+1it certainly looks like a blitz from me (idk what you mean wrt phoopes) but that's largely bc other people aren't talking which they uh, should really do
even if Celever and I are disagreeing on DBD we're at least producing content
+1it certainly looks like a blitz from me (idk what you mean wrt phoopes) but that's largely bc other people aren't talking which they uh, should really do
Bussing des day 1, when there is barely any information, is honestly silly:yeahhh I'm ngl the fact des actually flipped scum increases the chance of her voters being scum exponentially
This argument falls apart when you realize we're talking about des here and not some other player.is DBD the type of person to bus scumbuddy des D1? yes, definitely, and combined with his weak posting it all tracks to me
killing Evie is the counterargument to this because if you're hardbussing why would you start killing the town who hardbussed with you, it'll leave you exposed longterm, but it ultimately comes down to WIFOM
This is also just blatantly false. If you read my actual posting, you'd know that I was scumreading Celever for voting the AFK player (pulsar) rather than the actual people he scumread.The string of posts from DBD here is what's called pre-flipping, where your posts accidentally reveal that you know the alignment of a player or players. DBD's not scumreading me for the content of my posts, he's scumreading me for voting town (pulsar, who I assume is town due to these posts) and not the scum (des). Obviously I didn't know which was which faction, there were like 10 posts yesterday and most slots didn't have anything particularly AI, but DBD seemed to.
while I'm here wtf was this silent vote from genisu all about?##vote: dead by daylight
That's your prerogative. From my POV, I look at the 2 wagons and see that two of my biggest scumreads are voting on one, while there is another viable wagon on des. I also think pulsar has more potential to do better than des, so I place my vote. You are extrapolating this from nothing hereIn particular the "I'm not voting pulsar when the vote is this fishy" the people voting pulsar were Celever and phoopes, the people voting des were Miyami and Evie. Two people per wagon is already basically under the bar where you can reasonably start thinking about the alignment of the people on the wagon as a determinant of where your vote should go -- like, you're looking at 4/12 (not inc yourself) players in the game, AND voting for someone not included in the 4/12
let me get to this post too after debunking the pre-flipping argument. I play NOC assuming everyone knows the mechanics (not the interactions, necessarily, just the setup and rules), especially in a simple game like this. I'm not going to be saying "this vote is to break a tie" because I assume everyone knew that tying = no vote here. Sue me.everything about the tie vote is true but yeah, as no one mentioned it in-thread the likeliest thing is that no one really checked (especially as it seems like no one checked when deadline was either lol) so I don't think it factored into decision making. I'd say different if DBD said "I'm voting des because a tie vote would be a no vote and that's bad" but he didn't, and when the speculation here is that scum DBD wouldn't do it bc he wants to get towncred for not tie voting... well scum DBD would get that towncred by saying it out loud and he didn't do that
des voting for DBD isn't smth I'd noticed and gives me more pause for thought only because idk how easy it would be to get des in on that plan. otoh would des be a busser? lowk I could see it. there's a world for sure where DBD got voted by scumbud des without it being planned and retaliated.
DBD has done big gambits before as scum IIRC. if he hasn't I have a heavy impression that he would so he's said it somewhere. that's why this kind of rationale of "oh it wouldn't be the obvious / optimal gameplay" doesn't really factor for me here bc DBD doesn't play with the most obvious/optimal gameplay
and none of this is a counter-argument to the content of his posts pre-flipping players anyway, which is why I actually scumread him. I don't scumread him because of the gambit, I scumread him because he already knew what would happen after the gambit succeeded and started posting like it had happened already
[/QUOTE]Celever's blitz on the thread specifically feels like a desperately self-aware attempt to try and take a townie down with him.
[/QUOTE]I'm treating phoopes's post spree as NAI, I think it could easily be distancing rather than a T/S fight
[/QUOTE]Bussing des day 1, when there is barely any information, is honestly silly:
a) Des is the slot that, as scum, you would want to get late into the game in order to be able to bus her more effectively
[/QUOTE]b) The vote was tied anyways, so I could have easily gone with you and phoopes onto a pulsar vote and washed my hands of any responsibility later on wrt des
[/QUOTE]This is also just blatantly false. If you read my actual posting, you'd know that I was scumreading Celever for voting the AFK player (pulsar) rather than the actual people he scumread.
