I really, really, really do not think that Hurricane confusion is a remote factor in this, because that is the definition of hax. Hurricane has a 30% chance of doing absolutely no damagemeaning that the chances of me actually losing to Moltres is, assuming [Hurricane hits twice in a row, I get confused and hit by confusion/miss Hydro Pump, and/or I miss Hydro Pump twice in a row. The OP says that hax should not play a remote factor in these calculations, so there is honestly no point in saying that confusion causes every core on this page to lose. Hurricane is extremely inaccurate in the first place, so if we get haxed, who is to say that Moltres would get unlucky. Because Hurricane is so dang inaccurate, it only hits twice in a row 51% of the time, meaning that these percentages can be up to twice as high of success. Luck is not a factor at all - we assume normal but not-quite-ridiculous/unreasonable requests to counter it, and I'm sure of that. Basically, Hurricane hits, never confuses, and Hydro Pump hits - that is what I think I am required to do to counter this core, because it works out non-haxily for both of us, and prediction cannot help the foe. Seems reasonable to me.