bell 0.39% Magnet Rise 0.39% Bounce 0.38% Bulk Up 0.38% Zen Headbutt 0.37% HP-Ground 0.35% Fire Fang 0.34% Counter 0.3% Thunder 0.29% Mean Look 0.29% Leaf Blade 0.27% Double-edge 0.27% Stockpile 0.24% Wood Hammer 0.23% Seed Flare 0.23% Thunder Fang 0.21% Eruption 0.2% Double Hit 0.19% Selfdestruct 0.18% Solarbeam 0.18% Refresh 0.17% Acid Armor 0.17% Perish Song 0.17% Poison Jab 0.17% Shadow Claw 0.17% Ingrain 0.16% Milk Drink 0.15% Sunny Day 0.14% Power Whip 0.12% Aqua Ring 0.11% Stun Spore 0.11% Head Smash 0.11% Hi Jump Kick 0.09% Drain Punch 0.09% Cross Poison 0.09% Ancientpower 0.08% Blaze Kick 0.08% Lunar Dance 0.08% Cosmic Power 0.07% Amnesia 0.07% Mirror Coat 0.07% Hyper Beam 0.07% Reversal 0.07% Synthesis 0.06% Haze 0.06% Lava Plume 0.05% Switcheroo 0.05% Gravity 0.05% Magic Coat 0.05% Memento 0.05% Giga Drain 0.05% Water Pulse 0.05% Flail 0.04% Hammer Arm 0.04% Extrasensory 0.04% Endure 0.04% Metal Burst 0.04% Force Palm 0.04% Volt Tackle 0.04% Super Fang 0.04% Bite 0.04% Revenge 0.04% Barrier 0.03% Frustration 0.03% Bonemerang 0.03% Crabhammer 0.03% Sky Uppercut 0.03% Water Spout 0.03% Wrap 0.03% Attract 0.02% Swagger 0.02% Giga Impact 0.02% Headbutt 0.02% Iron Defense 0.02% Gunk Shot 0.02% Lovely Kiss 0.02% Power Gem 0.02% Night Shade 0.02% Tackle 0.02% Spark 0.01% Screech 0.01% Hyper Voice 0.01% Acupressure 0.01% Swift 0.01% Fake Tears 0.01% Hail 0.01% Rock Blast 0.01% Morning Sun 0.01% Glare 0.01% Power Trick 0.01% Dig 0.01% Bug Bite 0.01% Icicle Spear 0.01% Punishment 0.01% Defend Order 0.01% Tail Glow 0.01% Psycho Shift 0.01% Sing 0.01% Splash 0.01% Attack Order 0.01% All Others <0.01% Code:
Earthquake 18.79% Stealth Rock 12.35% Substitute 10.13% Stone Edge 8.4% Ice Beam 8.4% Sucker Punch 8.39% Surf 8.25% Thunderbolt 8.2% Shadow Ball 7.15% Toxic 7.13% U-turn 6.91% Swords Dance 6.3% Rapid Spin 5.99% Psychic 5.86% Waterfall 5.53% Thunder Wave 5.45% Rest 5.3% Explosion 5.27% Superpower 5.09% Return 5.02% Ice Punch 4.96% Calm Mind 4.79% Protect 4.77% Sleep Powder 4.54% Will-o-wisp 4.15% Air Slash 3.99% Sludge Bomb 3.97% Taunt 3.79% HP-Grass 3.77% Fire Blast 3.76% Fake Out 3.71% Pursuit 3.66% Recover 3.36% Night Slash 3.25% Close Combat 3.21% Bug Buzz 3.1% Iron Head 3.1% Ice Shard 3.0% Leaf Storm 2.83% Energy Ball 2.76% Flamethrower 2.75% HP-Fighting 2.73% Trick 2.71% Sleep Talk 2.68% Leech Seed 2.67% Aqua Jet 2.67% Seismic Toss 2.58% Roost 2.54% Focus Punch 2.44% Brick Break 2.41% Dark Pulse 2.36% Wish 2.34% Baton Pass 2.06% Crunch 2.04% Nasty Plot 2.04% Dragon Dance 2.01% Roar 2.0% Extremespeed 1.95% Hypnosis 1.93% Flare Blitz 1.92% Drill Peck 1.91% Aerial Ace 1.9% HP-Ice 1.88% Spikes 1.87% HP-Fire 1.85% Facade 1.85% Toxic Spikes 1.78% Softboiled 1.76% Slack Off 1.75% Encore 1.72% Curse 1.7% Synthesis 1.68% Mach Punch 1.62% Pain Split 1.61% Rain Dance 1.6% Earth Power 1.57% Vacuum Wave 1.52% Seed Bomb 1.46% Payback 1.43% Overheat 1.37% Grass Knot 1.37% Zen Headbutt 1.32% X-Scissor 1.3% Yawn 1.26% HP-Ground 1.26% Thunderpunch 1.26% HP-Electric 1.25% Focus Blast 1.25% Leaf Blade 1.22% Quick Attack 1.22% Reflect 1.18% Brave Bird 1.16% Heal Bell 