Tournament SCL V DOU Discussion Thread

DaAwesomeDude1

waiting for a moment
is a Top Tiering Contributor Alumnusis a Top Contributor Alumnus
DPL Champion
i copied this post from eragon who copied it from zee who copied it from Fc who probably copied it from someone else

1756694578773.png

Welcome to the Smogon Champions League 5 Discussion Thread -- DOU edition! This thread will be used to discuss DOU in SCL V related topics, whether it’s about the players, general metagame trends, matches, predictions and so on. Teams, Replays, and Usage Stats can be found here. (when it gets posted)

Commencement Thread

1756694705780.png


DOU Player Cores
Dynamos - EternalSnowman, Grandmas Cookin
Machines - ratpacker, sir jelloton
Terrors - zee, kunal2 (manager)
Islanders - Feyy, srvoltmike
Breakers - MADARAAAA
Gible - bagel, DaAwesomeDude1
Shoguns - SEA, eragon
Foxes - Ann, umbry (manager), Xrn (manager)
Spartans - Akaru Kokuyo, Schister
Platoon - Nails, Hasayo (manager)

Pricelist
Nails - 17k
bagel - 13.5k (retain)
ratpacker - 13.5k
MADARAAAA - 10.5k
Ann - 10k (retain)
EternalSnowman - 10k
zee - 8.5k
Feyy - 6k
eragon - 4k
SEA - 4k
srvoltmike - 3.5k
Akaru Kokyuo - 3k
DaAwesomeDude1 - 3k
Grandmas Cookin - 3k
Schister - 3k
sir jelloton - 3k

Power Rankings and the season spreadsheet will be linked here when those are available.
 
Last year I didn’t post in here since I was too busy and my good friend Xrn took over the weekly predictions instead. The thread was pretty dead, though, which was a bit of a bummer since I feel this is the tournament that pushes the meta the most for DOU. In OSDT we basically saw most people reuse proven teams instead of building. Even in the finals, the two teams that won the whole thing had been used months, or maybe even a year earlier.


Teambuilding is a big part of why I enjoy Pokémon, so I’m hoping we’ll see some cool new ideas this time around (especially if Flutter Mane isn’t freed). Anyway, since it’s break week, I figured why not post some PRs! I want to make it clear that I think this pool is very even compared to most, so even the people I have at the lower end I still see doing well.



1) Gible – bagel, DaAwesomeDude1​


I had the luxury of having bagel in my DPL chat last year, and even though it was for a short period, they impressed me with their insight and hard work. They finished 5–3 last year and won OSDT despite starting off, I believe, 1–2. I don’t think I need to sell anyone on this one: bagel will work hard, practice a lot, and make the right plays in-game.

The only concern is that bagel does sometimes reuse builds they favor, which could be exploited. Still, I expect them to do very well this year. Joining bagel is their fellow i’s captain, dad1! Not only is dad1 a great chat presence, but he’s also been quietly grinding and doing well in multiple circuit tournaments. He made top 16 in OSDT and is just a solid player in general.

This core is honestly great—the only fear again is the building side, as I know dad1 doesn’t build his own teams. Definitely my number one in the pool.




2) Foxes – Ann, umbry (manager), Xrn (manager)​


Ann finds herself “alone” this year, with her support coming in the form of two of the best DOUers of all time as managers. I think Ann is a solid pilot who I rate pretty highly. I don’t actually know much about her building as she’s in a group with Akaru and SMB, so I’m never sure if it’s a joint effort or if one person takes the lead.

That said, she still has umbry and Xrn. I think umbry will be more focused on other tiers since she doesn’t play much SV DOU, but her insight is still priceless in a tournament like this. Xrn is also great at spotting team weaknesses, so they should always have strong builds going in.

Maybe not the flashiest, but they’ll be solid. If they can get fairly even matchups, Ann is strong enough to outplay a good portion of the pool. She’s had slightly less impressive showings in her most recent SV DOU appearances, but I think she has the environment to perform at the level we all know she can here.





