Tournament CAPPL XI - Week 7

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shnowshner

shnowshner

but does he even stand a chance?
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Amazing art by Spammernoob.
Hosted by shnowshner, Anchor9, and Murphy Lawden.

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Rules​
  • Follow all rules listed here.​
  • Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for us to make decisions for activity calls when we can actually see what went down with scheduling.​
  • If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to us or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.​
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  • If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.​
  • Post replays. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later. They're also required.​
:Saharaja:Storming Saharajas (5) vs (0) Breezin' Breezis:Breezi:
SV: Nashrock vs TKC
SV: Brigtel vs Ming549
SV: feen vs Kaif
SS: Ikaishi vs Jojen
SM: Lasen vs Potatochan
ORAS: earthflax vs zioziotrip
BW: Clem vs Chomp29
DPP: Lialiabeast vs Nuxl

:Equilibra:Golden Time Equilibras (3) vs (5) Keep Calm and Chuggalong:Chuggalong:
SV: One Last Kiss vs Kate
SV: dunoks vs Taka
SV: Spammernoob vs LOOR
SS: Leroipolux1 vs dex
SM: LBN vs Dead by Daylight
ORAS: JayHeaven vs avarice
BW: Abele vs evakiyama!
DPP: violet river vs Laurel

:Shox:Solaceon Shoxes (0) vs (4) Heartbreaker Hemogoblins:Hemogoblin:
SV: haxlolo vs QWILY
SV: zastra vs kDCA
SV: LB vs LpZ
SS: Turn Up vs sealoo
SM: Lazuli vs seth
ORAS: metagross does architectu vs betathunder
BW: JoaF vs TGA
DPP: jackuzzler vs Shock3600

:Skwovet:Shoenice Skwovets (5) vs (3) Wu-Tang Clants:Syclant:
SV: pannu vs Mada
SV: Baddy vs Sificon
SV: Quinn vs JJ09LIE
SS: entrocefalo vs Fogbound Lake
SM: Ineros vs hex
ORAS: The Strap vs Micaiah
BW: seraphz vs neomon
DPP: reachzero vs Plague


Deadline for Week 7 is <t:1753675200:f>, GLHF!

Storming Saharajas (0) vs (0) Breezin' Breezis
SV: Nashrock vs TKC
SV: Brigtel vs Ming549
SV: feen vs Kaif
SS: Ikaishi vs Jojen
SM: Lasen vs Potatochan
ORAS: earthflax vs zioziotrip
BW: Cow vs Chomp29
DPP: Lialiabeast vs Nuxl

Golden Time Equilibras (0) vs (0) Keep Calm and Chuggalong
SV: One Last Kiss vs Kate
SV: dunoks vs Taka
SV: Spammernoob vs LOOR
SS: Leroipolux1 vs dex
SM: LBN vs Jordy
ORAS: JayHeaven vs avarice
BW: Abele vs evakiyama!
DPP: velvet vs Laurel

Solaceon Shoxes (0) vs (0) Heartbreaker Hemogoblins
SV: haxlolo vs QWILY
SV: zastra vs kDCA
SV: LB vs LpZ
SS: Rabia vs sealoo
SM: Lazuli vs seth
ORAS: Steam Buns vs betathunder
BW: JoaF vs TGA
DPP: jackuzzler vs Shock3600

Shoenice Skwovets (0) vs (0) Wu-Tang Clants
SV: pannu vs Mada
SV: Baddy vs Sificon
SV: Quinn vs JJ09LIE
SS: entrocefalo vs Fogbound Lake
SM: Ineros vs hex
ORAS: The Strap vs Micaiah
BW: seraphz vs neomon
DPP: reachzero vs Plague
 
Last edited by a moderator:
No mercy Libras.
1753071182494.gif


Storming Saharajas (0) vs (0) Breezin' Breezis:Breezi:
SV: Nashrock vs TKC
SV: Brigtel vs Ming549
SV: feen vs Kaif
SS: Ikaishi vs Jojen
SM: Lasen vs Potatochan
ORAS: earthflax vs zioziotrip
BW: Cow vs Chomp29
DPP: Lialiabeast vs Nuxl

