yeah okay
Entering Round 3 (top 256), we have seen 4 of my top 8 seeds eliminated, as well as 9 of my top 16 seeds, 15 of my top 32 seeds, 34 of my top 64 seeds, and 68 of my top 128 seeds. Just to give an answer to "how much is this just a bunch of coinflips": since two rounds have passed...