Tournament Hackmons Premier League II - Week 1

Electra102

Electra102

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(art by Rex, repurposed winners art for HPL I)
For any questions please refer to Rex or Electra102

Welcome to the first week of HPL II! Let’s get into this week’s matchups-


:ampharos-mega: Pink Giraffes vs. Auramaxxing Turboblazers :reshiram:

SV BH: Wheaty vs. Betticus IV
SV BH: rightclicker vs. Jojen
SS BH: Jqlove vs. MAMP
SM BH: jasprose vs. Ineros
ND BH: Clas vs. AM
SM PH: sussyamongusdrip vs. betathunder
ORAS PH: LycanrocWastaken vs. Maxouille
ORAS PH Bo3: Glory vs. Iguana

:necrozma-ultra: Nefarious Necrozmas vs. Nihilistic Nihilegos :nihilego:
SV BH: Chessking345 vs. pannu
SV BH: Taka vs. Codename C.A.T
SS BH: quojova vs. Tanny89k
SM BH: damflame 3 vs. QT
ND BH: shadowpea vs. TTTech
SM PH: TheCreatorOfBullsht vs. GhastlyPixie
ORAS PH: Ballfire vs. Archey
ORAS PH Bo3: aerobee vs. NToTheN

:kyogre-primal: Sigma Star Kyogres vs. Smurfing Smeargles :smeargle:
SV BH: maybca vs. ANinjaDude
SV BH: FlamPoke vs. Quinn
SS BH: Osake vs. Nihilslave
SM BH: Mickle314 vs. anaconja
ND BH: lemonstre1 vs. XxLazzerpenguinxX
SM PH: adriancosmoem vs. cscl
ORAS PH: realExcaliju vs. Sheep Liver
ORAS PH Bo3: jb291 vs. Ransei

Good luck to all of the teams!

NOTE: until the voting has been completed on the rebalancing bans for gen7bh, no games of gen7bh can be played​
 
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beware that these predicts are going to be inaccurate as fuck because i have never watched a PH game in my life. or a gen 7 bh game for that matter (are z crystals legal?)

:ampharos-mega: Pink Giraffes vs. Auramaxxing Turboblazers :reshiram:
gen9bh: Wheaty vs. Betticus IV
gen9bh: rightclicker vs. Jojen
wheaty and rc are both tried and tested and have decent support behind them. i don't think betticus has that much experience in the tier and i was assuming jojen was a PH player, although clearly I'm wrong. technically resh's have hallward and mamp as support but i don't think it's a controversial take to say that this is probably the weakest team in terms of 9bh.
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gen8bh: Jqlove vs. MAMP
mamp is the goat

gen7bh: jasprose vs. Ineros
i'm pretty sure jas has experience in 7bh, although i could be very wrong. ineros is a great player but my question is mamp going to be able to support this slot sufficiently?

natdexbh: Clas vs. AM
I can guarantee you AM has played a total of 0 natdex BH games. They were in NDAMPL playing GG so one might assume they could steal their tm8's teams buuut their team only managed one natdex BH win (and that was after their team was already out of the tour). so yeah. rough

gen7ph: sussyamongusdrip vs. betathunder
gen6ph: LycanrocWastaken vs. Maxouille
gen6ph bo3: Glory vs. Iguana
<insert knows nothing about ph here>


:kyogre-primal: Sigma Star Kyogres vs. Smurfing Smeargles :smeargle:
gen9bh: maybca vs. ANinjaDude
gen9bh: FlamPoke vs. Quinn
The Sigma Star Kyogres have two of 9bh's best builders on hand, which automatically gives them the win in the builder department. ANinjaDude is well-versed with the tier so gets mainer bias, but Quinn only has him and sevaag as building buddies. Ninja is definitely good but he is going to struggle to support two slots at once, and sevaag has not had the best time in 9bh this year so my hopes are not high.
e2: i have been told by cotta that maybca and rumia are also shiest

gen8bh: Osake vs. Nihilslave
fraudsake vs goatslave who would win

gen7bh: Mickle314 vs. anaconja
ik anaconja isn't enjoying the 20 smth k price tag but it is for a reason, and that is that they are one of the best BH players to ever do it.

natdexbh: lemonstre1 vs. XxLazzerpenguinxX
lemonstre is a BH player, but I've never seen them play natdex BH, so I will give sevaag the predict for this week

gen7ph: adriancosmoem vs. cscl
gen6ph: realExcaliju vs. Sheep Liver
gen6ph bo3: jb291 vs. Ransei
I am bolding names that I recognise. in this case, I recognise two names


ALSO EVERYONE GIVE REX A VERY BIG HAPPY BIRTHDAY
 
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SV BH: Wheaty vs. Betticus IV (51 - 49)
I think Betticus is actually quite solid at BH (has claimed games off even the top of players) and can find/build teams so I think this is a rather even matchup. However I suspect he might be mental booming over getting baited by me (iykyk).