1.15% Double-edge 1.12% Rock Slide 1.12% Light Screen 1.08% Wood Hammer 1.03% Thunder Fang 1.02% Fire Punch 0.98% Charge Beam 0.95% Body Slam 0.94% Milk Drink 0.89% Rock Polish 0.87% Assurance 0.84% Hydro Pump 0.83% Psycho Cut 0.83% Whirlwind 0.78% Haze 0.77% Knock Off 0.76% Hammer Arm 0.76% Bullet Punch 0.74% Agility 0.74% Signal Beam 0.73% Gyro Ball 0.72% Belly Drum 0.7% Aromatherapy 0.68% Outrage 0.64% Double Hit 0.63% Dragon Pulse 0.63% Solarbeam 0.58% Poison Jab 0.57% Sunny Day 0.56% Eruption 0.56% Bulk Up 0.55% Magnet Rise 0.55% Cross Chop 0.55% Confuse Ray 0.55% Dragon Claw 0.54% Blaze Kick 0.54% Thunder 0.54% Heat Wave 0.53% Shadow Claw 0.51% Ice Fang 0.49% Memento 0.48% Power Whip 0.48% HP-Rock 0.46% Shadow Sneak 0.42% Discharge 0.4% Stockpile 0.4% Ancientpower 0.4% Trick Room 0.36% Aqua Tail 0.36% Megahorn 0.35% Perish Song 0.34% Hi Jump Kick 0.33% Blizzard 0.32% Head Smash 0.32% Stun Spore 0.32% Switcheroo 0.32% Cosmic Power 0.28% Frustration 0.28% Foresight 0.27% Force Palm 0.26% Cross Poison 0.22% Bite 0.22% Lava Plume 0.2% Night Shade 0.2% Counter 0.19% Howl 0.19% Sky Uppercut 0.19% Magic Coat 0.19% Tri Attack 0.18% Destiny Bond 0.17% Draco Meteor 0.15% Reversal 0.15% Rock Blast 0.14% Crabhammer 0.14% HP-Flying 0.14% Metal Burst 0.14% Avalanche 0.13% Giga Drain 0.13% Endeavor 0.12% Selfdestruct 0.11% Punishment 0.11% Water Spout 0.11% Psycho Shift 0.1% Lovely Kiss 0.1% Amnesia 0.1% Wrap 0.09% Headbutt 0.09% Flail 0.09% Flash Cannon 0.09% Volt Tackle 0.09% Super Fang 0.09% Power Gem 0.09% Fake Tears 0.08% Water Pulse 0.08% Gunk Shot 0.07% Hyper Voice 0.07% Dig 0.07% Aqua Ring 0.07% Spark 0.06% Swagger 0.06% Attract 0.06% Drain Punch 0.06% Spore 0.06% Endure 0.05% Fire Fang 0.05% Barrier 0.04% HP-Water 0.04% Low Kick 0.04% Defend Order 0.04% Attack Order 0.04% Psych Up 0.04% Screech 0.04% Swift 0.04% Meteor Mash 0.04% Giga Impact 0.04% Dynamicpunch 0.04% Teeter Dance 0.03% Gravity 0.03% Jump Kick 0.03% Sweet Kiss 0.03% Acupressure 0.03% Extrasensory 0.03% Iron Tail 0.02% Bonemerang 0.02% Icy Wind 0.02% Tailwind 0.02% Snatch 0.02% Thrash 0.02% Sing 0.02% Iron Defense 0.02% Growth 0.01% Glare 0.01% Icicle Spear 0.01% Spike Cannon 0.01% Bounce 0.01% Stomp 0.01% Flame Wheel 0.01% Heal Order 0.01% Me First 0.01% Refresh 0.01% Moonlight 0.01% Brine 0.01% Faint Attack 0.01% Air Cutter 0.01% Hail 0.01% All Others <0.01% Code:
Thunder 23.71% Ice Beam 15.96% Surf 15.45% Earthquake 14.77% Stealth Rock 11.66% Calm Mind 11.19% Outrage 9.86% Dragon Pulse 8.69% Dragon Claw 8.41% Extremespeed 8.13% Swords Dance 7.4% Substitute 7.39% Spacial Rend 7.24% Draco Meteor 6.62% Stone Edge 6.14% Dark Pulse 6.01% Dark Void 5.79% Encore 5.76% Spikes 5.72% Mirror Coat 5.69% Superpower 5.55% U-turn 5.54% Counter 5.45% Thunder Wave 5.45% Shadow Ball 5.29% Taunt 5.29% Fire Blast 5.28% Nasty Plot 5.18% Aura Sphere 4.74% Rest 4.66% Roost 4.61% Bullet Punch 4.52% Sleep Talk 4.48% Water Spout 4.41% Pursuit 4.25% Toxic 4.03% Grass Knot 3.74% Recover 3.65% Rapid Spin 3.62% Explosion 3.45% Safeguard 3.32% Flamethrower 3.16% Focus Blast 3.08% Protect 2.5% Air Slash 2.49% Wish 