Also, I'd suspicious of anyone claiming as vanillager. If you were a vanillager, you have nothing to do, so you might as well sacrifice yourself for the greater good. Not to mention, that by claiming vanillager you increase the chances for the mafia to figure out who the inspector/bg are as it now increases from 2/12 to 2/11. So, it more probable that whoever claiming vanillager are mafia and looking for a "safe" claim.
I am sorry but I don't recall him being suspicious for any reason except not posting.billymills said:No, you were suspicious prior to the whole incident.
billymills said:Lets get the ball rolling:
Voting CrabNebula
His last two posts have been largely bullshit. I have no idea how he does his math
Umbreon Dan said:yeah, this is total bullshit. everyone is going to claim vanilla villager in this game. (well except possibly the snoop, but now there's no hope of that)
lynch crabnebula
Is it? Then why did you lynch Kumar, who was one of the most active users around?A no lynch is only useful in exceptional circumstances (like 4 left, 1 mafia alive etc). Lynching a non-contributing user is always better than a no lynch. If you were to not lynch, all the discussions and infornation gathered in the day go to waste, as you cannot draw any conclusions from it. This helps the mafia more than town as they are the informed group while town aren't.
Compared to your next post, this math mistake is negligible. Someone could easily have forgotten the recruit, or assumed there was a hooker.Moreover, the chances of getting a power role lynched is 4/17 (counting the lovers though I shouldn't as they really have no power) right now which is lower than that of getting a mafia of 5/17.
There's like 8 villagers, why on earth would you be suspicious of any of them. It doesn't make sense to have 8 people claiming bg, that just makes things overly confusing.Also, I'd suspicious of anyone claiming as vanillager. If you were a vanillager, you have nothing to do, so you might as well sacrifice yourself for the greater good. Not to mention, that by claiming vanillager you increase the chances for the mafia to figure out who the inspector/bg are as it now increases from 2/12 to 2/11. So, it more probable that whoever claiming vanillager are mafia and looking for a "safe" claim.
Huh? He made a math mistake, and that's your best reason for thinking he's mafia?And since a lynch is always better I'll
vote Kumar
His dislike of any lynch does not go well with me. Combined with the fact that he said that lynching a power role is same as that of lynching a mafia (which it isn't) and that if a power role is randed and is forced to claim, then he can be protected by the bodyguard, so its not a freekill for the mafia.
More on this, if we no lynch continuously, assuming mafia kills every night, we will forced to lynch someone on Day 8 (Night 7 = 7 kills, so remaining players = 17-7 = 10, of which 5 are mafia and 5 town.) And even then you will have a 50/50 chance of getting a mafia if the inspector gets no results. If he does and we lynch a mafia, then the situation becomes 4-5 on end of day and 4-4 on the end of night. So we have to lynch a mafia again and keep doing this to win the game. Which means the inspector needs to suvive and get all the results correct, a tall order.
DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN DIE CN
So obviously:
Lynch Jumpluff
Jumpluff said:Why didn't you withdraw your vote then, billy?
You don't.Huh? I don't mean to sound like I'm "a little too protective of Jumpluff"
Just because I vote does not imply I want to start a bandwagon. I want to hear people out. You said it yourself: that's ALL she said. Her ONLY post is trying to pin blame on me for voting thorns....On the other hand, you voted for CN, then withdrew your vote, then voted for Jumpluff - and none of your votes had evidence backing it up. As you said yourself, "I have no intentions of starting a bandwagon", so please at least provide a bit more reasoning in the future...
Why do people skim so much? When did I ever vote for Kumar because he was not contributing? I voted him because I did not like his favouring no lynch and randlynching would cause a power role to out himself (in which case bg is there to protect him), both not being in favour of town.billymills said:Is it? Then why did you lynch Kumar, who was one of the most active users around?
Even if someone forgot the recruit or assumed the hooker, the chance of getting a mafia decreases to 4/17 which is the SAME as getting a power role, not LESS. So my argument still holds, however it seems you did not think your argument through...billymills said:Compared to your next post, this math mistake is negligible. Someone could easily have forgotten the recruit, or assumed there was a hooker.
It would be FANTASTIC if 8 people claim bodyguard. The real bodyguard is hidden among these people, so mafia cannot get him. It makes it more confusing for the mafia, not the village. You do not want this?billymills said:There's like 8 villagers, why on earth would you be suspicious of any of them. It doesn't make sense to have 8 people claiming bg, that just makes things overly confusing.
billymills said:Huh? He made a math mistake, and that's your best reason for thinking he's mafia?
True, the mafia win a day earlier. How does it help village?billymills said:1. If we get down to tied, the mafia win, no doubt about it. You can't lynch 5 mafia with 5 village, where the fuck do you get that from?