3) Dynamos – EternalSnowman, Grandmas Cookin​


This one is a little weird for me. I think ESM is still a very solid player, but they haven’t looked as dominant as they did last year. They aren’t performing poorly, but it doesn’t feel like they’re quite as far ahead anymore. Going from x–1 to anything worse will look like a drop-off, but they’re still good.

Joining ESM is another long name, GMA. This is probably one of the best supports you can have! GMA likes to grind out builds and can play at a high level. The weird part is just how these two function as builders. ESM runs teams that only they would cook up and rarely pivots off that style. GMA tends to find a Pokémon or concept and stick with it for most of a season.

This could either go great if they find harmony in their building, or it could clash, making it harder for them to iron out their ideas. Either way, the duo is strong thanks to their experience and overall playing ability.




4) Machines – ratpacker, sir jelloton​


Ratpacker is finally in SCL! I’ve always rated him highly as a player, even before he knew about the tournament scene and we’d fight a lot on ladder. There isn’t too much data on him, but what we do have is enough to prove he’s a top player. I’ve also seen his builder before and… he builds a LOT. Some of his ideas may be questionable, but for the most part his builds are unique and well-structured. This is probably the slot I’m most excited to watch this SCL.

Joining him is sir jelloton, who I’ve had the chance to team with. I’d say jello is fairly solid, sometimes prone to make unorthodox plays in situations you normally wouldn’t, but still talented. He also builds, so they shouldn’t have an issue getting teams out.

The biggest issue is that this is their first OTT, which could hurt them in prep. I could see them making solid builds but getting caught off guard by someone exploiting their tendencies. Still, ratpacker is very strong and willing to use all kinds of styles, so I expect them to do well.




5) Terrors – zee, kunal2 (manager)​


I’m a big fan of zee—they always have cool and unique ideas in the builder. They know how to play too, consistently going far in basically every DOU tournament. They won the most recent seasonal after, I believe, getting second in the one before? I might be misremembering, but I know zee always performs well.

With that said… this is SUPER risky. I rate zee highly, but they’ve always had some sort of mental block when it comes to SCL. I don’t know why, since they’re clearly extremely talented in all aspects, but they just haven’t been able to close out games.

Their last SCL games were a few years ago, though, and after supporting Spurrific to an impressive 8–1 record, it’s clear they know how to prep and build for this setting. Maybe the break is what they needed, and this year they’ll hit the form we all know they can. This slot could easily go top 2 if zee finds their footing, but it’s a huge risk with no backup.

Kunal can’t step in since he’s managing, but I think he still builds and plays at a fairly high level, so zee will at least have someone to bounce ideas off of. This is definitely the slot everyone will be watching in the first few weeks. If zee starts off strong, the whole pool will be on alert.




6) Spartans – Akaru Kokuyo, Schister​


Akaru has been fairly busy, and because of that he’s taken a step back from a lot of SV DOU tournaments. With a quiet season, you’d think he should be lower, but I still rate his building and experience pretty highly. From what I’ve heard, he had a big role in the builds that his players used throughout DPL, so prep shouldn’t be an issue.

He’s also played in this tournament a few times now, and while his results haven’t been as good as some of the players above, he’s proven he knows how to win. Schister is someone I don’t know too much about besides some good results. I’m assuming Akaru picked them for a reason, so it’s possible they build, which would help lighten the prep load.

That said, this spot is a bit questionable: if Akaru struggles, I’m unsure if Schister can step in and hold up at the SCL level. It’s happened successfully before, though, so who knows.




7) Islanders – Feyy, srvoltmike​


Feyy is back! They had a pretty solid DPL this year, but outside of that I don’t know if they’ve done much. I also don’t know if they build, so it’s hard to rate them there. They’re partnered with srvoltmike, who I’ve seen around in tournaments, but from what I’ve seen his results aren’t at the same level as some of the others here. I also don’t know if he builds, so again it’s tough to rate this duo.

So why do I have them at 7th? Honestly, because Feyy feels like a less risky pick to get wins. They have SCL experience, where they did fairly well; they won a whole OSDT; and they went positive in DPL. When it comes down to it, I think they can thrive in this kind of tournament. That said, this is the placement I’m the most unsure about.




