Team Monotype Premier League IX - Semifinals

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Theia

anytime I cry you always laugh at me
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vs

Wayward Wakes (5) vs (3) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi
SV: Leafium Z vs rs
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk
SS: maki vs AA
SM: QWILY vs Zap
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash
BW: Booty vs Gondra

vs

Melemele Meloettas (3) vs (5) Hearthome Honchkrows
SV: Baloor vs Vodoom
SV: kythr vs Cell
SV: Masskeau vs Scarfire
SV: Toadow vs Trichotomy
SS: mushamu vs Jojo8868
SM: Mateeus vs Leo
ORAS: Trouser Snakes vs fade
BW: Gelbel3c vs Attribute

Wayward Wakes (0) vs (0) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi
SV: Leafium Z vs rs
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk
SS: maki vs AA
SM: QWILY vs Zap
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash
BW: Booty vs Gondra

Melemele Meloettas (0) vs (0) Hearthome Honchkrows
SV: Baloor vs Vodoom
SV: kythr vs Cell
SV: Masskeau vs Scarfire
SV: Toadow vs Trichotomy
SS: mushamu vs Jojo8868
SM: Mateeus vs Leo
ORAS: Trouser Snakes vs fade
BW: Gelbel3c vs Attribute

The deadline for this round is Sunday, August 13th at 11:59 PM GMT -4.
 

Attribute

HYPNOS | pulp
is a Top Tiering Contributor
Monotype Cup Winner
holy i went like 16/24 last week. my best week yet... anyway we are BACK with the latest installment of the attribute predictions. predictribute... flufftribute........ you know how it goes. we have some truly epic playoff storylines in this edition of mpl. will the wakes break through the first seed curse and continue their regular season domination? or will the thunders be the first team to win two mpl's back to back? will the krows win the third mpl in franchise history? or will the power of friendship prove to be overwhelming for the antagonists? some epic stuff going on truly. with that being said, lets move on to what we're all waiting for!

Wayward Wakes (4) vs (4) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi - both players are coming back from bad starts. wyvern is currently 3-4 (2-4 in sv) but their games in the second half of the season seemed a lot better. the same goes for tmoi, who has gone from 1-3 to 4-3. from memory, i remember wyvern's games being slightly more cleaner than tmoi's if we were to base this off of the second half of the season, so that is pretty much enough for me to bold him despite the worse record. as far as last week goes, i didn't really like tmoi binning the sableye to bax, id like to think it would at least be more useful than hydrei there. don't know sets but dragonite had the potential to get out of control. wyvern got a donated a little bit last week, i think he got a little thirsty with trying to toxic feli's whole team but he won something unfavored so whatevs. really close game between 2 players of similar sill level
SV: Leafium Z vs rs - leafium is currently having his breakout tour, 5-1 is his best mono tour to date. there have been lots of up and downs with this performance though, risky flutter gameplay vs leo and the whirlwind vs xiri's ghold last week come to mind. aside from those, based off memory, those are the only things that really stood out as far as really questionable things go (only 2/6 games) so good job. rs on the other hand is 4-3, i think his record should be a lot better? i heard he got dire claw'd one week though i didn't watch the game, and last week was pretty unfortunate for him. i don't really remember rs doing anything bad, so i am a bit more inclined to bold someone that makes less mistakes, especially in a playoff environment
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken - ikarihs went from 0-2 to 5-2 so im usually gonna bold him no matter who he plays aside from maybe rs. his games have looked good from what i remember, so that's always a good thing. kraken is currently 3-3, and to be completely honest i still have not watched a single game of theirs cause hot damn im never awake for them. basically 0-0 in my eyes. so theoretically, a 5-2 player is playing a 0-0 player in playoffs. the maths say to bold the 5-2 player... right...? right?
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk - honestly i coinflipped this one as both players are pretty much the same in my eyes. instead, ill just talk about the players individually. shane is 3-2, and i think he has adapted to mono well. he has success in pu+ he's getting better in mono the more he plays this tour in theory, which is something nice he has going for him. mihowk is 4-3, has played mono a ton recently though i don't know how much. they do play all the circuit tours at least so he has the experience going for him. as far as games go, both players had similar performances so... yeah. like i said earlier, coinflip!
SS: maki vs AA - maki is currently 6-0, dominating a pool that he is supposed to be dominating. his games have been fine, not much to comment on in that department. on the other hand, we have aa who is 2-2 and is getting his first shot at playing in an mpl. if this was a regular season game id bold maki pretty easily. considering the circumstances, and knowing maki's tendencies to run away from clutch scenarios or just perform horribly when his team needs him most (see tours blt semis 2022 and teamballo 2023), imma go ahead and bold aa.
SM: QWILY vs Zap - qwily has been doing well all tour, haven't watched the games but i know he's solid. i have hardly watched zap games as well and he's only played 4 games but that's nothing new. there's not much me to go off of here + im lazy, so i kinda just trust qwily to win a bit more here
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash - i can't believe im doing this LOL... but the time has come! the wakes oras prep has been on point to say the least. this is their most reliable slot by far, it is 7-0 and spitfire is playing fine as well. splash rewarded himself with the opportunity to play oras after winning in a whole different gen last week so... there's that. i don't quite know what im supposed to say here ngl. for some reason i just think splash will outprep. only time will tell
BW: Booty vs Gondra - booty got away with 3x electric, will the 4x come remains to be seen. whoever is doing bw prep for thunders is honestly popping the fuck off, that + his good playing abilities results in a good record. don't have much to say here either, i just think gondra is more likely to win in the builder one way or another

