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Tournament UMPL V - Week 7

July

Hurt me with truth but never comfort me with lies
is a Social Media Contributor
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This tour is being hosted by goldmason, Dead by Daylight and July.

Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Semifinals | Finals
Commencement | Admin Decisions | Spreadsheet
  • Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for us to make decisions for activity calls when we can actually see what went down with scheduling.​
  • If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to us or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.​
  • Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by a substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.​
  • If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.​
  • Replays are mandatory. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later.​
  • Managers: Please send me your lineups in the same format that I used to post pairings. It makes it much easier to post future rounds more quickly.​

Mane Remover :flutter-mane: (1) vs (1) :kingdra: United Kingdras
1v1 (Bo7): Nuxl vs Mist
1v1 (Bo5): queso vs LittEleven
2v2 (Bo5): LogIce vs Evie
2v2 (Bo5): DripLegend vs bern
AG: Lyna vs Skyiew
AG: Terracotta vs Jojen
NFE: bleahey vs Horii
NFE: TyCarter vs Ivar57
UUbers: Frito vs Taka
UUbers: Iride vs Dugtrio Is Broken
ZU: Fille vs THE_CHUNGLER
ZU: PlayaBeavs vs Ninja

Doom Desire Jirachis :jirachi: (2) vs (2) :infernape: Scarlett Combustion
1v1 (Bo7): LongRat vs Indi01
1v1 (Bo5): ExguardiaN vs LB
2v2 (Bo5): Hugo vs Concept
2v2 (Bo5): srvoltmike vs ValiantValerie
AG: Swas vs wssi
AG: Razachu vs RoFnA
NFE: PandaDoux vs Dragonillis
NFE: Zcarlett vs Nakoruru_XD
UUbers: Maxomega vs IncredibleKing
UUbers: IoSonoNeon vs 8truc
ZU: Potatochan vs Esteb4n
ZU: seraphz vs lettuce

Oblivion Ambers :zacian-crowned: (4) vs (1) :kyurem: Star Plasma Vessels
1v1 (Bo7): Fancy1 vs Kala chasmah
1v1 (Bo5): Akeras vs Close
2v2 (Bo5): maybca vs Blanched
2v2 (Bo5): happysh vs Opelucid
AG: emoxu9 vs Bread Sandwich
AG: Glory vs ZowwyCafé♪
NFE: Mirbro vs Kingler
NFE: Shadow079 vs The Strap
UUbers: Mozonite vs Slikkles
UUbers: Remnonc vs dunoks
ZU: O1V7O2X9O vs MemphisDepay
ZU: Irene vs One Last Kiss

Super Sh(a)ymin :shaymin: (6) vs (3) :Raging-bolt: Thunderstorm Titans
1v1 (Bo7): lolebruh vs Nunnbetter
1v1 (Bo5): TGK vs neomon
2v2 (Bo5): trace vs bellchime
2v2 (Bo5): sheepie vs gorilaa
AG: Geysers vs Adhi
AG: Kunvirgo vs Legendary spam
NFE: 5Dots vs sleid
NFE: Zpice vs doom
UUbers: Rasche vs Celeste
UUbers: Mik3y vs lotiasite
ZU: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Michael Jordan
ZU: Sificon vs DD Joe

The deadline for this week is <t:1762747200:f>.

Mane Remover :flutter-mane: (0) vs (0) :kingdra: United Kingdras
1v1 (Bo7): Nuxl vs Mist
1v1 (Bo5): queso vs LittEleven
2v2 (Bo5): LogIce vs Evie
2v2 (Bo5): DripLegend vs bern
AG: Lyna vs Skyiew
AG: Terracotta vs Jojen
NFE: bleahey vs Horii
NFE: TyCarter vs Ivar57
UUbers: Frito vs Taka
UUbers: Iride vs Dugtrio Is Broken
ZU: Fille vs THE_CHUNGLER
ZU: PlayaBeavs vs Ninja

Doom Desire Jirachis :jirachi: (0) vs (0) :infernape: Scarlett Combustion
1v1 (Bo7): LongRat vs Indi01
1v1 (Bo5): ExguardiaN vs LB
2v2 (Bo5): Hugo vs Concept
2v2 (Bo5): srvoltmike vs ValiantValerie
AG: Swas vs wssi
AG: Razachu vs RoFnA
NFE: PandaDoux vs Dragonillis
NFE: Zcarlett vs Nakoruru_XD
UUbers: Maxomega vs IncredibleKing
UUbers: IoSonoNeon vs 8truc
ZU: Potatochan vs Esteb4n
ZU: Dwagon vs lettuce