8) Shoguns – SEA, eragon​


SEA is VERY eager and excited to play. She’s new to DOU but had a solid DPL despite that, proving she can beat seasoned players in a team tournament setting. SCL is a much different field, but SEA has experience in this kind of environment already.

She still has some kinks to work out in her play and plenty of room to grow, but this is the place to do it. The best players in these tournaments tend to be the ones who grind the hardest, and SEA has the drive. The biggest issue is teambuilding, but thankfully she has eragon.

I’d say eragon is a solid player, but I especially respect him as a builder. He had a big hand in building a lot of West’s teams in DWCOP and stays on top of the meta. That lets SEA focus on grinding her play while eragon supplies her with different team styles to find what clicks. I think this core can do well, but I can’t put them higher until they prove it. Still, I can’t wait to see how they do.




9) Breakers – MADARAAAA​


Madara is a very talented player. In fact, I think he’s one of the best SV DOUers around. I don’t actually know how good he is in the builder, though. I’m sure he’ll get some outside support, but it’s hard to get consistent motivation from someone not actually in the tournament.

I do think Madara has what it takes to outplay a lot of people in this pool, but with the skill level being so even, a lot will come down to matchups. Even if he outplays his opponent, if the matchup is too unfavorable it could still result in a loss.

That said, Madara is super talented, and if the prep issue gets sorted out this placement could rise quickly.

TL;DR
1) Gible - bagel, DaAwesomeDude1
2) Foxes - Ann, umbry (manager), Xrn (manager)
3) Dynamos - EternalSnowman, Grandmas Cookin
4) Machines - ratpacker, sir jelloton
5) Terrors - zee, kunal2 (manager)
6) Spartans - Akaru Kokuyo, Schister
7) Islanders - Feyy, srvoltmike
8) Shoguns - SEA, eragon
9) Breakers - MADARAAAA
 
week 1/x of posting because hasayo did

When I tried to properly rank everyone it felt more correct to place them in categories rather than rank 1 to 9. That's how I'm gonna format the meat of this post but there'll still be a ranking at the end so that by the end of the tour everyone can laugh at me OR I can look smart.

"Easy" Favorites
:falinks: Platoon - Nails, Hasayo (manager)
To be honest, Nails would not be all the way up here if he landed on nearly any other team. His SV showings have been middling compared to his SS or even SM days. 6-4 into 4-4 in SCL and a pretty whatever Invitational. In that time he still showed the ability to play some great games but pretty frequently I found his team choices to be questionable. Fortunately for Nick and any fans of good DOU he's linking back up with Chris this season, the best support possible and the one who helped him achieve a 9-0. Chris should be able to get the best out of Nick this season, keeping him motivated and making sure they go into every game with a strong team.
:gible: Gible - bagel, DaAwesomeDude1
The newest OSDT winner didn't come out of nowhere for once and should be en route to another solid SCL. While I haven't really seen him popping off this year outside of OSDT, he's still always playing and doing well enough in anything he enters. Dad1 might not be crazy SV support but bagel shouldn't need it. He went 5-3 last year without dedicated support and is one of SV's biggest grinders, so just having a good friend around to help test and talk through prep is perfect. Bagel should definitely be able to keep up and go positive here.

