NYANPASU AND WELCOME BACK TO THE UNBIASED PREDICTIONS
Lessons learned in Week 6:
1. The Tigers are officially (well...99.9%) out. wrap it up.
2. The Wolfpack aren't out of it yet. One of the pre-season darlings faced basically a must-win situation last week against the Scooters. With series against the Cryonicles and Tyrants left on the schedule, the team absolutely needed to pull through last week. Despite the GOAT losing for the first time all tour, the squad managed to pull through. This week and the following one will be very hard for them, but things are still do-able.
3. DON'T COUNT OUT THE HOMETOWN RAIDERS LOL The Raiders miraculously sit at 7 points, despite having to start one of Earthworm or Posho every week, both of whom look absolutely WASHED A big reason for that is their surprising OU core, featuring a conglomeration of RANDOM users. Simia, vulpix03, and vai lusa have miraculously combined for a 9-3 record with a combined price tag of only 10.5k. Combined with the rejuvenation of GODSKO and the reliable talents of dice, as well as some major luck in the variance tiers, the team is primed to make the playoffs, especially with a date with the already-eliminated Tigers coming up in Week 8. I would be very surprised if regression didn't hit them soon, but with 3 weeks left in the regular season, anything's possible. CONGRATULATIONS TO LYCANS ON FINALLY BEING ON A WINNING TEAM. You deserve it. The funniest part of this is that he's been absolutely terrible and is currently benched LOOL jesus. That's how team tours go sometimes, bros.
4. The BIGs and Scooters are basically out. Both teams sit at 4 points. The BIGs have a hard schedule, with the Ruiners, Classiest, and Wolfpack all left on the docket. The Scooters still have to play the Tyrants and Cryonicles, and face the Ruiners in Week 9. I should just write eulogies already, honestly LOOOL this shit's a fucking wrap.
5. The BIGs avoided going 0-9 in LC, but they're still on track to go 0-9 in GSC. With a complete random in Haru currently being slotted into the tier, shit seems pretty grim. The Sharks' Doubles core is also 0-6, and they're 2-13 over the past 2 seasons. yikes....not much hope for that one either.
Indie Scooters (4) vs (6) Cryonicles
SS OU: Leo vs Eo Ut Mortus | there's absolutely 0 reason to believe that Leo is viable so. and eo's obviously fire
SS OU: Jayde vs Sacri' | this one's pretty close, but I think Sacri's a bit better at SS
SS OU: ZoroDark vs soulgazer | this one's close too. ZoroClick is a bit more proven outside of lower tiers, and SG is basically 1-1 this tour lol...miniscule edge
SS DOU: Memoric vs Tman
SS LC: tazz vs ggggd | pablo just keeps rolling. 9-0 seems a bit ridiculous, but I guess it's possible
SM OU: Lopunny Kicks vs Updated Kanto | Lop Kicks has been a shell of his normal sheet warrior self this tour. I've been on the Kanto bandwagon for a while, and I think he definitely has a shot to finish the regular season 6-3. decent edge
ORAS OU: Adri vs Garay oak | no idea, really. neither player inspires much confidence in oras ou. I have no idea who Adri even is, and Garay's struggled a fair amount.
BW OU: zf vs Finchinator | Finch is way more proven and is on a nice run this tour. I never drank the zf koolaid so.
DPP OU: Kevin Garrett vs shawyu 1313 | LOOOOOOOL dude KG ROLLED UP WITH A JOLTEON LAST WEEK when the fuck was the last time someone used that in dpp. There's no reason to believe he isn't washed right now. shawyu + Osgoode has been a fearsome duo so far, and I expect that to continue. decent edge in the variance madhouse
ADV OU: CyberOdin vs z0mOG | both these players are rather miraculously 5-1. I think z0m's been slightly luckier; Odin has had some good fortunate as well, though. Odin's way more experienced in this tier, and I've liked his plays a tad more. small edge
GSC OU: Fear vs Mr.E | Fear continues lucking people every week, and then soaking in the praise from his loyal band of followers who chant "FOAT FOAT FOAT" at every possible opportunity. I for one, will continue to point out this ridiculous behavior and am just patiently waiting for the day this guy finally gets lucked to shit by a real opponent. That being said, Fear's obviously better than MrE; I don't really think anyone is arguing that. This matchup is far closer than the masses think, but after factoring in each player's luck, it seems inconceivable that MrE is taking this one home.
RBY OU: Bedschibaer vs HML am | beds is more proven and has had a nice tour. minimal edge.