i cba going through tiebreak scenarios but i think thunders would be favored there. very close though

lastly, i would like to expel all rumors that Jojo8868 has thumbs, when in reality i would even be surprised if he plays with his toes at this point. he plays brawl stars with his elbows for sure.
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[15:13:39] %Cell: I had to mute like 2 channels because I'd wake up to 300 brawl stars messages in ours
go krows!
 

sapphiree

formerly silver grace
i'm bored and predicts looked easy so i figured might as well try my hand at them, no tiebreaks sucks but what can one do
these are my first time doing predicts i hope i don't offend anyone, all of the players on here are incredibly good in their own respect and this is purely calculated based on records (ok maybe a little personal opinion too!)

Wayward Wakes (5) vs (3) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi - twk is 3-4 and tmoi is 4-3 so if twk wins they both become 4-4 and i'd like to see that. but tbh i dont think there's any chance twk wants a negative record so chances are he puts enough effort to win this week. he's got managers that resonate well with him so it's definitely a possibility. 55/45
SV: Leafium Z vs rs - while rs is what we call an "undisputed goat" around these parts, i'm a big leafium z fan. this guy is consistent and has been so since the time i started playing. he's also 5-1 while rs is 4-3 which speaks volumes to his capability as a player so i'm definitely bolding him. 60/40
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken - kraken is a great player no doubt, he is regularly laddering and can be considered consistent. however shiraiki's comeback has been phenomenal and he generally defers from silly misplays during games so i think shiraiki takes this one. 60/40
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk - this was a bit difficult but i feel like mihowk is more experienced in monotype?? i mean he's definitely played more weeks so more opportunities to explore the format but this is close. 45/55
SS: maki vs AA - attribute knows maki and he says maki will mess up and i'll believe him lol but honestly a 6-0 record is quite a statement so it def won't be easy for AA. i know that AA is invested in the format and makes good plays so this might help push himself towards a positive record. very 50/50 but i'm rooting for AA.
SM: QWILY vs Zap - qwily has 5 wins while zap has 2 and yea yea they both have 2 losses but i think qwily is more solid. 60/40
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash - spitfire arcanine is my goat and boasts a phenomenal record. also i dont think splash likes oras lol 70/30
BW: Booty vs Gondra - what are the odds sabella runs into a bad mu again. i say its 40/60.

Melemele Meloettas (4) vs (4) Hearthome Honchkrows
SV: Baloor vs Vodoom - will vodoom take 2 losses back to back, my gut says no. 45/55 (yeah i'm getting lazy)
SV: kythr vs Scarfire - kythr is extremely good at monotype i remember reading that somewhere and he's been super consistent ever since he started. scarfire has been somewhat consistent but kythr's performance is undisputed. 60/40
SV: Masskeau vs Cell - cell bolded me last week so i want them to win. i also want them to break the streak they've been having recently. from another perspective i'd say cell has a more consistent record although both have had bad weeks consecutively. so it's hard to say. 45/55
SV: Toadow vs Trichotomy - trich lost one game in sm and went back to sv which was probably the best decision honchkrows made with regards to their lu cuz he's been on a winstreak since then. toadow is on a winstreak too but i'm picking the longer streak. 45/55
SS: mushamu vs Jojo8868 - mushamu is back in ss and has been killiing it like he did in sv. bro is the most consistent player in melos rn so i think he's the solid choice here. 70/30
SM: Mateeus vs Leo - going purely based on records here, also mateeus 6-0ed in one of the weeks which is a power statement. 60/40
ORAS: Trouser Snakes vs fade - coo has been off the bench since the past 2 weeks and he's been on a roll albeit a small one. same cannot be said about his opponent but that was mostly ss. he did win his oras game last week so chances are he wins another one but i'd like to bold the underdog(?) here. don't wanna hand out tags but i lowkey like the analogy. 55/45
BW: Gelbel3c vs Attribute - i like attribute he's usually an extremely cool-headed and consistent player. he's been having a bad streak so surely he might try and turn the tables this week? i mean i hope so. gelbel3c after his first win against attri has had a rollercoaster record himself and they're both on the same record rn so i'm gonna bold based on experience. 45/55