if you're town it's not beneficial to create false narratives even if you scumread someone. because then you get called out for creating a false narrative and look scummy.the way Celever’s posting and voting the AFK and not the scumreads makes me think he doesn’t trust himself whatsoever, and I think that’s coming from him being scum and knowing he’s wrong
This is what you need to respond to, I'd recommend doing that instead of pretending I haven't talked about it. While you're at it please also respond to this, which you still haven't despite it happening yesterday and being prodded to multiple times:The main reason why this is pre-flipping is the agenda of the posts, though. The most rationale DBD gave for his entire EoD posting being about me is "he seems unsure, I think it's coming from him being scum and knowing he's wrong". The trouble is that's an insane thing to say D1 lol. A player as experienced as DBD should know that in a pretty dead D1 there's extremely limited readable content to work from, and so people who don't have the answers will be unsure. What about my posting was less sure than others'? What about the people who were here but never voted? We just came out of a game where DBD survived a long time against a scumteam who waited until right before deadline to vote every day, and won in large part because this strategy was a blindspot for DBD and he townread all the scum doing this. You'd think when DBD now looks for people biding their time and being unsure, he'd look at the people using the same scum tactic as what only just beat him, but apparently not.
DBD never responded to this btw, just called my posts "bad"
[/QUOTE]That's your prerogative. From my POV, I look at the 2 wagons and see that two of my biggest scumreads are voting on one, while there is another viable wagon on des. I also think pulsar has more potential to do better than des, so I place my vote. You are extrapolating this from nothing here
[/QUOTE]let me get to this post too after debunking the pre-flipping argument.
[/QUOTE]I play NOC assuming everyone knows the mechanics (not the interactions, necessarily, just the setup and rules), especially in a simple game like this. I'm not going to be saying "this vote is to break a tie" because I assume everyone knew that tying = no vote here. Sue me.
[/QUOTE]Why would I retaliate against des in any world by killing her off D1? Again, this is just grasping at any little straw here.
[/QUOTE]I also take gambits that I think are likely to lead to a better position, not to sabotage a scumteam I'm on.
Sure, develop this theory. Why does it look like a distancing attempt to you? Case me brotherI'd also like to see more content from phoopes, independent of Celever. I do like the setup posting from him, but at this moment I'm leaning more towards this back-and-forth being a distancing attempt rather than an actual push.
what lolContinuing a dbd wagon that des started because "i dont like him" is certainly a choice
if you're gonna quote me do it properly, find the post
Wasn't quoting you but here you goBecause he was scummy to me also I don't like him
YEAH WHAT HE SAID"two of my biggest scumreads"? homie the first time you've said phoopes' name is THIS post. like the one you just made that I'm quoting. you didn't even say phoopes' name yesterday.
if phoopes was/is one of your biggest scumreads you have to say it. Otherwise it just looks like you're pulling out any justifications you can think of after the fact to look less scummy.
also damn I worked really hard on this post and no one really acknowledged it I'm sad :(yeah I'd like to comment on setup and whether jailkeeper/follower should claim.
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Let's start with jailkeeper:
If we're in setup 2, jailkeeper is our only power role left and if they claim, that makes jailkeeper the next night target for sure. Only way we avoid that is if jailkeeper jails the mafia performing the kill if jailing takes priority over the kill (I think it should? but idk where the priority list is if we have one).
If we're in setup 3 there's no jailkeeper. Next.
If we're in setup 4 I still think jailkeeper shouldn't claim, because we have no protection other than jailkeeper jailing the killer which is a shot in the dark essentially. Would be a throwaway I think.
Basically, please do NOT claim if you're jailkeeper. As for follower, if we have one, that means we're in setup 3 or 4.
If you saw "Kill," I would claim. That's an easy redcheck and we vote the person out and are down to only one mafia left so I think that's worth it, even if we don't know if we're in setup 3 or 4. We then have a 1vs8 going into Day 3 which would be the biggest choke job of all time if we lose.
If you saw "Investigate" and you didn't target Evie, I would claim. Since we know Evie was Tracker and was dead, that means we're in setup 4 and whoever you followed was mafia rolecop so that's still a redcheck. Thus we can vote that person out and be down to only one mafia left, giving us another 1vs8 going into Day 3 in this scenario, which would again be the biggest choke job of all time if we lose.
If you saw "Block," I think I would still claim (but am open to hearing other arguments). At this point you could've hit jailkeeper or rolecop, meaning we're in setup 4. Ignoring the defenses from said player, call it a 50/50 whether it's a redcheck or you hit jailkeeper.
