I've been trying to stay less attached to politics, but I do have some thoughts that have been building up for a while from the presidential debate and now the VP debate.
If you know me you'll know that I lean conservative but try to listen to what the other side of the isle is saying. I was looking forward to the first debate, because I was interested in seeing both Trump having to defend is own poor choices and Biden having to go an hour and a half with no media protection.
As far as the first debate goes, Trump was "winning" on the issues until the end of the debate. He dealt with Biden's attacks about the pandemic and the economy, and won on the supreme court. But he shot himself in the foot in two ways and did in fact lose the debate. Firstly, the debate very quickly became a mess. It didn't feel like anyone got to make any progress because of the disorder, but we all knew that Trump's behavior was the root of the problem. Trump may have been on the right side of many issues, but he tried too hard to control the speaking time; any victory he had was undermined by him not wanting to give his opponent a fair shake. Secondly, Trump botched basically everything at the end of the debate. I've given Trump the benefit of the doubt, but I was utterly unpersuaded by his reaction to the 'racism and condemnation' questioning segment. Then he made a dangerous stink about election legitimacy, another absolute nono. Trump has done the republican party such disservice compared to what basically any other republican nominee had to offer. I don't see Trump making a comeback unless Biden falls over on stage or something dramatic.
Leading up the the VP debate, my expectations were that it wouldn't matter in the discussion but that Pence would win big on policy. Harris definitely didn't start strong, though she warmed up pretty early on. From the beginning I was watching eagerly to see if the debate would devolve into looking like the presidential one, so I was paying attention and looking out for any interruptions. Harris actually interjected first, with some minor and forgivable verbal reactions during Pence's time early on. Not too long afterwards Pence had a similar moment, and Harris jumped on him with her "I'm speaking" line that she used a couple of times. Obviously part of prepping for the debate involved being prepared for this sort of thing. Most of the debate had a similar dynamic; Harris would shoot for the President, Pence would deflect and shoot back at Biden. Neither candidate was really interested in answering the questions as asked - for example, when the moderator asked, 'have you talked with your running mate about the possibility of having to transition into becoming President', neither side would want to answer affirmatively to give legitimacy to the possibility that their running mate's life could be at risk, but neither side would want to sound unprepared by saying that there had been no such talk. A similar dynamic could be applied to most questions throughout the night. Harris got the last speaking segment most of the time (which is an advantage, as any debater would know), but Pence knew well enough to use his time to address previous segments that he wasn't given an opportunity for. Pence did push his time a bit too much a couple of times and got into one notable scrape where the moderator and Harris were both jumping in - the moderator made an interesting comment that Pence had had 'most of the speaking time' at that points. Some people have said that Harris got three whole minutes extra, but CNN is saying that they went almost even with slightly more time for Pence. I'm keeping this on my radar, but it isn't the biggest deal to me. Harris had a good optics moment when she did the whole 'Honest Abe said it wasn't right', and Pence landed a similar hit with his questioning about court packing, especially when he invoked Harris' own standard and said 'the people should know if you are going to pack the court before they vote', to which Harris floundered. Harris' Honest Abe line also doesn't stand up very well to a quick google search, and so I think it's pretty clear that Pence landed the singularly biggest hit of the night. I thought Pence edged out Harris for most of the rest of the night as well, but it wasn't to an extent that the Dems felt it, so this debate can't be said to have been a clear Pence win the way the 2016 VP debate was.
Taking to twitter to hear what people thought immediately during and afterwards, the Reps were saying that 'Pence won on the issues' and 'ew Hillary Clinton 2', while the Dems were saying 'Pence didn't answer questions' and 'look at this white man not backing down' and doing the 'PREACH QUEEN' routine every time she said 'I'm speaking' or did a condescending glance or something. Obviously I agree that Pence won on the issues, but that isn't the opinion that I think would be productive to talk about. A lot of Reps feel really disgusted with some of Harris' behavior; I still remember Harris coming off like a venomous snake while being brutally dishonest about evidence that she never showed during the Kavanaugh hearings. I don't think Harris came off that way in this debate, though. There isn't anything wrong with her voice, she didn't seem desperate or angry and can't really be compared to Clinton. There will always be people saying that politicians are coming off as unpalatable, but Harris didn't. I saw a lot of tweets during the debate about Pence not answering questions. Pence definitely didn't answer as many directly as Harris, but there wasn't a huge difference and this talking point seemed to die after Harris got cooked for not answering about court packing. It seems that the Dems didn't really have a narrative about the debate until past midnight. When I woke up the twitter left was talking about how #HarrisWonTheDebate for no reason other than a black woman and a white man had a debate and the man had a moment of being told by the moderator to stop talking. I'm definitely not buying it - interruptions were a mutual part of the debate, and you can't really read sexism into a politician wanting to refute another politician.
So that's my overall impressions. I kind of just want to see some discussion now to balance out my perspective.
Thanks for the long and honest analysis.
Like most here, I am left and will be supporting Biden. What is frustrating is the same two common refrains from conservatives:
1) Trump / Pence “win” on policy
Which policy specifically?
-COVID-19 has killed 210,000 Americans. The USA has 4% of the global population and 20% of the deaths.
-The economy had unprecedented 2.5 years of consecutive job growth going into the inauguration 2017, now its in shambles
-Tax cuts went almost exclusively to the 1% and large multinational corporations.
-The West and Gulf states have been battered due to extreme natural disasters, yet we’re still gutting environmental regulations.
-Months of protests in the streets due to systemic racism and violence against Americans of color yet this administration won’t
admit it is a problem, let alone do anything about it.
Fuck Abortion. Which policies are conservatives “winning” on?
2) Trump is a bad guy but... (I’m going to vote for him anyway)
-Allegedly has raped over two dozen women, and has admitted to sexual assault (“Grab em by the pussy”)
-Won’t denounce White Supremacists
-Doesn’t respect the outcome of election unless he wins (wanna be dictator)
-Cheats on his taxes, and will likely go to prison for tax fraud
-Doesn’t attend church (but somehow wins the religious vote)
-Cheated on his wife with a porn star
-Is flat broke to the tune of owing $421 million
-Is a serial draft dodger (calls the military suckers and losers)
There’s many more that I didn’t even touch on.
How can you overlook all these major character faults for “policy?”
Everyone knows you wouldn’t accept if Obama, Biden, Hillary, AOC, or anything Democrat had even
one of these flaws. Republicans impeached Bill Clinton over a consensual blowjob.
Conservatives can you see why we don’t think you have any intellectual credibility?