Should Perform
:zapdos-galar: Dynamos - EternalSnowman, Grandmas Cookin
ESM's performance has dipped a tad since last year, just putting up decent records instead of dominating the leader boards. Despite that drop off in DOU subforum tours I'd still expect a pretty similar run to last SCL for him. 5-4 or 4-5, a perfectly solid middle of the pack showing. It's not like people have fully solved him or anything and he knows how to play his unorthodox teams very well. Gma might struggle to have much of an impact here while ESM is starting, but I'm sure he'll try to help out however he can. If ESM somehow flops he's shown the ability to sub in and step up too.
:melmetal: Breakers - MADARAAAA
Madara has been a consistent force in SV playing pretty much everything since the start of the gen and now he finally gets his chance to shine in SCL. He has his slip ups, but you can generally expect solid teams and play. It's been business as usual for him since the start of the year with a Circuit win followed up by a DLT win, OSDT Quarters, and Top 6 in Invitational. Even though he finds himself stranded this tour I'm sure he'll manage to find support, whether it be from his boys that aren't playing or teammates somewhat familiar with DOU like elodin/entrocefalo/Stories. My one real concern for him is that he seems to do his best work in Bo3 rather than Bo1, often falling around .500 in DOU team tours and having some occasional timer scares. Now he'll have to do it in a higher pressure environment, but a respectable debut should still be expected out of him.
:mew: Machines - ratpacker, sir jelloton
This community really loves to overuse the word snub for anyone with a pulse. If there was one true recent DOU snub though it was absolutely ratpacker in last SCL. Nice to see him get a well earned shot at starting this time, hot off of 2nd in Invitational. The packer is a busy guy and plays less tours than his contemporaries from late SS/early SV, but he's certainly shown some good individual peaks. I think his play has solidified quite a bit and he's a very good builder if Jello can contain him ever so slightly. Despite not having the most team tour history I believe his style should be a good fit for SCL and I look forward to seeing how he does this year. Should he falter for whatever reason then Jello is at least capable of punching up as well.

Seeking Redemption
:Gyarados: Terrors - zee, kunal2 (manager)
With kunal at the helm it's no surprise that the Terrors opted for solo DOU, but banking on zee as the solo definitely could be seen as a risk. Historically a huge bust in this tour, zee took to managing last year after winning the year before and intended to skip this time, but caved in. Many such cases. If you're a DOUer you obviously know what zee can do, they've been fantastic in individual tournaments recently and builds some real strong teams. Kunal should be able to make sure they aren't too one note in prep either. There's no doubt that zee can compete with the other players here, but expectations should be tempered for now. If there's no mental block and they're able to think during their games they could be great this year, and if not then it'll be a very rough season with nobody else able to step in. Personally I'll bet on zee at least being able to perform better than years prior.
:Aegislash: Spartans - Akaru Kokuyo, Schister
This is an interesting one. Akaru is back for his third SCL, and has a new (former) Duck to assist him. I really haven't seen Akaru do too much SV in recent memory outside of his good Invitational run, of course he's still been playing a ton of Pokemon in general though. He's a decent player willing to get a bit silly in prep, which will be accentuated by Schister no doubt, in theory making him perfect for this sort of environment. His starting debut in 2023 was solid but got abruptly cut short at 3-2 and his 2024 return was uneventful to say the least. Still though experience is experience and I do think he should be able to grab a few wins which is probably all the Spartans want given their light investment. It'll likely be his first full season as I don't really think Schister is ready to compete here yet, so let's see what he can do.

Wildcards
:exeggutor-alola: Islanders - Feyy, srvoltmike
Back in 2023 Feyy won OSDT, had a decent SCL campaign, and went on hiatus. This year he's made a proper return going 7-4 between Derby and DPL. Not bad by any means but the schedules were pretty light and I personally haven't been too impressed by the games I caught. From what I've heard they need pretty heavy builder support right now, so at least Mike is there to help out on that front. I'm not the most familiar with Mike admittedly, but I was told he's highly sought after support this year and I believe they're friends. When I've watched him play he usually has pretty nice looking teams at least so it seems like a sound pairing. Personally I expect a slower start from this slot in the first few weeks as Feyy fully gets back into the swing of things, and we'll see what happens from there.
:kingambit: Shoguns - SEA, eragon
Shoguns have moved on from the OSDT gamble to one that I'd call just as risky. SEA has one proper SV DOU tournament under her belt with the most recent DPL, in which she showed some definite promise and put up a nice 6-3 record. She had a few games against SCL caliber players that tour and notably did take down bagel, but this is gonna be quite a step up. While she has shown potential in her limited pool of games, she's also shown clear inconsistencies and is still learning the tier. Eragon should be a great help in that department though as a very active builder who can help her find her way, and can definitely hold his own against some of these players if needed. Much like the Islanders core I expect this one to start off slowly and potentially pick up as the season progresses. Out of all the cores this one is most likely to end up with the support getting significant playtime, but I selfishly hope my bestie excels instead.

