Here is a summary for people:
Pretty much everyone in this game can agree I'm clear. I wish you didn't because it would make this game more fun, but I think it's kind of obvious that I'm town.
J squared is town on account of pokemonrocks's day 2 play, the likelihood of a jalmont inspection on him, and dp67's (and orcinus duo's to a lesser extent) votes on him day 1.
Cereza is likely town for her checking Itchni and coming up with a reasonable report and the likelihood of her role existing for the town. Possibly bussed OD on OD's orders, but I doubt it. I don't think OD was so paranoid about getting lynched d2 that he would do that, nor would I believe that he would risk
Itchni is almost certainly town for the day 1 debacle and the orcinus pressure votes on him. He cannot be mafia unless Cereza is also mafia, and Cereza is not my first suspect for mafia by a long shot.
Aura Guardian is likely town for being a bulletproof vest and playing relatively pro-town throughout the game, despite almost always being wrong. Really the only person on this list I might reconsider being town, but I don't think I will. It's odd that he received a hook notification when he was simply a bulletproof vest. Something to keep in mind if the game is dragging on with him alive. I would not oppose a lynch on him at a later time, and will re-read a bit to make sure that I'm not just looking at AG with rose tinted glasses.
Ullar is town for obvious reasons.
Barring a possible team with aura guardian, both of which I am nearly certain do not exist, our last few mafia would have to exist within Walrein, capefeather, shinyskarmory, coolking49, and Vintage Books. Shinyskarmory basically already claimed a power role that didn't seem to be something that a mafia would claim, and his reaction to the role on day 2 seemed genuine, so I lean town with him. However, his recent idleness may show some level of complacency, and he did sheep with orcinus on day 1. I'll get to more of that later though
Walrein is beyond the point of even denying he is mafia lol. Cop felt he was mafia, and I still think he's mafia who was very fortunate on day 2.
I think capefeather is his partner, but I don't think that cape is the hooker. I want the hooker dead today. So I want a Walrein lynch.
The three people that I have not mentioned so much yet are shinyskarmory/yeti, coolking, and vintage books. All 3 of these have not been obv town, but none of them have been outlandishly scummy.
Vintage Books, despite how little he's been posting, actually has some reasonable thoughts. His read on coolking I felt was actually pretty good, and at the time I did think coolking was a bit scummy.
But coolking is playing a lot like how Fangren played in the last NOC. Very annoyingly passive, but still town. I thought coolking was definitely the doctor on day 1, actually; he was being that stupidly passive.
Shinyskarmory did not play well, but he very much did not want to be lynched. The attention he payed to the flavor of the announcement fits with a townie going wtf moreso than a mafia when I have already lynched one correct mafia, called out another correctly in orcinus duo, and then pull off an announcement inspection. I would think that shinyskarmory would have been more defeated. Perhaps being desperate is what he was showing, but I don't think so. It doesn't fit what I would expect from a player like shinyskarmory. And no, that is not meant as an insult; it's simply meant as a meta thing. I think this game simply became boring for him after getting the lynch off of him.
Honestly, I'm slightly confused who would be mafia if it's not Walrein + capefeather. I would love for other people to contribute to let me know what they think, not only of my assessment of the situation, but also - should you agree with my read - analysis as to who out of vintage books, coolking, or shinyskarmory, is most likely to be mafia should it not be walrein and capefeather.