Project YUM or YUCK: Pokemon Edition

[Alice Kazumi]

Larvesta @ Eviolite
Ability: Flame Body
Level: 5
EVs: 236 Def / 236 SpD / 36 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Will-O-Wisp
- Morning Sun
- Flare Blitz
- U-turn

 

[The Avalanches]

Ponyta @ Life Orb
Level: 5
Ability: Flash Fire
EVs: 36 HP / 236 Atk / 196 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Flame Charge
- Flare Blitz
- Wild Charge
- Return

 

[Lange]

Tyrunt @ Eviolite
Level: 5
Ability: Strong Jaw
EVs: 52 HP / 124 Atk / 76 SpD / 212 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Dragon Dance
- Dragon Claw
- Stone Edge
- Fire Fang

 

[sparktrain]

Snubbull @ Life Orb
Ability: Intimidate
Level: 5
EVs: 196 Atk / 116 Def / 196 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Play Rough
- Earthquake
- Crunch
- Fire Punch

 

[Merritt]

Pawniard @ Eviolite
Ability: Defiant
Level: 5
EVs: 156 Atk / 36 Def / 116 SpD / 196 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Iron Head
- Knock Off
- Brick Break
- Sucker Punch

196+ Atk Life Orb Snubbull Earthquake vs. 0 HP / 36 Def Eviolite Pawniard: 16-21 (76.1 - 100%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO

 

[Lange]

Timburr @ Eviolite
Level: 5
Ability: Guts
EVs: 76 HP / 196 Atk / 76 Def / 156 SpD
Adamant Nature
- Drain Punch
- Mach Punch
- Knock Off
- Poison Jab

 

[Alice Kazumi]

Skorupi @ Eviolite
Ability: Battle Armor
Level: 5
EVs: 36 HP / 196 Atk / 36 Def / 236 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Swords Dance
- Poison Jab
- Knock Off
- Brick Break

 

[Lange]

Trubbish @ Berry Juice
Level: 5
Ability: Sticky Hold
EVs: 116 HP / 36 Atk / 100 Def / 20 SpD / 236 Spe
Jolly Nature
- Haze
- Recycle
- Gunk Shot
- Drain Punch

 

[S0L1D G0LD]

Abra @ Life Orb
Level: 5
Ability: Magic Guard
EVs: 76 Def / 160 SpA / 200 Spe
Modest Nature
- Psychic
- Dazzling Gleam
- Hidden Power Fighting
- Shadow Ball

 

[Alice Kazumi]

Stunky @ Eviolite
Ability: Aftermath
Level: 5
EVs: 12 HP / 92 Atk / 140 Def / 112 SpA / 112 SpD / 40 Spe
- Sucker Punch
- Pursuit
- Fire Blast
- Defog

 

[S0L1D G0LD]

Sandile @ Choice Scarf
Level: 5
Ability: Intimidate
EVs: 180 Atk / 76 Def / 236 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Earthquake
- Crunch
- Fire Fang
- Rock Slide

 

[sparktrain]

Lileep @ Eviolite
Ability: Storm Drain
Level: 5
EVs: 228 HP / 220 Def / 60 SpD
Bold Nature
- Giga Drain
- Ancient Power
- Earth Power
- Recover

 

[fran17]

Snivy @ Eviolite
Ability: Contrary
Level: 5
EVs: 240 SpA / 252 Spe
Timid Nature
- Leaf Storm
- Synthesis
- Glare
- Hidden Power [Ground]

 

[S0L1D G0LD]

Skiddo @ Eviolite
Level: 5
Ability: Sap Sipper
EVs: 76 Atk / 52 Def / 140 SpD / 180 Spe
Adamant Nature
- Bulk Up
- Horn Leech
- Rock Slide
- Bulldoze

 

[Alice Kazumi]

Ferroseed @ Berry Juice
Ability: Iron Barbs
Level: 5
EVs: 56 HP / 196 Atk / 188 Def / 68 SpD
Adamant Nature
- Curse
- Poison Jab
- Thunder Wave
- Iron Head

 

[S0L1D G0LD]

Numel @ Life Orb
Level: 5
Ability: Simple
EVs: 36 HP / 236 SpA / 236 Spe
Modest Nature
- Earth Power
- Fire Blast
- Flame Charge
- Growth

 

[Coconut]

Remoraid @ Choice Scarf
Ability: Sniper
Level: 5
EVs: 236 SpA / 236 Spe
Modest Nature
- Water Spout
- Psychic
- Ice Beam
- Fire Blast

 

[TruSwagblu]

Remoraid @ Choice Scarf
Ability: Sniper
Level: 5
EVs: 236 SpA / 236 Spe
Modest Nature
- Water Spout
- Psychic
- Ice Beam
- Fire Blast

if remoraid switches in on simple flame charge, in which scenario numel gains +2 speed to reach 26 speed, numel outspeeds scarfed remoraid (24 speed) and kos it with earth power

edit: lol earth power ohkos remoraid on the switch in too

so

Numel @ Life Orb
Level: 5
Ability: Simple
EVs: 36 HP / 236 SpA / 236 Spe
Modest Nature
- Earth Power
- Fire Blast
- Flame Charge
- Growth

Mini-Macle (Poliwag) @ Choice Scarf
Ability: Water Absorb
Level: 5
EVs: 36 HP / 40 Atk / 196 SpD / 200 Spe
Hasty Nature
- Waterfall
- Hidden Power [Fire]
- Return
- Substitute

earth power barely doesn't ko poliwag (6.3%, so numel requires a high roll), and poliwag outspeeds +2 numel and ohkos with waterfall

 

[S0L1D G0LD]

...Do I want to know why you have Substitute on a choices set?