Team Raiders (5) vs (6) Stark Sharks
SS OU: Lusa vs teal6 | lusa's been better than expected this tour, but teal's had a pretty nice run too. I think he's definitely a better player
SS OU: Vulpix03 vs xray | speaking of surprises, this random ass vulpix guy is a big reason the raiders are tied fro 3rd right now. he has nothced back to back wins over Eo and Joey in must-win situations. He's clearly not to be slept on. All that being said, I just can't bold him against xray. xray's 5-1 record is definitely inflated by luck, but he's still been relatively solid and he's way more experienced. decent edge
SS OU: Simia vs bro fist | simia's another player who's been way better than anticipated; the fact that this dumbass Raiders OU core is working is crazy LOL That being said, I'm sure as hell not bolding him over john.
SS DOU: kaori vs Kiichikos
SS LC: LilyAC vs EviGaro | lily just lost to HODOR, so that really can't be a good sign LOOL EviGaro has crash landed back to earth after a rocket start. I thought Lily was better heading into the tour, as did pretty much everyone, and EviGaro's performance last week inspired pretty little confidence in her. I'll just take who I would have before the season. Small edge.
SM OU: Trosko vs frisoeva | GODSKO is on an unstoppable run now that he's freed from the confines of SS OU. I wholly expect him to go 7-2. Big edge.
ORAS OU: reiku vs Erzengel | reiku's shown some signs of life this tour, but Erzengel has randomly had some nice performances too I suppose. Still not really a believer, but he's done enough to be bolded in this matchup.
BW OU: Posho vs SoulWind | This would have been one of the most hyped matchups of the tour if it happened a few years ago. Alas, we're now in 2020, and Posho cannot seem to buy a win to save his life LOL I still think he can get some wins in BW, but this matchup is certainly not going to be one of those wins. SoulWind's been a monster this tour, and there's no reason to see him slowing down anytime soon. Massive edge
DPP OU: ToF vs DeepBlueC | ToF's 5-1 SOMEHOW LOL He's definitely due for regression, but DBC hasn't exactly been lighting the world on fire. I always thought he was overhyped anyway, and his performance this tour certainly does nothing to change that. Small edge.
ADV OU: pasy_g vs @Blightbringerr | Both these players were crazy levels of overpriced in the draft. I think pasy's been a hair better, but who knows really. Miniscule edge
GSC OU: dice vs Conflict | wow, this has to be the first time in like 32909300 weeks that I've bolded against dice LOOL Well, he's in GSC bros. He's definitely a talented player who could do well here, but I'm still a Conflict fan. He's had a rough tour, but I still believe in his abilities in his home tier. small edge.
RBY OU: MetalGro$$ vs Genesis7 | I guess metal has been slightly better...miniscule edge
Alpha Ruiners (6) vs (4) Ever Grande BIGS
SS OU: mncmt vs Sage | sage has predictably crashed back down to earth after a ridiculous 3-0 start. After her past performances, it's hard for me to have much confidence in her here. That being said, her opponent's also unproven as hell, and there's a reason why he wasn't bought to be a starter. no predict here.
SS OU: FLCL vs aim | this one should be interesting. I've always thought Joey was heat, but FLCL's been a bit better this tour. Miniscule edge
SS OU: Empo vs xtra$hine | ...........I SWEAR EMPO ALWAYS PLAYS CLOWNS AND I HAVE TO BOLD HIM LOL EVERY WEEK THIS HAPPENS WTF There's absolutely 0 reason to think that xtrashine is somehow gonna be a viable player in 2020 LOL He CRASHED HARD last Snake like wow, that was a disaster. Empo's been relatively bad this tour, but still. He's better. Decent edge, I guess.
SS DOU: qsns vs Ezrael | 19-4 past 3 tours. You know the drill.
SS LC: jake vs idiotfrommars | It's gonna take a lot more than 1 win to convince me that 2020 HODOR is suddenly viable in LC of all tiers LOL like...decent edge for zeb.
SM OU: Gondra vs ima | never really bought into the ima hype, and he's been bad this tour. Meanwhile, GOATDRA might be the best player this SPL LOOL Never thought I'd be saying that, jesus. Big edge
ORAS OU: xImRaptor vs Santu | Yeah, I have no idea LOL Both these players were like at similar levels for me going in, and both are currently 5-1 somehow. coinflip
BW OU: Twixtry vs Frania | idk who the hell frania even is. I've at least seen Twixtry play some meaningful games lately. small edge
DPP OU: Emeral vs GaryTheGengar | still don't really know who emeral is. Gary's a bit more proven I suppose. small edge in the variance madhouse
ADV OU: Alexander. vs Fakes | DAMN, now THIS is a close game LOL I like both these guys as players. Prinz has had a better tour, but he's only gone 2-1 in ADV against a pretty lackluster lineup of dekzeh / pasy_g / Teclis. Fakes, meanwhile, had to be subbed out the one week he was slated to play ADV. I've been on the Fakes bandwagon for a long time, and while I think Prinz is a pretty solid player himself, I think Fakes is slightly more skilled.