Shoenice Skwovets (0) vs (0) Wu-Tang Clants:Syclant:
SV: pannu vs Mada
SV: Baddy vs Sificon
SV: Quinn vs JJ09LIE
SS: entrocefalo vs Fogbound Lake
SM: Ineros vs hex
ORAS: The Strap vs Micaiah
BW: seraphz vs neomon
DPP: reachzero vs Plague

Solaceon Shoxes (0) vs (0) Heartbreaker Hemogoblins:Hemogoblin:
SV: haxlolo vs QWILY
SV: zastra vs kDCA
SV: LB vs LpZ
SS: Rabia vs sealoo
SM: Lazuli vs seth
ORAS: Steam Buns vs betathunder
BW: JoaF vs TGA
DPP: jackuzzler vs Shock3600
 
This week really only matters for the Chuggs, Breezis, and Clants. Every other team is already guaranteed playoffs (Libras, Skwovets) or is out (Shoxes, Hemos, Rajas). I tried to do predicts here taking that into account.

Storming Saharajas (2) vs (6) Breezin' Breezis
SV: Nashrock vs TKC :blobnauseated:
SV: Brigtel vs Ming549
SV: feen vs Kaif
SS: Ikaishi vs Jojen
SM: Lasen vs Potatochan
ORAS: earthflax vs zioziotrip
BW: Cow vs Chomp29
DPP: Lialiabeast vs Nuxl

Golden Time Equilibras (3) vs (5) Keep Calm and Chuggalong
SV: One Last Kiss vs Kate
SV: dunoks vs Taka
SV: Spammernoob vs LOOR
SS: Leroipolux1 vs dex
SM: LBN vs Jordy
ORAS: JayHeaven vs avarice
BW: Abele vs evakiyama!
DPP: velvet vs Laurel

Solaceon Shoxes (3) vs (5) Heartbreaker Hemogoblins
SV: haxlolo vs QWILY
SV: zastra vs kDCA
SV: LB vs LpZ
SS: Rabia vs sealoo
SM: Lazuli vs seth
ORAS: Steam Buns vs betathunder
BW: JoaF vs TGA
DPP: jackuzzler vs Shock3600

I could see a lot of deadgames in this last series since both of these teams are out. Decided to predict all of these anyways though since that's more fun.
 
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Playoffs Odds:

Golden Time Equilibras:
:boatogostandode:

Shoenice Skwovets:
:boatogostandode:

Keep Calm and Chuggalong:

Win or Tie:

:boatogostandode:

Loss:

Advance if one of the following scenarios happen. Are eliminated if none of the following scenarios happen.
  • The Wu-Tang Clants lose to, or tie against, the Shoenice Skwovets
  • The Breezin' Breezis lose to, or tie against, the Storming Saharajas.
Wu-Tang Clants:

Win:

Advance if one of the following scenarios happen. Are eliminated if none of the scenarios happen.
  • The Keep Calm and Chuggalongs lose to the Golden Time Equilibras.
  • The Breezin' Breezis fail to win against the Storming Saharajas with a score of 7-1 or better
  • The Wu-Tang Clants win by 6-2 and the Breezin' Breezis do not win against the Storming Saharajas by a score of 8-0
  • The Wu-Tang Clants win by a score of 7-1 or better
Tie:

Advance if the the Breezin' Breezis lose to, or tie against, the Storming Saharajas. Are eliminated if the Breezin' Breezis win against the Storming Saharajas.

Loss:
Advance if one of the following scenarios happen. Are eliminated if none of the scenarios happen.
  • The Wu-Tang Clants only lose by 2-6 or better, and the Breezin' Breezis lose to the Storming Saharajas
  • The Wu-Tang Clants lose by 1-7, and the Breezin' Breezis lose to the Storming Saharajas by 2-6 or worse
  • The Wu-Tang Clants lose by 0-8, and the Breezin' Breezis lose to the Storming Saharajas by 1-7 or worse
Breezin Breezis:

Win:

Advance if one of the following scenarios happen. Are eliminated if none of the scenarios happen.
  • The Keep Calm and Chuggalongs lose to the Golden Time Equilibras.
  • The Breezin' Breezis win by 7-1 and the Wu-Tang Clants do not win against the Shoenice Skwovets by 6-2 or better
  • The Breezin' Breezis win by 8-0 and the Wu-Tang Clants do not win against the Shoenice Skwovets by 7-1 or better
  • The Wu-Tang Clants lose to, or tie against, the Shoenice Skwovets
Tie:

Advance if the Wu-Tang Clants lose against the Shoenice Skwovets. Are eliminated if the Wu-Tang Clants win against, or tie against, the Shoenice Skwovts.