2. Remember the twins, they die as 1.
3. At least MENTION the bg.
Even then, this is a pretty good strawman: I don't see how waiting for 1 day is even remotely similar to waiting for 7 days. One is a rather neutral move, whereas the other assures defeat.
billymills said:Also, to mekkah: I had no intentions of starting a bandwagon. I removed my vote so that CN wouldn't be lynched before he had a chance to respond.
So obviously:
Lynch Jumpluff
In her only post, she seemed a little too protective of Thorns =/
Did you even read my post at all? I clearly gave reasons on why, if you are vanillager, you shouldn't claim vanillager or claim at all. So how will "everyone" claim vanillager?
If you are a vanillager, you have nothing to do, so you might as well sacrifice yourself for the greater good.
No, you were suspicious prior to the whole incident.
Lets get the ball rolling:
Voting CrabNebula
His last two posts have been largely bullshit. I have no idea how he does his math.
EDIT: REMOVE VOTE
I have no intentions of starting a bandwagon; I would like to hear from CN though.
I had just looked at mafiascum and they all started off with random lynches, so I supposed it'd be a safe bet to lynch someone who wasn't in the game, so they wouldn't retaliate. I realised my mistake a while later, and I thought editing would be the best course of action.
The bolded part shows his reluctance to take the blame for my lynch. When people see I am town, he would be in the dock. And the only way he would know I am town is, if he is mafia. Otherwise there would have been no reason to remove that vote.
Are you fucking kidding me. You have to be joking.My previous post illustrates what are all wrong with billymills reasonings.
Additionally, the thing that aroused my suspicions the most was
The bolded part shows his reluctance to take the blame for my lynch. When people see I am town, he would be in the dock. And the only way he would know I am town is, if he is mafia. Otherwise there would have been no reason to remove that vote.
I THOUGHT HE WASN'T PLAYING. IF HE ISN'T PLAYING, HE CAN'T RETALIATE.However, what seals it is
Not retialate = free lynch?
vote billymills
You said clearly that removing someone who was inactive was better than nothing. Please explain, especially when we can just sub them out.Why do people skim so much? When did I ever vote for Kumar because he was not contributing? I voted him because I did not like his favouring no lynch and randlynching would cause a power role to out himself (in which case bg is there to protect him), both not being in favour of town.
What argument, you just seem to be drawing statistics and claims out of mid-air, those that really are impertinent. I'm not exactly sure what you are attempting to prove here.Even if someone forgot the recruit or assumed the hooker, the chance of getting a mafia decreases to 4/17 which is the SAME as getting a power role, not LESS. So my argument still holds, however it seems you did not think your argument through...
9 people claiming bodyguard is exactly the same as 9 people claiming villager. I don't see how claiming bodyguard is better or worse. In the event that there are 2 power roles, then you get division between the village (5 people claiming inspect, 5 bg), and the mafia have better chances of getting exactly who they're looking for.It would be FANTASTIC if 8 people claim bodyguard. The real bodyguard is hidden among these people, so mafia cannot get him. It makes it more confusing for the mafia, not the village. You do not want this?
Erm, I quoted the your argument, and the second sentence is clearly a mathematical miscalculation on someone's part. How am I putting words in your mouth?Trying to put words in mouth after just asking me the reason to lynch Kumar in the first of your post?
That's completely beside the point. You fucked up 3 premises on a simple strawman...True, the mafia win a day earlier. How does it help village?
Actually it's the best way I can prod for action, since I can't go around PMing asking for them to be active. Now I have no doubts you are mafia, so I won't go around rand-voting anymore.Seems someone cracked under pressure and is trying to deflect attention....
Did this strike anyone else as funny? I may be a general forum-mafia novice, but I don't know, (hypothetically speaking) if CN wants AceMatador to post "so badly," it seems to me like he is either curious to see if he's a vanillager, or he wants his lazy ass partner (in mafia) to post so as to not be subbed out. That may be a very superficial observation, but I'm just trying to contribute to discussions here.Also SDS, can we get Ace Matador subbed out? Or at least prodded to post? Thanks.
lol. Are you TRYING to implicate yourself with your flawed logic? IIRC, it was only you and Toothache who voted for Kumar, the Village's Snoop, and toothache's only reasoning was that it would be better to lynch someone on the chances of getting a bad guy than not voting someone and leaving all bad guys possibly alive. However, you spewed yet more bogus logic to get Kumar lynched, and not only was he a villager, but the snoop.The bolded part shows his reluctance to take the blame for my lynch. When people see I am town, he would be in the dock. And the only way he would know I am town is, if he is mafia. Otherwise there would have been no reason to remove that vote.