I'm back with DLC speculation, and I'm going to talk about unbans for uber pokemon as well as pokemon that were considered banworthy but might now be anymore. I'm talking about melmetal and cinderace, the only 2 uber pokemon that I consider can simply be unbanned (magearna would be a retest and i wouldn't even unban Gdarm or vish). Also, I believe that urshifu will not be banworthy from the dlc with new checks and counters it gets.
First, I'll start with urshifu, a mon that hasn't been banned yet from OU. In terms of checks, it had clefable, Gweezing, fat mons like hippo, tang, and pex as well as offensive mons like scarf togekiss, hawlucha, and specs pult. All of these could be checks or not depending on the set. The same applies to some of the mons here.
252 SpA Life Orb Naganadel Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 411-485 (120.5 - 142.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Naganadel can live a banded sucker punch and kill back with Draco, solid string check assuming Naganadel doesn't get banned.
252 SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Dazzling Gleam vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 832-983 (243.9 - 288.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Also assuming Koko doesnt get banned (even if it should), koko can take its stabs due to hits fairy typing and threaten back with a 4X effective fairy move.
0 SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 390-458 (114.3 - 134.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
While banded shifu can threaten an OHKO to a 252HP/252 Spe torn-t, torn-t can threaten back with hurricane. Once again, torn t is banworthy so it might not stay in the tier, so one less urshifu check. Have no fear, there are many more mons that can deal with shifu and not get banned.
252 SpA Choice Specs Blacephalon Fire Blast vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 454-535 (133.1 - 156.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Kartana Sacred Sword vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Urshifu: 376-444 (110.2 - 130.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Life Orb Salamence Dual Wingbeat (2 hits) vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Urshifu: 348-422 (102 - 123.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Dragonite Dual Wingbeat (2 hits) vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Urshifu: 268-324 (78.5 - 95%) -- approx. 2HKO (can kill afterward with Espeed)
Despite none of these being able to switch into wicked blow except dragonite, they all survive sucker expect blacephalon and can OHKO shifu back with their moves, being effective revenge killers.
252 Atk Choice Band Urshifu Wicked Blow vs. 248 HP / 16 Def Tapu Fini on a critical hit: 128-151 (37.3 - 44%) -- 100% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
252 Atk Choice Band Urshifu Wicked Blow vs. 252 HP / 144+ Def Buzzwole on a critical hit: 90-106 (21.5 - 25.3%) -- possible 5HKO after Leftovers recovery
Lastly, these 2 mons can live any of urshifu's hits and kill back with SE attacks. Despite fini not having recovery, it has flip turn and can pivot out after killing shifu with moonblast, while buzzwole does not give a shit and will kill with CC. Overall, we get more revenge killers and urshifu counters with the new dlc, so I feel urshifu will not be broken as these checks and counters in addition to the ones we already have will make it manageable.
Next up, onto Melmetal. We already had solid checks in the form of pex, ferro, and heattom when melmetal was being retested. DlC 1 gave us stuff like volcarona and tangrowth, with other stuff like skarm having the ability to punish choice locked melmetal. DLC 2 gives us even more things to kill it now.
252 Atk Choice Band Urshifu Close Combat vs. 244 HP / 0 Def Melmetal: 432-510 (91.5 - 108%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
252 SpA Choice Specs Blacephalon Fire Blast vs. 244 HP / 0 SpD Melmetal: 854-1008 (180.9 - 213.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Victini V-create vs. 244 HP / 0 Def Melmetal: 540-636 (114.4 - 134.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 SpA Volcarona Flamethrower vs. 244 HP / 0 SpD Melmetal: 432-510 (91.5 - 108%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
252 SpA Moltres Fire Blast vs. 244 HP / 0 SpD Melmetal: 498-588 (105.5 - 124.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
With a slight bit of chip on melmetal provided via something like spikes, all of these mons can OHKO melmetal. Also, we have new rocky helmet users that can punish melmetal clicking double iron bash, such as zapdos, tank chomp, lando-t, and physical walls like swampert who do not care about its attacks at all. Overall, melmetal was already a pokemon people were on the verge of unbanning pre-dlc, and 2 dlcs in has given players many, many options to abuse and defeat melmetal, making it worthy of a quick unban in my eyes.
Lastly, although we just gave it a retest, cinderace should also be quick unbanned at the start of the gen due to a gain of new checks and counters. Cinderace had shaky checks in mandibuzz, hippo, pex, gastrodon and rhyperior while being able to kill 2/3 pokemon that are faster than it with sucker. It also had limited revenge killers, the best one being crawdaunt but thats only if cinderace still had its fire typing at the time. Now, cinderace's attacks and speed are less impressive and its 4MSS is greatly amplified by incoming mons. Heatran forces it to run HJK to not be walled by it, while defensive lando t and chomp can either take its attacks or threaten with a scarf set. Multiscale dragonite, zapdos, and moltres also don't mind any of its attacks and bulky waters like suicune and swampert also deal with cinderace very well. Assuming zygarde doesnt get quick banned, (even though it should) it can deal with any cinderace set. Finally, we have revenge killers like speed boost blaziken and naganadel to beat it assuming they dont get banned as well. Overall, the bunny looks a lot more manageable with plenty new pokemon being able to deal with it and its attack stat looking much less impressive with the new drops.
In conclusion, urshifu doesnt look to be a problem anymore and I firmly believe that melmetal and cinderace are quick unban worthy and we should just unban them instead of wasting a time with a suspect test. DLC 2 is in 3 weeks and I cant wait. Also for the love of god OU council please quick ban zyagred and genesect we dont want to waste time suspecting these 2 broken mons.
