ok some first analyses and thoughts:
we're in Confusion Delusion, this is the breakdown:
Town Investigative -- Hydro (99%)
Town Protective -- AirC (100%)
Town Support -- des (100%)
Transporter -- ElectricityCat (100%)
Town Investigative -- DBD (99%; was transported with ECat last night who died, verified by transporter and Alice's alleged target)
Town Killing -- Celever / Lechen (~50% but ofc FMPOV it's Celever 100% and I think there's good evidence I'm real which I can go into if desired lol)
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Is that helpful? Sort of. It means we don't have to deal with these smaller pools of claim combos and work out probabilities and stuff. All remaining town are in the 3 Random Town slots. Speaking of.
Random Town -- Evie (99%)
Random Town -- roxie (100%)
So we've got 1 left.
So the remaining players are:
Alice Kazumi (claimed investigator, easy mafia version of this in consigliere)
joey (claimed tracker, easy mafia version of this is recon)
One of these is probably the Mafia Support slot in the Confusion Delusion setup. At the very least, if mafia have been claiming roles across each other to spread more confusion, their results mean that only one of them is scum using the results of the Mafia Support role.
JALMONT (claimed doctor, common mafia fakeclaim)
Miyami (claimed psychic, pretty challenging mafia fakeclaim but possible)
Lechen (claimed archer, totally unproven and pretty easily could have been proven)
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Not to sound complacent or confident but we have an 80% shot of shooting scum, at least FMPOV. If we want to leave Lechen til last and wait for him to shoot someone (which won't happen lol), it's a 75% shot. We do not vote myself or Lechen out because one of us has to be town, that's 50% odds.
The only thing we had to do is not vote out the town between [Lechen], Alice, joey, JALMONT, and Miyami, and we are progressing forward.