They would know once the respective role dies no?
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NOC Werewolf Mafia - Game Over: Mafia Wins!
- Thread starter Aura Guardian
- Start date
They would know once the respective role dies no?
Sylvest
Why do I think you’re mafia? I don’t deign to think about you myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether you are. I don’t need to think about you, because my algorithm has determined that you’re mafia to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. We’re talking about a mere 13% chance that you’re so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique players as mafia with over 96% accuracy. Your only defense, in other words, is that your so scummy that you are an outlier.
Whether you’re town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics – you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides you’re scum, it’s possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means you’re scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, I’m willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if there’s a small chance you might be town, there’s not even a remote chance that you’re good
You don’t even understand who you’re dealing with. I have advanced degrees in statistics and computer science and I’ve created a simple program with an advanced algorithm that I’ve been working on for years. I have read and tracked over 600 mafia games, recording every scumslip, every tell, every WORD uttered. At this point I can have my bot read the thread chat and play the game for me. I have reduced the cacophonous lies of forum mafia into a pure, beautiful mathematical formula, and it’s led me to literal hundreds of wins.
Why do I think you’re mafia? I don’t deign to think about you myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether you are. I don’t need to think about you, because my algorithm has determined that you’re mafia to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. We’re talking about a mere 13% chance that you’re so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique players as mafia with over 96% accuracy. Your only defense, in other words, is that your so scummy that you are an outlier.
Whether you’re town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics – you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides you’re scum, it’s possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means you’re scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, I’m willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if there’s a small chance you might be town, there’s not even a remote chance that you’re good
I believe they do not flip as backup
My read on this game is it’s incredibly easy or incredibly hard
and if it’s incredibly hard I die before I have to actually care about that world so it’s your guys problem
and if it’s incredibly hard I die before I have to actually care about that world so it’s your guys problem
What's the solve thenMy read on this game is it’s incredibly easy or incredibly hard
and if it’s incredibly hard I die before I have to actually care about that world so it’s your guys problem
I don’t have a solve I just have a lot of town reads
ah yes, but it is technically possible for mafia to fake it if they rolecop the backup then kill them they can steal the role and town wouldnt know so it's not a full clear
What're your town reads then
I mean they would have to get lucky and both rolecop and kill them the same night, i guess it's possible
Any info they glean from rolecop will also be directly gleaned from flip right?
town reading psy, lady, real person that I definitely didn’t forgot the name of (not you the person who starts with an r, Nulx, and SylvesterWhat're your town reads then
Who are your townreads
I’m on my fol meta so if you want my read explanations you have to pry them from my cold dead hands
or ask nicely
or ask nicely
They are sylveste
It's Celery
no they could rolecop at any point in the game then kill
Do you not town read Celester?