After all that here are my own personal rankings, probably not identical to the rankings submitted by Ann
1. :falinks: Platoon - Nails, Hasayo (manager)
2. :gible: Gible - bagel, DaAwesomeDude1
3. :mew: Machines - ratpacker, sir jelloton
4. :zapdos-galar: Dynamos - EternalSnowman, Grandmas Cookin
5. :melmetal: Breakers - MADARAAAA
6. :Gyarados: Terrors - zee, kunal2 (manager)
7. :Aegislash: Spartans - Akaru Kokuyo, Schister
8. :kingambit: Shoguns - SEA, eragon
9. :exeggutor-alola: Islanders - Feyy, srvoltmike

I expect 1 & 2 to definitely perform well. 3 to 5 should be decent to good but there's room to underperform. 6 could put up any record and I wouldn't be surprised. I struggle to see 7 through 9 going positive.
 
Last edited:
Formatting will be awful cuz on mobile but whatever

One thing that I believe is interesting to talk about are the drafted/manager support that each starter has, and how the pairing could potentially elevate each slot. I actually think most players got their ideal support in terms of how the starter + bench building philosophies compliment each other:

someone like SEA who is inexperienced in the builder but a fantastic clicker gets Eragon, who I view as one of the best builders in the tier and someone who is able to tailor teams to the preference and playstyle of the user (we see this a lot in the teams he loaded vs what he passed me vs what he passed emilio/zom etc in world cup)

Akaru gets schister who is not afraid to deviate from the standard and build fundamentally strong yet unorthodox builds, and Akaru I think is a top end pilot of what I’d call archetype-less but unorthodox (I.e is willing to load literally anything and half the time it will be strange)

Packer + jello intrigues me. I do think jello filling in as some sort of QC for Packer’s imagination will do him some good. I trust jello to be a good barometer of what is fundamentally good vs bad. I think this team will come up with some VERY solid teams and it terrifies me a little.

Zee gets Kunal. In the discord I made a joke about both being from the Stone Age, but realistically, Kunal gets to be QC in a similar vein to jello with Packer. We know Zee can build, we know Zee can click, bro just won DPL and an Indiv. What I’m interested in is how Kunal’s fundamental understanding of Pokemon and of SV will influence Zee’s team decisions. I know these two will work well together, but how much smeargle will Zee be allowed to load? That’s what the rest of the world is asking themselves rn.

Bagel + dad1 I’ve unfortunately never had the opportunity to team with. But what I’ve read and gotten the vibe for is that bagel is pretty much self sufficient and is a grinder (and is riding crazy OSDT momentum) so I think drafting an ex manager like dad1 that he’s probably close with and can provide vibes and testing is what bagel needs to keep his motivation high and this also avoids conflicting styles which could be an issue in other scenarios

Nails + Hasayo- I don’t pretend to know much about this duo. I teamed with Nails in Derby and he was very much a self starter when it came to his builds. Conversely, I’ve not interacted much with Hasayo, it seems they were more active before my time. This is one group I’ll be looking to learn more about as the season progresses (unfortunately we do play them week 1 tho )

ESM + GMA- this is where the word “most” comes into play in that opening paragraph. I haven’t teamed with GMA since my first derby, and they were playing Gen 3. I also don’t really know their building philosophy but I do know that ESM is a very particular builder. I don’t think they will clash in terms of style but I’m curious to see how the blending of the two will manifest itself as the SCL season progresses.

Foxes- I don’t know too much about Ann’s building habits, but I trust that Xrn + umbry support will be broken. I’m not sure I have much to add here from what has been said above.

I’m quite excited to see how the season progresses and I’m especially excited to see how (and if!) each support’s building philosophy manifests itself in how their starter builds and plays this season! Good luck to all competitors!
 
w1 preds but cooler than gephs
SV DOU: Ann vs zee
SV DOU: Akaru Kokuyo vs bagel
SV DOU: Feyy vs Nails
SV DOU: SEA vs EternalSnowman
SV DOU: ratpacker vs MADARAAAA

will not elaborate further, if I'm ever wrong its the players fault not mine
 
Week 1 is finally here! To be honest, there isn’t too much to go off since these are a lot of fresh matchups, but I’ll do my best to elaborate on each of them. As for my hopes… with Flutter not being freed, I just hope people don’t fall back on what they’re used to in the builder.