2.41% Payback 2.4% Dragon Dance 2.4% Toxic Spikes 2.33% Fire Punch 2.23% Aqua Tail 2.19% Seed Flare 2.18% Close Combat 2.08% Earth Power 1.99% HP-Fire 1.92% Rock Polish 1.89% Tickle 1.83% Crunch 1.82% Reflect 1.73% Trick 1.71% Seismic Toss 1.69% Overheat 1.61% Roar 1.58% Whirlwind 1.49% Ice Punch 1.39% Will-o-wisp 1.32% HP-Ice 1.3% Waterfall 1.18% Baton Pass 1.14% Leech Seed 1.13% Brick Break 1.02% Softboiled 1.01% Selfdestruct 0.95% Psychic 0.89% Thunderbolt 0.89% Gyro Ball 0.88% X-Scissor 0.82% Sacred Fire 0.74% Signal Beam 0.65% Leaf Storm 0.63% Hydro Pump 0.6% Bulk Up 0.56% Aromatherapy 0.56% Megahorn 0.56% Light Screen 0.55% Meteor Mash 0.53% Iron Head 0.5% Hypnosis 0.47% Sleep Powder 0.46% Body Slam 0.45% Shadow Sneak 0.45% Sucker Punch 0.44% Night Slash 0.42% Fire Fang 0.39% Spore 0.39% Ice Shard 0.36% Punishment 0.35% Tail Glow 0.35% Trick Room 0.34% Return 0.34% Destiny Bond 0.33% Endeavor 0.31% Thunderpunch 0.26% Aeroblast 0.25% Seed Bomb 0.25% Fake Out 0.24% Focus Punch 0.22% Moonlight 0.21% Yawn 0.19% Brave Bird 0.18% Double-edge 0.17% Agility 0.16% HP-Grass 0.16% Facade 0.16% Drill Peck 0.15% Sludge Bomb 0.15% Quick Attack 0.15% Knock Off 0.15% Belly Drum 0.15% Heat Wave 0.14% Dynamicpunch 0.13% Aqua Jet 0.13% Energy Ball 0.13% Rain Dance 0.12% Mach Punch 0.11% Aerial Ace 0.11% Stun Spore 0.11% Blizzard 0.11% Ice Fang 0.11% Curse 0.11% Flare Blitz 0.1% Flash Cannon 0.1% Cross Chop 0.1% Discharge 0.09% Pain Split 0.08% Confuse Ray 0.08% Solarbeam 0.08% HP-Fighting 0.08% Sky Attack 0.08% HP-Electric 0.08% Cosmic Power 0.07% Mean Look 0.07% Magnet Rise 0.07% Hyper Beam 0.07% Bug Buzz 0.07% Avalanche 0.07% Shadow Claw 0.06% Dig 0.06% Tri Attack 0.06% Slack Off 0.06% Perish Song 0.06% HP-Ground 0.06% Flail 0.05% Tackle 0.05% Acid Armor 0.05% Bounce 0.05% Lava Plume 0.05% Charge Beam 0.05% Aqua Ring 0.05% Giga Impact 0.04% Rock Slide 0.04% Wood Hammer 0.04% Eruption 0.04% Psycho Cut 0.04% Harden 0.04% Leaf Blade 0.04% Ingrain 0.04% Night Shade 0.04% Endure 0.04% String Shot 0.04% Thunder Fang 0.04% Splash 0.04% Dream Eater 0.03% Ancientpower 0.03% Iron Defense 0.03% Blast Burn 0.03% Zen Headbutt 0.03% Stockpile 0.03% Super Fang 0.03% Memento 0.03% Hammer Arm 0.03% Amnesia 0.03% HP-Dragon 0.02% Weather Ball 0.02% Vacuum Wave 0.02% Heal Bell 0.02% Magic Coat 0.02% Torment 0.02% Poison Jab 0.02% Swagger 0.02% Extrasensory 0.02% Poison Sting 0.02% Water Pulse 0.02% Double Hit 0.02% Hydro Cannon 0.02% Dragon Rush 0.02% Faint Attack 0.02% Snore 0.02% Sunny Day 0.02% Spider Web 0.02% Attract 0.02% Shock Wave 0.02% Bite 0.02% Captivate 0.02% Iron Tail 0.01% Rock Blast 0.01% Bug Bite 0.01% Sing 0.01% Psycho Boost 0.01% Razor Leaf 0.01% Frenzy Plant 0.01% Volt Tackle 0.01% Mega Punch 0.01% Power Whip 0.01% Brine 0.01% Bonemerang 0.01% Synthesis 0.01% Haze 0.01% Double Team 0.01% Frustration 0.01% Hi Jump Kick 0.01% Crush Grip 0.01% Psybeam 0.01% Reversal 0.01% Head Smash 0.01% Secret Power 0.01% Cut 0.01% Defense Curl 0.01% All Others <0.01% Code:
Probability for a Pokemon to feature in a battle = (U * (4*B - 1 - U)) / (B * (4*B - 2))