SV BH: rightclicker vs. Jojen (60 - 40)
Jojen has some BH experience and results (iirc undefeated in Majors BH using samples) though I don't think the opponents were particularly known BH mains. As such especially with rightclicker's generally unorthodox builds I'll give rightclicker the edge.

SS BH: Jqlove vs. MAMP (45 - 55)
Very close and hype game, both are very great SS players so we should be seeing a game of high skill expression hopefully. MAMP is probably a bit more self sufficient so giving advantage to MAMP, provided they don't get their Poison Heal mon not-poisoned.

SM BH: jasprose vs. Ineros (60 - 40)
SM BH has knowledge check and I don't think 1 week is enough for Ineros to catch up to everything. Jasprose is also quite solid even if some builds are more archaic ish.

ND BH: Clas vs. AM (65 - 35)
NDBH is obviously not the stablest of tiers so there is some variance here, but otherwise Clas has significantly more experience and people to bounce with while AM needs to play catchup and somehow get a team.

SV BH: maybca vs. ANinjaDude (52 - 48)
I actually think maybca's ideas and playing are solid, and the teambuilding part is supplemented by very strong builders that can cook up illegal teams. For that reason I give slightest edge to them.

SV BH: FlamPoke vs. Quinn (55 - 45)
Quinn had a fire run in OMPL, but supposedly they had pannu passing teams, and there is no pannu passing teams now. FlamPoke didn't showcase too much BH, but did win in a well played game against fififlutters. Since they have better support and plays seem comparable giving to FlamPoke.

SS BH: Osake vs. Nihilslave (35 - 65)
Osake isn't bad but Nihilslave is very very solid and its SS BH the most skill testing one.

SM BH: Mickle314 vs. anaconja (40 - 60)
I think SM is volatile enough to not go more than these odds, but anaconja is super diverse with their teams while Mickle had been more linear, even with city support I think anaconja is favoured.

ND BH: lemonstre1 vs. XxLazzerpenguinxX (40 - 60)
If Sevag doesn't choke during game he should be pretty favoured here since I don't believe lemonstre is familiar at all with ND and this happens to be what I think as the weakest supporting tier for their managers, while Sevag is well versed and has anaconja support.

On my way to get a 33% correct cumulative

Top 3 games of the week:
SS BH: Jqlove vs MAMP
SV BH: Chessking345 vs pannu (Monkeys fight gif)
ORAS PH Bo3: aerobee vs. NToTheN
 
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:ampharos-mega: Pink Giraffes (1.95-2.10) vs. (0.90-1.05) Auramogging Turboblazers :reshiram:
Despite the triple bold I expect more or less 2-1 Giraffes
gen7ph: sussyamongusdrip (65-70) vs. betathunder (30-35)
sussy will likely have positive matchup given their and Eyeos' building styles and generally more precisely made teams. I like betathunder as a pilot in other tiers but playing ability is not particularly important in USUM.
gen6ph: LycanrocWastaken (55-60) vs. Maxouille (40-45)
Again, Lycanroc likely has positive matchup thanks to the gap in building support quality. Max is probably a slightly stronger pilot though
gen6ph bo3: Glory (85) s. Iguana (15)
Iguana isn't terrible (and I think they've tried to adjust to modern ORAS) but Glory will bring significantly more effective teams and has more recent experience. The number next to Glory is big but not as big as it may seem at first glance – I favor Glory about 75-25 each individual game. Wouldn't count out an Iguana win

:kyogre-primal: Sigma Star Kyogres (1.65) vs. (1.35) Smurfing Smeargles :smeargle:
gen7ph: adriancosmoem (42) vs. cscl (58)
adrian's teams are generally potent and I feel I'm complimenting them by making this relatively close. However, I think they sometimes have issues vs. opposing offense and overly rely on smashing through everything in as few turns as possible as opposed to getting more value out of interactions than the opponent, which can be exploited by cscl's style. Akira support counts for something ofc but probably less than people think
gen6ph: realExcaliju (68) vs. Sheep Liver (32)
Far stronger pilot, and with what they learned on the Necrozmas may get neutral-ish matchup. I'm excited to see what Excaliju comes up with
gen6ph bo3: jb291 (55) vs. Ransei (45)
Honestly very close imo, comes down to whether Ransei can adequately counter jb's usual tendencies since the latter will have limited building support at best. Bolding jb because I don't think Ransei's fully adapted to modern ORAS and jb is the stronger pilot
 
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