SV DOU: Ann vs zee
This matchup is probably the closest one this round for me. zee has looked very solid lately, coming off strong showings like their seasonal win. On the building side, zee has always been someone with unique ideas that they manage to bring to life. Ann is also up there in terms of both play and team choices, and with Xrn and umbry, she should have solid builds with good concepts for handling tough matchups.

I do think zee has looked slightly better in both play and building overall, but the thing is.. it’s SCL. We all know zee tends to struggle here, so Ann feels like the safer pick, especially given her consistency. If zee can get over the mental block and play cleanly from start to finish, I could see this going either way, maybe even slightly in zee’s favor. But Ann is easily one of the best DOUers out there, so it won’t be easy, even at zee’s best. Very excited for this one!

SV DOU: Akaru Kokuyo vs bagel
I think Akaru is a solid player but hasn’t been grinding as hard as bagel lately. I did hear that Akaru had a big part in the Ducks’ SV building and testing, so it’s clear they’re still up to date with the meta. The issue is just the lack of recent results, so they’re probably looking to prove they’re still among the best in the field.

Unfortunately, bagel is one of the toughest opponents to try that against. After their insane OSDT run, it’s hard to ever count them out. My only issue with bagel is the lack of new builds. I mostly see them stick to tried-and-true stuff, but honestly, they play so much that they’re just a master of whatever they bring.

I could see Akaru prepping something that catches bagel in a slightly worse matchup, but even then, bagel will have a game plan and execute it well. So the question is: is Akaru still in strong form, or will bagel run away with this one? I definitely favor bagel, but either way, it should be a fun match.

SV DOU: Feyy vs Nails
sit.png

SV DOU: SEA vs EternalSnowman
This might seem like a crazy pick from me… and honestly, it probably is. But if there’s one thing I know, it’s that anyone willing to grind hard and test every idea can succeed here. Xrn basically forgot how to play doubles around SCL a few years back, but by grinding week after week he ended up the top of the pool. I think SEA has that same drive right now and will work harder than almost anyone to prove herself.

That said, she’s up against ESM.. someone you literally can’t predict. I have no clue what they’ll bring, but I’d say there’s a 98% chance it includes Tyranitar, Kommo-o, Manaphy, or some setup core with +2 redirectors. They’ve looked a little weaker compared to their peak, but that doesn’t take away from how good they are.

SEA definitely has her work cut out for her, but I believe she can do it. At the same time, I wouldn’t be surprised if ESM catches her off guard with a unique HO/setup team and plays it perfectly. Either way, I can’t wait for this one!

SV DOU: ratpacker vs MADARAAAA
The highlight match! Both are debuting in SCL but have been among the top DOUers for a while now. I think they’re fairly even in terms of playing ability, with maybe a slight edge to Madara, but in building I’d say ratpacker is one of the best around.

No matter what, this is going to be a high-level, exciting game. I lean toward ratpacker winning through stronger building, but if the matchup is more even, I could see it going either way.
 
week 2/x of posting because Hasayo did

SV DOU: :Ninetales:Ann vs zee :Gyarados: - 100/0
:pmd/tinkaton: CRATERMADE.

SV DOU: :Aegislash:Akaru Kokuyo vs bagel:gible: - 40/60
It's a little weird to say that bagel is the second most proven in SCL behind Nails, but in this pool he sure is. While he's certainly not infallible his track record in SV is just much stronger and more consistent than Akaru's. The "obvious wincon" for Spartans here is cooking up something devious to try to find a massive builder edge. I think bagel will be locked in for SCL though, mixing in his recent experimentations with proven concepts to not get caught lacking in the builder. Additionally I feel like when Akaru leans too hard into that counterteamy approach it backfires more often than not (cough Sunny Day Latios), so I'll be interested to see how him and Schister handle prep week to week.

Decent edge for bagel. I'm hoping to see bagel not directly reuse from his folder of favorites, and I'm hoping to see Akaru bring something that I can call solid enough.