First, I'll start with urshifu, a mon that hasn't been banned yet from OU. In terms of checks, it had clefable, Gweezing, fat mons like hippo, tang, and pex as well as offensive mons like scarf togekiss, hawlucha, and specs pult. All of these could be checks or not depending on the set. The same applies to some of the mons here.
252 SpA Life Orb Naganadel Draco Meteor vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 411-485 (120.5 - 142.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Naganadel can live a banded sucker punch and kill back with Draco, solid string check assuming Naganadel doesn't get banned.
252 SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Dazzling Gleam vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 832-983 (243.9 - 288.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Also assuming Koko doesnt get banned (even if it should), koko can take its stabs due to hits fairy typing and threaten back with a 4X effective fairy move.
0 SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 390-458 (114.3 - 134.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
While banded shifu can threaten an OHKO to a 252HP/252 Spe torn-t, torn-t can threaten back with hurricane. Once again, torn t is banworthy so it might not stay in the tier, so one less urshifu check. Have no fear, there are many more mons that can deal with shifu and not get banned.
252 SpA Choice Specs Blacephalon Fire Blast vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD Urshifu: 454-535 (133.1 - 156.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Kartana Sacred Sword vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Urshifu: 376-444 (110.2 - 130.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Life Orb Salamence Dual Wingbeat (2 hits) vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Urshifu: 348-422 (102 - 123.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Dragonite Dual Wingbeat (2 hits) vs. 0 HP / 4 Def Urshifu: 268-324 (78.5 - 95%) -- approx. 2HKO (can kill afterward with Espeed)
Despite none of these being able to switch into wicked blow except dragonite, they all survive sucker expect blacephalon and can OHKO shifu back with their moves, being effective revenge killers.
252 Atk Choice Band Urshifu Wicked Blow vs. 248 HP / 16 Def Tapu Fini on a critical hit: 128-151 (37.3 - 44%) -- 100% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
252 Atk Choice Band Urshifu Wicked Blow vs. 252 HP / 144+ Def Buzzwole on a critical hit: 90-106 (21.5 - 25.3%) -- possible 5HKO after Leftovers recovery
Lastly, these 2 mons can live any of urshifu's hits and kill back with SE attacks. Despite fini not having recovery, it has flip turn and can pivot out after killing shifu with moonblast, while buzzwole does not give a shit and will kill with CC. Overall, we get more revenge killers and urshifu counters with the new dlc, so I feel urshifu will not be broken as these checks and counters in addition to the ones we already have will make it manageable.
Next up, onto Melmetal. We already had solid checks in the form of pex, ferro, and heattom when melmetal was being retested. DlC 1 gave us stuff like volcarona and tangrowth, with other stuff like skarm having the ability to punish choice locked melmetal. DLC 2 gives us even more things to kill it now.
252 Atk Choice Band Urshifu Close Combat vs. 244 HP / 0 Def Melmetal: 432-510 (91.5 - 108%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
252 SpA Choice Specs Blacephalon Fire Blast vs. 244 HP / 0 SpD Melmetal: 854-1008 (180.9 - 213.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 Atk Choice Band Victini V-create vs. 244 HP / 0 Def Melmetal: 540-636 (114.4 - 134.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
252 SpA Volcarona Flamethrower vs. 244 HP / 0 SpD Melmetal: 432-510 (91.5 - 108%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
252 SpA Moltres Fire Blast vs. 244 HP / 0 SpD Melmetal: 498-588 (105.5 - 124.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
With a slight bit of chip on melmetal provided via something like spikes, all of these mons can OHKO melmetal. Also, we have new rocky helmet users that can punish melmetal clicking double iron bash, such as zapdos, tank chomp, lando-t, and physical walls like swampert who do not care about its attacks at all. Overall, melmetal was already a pokemon people were on the verge of unbanning pre-dlc, and 2 dlcs in has given players many, many options to abuse and defeat melmetal, making it worthy of a quick unban in my eyes.
Lastly, although we just gave it a retest, cinderace should also be quick unbanned at the start of the gen due to a gain of new checks and counters. Cinderace had shaky checks in mandibuzz, hippo, pex, gastrodon and rhyperior while being able to kill 2/3 pokemon that are faster than it with sucker. It also had limited revenge killers, the best one being crawdaunt but thats only if cinderace still had its fire typing at the time. Now, cinderace's attacks and speed are less impressive and its 4MSS is greatly amplified by incoming mons. Heatran forces it to run HJK to not be walled by it, while defensive lando t and chomp can either take its attacks or threaten with a scarf set. Multiscale dragonite, zapdos, and moltres also don't mind any of its attacks and bulky waters like suicune and swampert also deal with cinderace very well. Assuming zygarde doesnt get quick banned, (even though it should) it can deal with any cinderace set. Finally, we have revenge killers like speed boost blaziken and naganadel to beat it assuming they dont get banned as well. Overall, the bunny looks a lot more manageable with plenty new pokemon being able to deal with it and its attack stat looking much less impressive with the new drops.
In conclusion, urshifu doesnt look to be a problem anymore and I firmly believe that melmetal and cinderace are quick unban worthy and we should just unban them instead of wasting a time with a suspect test. DLC 2 is in 3 weeks and I cant wait. Also for the love of god OU council please quick ban zyagred and genesect we dont want to waste time suspecting these 2 broken mons.