where B is the total number of battles played in the entire month
U is the amount of usage for that particular Pokemon
Here are the percentages for Standard, UU and Uber: Standard: Code:
Scizor 49.58% Salamence 38.96% Heatran 34.55% Gyarados 34.30% Rotom-A 33.39% Latias 32.89% Tyranitar 30.43% Metagross 29.94% Lucario 29.14% Infernape 28.33% Jirachi 27.87% Gengar 26.90% Swampert 26.15% Blissey 24.80% Azelf 20.84% Starmie 20.83% Rotom-h 20.35% Gliscor 17.29% Vaporeon 16.63% Magnezone 16.46% Zapdos 16.03% Machamp 15.67% Kingdra 15.31% Breloom 15.09% Skarmory 14.93% Bronzong 14.74% Celebi 14.63% Flygon 14.27% Suicune 13.52% Jolteon 13.35% Empoleon 12.91% Forretress 12.35% Electivire 11.70% Togekiss 11.30% Weavile 11.29% Aerodactyl 10.45% Mamoswine 10.08% Snorlax 9.87% Dusknoir 9.71% Smeargle 9.27% Ninjask 9.01% Tentacruel 9.00% Dragonite 8.95% Hippowdon 8.92% Roserade 7.86% Porygonz 7.76% Cresselia 7.41% Heracross 7.27% Rotom-c 7.12% Umbreon 6.86% Alakazam 6.47% Porygon2 6.31% Rhyperior 6.18% Dugtrio 5.47% Crobat 5.31% Gallade 5.21% Ambipom 5.17% Ludicolo 5.02% All Others <5.00% Code:
Roserade 39.11% Registeel 35.57% Milotic 34.95% Donphan 34.62% Mismagius 32.17% Yanmega 31.13% Ambipom 26.08% Uxie 24.73% Honchkrow 24.37% Blaziken 22.69% Rotom 21.42% Dugtrio 21.26% Hitmontop 21.10% Azumarill 20.73% Clefable 20.32% Arcanine 19.65% Slowbro 16.34% Moltres 16.27% Spiritomb 15.77% Houndoom 15.35% Drapion 15.30% Toxicroak 15.29% Venusaur 14.82% Altaria 14.68% Feraligatr 14.65% Chansey 14.62% Claydol 13.87% Swellow 13.26% Steelix 13.01% Torterra 12.40% Espeon 12.39% Sceptile 12.15% Regirock 11.93% Kangaskhan 11.85% Kabutops 11.38% Ludicolo 11.03% Miltank 11.00% Absol 10.78% Lanturn 10.56% Hariyama 9.45% Hitmonlee 9.23% Mesprit 8.73% Electrode 8.60% Nidoking 8.49% Tangrowth 8.28% Weezing 8.05% Omastar 7.86% Leafeon 7.54% Drifblim 7.51% Magneton 7.36% Blastoise 7.21% Scyther 7.12% Medicham 6.95% Typhlosion 6.77% Gardevoir 6.43% Lapras 6.38% Porygon2 6.24% Lopunny 6.08% Jumpluff 6.07% Nidoqueen 5.89% Hippopotas 5.83% Magmortar 5.66% Charizard 5.42% Cacturne 5.20% Ninetales 5.12% All Others <5.00% Code:
Kyogre 80.94% Palkia 68.01% Darkrai 59.57% Groudon 56.98% Wobbuffet 53.86% Dialga 53.11% Mewtwo 46.58% Rayquaza 45.28% Scizor 44.53% Deoxys-A 37.93% Forretress 36.39% Giratina-O 35.30% Garchomp 34.51% Deoxys-S 29.86% Shaymin-S 25.99% Lugia 25.54% Blissey 24.79% Latias 20.69% Latios 19.78% Giratina 15.33% Lucario 13.75% Mew 13.34% Jirachi 12.21% Ho-oh 10.19% Kingdra 9.46% Tyranitar 9.13% Metagross 8.37% Heracross 6.17% Bronzong 5.87% Deoxys-D 5.28% Manaphy 5.26% All Others <5.00%
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http://users.smogon.com/X-Act For all your Pokemon needs (and more!) including: the Defensive EVs applet, the Probabilities of Breeding IVs in Pokemon applet, and the Ratings of Pokemon Base Stats applet (now Version 2.0!). And also the IV to PID applet! |
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my god if you don't have an iced tea for me when i come back i'm gonna flip
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 3,762
Zrack attack!
