its more that the fact that you're not claiming any rationale behind your tracks suggests that you wanted to claim a report on your buddy to get towncred for the final *ylo phase(mafia align) instead of actually having useful information for town(town align)
This game was stolen, however the page I took it from has strategical analysis. For this reason I will refrain from linking it until postgame. I decided to propose a very small game setup due to the current lul in activity for smogon mafia, and the consequential lack of reduction of sign-ups for...
Okay, in both of the games above, I noticed Cantius made "(mis)lynch probability posts."
"OK we have one mislynch. Some probability:
1/5 chance that we lynch the Mafia Goon today, resulting in victory
1/5 chance we lynch the Doctor (It can't be PS Mafia without this!), resulting in LYLO with no clears
3/5 chance we lynch an innocent little Vanilla Townie
In both of the above games, the mislynch prob posts were fairly early in Cantius's posts (Cantius subbed into the PS mid game but made the post quickly.
Now, Matrix 14 is a bit different because it has a much larger player set up, which makes mislynch probability posts harder, and near the end of the game people were starting to post solved scenarios which make lynch % posts a bit moot. While in Matrix 14 he didn't flat out state that as town he usually tunnels, his gameplay in the last 20-25 pages or something shows a lot of tunneling on vooper due to him thinking that town vooper acted differently based on his experiences in PS games. And well Cantius was right and vooper was mafia in that game.
In all three of the above games, Cantius was town and fairly active, and either outright mentioned tunneling or displayed it. Here, in this game Cantius has not been particularly active, I don't see that much tunneling, and unlike the two lower player games he linked to, here he didn't try to show mislynch probabilities. These all suggest Cantius is not town this game because the behavior is just really different.
Blue's actions reasonably can be read as a doctor taking a quiet and cautious route to stay safe, but lynching SF so late is also troublesome. We can look at how Cantius handled the SF situation too though; he claimed SF visited the deceased, which he'd know if he was mafia. It could maybe be read as testing the waters for a bus, since he didn't vote to lynch SF right away, but he was the third vote and the hammer. The day before SF was lynched a lot of people seemed to not be trusting SF, so maybe it was a bus. But really, the thing that is still most suspicious is that he lacks reasoning for not sharing his n0 action sooner.
I'm not fully committed yet, but based on the past games, I think Cantius has differed from his town game and his behavior is suspicious. I scumlean him right now. I'll give them a chance to plead a case.
You are assuming that a player has visibly trends in his playstyle. This is true. However, a player will vary his playstyle due to his desire to improve, his need to vary it so as to not be predictable, or arbitrary changes which cannot be dictated by reason. Your argument is founded on comparing present conduct to the erstwhile, using two games, in both of which I am town; your reasoning is relative. Thus you conclude that this behavioral difference from the quondam is suspect while you have not actually compared my present behavior to a game I have played as scum so as to ascertain that the contrast is alignment-indicative and not merely a peculiarity. Behavior of both alignments must be examined in this comparison. I have never played a forum game as scum, so this other requisite evidence does not exist; therefore, let one discern that this disparity is suspicious but not conclusive due to the lack of the other type of necessary evidence.