GSC OU: FriendOfMrGolem120 vs Haru | the BIGs juggling continues. Various sources on the BIGs have informed me that Haru did well in LC Ekans and managed to take down Fear in World Cup...so, I guess there's that LOL I still really have no reason to believe this filler character is gonna succeed here against a respectable opponent. big edge for fomg
RBY OU: Caetano93 vs Nails | both players have had a nice tour, but nails is more experienced with rby on the big stage and has had a solid tour. miniscule edge
Circus Maximus Tigers (2) vs (8) Congregation of the Classiest
SS OU: Rexus vs Insult | insult's fallen off hard since week 3, but I sure as hell am not bolding a random PU main against him.
SS OU: Tace vs suapah
SS OU: robjr vs blarghlfarghl | never really understood the rob hype outside of lower tiers; his showings in OU tiers have been pretty lackluster, and I've never really been impressed with him. He was definitely an overpay, as I said in my Tigers eulogy. blargh's had a solid enough tour, I suppose, and he's definitely way more accomplished in OU tiers. Decent edge.
SS DOU: MajorBowman vs stax
SS LC: Osh vs Serene Grace | Serene's been decent, but Osh is way more proven and has had a nice tour himself. Solid edge
SM OU: Kebab mlml vs Relous | relous has had an absolutely AWFUL tour LOOL jesus. That being said, I have no reason to think this random kebab dude is viable. like who even is this bro.
ORAS OU: Luigi vs Persephone | persephone hasn't inspired much confidence lately, and Luigi's put together a nice campaign.
BW OU: Steve Angello vs Raiza | raiza's definitely been better than his record, and I think he's displayed a decent amount of skill in this tournament. steve's been pretty bad, so.
DPP OU: Raichy vs Excal | excal's somehow 2-0, but it is the variance madhouse, so how much confidence does that really inspire? Both these players are pretty unviable, honestly. coinflip it
ADV OU: Zokuru vs Tamahome | Zokuru went from looking like one of the worst players in the tour in BW to absolutely washing people in GSC LOL Now, he finds himself in ADV. I really don't know if he can succeed here. Either way, he's going up against one of the best ADVers of the modern era so....yeah. wrap
GSC OU: McMeghan vs KratosMana
RBY OU: Kaz vs Amaranth | Tin's been better. small edge.
Wi-fi Wolfpack (3) vs (6) Dragonspiral Tyrants
SS OU: Star vs TDK | yeah, idk this one LOL Star's fire, and TDK's been relatively solid this tour. no real read, honestly.
SS OU: 1 True Lycan vs blunder | the baron's had a pretty nice tour, while blunder has underperformed. that being said, i fully expect blunder to finish the season strong. solid edge
SS OU: The Hallows vs Christo | still don't really think the hallows is viable. Christo's turned things around after a rough start, and we know he can farm in SPL when given the chance.
SS DOU: SMB vs marilli
SS LC: Jytcampbell vs Luthier | jyt started off his lc campaign with a win. that being said, I've still never really been impressed by him as a player. Luthier's way more proven here.
SM OU: Welli0u vs CTC | the well's had a pretty nice tour. The basedlord proved last week that he's not completely washed yet, but I have a hard time bolding him against someone who's been so remarkably consistent in this tier over the past 2 tours. solid edge
ORAS OU: Sjneider vs CrashinBoomBang | cbb has really struggled, and sjneider continues his winning ways. It's hard to go against ABR support in a situation like this, but I'm trusting CBB to end the tour at 4-5 so...
BW OU: Pearl vs John W | both these players have been pretty unimpressive this tour. john w is coming off of 2 straight wins, but considering that they were against jacob and steve angello, I don't really know how much that matters. Pearl's struggled a lot, but he's also way more proven. small edge I suppose
DPP OU: BIHI vs The Grand Babido | Both have had nice-ish runs. Still not really that much of a believer in either player at this stage, but they both have clearly displayed the ability to get wins in this meme tier. heist might be a hair better, but BIHI has BKC support so. coinflip.
ADV OU: BKC vs Gilbert arenas | BKC's looked like one of the best players in the tour. marcop turned things around lately and smashed roro with some innovative Tyranitar set. That being said, BKC's definitely more proven and is a better player when in-form. solid edge
GSC OU: sulcata vs gorgie | sulcata played relatively well last week, especially for the low standards he has set for himself during this tour. Alas, Fear's luck combined with his innovative Starmie set were just a bit too much. That being said, sulcata has still looked like an absolute train wreck in this tour. gorgie's exceeded all expectations, and while I do expect him to regress a fair amount, I think he's definitely favored to get to 5 wins here.
RBY OU: rozes vs Heroic Troller | rozes is clearly competent, but Troller's the best RBYer. rozes edged him out last time in World Cup, so there's that. small edge.