Oblivion Ambers :zacian-crowned: (0) vs (0) :kyurem: Star Plasma Vessels
1v1 (Bo7): Fancy1 vs Kala chasmah
1v1 (Bo5): Akeras vs Close
2v2 (Bo5): maybca vs Blanched
2v2 (Bo5): fake tom numbers vs Arcanine1929
AG: emoxu9 vs Bread Sandwich
AG: Glory vs ZowwyCafé♪
NFE: Mirbro vs Kingler
NFE: Shadow079 vs The Strap
UUbers: Mozonite vs Slikkles
UUbers: OceanicGamer vs dunoks
ZU: O1V7O2X9O vs big tony 2014
ZU: Irene vs One Last Kiss

Super Sh(a)ymin :shaymin: (0) vs (0) :Raging-bolt: Thunderstorm Titans
1v1 (Bo7): lolebruh vs Nunnbetter
1v1 (Bo5): TGK vs neomon
2v2 (Bo5): trace vs bellchime
2v2 (Bo5): sheepie vs gorilaa
AG: Geysers vs Adhi
AG: Kunvirgo vs Legendary spam
NFE: 5Dots vs sleid
NFE: Zpice vs doom
UUbers: Rasche vs Celeste
UUbers: Mik3y vs jackuzzler
ZU: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Michael Jordan
ZU: Sificon vs DD Joe
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Last main season predicts, and will I derive from my formula of only predicting the tiers I know? no

Mane Remover :flutter-mane: (0) vs (4) :kingdra: United Kingdras
NFE: bleahey vs Horii (It's taken 7 weeks and I'm finally bolding Horii. I promise you I wasn't a hater, I just had ulterior motives or some other copout excuse. That aside, Horii has been doing really good in NFE this tour, and bleahey has not been doing NFE this tour.)
NFE: TyCarter vs Ivar57 (Ivar is also doing good. The Kingdras NFE is doing really well)

ZU: Fille vs THE_CHUNGLER (was really hard to help prep for last week, and the brains behind the Manes ZU are cooking but I think THE_CHUNGLER can overcome this)
ZU: PlayaBeavs vs Ninja (i dont think ive ever beaten ninja in anything and ive at least one a test game off beavs once)

There's a reason the Kingdras are doing so good this tour, and it would be silly to predict against them now. I definitely see the Manes taking one game off of the Kingdras here (probably ZU) because I know they have some cooks in these tiers, but I don't think I can legally bold against Horii or breach that contract.


Oblivion Ambers :zacian-crowned: (2) vs (2) :kyurem: Star Plasma Vessels
NFE: Mirbro vs Kingler (I definitely let Kingler clout into my predictions last week, and whether rightfully or not, I think it does apply this week)
NFE: Shadow079 vs The Strap (I knew it was a mistake to question NFE Shadow, and it's not a mistake I'm making again)

ZU: O1V7O2X9O vs big tony 2014 (I'm still not sure what I know abt O1V7O2X9O's game or if I'm allowed to call them something besides O1V7O2X9O. I definitely underestimated them their first week, but then they brought Articuno 2 straight weeks and lost, before not bringing Articuno and then winning again with a different ice type. My first thought following that up was 'wait till this guy hears about Sneasel,' which was followed up in my head with 'tony probably has sneasel and dd lapras teams in his builder.' Overall probably worth catching live if i am capable of such a feat, but I have to give the edge to tony.)
ZU: Irene vs One Last Kiss (I was wrong last week abt her)

Despite bolding 2-2 in these tiers, I think the Vessels are slightly favored here since they have the more established players in these on paper, but unlike the Kingdras, they're players that I can justify bolding against since they're not on an undefeated team. EDIT: vessels subbed out their ZU and I think this favors the ambers, but I don't want to delete my O1V7O2X9O paragraph and replace it with a single sentence.


Super Sh(a)ymin :shaymin: (3) vs (1) :Raging-bolt: Thunderstorm Titans
NFE: 5Dots vs sleid (another one of those MUs I wanna see live. They have similar records (3-2 v 3-3) so I guess I'm bolding sleid off vibes)
NFE: Zpice vs doom (im pretty sure doom has more NFE experience but this isn't a 0-2 MU)

ZU: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Michael Jordan
ZU: Sificon vs DDJoe (the Titans' ZU hasn't won since W1, where I made some pretty insane predictions where I predicted a 1-1 set and bolded MJ as the one, highlighted a ddjoe 'upset' (old lettuce's words not mine) being possible, and then they both won and I got golf'd into the stratosphere. If it takes diabolical predicts against the titans for the titans to win in ZU I'm here for it, but I have to bold the team with a positive ZU.)


idk i was feeling a mix of 'im being too mean' and 'im right' when i wrote these predicts so uhh please take these as seriously as I do, which is not that seriously, or just prove me wrong as usual. looking forwards to fragments predicts
 
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fix the predicts why is Indi playing 2v2 Rofna doing 1v1 in them