Frillish @ Choice Scarf
Level: 5
Ability: Water Absorb
EVs: 76 HP / 236 SpA / 196 Spe
Timid Nature
- Water Spout
- Shadow Ball
- Ice Beam
- Energy Ball

 

[TruSwagblu]

...Do I want to know why you have Substitute on a choices set?

Frillish @ Choice Scarf
Level: 5
Ability: Water Absorb
EVs: 76 HP / 236 SpA / 196 Spe
Timid Nature
- Water Spout
- Shadow Ball
- Ice Beam
- Energy Ball

Poliwag doesn't have much to work with, i figure scarf sub is a viable option compared to everything else

anyways~

Ferroseed @ Eviolite
Ability: Iron Barbs
Level: 5
EVs: 4 HP / 200 Atk / 28 Def / 8 SpA / 228 SpD / 40 Spe
Sassy Nature
- Knock Off
- Bullet Seed
- Thunder Wave
- Hidden Power [Fire]

frill always does about <25ish% (shadow ball can 3hko with 3 1/16 rolls!), ferro 2hkos with knockoff and ohkos with 3 or more bullet seed hits

 

[Berks]

Poliwag doesn't have much to work with, i figure scarf sub is a viable option compared to everything else

lol

anyways~

Ferroseed @ Eviolite
Ability: Iron Barbs
Level: 5
EVs: 4 HP / 200 Atk / 28 Def / 8 SpA / 228 SpD / 40 Spe
Sassy Nature
- Knock Off
- Bullet Seed
- Thunder Wave
- Hidden Power [Fire]

frill always does about <25ish% (shadow ball can 3hko with 3 1/16 rolls!), ferro 2hkos with knockoff and ohkos with 3 or more bullet seed hits

Numel @ Life Orb
Level: 5
Ability: Simple
EVs: 36 HP / 236 SpA / 236 Spe
Modest Nature
- Earth Power
- Fire Blast
- Flame Charge
- Growth

 

[sparktrain]

Mantyke @ Life Orb
Ability: Swift Swim
Level: 5
EVs: 76 HP / 36 Def / 200 SpA / 196 Spe
Modest Nature
- Hydro Pump
- Air Slash
- Hidden Power [Ground]
- Rain Dance

 

[Merritt]

Chinchou @ BrightPowder
Level: 5
Ability: Volt Absorb
EVs: 76 HP / 212 Def / 148 SpD / 60 Spe
Bold Nature
- Thunder Wave
- Confuse Ray
- Hydro Pump
- Thunderbolt

200+ SpA Life Orb Mantyke Hidden Power Ground vs. 76 HP / 148 SpD Chinchou: 13-18 (52 - 72%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

Sure that looks like Mantyke can just 2HKO. But Chinchou with 60 Spe EVs hits 14 speed too, same as Mantyke. That's a 50/50 speed tie, but Brightpowder puts Chinchou over the top and lets it get above a 50% chance to win.

also lol im a dick ban brightpowder

 

[Lange]

Porygon @ Eviolite
Level: 5
Ability: Download
EVs: 156 HP / 40 Def / 240 SpA / 40 Spe
Modest Nature
- Tri Attack
- Psychic
- Hidden Power Fighting
- Recover

 

[Merritt]

Porygon @ Eviolite
Level: 5
Ability: Download
EVs: 156 HP / 40 Def / 240 SpA / 40 Spe
Modest Nature
- Tri Attack
- Psychic
- Hidden Power Fighting
- Recover

0 SpA Chinchou Thunderbolt vs. 156 HP / 0 SpD Eviolite Porygon: 7-9 (28 - 36%) -- 1.1% chance to 3HKO
(7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 9)
0 SpA Chinchou Hydro Pump vs. 156 HP / 0 SpD Eviolite Porygon: 7-10 (28 - 40%) -- 98.9% chance to 3HKO
(7, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, 10)
240+ SpA Porygon Tri Attack vs. 76 HP / 148 SpD Chinchou: 12-15 (48 - 60%) -- 90.2% chance to 2HKO
+1 240+ SpA Porygon Tri Attack vs. 76 HP / 148 SpD Chinchou: 16-21 (64 - 84%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

0- Atk Porygon Confusion Damage vs. 156 HP / 40 Def Eviolite Porygon: 2-3 (8 - 12%) -- possible 9HKO
(2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3)

So let's do some math.

Thunderbolt does 7 damage almost every time, but has the chance of doing 9, and will not miss. Porygon with 156 EVs has 25 HP. If we're using Thunderbolt, then the only things that matter are 3 high rolls on thunderbolt (a 1.1% chance to happen, and this bypasses all confusion reliance) since 2 vs 3 damage makes no difference in a 7+7+7 situation or a 7+7+9 situation.

Porygon's Download is not a 100% chance vs a 14/14 Chinchou, it's only a 50% chance to happen. If it doesn't get the download boost, then it has an actual 73.062% chance to 2HKO due to a brightpowder miss. If it does get the download boost, it has an 81% chance to 2HKO due to a brightpowder miss.

Porygon switches in on a confuse ray.

I got this far then realized none of this is needed. Hydro Pump 3HKOs virtually all of the time, and Chinchou outspeeds. Not even taking Brightpowder or Porygon's chance to get an attack boost into account, that's an 80%^3 times a 98.9% chance. Overall? A 50.6368% chance for Chinchou to win.

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