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UM 2025 UM Circuit Championship - Round of 16

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Welcome to the playoffs of the 2025 Unofficial Metagames Circuit! The top 16 players have emerged after competing in this year's inaugural UM tournament circuit. The winner of this tournament will receive a prize banner on Smogon as well as the choice between a custom avatar, a new username color, and an inactive username on Pokemon Showdown, courtesy of PS upper staff.​

Seeds:
1 Shadow079 1091
2 Baddy 1009
3 Horii 913
4 entrocefalo 766
5 FishyRoads 736
6 Slikkles 709
7 Celeste 587
8 Kingler 563
9 mipc 549
10 Fragments 522
11 sheepie 517
12 ExguardiaN 508
13 Shivam_Z 478
14 Indi01 450
15 MemphisDepay 436
16 emoxu9 428

Tournament Rules:
Round of 16
[1] Shadow079 vs emoxu9 [16]
[2] Baddy vs MemphisDepay [15]
[3] Horii vs Indi01 [14]
[4] entrocefalo vs Shivam_Z [13]
[5] FishyRoads vs ExguardiaN [12]
[6] Slikkles vs sheepie [11]
[7] Celeste vs Fragments [10]
[8] Kingler vs mipc [9]

Ro16 Deadline is Sunday, November 7th at 11:59 GMT.
 
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It's fun doing predictions. I'm going in here armed with nothing but a spreadsheet and a vague knowledge of ZU and NFE, so wish me luck. And obviously, best of luck to everyone here, I'm doing this for fun and so I don't have to click the watch the thread button to see the ZU games

Shadow079 vs emoxu9 (shadow has more experience in more tiers, and I think shadow has more of a chance in the tiers I expect emoxu9 plays than vice versa)
Baddy vs MemphisDepay (one does not simply predict against 2024 UM circuit winner baddy)
Horii vs Indi01 (the vibe I'm getting is that they kinda both main 1 tier, and Horii did slightly better across other tiers)
entrocefalo vs Shivam_Z (another 'they kinda main 1 different tier each' so I'm going with the higher seed)
FishyRoads vs ExguardiaN (this looks like one of the closer MUs, but I'm choosing to favor 'touched other tiers + a main' to 'outright 1 seasonal' here since Fishy has the UMGS win too)
Slikkles vs sheepie (sheepie is a jack-of-all-trades player with a recent W in LCQ swiss, and Slikkles has a similar run but due to signing up and getting points in every seasonal. I think sheepie's well-roundedness and slightly more recent results gives them the win)
Celeste vs Fragments (I think this is one of the closest MUs, which uhh consdiering the other option for closest MU is the one below this shows that seeding feels somewhat accurate. My knowledge of Celeste is that she plays UUbers and NFE, and Fragments managed in UMPL so I can't really pinpoint a tier he mains, and the sheet also didn't help. I've seen Celeste pick up random NFE oldgen tiers too, and she has a good LCQ finish. Fragments, on the other hand, managed the Kingdras. Idk, I guess I'm predicting fragments to win in 1v1, AG, and ZU)
Kingler vs mipc (this is probably the one MU i don't bold mipc in, if ppl knew abt mipc earlier he was definitely getting bought in UMPL, but Kingler is Kingler)
 
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