after doing these predicts i've realized it wasn't exactly easy, clearly all the players here are good. melos are good at drawing their weeks so lol here i am predicting another draw (or tie whatever floats your boat). if u read this far then i hope u liked it pls subscribe and share and don't forget to like
 

WhiteQueen

the queen bee
is a Tiering Contributorwon the 11th Official Smogon Tournamentis a Past SPL Champion
Wayward Wakes (0) vs (0) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi
SV: Leafium Z vs rs
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk
SS: maki vs AA
SM: QWILY vs Zap
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash
BW: Booty vs Gondra

Melemele Meloettas (0) vs (0) Hearthome Honchkrows
SV: Baloor vs Vodoom
SV: kythr vs Scarfire
SV: Masskeau vs Cell
SV: Toadow vs Trichotomy
SS: mushamu vs Jojo8868
SM: Mateeus vs Leo
ORAS: Trouser Snakes vs fade
BW: Gelbel3c vs Attribute
 
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi - Not sure I have agreed with a path Wyvern has taken in any SV game of his so far except that poison mirror he played in week 2 where his opponent didn't try from turn 0. Tmoi has played with a lot more clarity after a little bit of a learning period early on in the tour. Have generally viewed Tmoi as a better player and he's put in 4 solid performances in a row. Wyvern does have a pretty rare work ethic so that does count for quite a bit. 37/63
SV: Leafium Z vs rs - Think Shiba has slipped just a bit from his first few weeks where he played pretty excellently. Overall haven't seen too much wrong from him though, feel like its the best he's played in any mono tour ever so kudos. Idk how I feel about leafium, every game of his has been marred by some nonsense or the other. He played very nicely his first game, azick helped move one along with contrary cm, dont know exact sets but not sure why he switched out the +2 tusk on zama but got bailed there and his endgame vs xiri was very questionable I thought. There have been flashes of very good and bits where I dont really know whats going on. Gotta bold the consistent vet. 43/57
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken - I like both of these guys, I've liked Shiraiki for a lot longer and their play has been a lot more consistent. CPT's good is very solid, but from the little I've seen when one thing goes wrong it kinda falls apart. Shikraiki prob should lose if yedla clicks a button but also probably wins if focus blast hits t1 vs scarlet. Hasn't had the toughest draw by any means but think he's been plenty good outside of week 1. favored here. 59/41
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk - Sorry for attacking your tier Shane consider this an apology lmao I think this is the most even game this week in terms of skill level. Both players seem quite similar. No undue risks, maybe both not aggressive enough when need be. Like attribute mentioned shane looks better every game. Both have been mostly solid altho Mihowk got kinda wrecked last week and forfeited too early in a previous game (always bad sign) 51/49
SS: maki vs AA - Think Maki has played pretty well for the most part, and have always thought he was mostly competent. AA has been ok in his few games but really didn't like what he did t1 last week with body press ferro sitting behind. Less experience and probably a little behind skill wise but likely more willing to branch out and really target the rly safe stuff maki has brought so far makes this pretty close imo 55/45
SM: QWILY vs Zap - Zap looked pretty excellent his first 3 and then kinda lost it vs leo. I dont get that fire punch on empo at all. I think Qwilys mainly won in the builder, his teams have been pretty excellent, but I don't think he's played particularly well outside his first two. Risked some really unnecessary stuff vs dahli, gave up exca health for no real eason vs electric with a set that should have broken through that elec with a lot less luck than he ended up getting, probably had a better path vs lax etc etc. Did do pretty well to win vs poison although idk how piper brought psychic celebi on psychic and still ended up losing jesus christ lmao. Zap will probably load 1 of 5 teams (3 types) so that kinda brings this a lot closer imo but yh dont think qwily has been nearly as good as his record would indicate, 46/54
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash - Splash gonna come crying in my dms after this fs but I think he has played pretty dogshit. He's also brought some big nonsense man sub fog zapdos electric, starmie on psychic, dark yada yada. Did his best to throw vs star and was later successful vs feli. Fucked around a bit vs coo too yh idk man. Maybe lack of confidence maybe trying to innovate in this horrid tier but its been p rough. On the other side spitfire has brought good teams for the most part. A little cheesy here and there but more or less okay and has played pretty solidly along w small stuff going his way. Splash has been significantly worse since his ban expired i think and DJ has been cooking lately in other tiers too. Honestly expecting both to bring some nonsense, hard not to bold dj objectively 58/42
BW: Booty vs Gondra - Good to see my boy winning again after a pretty brutal first few games. elec 3 times in the whole tour forget 3 in a row was not in my bingo card lol but it worked out. (s/o north he played fire and got unlucky) Gondra has been wholly excellent other than the toxicroak less fighting which i will assume was not his fault. Gondra been better this tour and in general is slightly better. At this stage of the tournament shouldn't have any meta knowledge related concerns either. Excited to see what sab cooks up slight lean to better player atm tho 48/52