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Amazing how Bullet Punch has a higher Typical use percentage than Dragon Dance considering:
Dragon Dance can be run on: Salamence/Gyarados/Tyranitar/Dragonite All of which are top threats (less so Dragonite) Bullet Punch can be run on: Scizor And occasionally Lucario. So basically Scizor has trumped every DD sweeper o.O Thanks for these X-Act! They'll prove very helpful :D |
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#3 | |
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Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,510
NJ-
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Wow, just about 50% of teams have Scizor. Thank you X-act. |
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#4 |
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 1,178
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This does not mean that 50% of teams have Scizor, just that there is a 50% that either player will have Scizor.
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#5 | |
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Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 396
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http://www.smogon.com/forums/showthread.php?t=59234
Since you didn't link. Spikes at 2.06% for July, 2.27% for August. Looks like I'm keeping my spinner.
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#6 |
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2,892
Phantastic
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Hmm, these are interesting. Especially this:
Bullet Punch 6.75% Dragon Dance 6.73% Swords Dance 6.71% Thanks for these as always.
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#7 |
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 104
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By the time the Garchomp peaked out usage (as in right before it was banned), it reached +50% usage. I wonder if Scizor will break that record?
Not only that, Bullet Punch trumped out Waterfall, meaning Scizor is more popular than Gyarados. Are there going to be item percentages this month? Last edited by thebattleax; Sep 9th, 2009 at 4:14:27 PM. Reason: minor grammar mistake |
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#8 | |
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Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 1,422
Avatar by Lorak
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∩_∩ ź_ź φ_φ
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#9 |
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I see sparks fly whenever you smile
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 2,314
Illinois
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Surprised no one asked about the formula yet.
Explanation please? |
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#10 | ||
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 858
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There's something that's always bugged me about the typical moveset statistics. I'll demonstrate by example.
