[TMS] Nails vs Frania [SHO] -- I'm interested to see how motivated Frania comes out after being drafted with no support (again), ranked last in Power Rankings, and having to face Nails Week 1. However, this might be the best time to play Nails, as he is for sure still getting caught up with the metagame, while Frania has been involved in the tier for the past calendar year. Still, I find it very hard to pick against the man who's 12-7 playing Doubles in OTTs (compared to Frania's 4-6) and has the best support in umbry. If Frania comes out ready to play and can hopefully find some other Doubles players to prep with, I think this match can be a lot closer than most think -- Frania is a former Circuit, Seasonal, and Ladder Tour champion after all and took home SM Cup this year.
[TER] Actuarily vs Spurrific [BRE] -- I would normally favor Spurrific in this matchup but I want to be cool and trendy and side with Actuarily in the upset. I think Spurrific is extremely good at Pokemon, but I'm going to ride the hot hand (or avoid the cold hand, really) and side with the player who's 5th in Circuit (including a DLT win where he went through SMB, emforbes, and JRL) rather than the one who's uncharacteristically ranked 53rd. Furthermore, Spurrific uses a lot of safe, standard, balance builds which he finds lots of success with when prepping for the field where he has a big skill advantage, but I think Actuarily and zeefable will be able to expose his tendencies Week 1, especially since the latter as worked close with him before. Another thing to note is this is Actuarily's first big team tour while Spurrific when 5-4 in SSD III and has played on the biggest VGC stages, but I think the former can ignore any first time nerves and pull out the upset win.
[FOX] Memoric vs Mishimono [ISL] -- Besides the Platoon game, this is my highlight match. Mishimono has been the hottest player recently, 2nd in Spring Seasonals, 2nd in OSDT, and finally gets his chance to start on the big stage after supporting last year and going 2-0 when given the chance. All the cards point to him continuing his dominant run, but he'll have to go through Memoric, who is probably the player with the most to prove. Although he's done very well this year, OSDT Top 16, Classic Top 8, he has unfortunately struggled on the big stage, with a total 14-20 record in OTTs. OTTs seem to be the only format where the former Seasonal and Classic winner struggles, and even in Doubles Forum Team Tours he has a nice 21-18 record. Despite momentum easily pointing towards Mishimono, I'm am going to bold Memoric in an extremely tight one. I favor Mishimono as a player, but I think Memoric's (and YoBuddy's) teambuilding efforts will give the Foxes the edge in Week 1. In a brand new metagame where stealing teams isn't possible yet, I'm going to put my faith in Team APAC 2.0 to bring a better team this week and give themselves the edge.
[GIB] Paraplegic vs
stax [SPA] -- I'm pretty high on stax, and despite only playing team tours in the past few years (where he's accumulated a very impressive 4-2 in DPL VII, 8-2 in SPL XI, and 3-2 in DPL VI for 15-6 overall), I'm going to comfortably bold him. Similar to how I see Nails, stax shows up to tournaments and just wins games. The one thing that worries me is both stax and Lunar's unfamiliarly with SS Doubles OU without Dynamax. And while MajorBowman hasn't played seriously in quite a bit and Paraplegic's lack of normal success, the latter has been very involved in the tier and I would easily see the two of them coming up with something quite solid while the Spartans load up something not so great. Despite the warning signs, I'm still going to build stax, since I believe as long as he bring something not absolutely terrible, one of the best Doubles players of all time should be able to handle Paraplegic from a playing standpoint.
[PLA] Z Strats vs Qwello Lee [DYN] --