SV: Baloor vs Vodoom - I'm not really sure why Baloor was moved out of a tier he looked very solid in, and idk how much sv mono he has paid attention to this feels really awkward man I don't understand it at all when mushamu was doing rly well in sv but ok. He's a decent enough player Vodooms got the best mu ive ever seen last week and has looked pretty comfortable. prolly on a similar skill level so Mono main gets the bold vs someone who hasnt played a game yet. 40/60
SV: kythr vs Cell - Not sure I liked cells team last week but he got a bit unlucky as well. I've generally been lower on cell than average but he's looked decent enough and kinda got screwed vs floss t1 with a p brutal para which didnt rly let him play. Not a whole lot to judge off of in this tour. Kythrs been good and is the better player in general. Brings solid teams prolly has solid meta knowledge. 60/40
SV: Masskeau vs Scarfire - Masskeau has played a lot better than 1-3 and has been p unlucky. Idk anything about them other than these 4 games but they've looked mostly solid and I assume he's pretty active and was drafted by friends which is always a positive. Scarfire (bad name change) I thought u were someone new and had only played 1 game lmao, anyway ive been quite impressed other than the name change and defogging vs the contrary pokemon. Very good showing so far and from the little i know seems quite invested in the meta Nice to see some newer faces with solid potential altho ik scarfire isnt really 'new' Exciting game. 44/56.
SV: Toadow vs Trichotomy - I was begging for a trich decem matchup sigh... Can't think of bolding against trich vs anyone else on this team tho. He's been very good as usual altho he should probably have a couple more losses than usual in all honesty. Yedla had multiple concussions midgame, crashy decided the calculator was below him and apparently tack saw trich bring ground on ladder and decided to load up a truly awful ice team? hahahahaha idk man trich is obv one of the goats tho. Toadow has looked more comfortable in his 2 sv games than he has in a while. This however is saying nothing because he froze a slowking early and his opponent decided not to try anymore and then brought scarf zapdos vs flying. Toadow capable of being very very good and capable of this upset but hasn't really been at his best often in recent memory. 25/75
SS: mushamu vs Jojo8868 - Pretty similar to above honestly. Not sure I've seen a bigger carryjob than mushamus put on this tour lmao 7-0 with the team tying 5 times is quite insane. Been excellent in this tour and has been for a long time now. record is probably slightlyyy inflated but another monster tour and a huge favorite here regardless. Constantly building new stuff and not afraid to go with something mildly insane while keeping his teams solid makes him v difficult to prep for as well. Jojo in a tier below in terms of skill and in a rather dead generation it'll be interesting to see what the krows bring here. Jojo has trolled p often in this tour and seems to overthink some stuff, he'll have to either get an incredible matchup or play out of his mind here. 80/20
SM: Mateeus vs Leo - Mateeus has given us p much what you expect at this point. Middling record with a couple of very nice games mixed in with some stuff he'll be regretting. Has improved in recent memory imo making less and less egregious mistakes generally but the long term planning still doesnt seem to be there. Leo is a tier above as a player and even if the meta knowledge is likely not ideal he's looked a lot more comfy in sm than SV and prob has a small advantage here. 45/55
ORAS: Trouser Snakes vs fade - Jon didn't look as good as he had in previous tours in ss and slapped around harpp who is obviously not at his best but he (or his team) seemed to have built a new team which looked p good to me so that was cool. Self proclaimed oras goat with a lot on the line here but in all seriousness he is a tier above coo as a player and should be more comfortable in his home tier. Coo has looked p good in his couple of games, sae kinda made it easier for him nuking both tinis when he had slowbro and coo didnt but Coos few games a tour have steadily improved over the last couple years. He generally seems very motivated. Big upset potential i think... but 37/63
BW: Gelbel3c vs Attribute - Gelbel looked quite excellent in their week 1 game and hasn't looked the same since unfortunately. Not that he's been bad, just hasn't been great and has goofed around a good position or two. Attribute's tendencies to stick to the best few types is nearly unmatched and something I have great respect for altho he did use fire once but the week was lost so doesnt count. It maybe is a little exploitable, especially in this gen and was probably why he ran into hp grass starmie, but it prolly isn't a big deal. Other than his psy team vs monai he's brought p good teams i think. Have liked gelbels stuff too, and has kept it more varied than attribute. Interested to see what both bring here. Attributes been much better outside of the game they played each other. 35/65
 