Quote:
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#11 | |||
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Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 396
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Quote:
Heres the disclaimer from last month's: Quote:
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#12 | |
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np: Biffy Clyro - Shock Shock
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,679
Malta
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Quote:
Suppose we're looking at a random battle, featuring two of these 2*B teams. The probability that one of these teams did not contain the Pokemon in question is (2*B - U) / (2*B). The probability that the other team also did not contain the Pokemon in question is (2*B - U - 1) / (2*B - 1), since the team couldn't have played against itself. Hence, the probability that a battle did NOT contain the Pokemon is ((2*B - U) / (2*B)) * ((2*B - U - 1) / (2*B - 1)). And thus, the probability that a battle DID contain the Pokemon is 1 minus the above expression, which can be simplified thus: Code:
1 - ((2*B - U) / (2*B)) * ((2*B - U - 1) / (2*B - 1)) = 1 - (2*B - U) * (2*B - 1 - U) / (B * (4*B - 2)) = 1 - (4*B^2 - 2*B - 2*B*U - 2*B*U + U + U^2) / (B * (4*B - 2)) = (B * (4*B - 2) - (4*B^2 - 2*B - 4*B*U + U + U^2)) / (B * (4*B - 2)) = (4*B^2 - 2*B - 4*B^2 + 2*B + 4*B*U - U - U^2) / (B * (4*B - 2)) = (4*B*U - U - U^2) / (B * (4*B - 2)) = U * (4*B - 1 - U) / (B * (4*B - 2))
__________________
http://users.smogon.com/X-Act For all your Pokemon needs (and more!) including: the Defensive EVs applet, the Probabilities of Breeding IVs in Pokemon applet, and the Ratings of Pokemon Base Stats applet (now Version 2.0!). And also the IV to PID applet! |
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#13 |
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Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 261
Germany
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Earthquake is realy good on OU and UU. That Thunder is used in Uber so much is because Kyogre is in Uber Tier.
Thanks a lot X-Act for this facts. |
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#14 |
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#bossniggaprobs
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 2,232
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Good job X-Act...I love how Kyogre single-handedly bumps Thunder's usage
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#15 |
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 685
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YEAH!
Code:
Psycho Shift 0.01% Sub at 8.88% usage as well surprises me. Sub/Charge Beam Rotom-A/Magnezone ftw.
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Infinity or MythTrainerInfinity on Pokemon Online.
My Art - http://mythtrainerinfinity.deviantart.com/ MTI on AiB - http://allisbrawl.com/profile/MythTrainerInfinity.ai |
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#16 |
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 3,207
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Nice job x-act, interesting as always. Don't have time to really look at them now just sort of skim.
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#17 |
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Grant Holt <3
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Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 841
Brisbane
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This really good work, well done :)
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#18 |
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,713
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In August, if you played 2 games, there was a 99.16% chance that you or your opponents had a Scizor. I'm not surprised, frankly.
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#19 | |
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 176
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Uh, actually, it's more to the line of 64.2%.
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#20 | |
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np: Biffy Clyro - Shock Shock
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,679
Malta
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#21 | |
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 176
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Yeah, but uh since the original quote was "if you play 2 battles...", inferring that "your" team is counted twice. I'm not sure how to weight it (not that good at statistics) though...
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#22 |
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,119
Cambodia
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Interesting, Ice Beam usage is dropping and Thunderbolt usage is rising. Is this due to the general decline in Dragon-types, or another reason altogether? More mysteries to ponder...
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#23 |
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Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 342
Texas
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With Scizor Rampaging with Bullet Punch,
I'm not surprised to see it so high up.
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#24 | ||
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Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 396
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Let's look at the statistics, and see that this is really explainable. The biggest changes is that Rotom formes and Latias jumped 4 ranks each, with increases of about 2.5%. Now you might be saying, Ice Beam fares better against these guys than Tbolt! Why is Tbolt usage going up? Because about 60% of Rotom formes and 44% of Latias carry Tbolt. Done.
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#25 |
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Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 737
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Who isn`t?
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Danilo swag <@Delta2777> semen is good for your teeth <@Delta2777> it also has protein <@Delta2777> thats why I eat <@Delta2777> all of my semen <@Delta2777> when I jerk off |
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