Loss:

Advance if one of the following scenarios happen. Are eliminated if none of the scenarios happen.
  • The Breezin' Breezis lose by 3-5, and the Wu-Tang Clants lose against the Shoenice Skwovets by 1-7 or worse
  • The Breezin' Breezis lose by 2-6, and the Wu-Tang Clants lose against the Shoenice Skwovets by 0-8
Solaceon Shoxes:
:extremecheems:

Heartbreaker Hemogoblins:
:extremecheems:

Storming Saharajas:
:extremecheems:

Also I didn't realize until just before posting that Fragments already did this in CAPCord...
 
Storming Saharajas (4) vs (4) Breezin' Breezis
SV: Nashrock vs TKC - love nash but he has had a rough season and has no reason to care rn, while tkc has proven himself a capable player despite being a bitch
SV: Brigtel vs Ming549 - brigtel has beaten more impressive opps this tour imo and I trust him more in a cap setting
SV: feen vs Kaif - kaif has finally remembered how tp win games good thing it only took him 5 weeks
SS: Ikaishi vs Jojen - I wanna favor jojen here but literally everytime I bold against ikaishi he wins so I would feel like a fool if it happened again
SM: Lasen vs Potatochan - woulda favored lasen in oras but I think pchan is the nuttier sm player of the two
ORAS: earthflax vs zioziotrip - no diff
BW: Cow vs Chomp29 - in classic chomp fashion he did not show up last week so I cannot comfortably assume he will make an appearance here either
DPP: Lialiabeast vs Nuxl - both of these guys have had it rough but I think lia is the better player overall and will be motivated to go out on a dub

Predicting a 4-4 when one team is on the cusp of playoffs and the other is already eliminated is prolly insane on my part but I do believe rajas will have at least some motivation to not go out last. If this series happened earlier in the season I prolly woulda even favored them but if they truly don't care then yea this should actually swing toward breezis.

Solaceon Shoxes (2) vs (6) Heartbreaker Hemogoblins
SV: haxlolo vs QWILY - I really wanna bold qwily here cause I can't imagine him going out winless but lolo has just been performing way better
SV: zastra vs kDCA - why are we foddering zastra
SV: LB vs LpZ - no comment
SS: Rabia vs sealoo - rabia made some post about people not knowing him and then proceeded to lose which has placed him in an aura debt
SM: Lazuli vs seth - what da hell is a Polar bear doin in Arlington Texas
ORAS: Steam Buns vs betathunder - wcor coman diff
BW: JoaF vs TGA - joaf made me cry last week
DPP: jackuzzler vs Shock3600 - perhaps the only hype game of this series

Most teams are out and I have already heard whispers of deadgames so yea most of these games are not getting played and the few that do will prolly be meme games.

Shoenice Skwovets (5) vs (3) Wu-Tang Clants
SV: pannu vs Mada - mada is gonna come in with what he believes to be some super elite prep and it's gonna get washed by whatever bullshit pannu cooks up
SV: Baddy vs Sificon - sifi doesn't get enough credit he is very strong but I kinda wanna see baddy complete the 7-0, most hype match of w7 imo
SV: Quinn vs JJ09LIE - another great sv game, quinn can def win but I am as much of a jj glazer as I am a baddy glazer
SS: entrocefalo vs Fogbound Lake - this series is producing straight bangers, the streets prolly favor fog but I think entro can pull it off
SM: Ineros vs hex - the first lukewarm mu of this series, will favor ineros just cause they won their one and only sm game this tour and it was vs a good opp
ORAS: The Strap vs Micaiah - strap just gets outprepped here
BW: seraphz vs neomon - would not have called this a hl match at the beginning of the tour but both of these guys have been on fire, this feels like a true 50/50 tbh
DPP: reachzero vs Plague - random fodder slot

This is definitely the series to watch this week, a lot of these games are insane highlights mus. If skwovets put the effort in I think they knock clants outta the tour here, but with clants having more reason to care maybe they make the final push to playoffs.
 
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