mushamu

God jihyo
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Kinda lazy dicts (I'm short on time) also burned half my brain cells last night sleeping at 5 am so yeah

Wayward Wakes (5) vs (3) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi - Tmoi is the better player and has a better mental. TheWyvernKing is good if he doesn't let his mental get in the way of his prep and play which makes him a bit inconsistent. Some of his games have looked weird, not to mention being a bit shaky under pressure.
SV: Leafium Z vs rs - This is going to be an interesting match. rs is more consistent but Leafium Z has a higher ceiling I feel where he tends to make weird plays to get ahead.
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken - ikiarihS (I hate you) is more consistent and turned their record around to be positive I believe (?) which is pretty impressive after starting out like 0-3 negative. I haven't been watching cpt.kraken's games but from what I've heard they did some weird stuff in some of them; he's good though.
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk - Shaneghoul is himothy and a really good player. His ceiling is better than Mihowk's and has better support.
SS: maki vs AA - Can't really bold against 7-0
SM: QWILY vs Zap - If Zap uses more stuff then I'd bold him more but I think QWILY is probably gonna try better here + he's generally a really consistent pilot.
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash - Better player but also ORAS Monotype sucks so this could go either way.
BW: Booty vs Gondra - Booty has looked a bit off this tournament and Gondra has been farming. I assume Gondra has learned the pacings of BW Monotype too so I think he's got this. Highlight match for sure.

Have fun everyone!
 
Kinda lazy dicts (I'm short on time) also burned half my brain cells last night sleeping at 5 am so yeah

Wayward Wakes (5) vs (3) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi - Tmoi is the better player and has a better mental. TheWyvernKing is good if he doesn't let his mental get in the way of his prep and play which makes him a bit inconsistent. Some of his games have looked weird, not to mention being a bit shaky under pressure.
SV: Leafium Z vs rs - This is going to be an interesting match. rs is more consistent but Leafium Z has a higher ceiling I feel where he tends to make weird plays to get ahead.
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken - ikiarihS (I hate you) is more consistent and turned their record around to be positive I believe (?) which is pretty impressive after starting out like 0-3 negative. I haven't been watching cpt.kraken's games but from what I've heard they did some weird stuff in some of them; he's good though.
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk - Shaneghoul is himothy and a really good player. His ceiling is better than Mihowk's and has better support.
SS: maki vs AA - Can't really bold against 7-0
SM: QWILY vs Zap - If Zap uses more stuff then I'd bold him more but I think QWILY is probably gonna try better here + he's generally a really consistent pilot.
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash - Better player but also ORAS Monotype sucks so this could go either way.
BW: Booty vs Gondra - Booty has looked a bit off this tournament and Gondra has been farming. I assume Gondra has learned the pacings of BW Monotype too so I think he's got this. Highlight match for sure.

Have fun everyone!
Just editing Mush's Post cause he was wrong on a few of them.

Wayward Wakes (0) vs (0) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi
SV: Leafium Z vs rs
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk
SS: maki vs AA
SM: QWILY vs Zap
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash
BW: Booty vs Gondra
 

Scarfire

is a Smogon Discord Contributor Alumnus
MPL Champion
Just editing Mush's Post cause he was wrong on a few of them.

Wayward Wakes (0) vs (0) Tohjo Falls Thunders
SV: TheWyvernKing vs tMoi
SV: Leafium Z vs rs
SV: ikiarihS vs cpt.kraken
SV: Shaneghoul vs Mihowk
SS: maki vs AA
SM: QWILY vs Zap
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs Splash
BW: Booty vs Gondra
If you lose after posting this you are legally obligated to delete your account, just thought I'd inform you
 
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