If you saw "No Action," that doesn't really give us a ton of info so I would lay low. But anything else? I would claim. Like I said though, open to hearing other arguments for the "Block" scenario.
- If it's a redcheck, awesome, we vote out the mafia and are in GREAT position, with only one mafia left and still having an anonymous jailkeeper. At the very worst we have that 1vs8 going into Day 3.
- If you actually hit jailkeeper and we vote out the jailkeeper, this is obviously sucks, because then we lose jailkeeper and we also (presumably) lose you, the follower, next night. But even then... we're left with a 2vs7 going into day 3. We've lost all power roles, but thanks to the des lynch on day 1, we're still at very good odds to win. We could in theory mislynch on day 3 and 4 and still be in the game with a 2vs3 on day 5.
tl;dr - If we have a jailkeeper, please don't claim! If we have a follower, don't claim if you hit "No Action," claim if you get "Kill," "Investigate," or "Block."
(it's a really useful post I just didn't have anything to say besides like "good post king")also damn I worked really hard on this post and no one really acknowledged it I'm sad :(
Maybe this information was obvious to all of you but I thought it was helpful!

Miyami is a solid mafia player from the NOCs she's played, and I find it hard to believe that any good mafia player is pushing for a policy vote on their scummate D1. Considering the other person who agreed with her was Evie, who is now conftown, I find it hard to believe that she would push so hard on des earlygame and still end up voting her in a D1 bus attempt.also Dead by Daylight please towncase Miyami, based on your posts yesterday you have to townread her so I'm looking forward to learning why
actually genisu where you atanyway not convinced that Celever is scum but I really don't like the tunneling. There are other players that I'd like to hear more from (namely @AirC and @ShyPebble) before I post a full reads list
I'll respond to the rest in a bit but nahMiyami is a solid mafia player from the NOCs she's played, and I find it hard to believe that any good mafia player is pushing for a policy vote on their scummate D1. Considering the other person who agreed with her was Evie, who is now conftown, I find it hard to believe that she would push so hard on des earlygame and still end up voting her in a D1 bus attempt.
I didn't post much day one, but I contributed just fine IMO. I stayed consistent with behavior/thoughts from previous games (advocating for lynch>no vote, advocating against lynching des just because she's des, advocating for getting rid of inactives, advocating against early claiming), and at least tried to bump thread for more activity when we were close to deadline. I guess it was more of the same old me! Other than questioning jalmont for his initial no-vote, but that's because I never played with him before so I didn't know that that was a "thing" or whatever.I'll admit that I probably should have told the thread that I was going to backread yesterday, but after that backread I found myself agreeing with Jalmont more about phoopes's slot in particular, namely how little he actually contributed on D1 and chose the easy lynch on Pulsar
I don't think we mindmelded. Looking at what I mentioned I did and comparing to Celever, a stark difference is that Celever advocated for claiming masons/IC day one where I was against it. Celever also scumread jalmont in a possible OMGUS in post #136 whereas I did not despite jalmont scumreading both of us. In fact, based off Celever's posting it seems his "solve" if you can call it that on day one, was DBD, jalmont, pulsar (DBD and jalmont from earlier posts, pulsar from the actual vote). Whereas I felt I didn't have enough information to make a scumread list so I voted for an inactive, as I am wont to do on day one.Both of you paired on the Pulsar vote, which was one of the biggest opportunities to counterwagon flipped scum, on the same line of reasoning (eliminating AFKs is good for the game). Then, immediately after des flipped scum, you two both entered thread and took opposing viewpoints on my slot in order to try and seem like you weren't mindmelding D1.
The definition of fight I had in my mind was the definition of fight. Y'know, like, two people arguing with intensity with each other.let's thunderdome then, formatting is messed up so i'll just bold your statements
??? why would phoopes even be involved he asked like 2 questions to me. it wasn't even a fight. you and jalmont (my theory scum pair from D1) have both crafted this narrative already so that looks worse for you lol
not sure what definition of "fight" you are using considering you two came up with diametrically opposite explanations of what happened last vote, and phoopes presented his explanation as well so I consider him to be involved, i don't care if you want to pair me with jalmont because of this
Right, and this logic is literally... why it makes more sense to bus des early. des being bussed in the lategame doesn't get anyone any credit, it's des, people will just go "oh she randomly flipped scum this time" and lolshrug under the knowledge that we all would've voted her out in like the cycle before MYLO regardless of her actions this game so it's NAI for all involved. But voting des out D1 is better because it's uncommon, and so the people on the wagon will actually get towncred for it. They did something against what usually happens on Smogon and hit scum. That's towncred.......what's the logic here, how is a late game bus better than an early game bus? des was gonna post content for you to more effectively use to send her over? there's no practical difference besides late game buses being harder to execute because you've already previously read the slot and you have to U-Turn on it if you're trying to carry des to lategame. and it's des so you would have little reason to U-Turn if you were previously townreading her.