SV DOU: :exeggutor-alola:Feyy vs Nails:falinks:- 20/80
Weird one honestly, neither of them are hot hands (in DOU at least, gj at worlds mate) coming into SCL but I just have so much more faith in Nails when he's backed by Hasayo. He's a stronger player than Feyy and has the best support possible to bring out his best. When they met back in SCL 3 during Feyy's prime it was a dominant win for Nails too. I don't have much commentary other on this as a W1 matchup, sorry.

Big edge for Nails. I'll be a little disappointed if I don't see a step up in team quality with Hasayo behind him, and for Feyy I just hope he keeps it competitive.

SV DOU: :kingambit:SEA vs EternalSnowman:zapdos-galar: - 42/58
By all means, ESM is the favorite in this matchup. I predicted SEA on the form though so I'm standing on it here. In my opinion ESM is actually one of the best players she could've pulled in hopes of starting the season strong. She has the drive to grind hard for this and mentally prepare for the unique beast that is ESM in order to not feel lost as soon as preview loads. Eragon is probably one of the best assistants you could ask for in this case as well, being someone that's teamed with him on West and isn't a stranger to our there squads himself. All that aside, ESM is still the clear on paper favorite. He's proven that he can beat literally anyone in this tier and can be a very daunting opponent, especially for someone like SEA who lacks experience and is more likely to slip up. And more than against any other player, one skip up against ESM can end the game instantly.

Slight edge to ESM but I personally predict SEA. I'd just like to see ESM stay true to his style, hopefully without directly recycling an idea. As for SEA, it's a positive sign if there's not a moment where she lets the game fully get away from her.

SV DOU: :mew:ratpacker vs MADARAAAA:melmetal: - 52/48
Not only are these two new starters, they're two completely new players to officials. The only two to never play a sheet game before, or even be drafted. Despite that, they're also both expected to be very competitive with the rest of the pool this season. They've each found great success in recent DOU tours, and have grown a lot. Madara being the more active of the two is more proven as a player, but I don't think ratpacker is far behind if at all. I do think Madara is a bit behind ratpacker as a builder though, and that's meant as a compliment to ratpacker rather than an insult to Madara.

It's really even, but I'll back up my initial rankings and predict ratpacker. With it being the debut game for both of them I just hope that they make it a good one.
 
Last edited:
Excited to watch my first SCL and trying to yap more in general so I'm dropping some predicts, I may not do every week but the starting matchups look pretty hype!

SV DOU: Ann vs zee
This matchup feels crazy close to me. I have minimum one "damn, that was insane" moment every time I watch Ann play, she's just the definition of an impressive player. At the same time, zee's recent consistency is also super impressive and speaks to a deep understanding of the format going into W1 of a tour that rewards innovative building. I think this is basically even to me but I'll give a slight edge to Ann.

SV DOU: Akaru Kokuyo vs bagel
Akaru might need a bit to get into form, whereas conditions are primed for a really strong bagel performance this tour. I do mostly believe in Schister prep and Akaru is too fundamentally good to count out, so I still expect this to be very competitive. Team choices should be the make-or-break.

SV DOU: Feyy vs Nails
As a new-head I don't have much insight here. I've barely seen Nails play current gen and Feyy's DPL run was strong but not a ton to go on for predicting performance in this player pool. Bolding Nails on vibes since his Tub Takes reports have been really formative for me learning VGC and I respect his approach to the game.

SV DOU: SEA vs EternalSnowman
I'm a SEA Truther and I think she's gonna outperform expectations this tour, but ESM feels like an especially tough W1 draw for the starter with the least experience in the tier. Eragon as her support is probably best-case-scenario, but I still think the deck is stacked against her. Would be happy to be proven wrong but won't complain about getting to watch an ESM masterclass either.

SV DOU: ratpacker vs MADARAAAA
I picked this format up by watching replays from last year's circuit finals so this is my most anticipated matchup of the whole tour. I think MADARAAAA is just straight up the best current gen player and it'll take multiple weeks of underperformances for me to bold against him. That being said, I have a super high opinion of ratpacker and I'm really excited to steal his team see what he cooks up.
 
Last edited:
Back
Top