Nobody is really going to be able to townread Des with certainty, let's be real here. Late-game buses aren't difficult to execute when the player is des and most people just throw her in null territory, and it's basically agreed that des cannot be in LYLO/MYLO scenarios atp.
sure, but there were like 5 posts yesterday so I didn't have a "biggest scumread". which is why I said "I don't have a big scumread we might as well just vote the afk".This is what you need to respond to, I'd recommend doing that instead of pretending I haven't talked about it. While you're at it please also respond to this, which you still haven't despite it happening yesterday and being prodded to multiple times:
Sure, I'll respond to both. For the first one, I scumread you because a) there was clear support for a vote on me, just look at genisu and des, and b) you decided to push the easiest deflection option in Pulsar. You knew that you could potentially rack up a vote on one of your biggest scumreads, and yet you chose to just...not.
You understand how this is more evidence for the pre-flipping argument right lol. It's bonkers to be this confident that people voting for pulsar, who had posted 0 times, are scummy for voting pulsar. because pulsar had posted 0 times."two of my biggest scumreads"? homie the first time you've said phoopes' name is THIS post. like the one you just made that I'm quoting. you didn't even say phoopes' name yesterday.
if phoopes was/is one of your biggest scumreads you have to say it. Otherwise it just looks like you're pulling out any justifications you can think of after the fact to look less scummy.
"you are extrapolating this from nothing" when you apparently don't post your scumreads in-thread and then say "oh but it's bc I actually hard scumread this guy" that's the only option anyone has
I'll admit that I probably should have told the thread that I was going to backread yesterday, but after that backread I found myself agreeing with Jalmont more about phoopes's slot in particular, namely how little he actually contributed on D1 and chose the easy lynch on Pulsar
ok so this is gonna turn circular because you're not actually rebutting the pre-flipping situation but if the logic wasn't the ties, you were pre-flipping in those posts which means you're scum. the tie stuff is phoopes' AU where you had different logic instead, but yeah you didn't have that logic so it was pre-flipping unless you can explain what logic you had that isn't related to seemingly knowing the alignmentsMaybe you did know the tie mechanics, I'm not questioning that. But to pretend after the fact that the tie mechanics are WHY you acted in the way you did, when nothing you posted at the time even remotely hinted to it playing a role, especially when you provided alternative justifications at the time (which are dodgy and that's why I'm voting you but you still provided them). Yeah this stinks, it's just not what happened.
I never claimed the mechanics were why I acted in the way I did, in fact I said the exact opposite (again, that I saw two of the biggest scumreads I had on one wagon) as my primary justification and then justified why I didn't explicitly say "this vote is to break a tie". Again, you are trying to blow things out of proportion to frame me as illogical, and it's just not going to work, sadly for you
I just want to note that I just went back and deleted all my [ /quote]s which is wild. I'm this far down the post and I didn't learn from my past mistake that's concerning. it just happened! you just need to click enter and do less brother what's going on you good Cel?You don't think it's likely that voting out des D1 would lead to a better position? Why not? I think usually it would.
Again, des is someone who isn't really going to go far in any scenario unless she ups her posting drastically. Even if we bus her D1, the mafia just lynch the wagon and when someone doesn't die on it, they automatically gain a lot of suspicion around them for staying alive. Curious to see why you think losing a prime bussing opportunity would lead to a better position
.................................................................the 2 of us are scum for jumping on one of the biggest opportunities to counterwagon des, when the wagon was 2 people? a bigger opportunity to counterwagon des would have been anyone with 1 or more votes. because like, if we're both scum, then we would at least be voting with 1 or more town. what do you mean mateSure, develop this theory. Why does it look like a distancing attempt to you? Case me brother
Both of you paired on the Pulsar vote, which was one of the biggest opportunities to counterwagon flipped scum, on the same line of reasoning (eliminating AFKs is good for the game). Then, immediately after des flipped scum, you two both entered thread and took opposing viewpoints on my slot in order to try and seem like you weren't mindmelding D1.