Doom Desire Jirachis :jirachi: (0) vs (11) :infernape: Scarlett Combustion
1v1 (Bo7): LongRat vs Indi01
1v1 (Bo5): ExguardiaN vs LB
2v2 (Bo5): Hugo vs Concept
2v2 (Bo5): srvoltmike vs ValiantValerie
AG: Swas vs wssi
AG: Razachu vs RoFnA
NFE: PandaDoux vs Dragonillis
NFE: Zcarlett vs Nakoruru_XD
UUbers: Maxomega vs IncredibleKing
UUbers: IoSonoNeon vs 8truc
ZU: Potatochan vs Esteb4n
ZU: Dwagon vs lettuce

LET'S GO COMBUSTIONS
FIRE >>> STEEL
 
fix the predicts why is Indi playing 2v2 Rofna doing 1v1 in them

Doom Desire Jirachis :jirachi: (0) vs (11) :infernape: Scarlett Combustion
1v1 (Bo7): LongRat vs Indi01
1v1 (Bo5): ExguardiaN vs LB
2v2 (Bo5): Hugo vs Concept
2v2 (Bo5): srvoltmike vs ValiantValerie
AG: Swas vs wssi
AG: Razachu vs RoFnA
NFE: PandaDoux vs Dragonillis
NFE: Zcarlett vs Nakoruru_XD
UUbers: Maxomega vs IncredibleKing
UUbers: IoSonoNeon vs 8truc
ZU: Potatochan vs Esteb4n
ZU: Dwagon vs lettuce

LET'S GO COMBUSTIONS
FIRE >>> STEEL
Doesn't psychic beat fighting tho
 
NFE: bleahey vs Horii - Horii should 100% win this, but Lettuce bolded Horii, so therefore bleachey wins.
NFE: TyCarter vs Ivar57 - 10 turns in...

NFE: PandaDoux vs Dragonillis - Antares are better than these bums, but PandaDoux should take care of this game. Dragonillis deserves a win here, but he has been unfortunate atm.
NFE: Zcarlett vs Nakoruru_XD - Both make somehow the most questionable turns out of everyone, but Nakoruru makes less critical ones. Either I think it'll be a messy match.

NFE: Mirbro vs Kingler - The more wholesome person wins the match.
NFE: Shadow079 vs The Strap
DAFLyzCWsAEnD2P.jpg


NFE: 5Dots vs sleid - TL leaders fighting each other, very hype MU. I'll give it to Sleid bc I feel like he's the better player. But 5dots luck makes any mu possible for sleid to win.
NFE: Zpice vs doom - Zpice is being forced into the NFE purgatory once again, and gonna have a painful match lmao.
 

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UUbers: Frito vs Taka
Tough ass matchup, I will have to highlight Frito bc I believe she can edge out a win with better teambuilding but tbh can go either way
UUbers: Iride vs Dugtrio Is Broken
Iride has iirc have had an amazing season, while I do not have data to base DIB. I know he is a good player but Iride should have this
UUbers: Maxomega vs IncredibleKing
Always bold king
UUbers: IoSonoNeon vs 8truc
I cant find 8truc on the spreadsheet so...
UUbers: Rasche vs Celeste
Both very skilled players, I think Celeste should win tho
UUbers: Mik3y vs jackuzzler
Not enough information for either player, so flipped a coin
 
Why are shaymins and titans mad dashing all their games. Give me a chance y'all oml.

Doom Desire Jirachis (6) vs (6) Scarlett Combustion
1v1 (Bo7): LongRat vs Indi01 - rachis 1v1ers have had a rough season while indi has popped off as expected
1v1 (Bo5): ExguardiaN vs LB - same as above, indi should be able to pass armaan good teams to get this one done
2v2 (Bo5): Hugo vs Concept - neither side has done great in 2v2 so will favor the mainer here
2v2 (Bo5): srvoltmike vs ValiantValerie - same as above again
AG: Swas vs wssi - I feel like I've seen wssi's name before but don't remember anything super notable
AG: Razachu vs RoFnA - rofna only has 1 win on the board but ik what he's capable of if he really locks in
NFE: PandaDoux vs Dragonillis - neither guy being positive is pretty crazy, but gotta favor a 3-3 to a 1-5
NFE: Zcarlett vs Nakoruru_XD - zcar has been the most reliable win machine for rachis aside from potato
UUbers: Maxomega vs IncredibleKing - unfamiliar with max outside of his run in this tour which does not inspire confidence
UUbers: IoSonoNeon vs 8truc - iosono picked up a win vs a good opp last week
ZU: Potatochan vs Esteb4n - hl match, I will always bold esteban but tbh my gut kinda says potato will outprep him here
ZU: Dwagon vs lettuce - I have found dwagon quite impressive lately but I think lettuce will come up with a fire cook this week

Always cool to see 2 teams still in contention duke it out in w7 with the winner potentially advancing. Combustions obviously have the tougher road here, sitting at one less point and a much worse differential. I'm also a bit curious where LBN and chris are, even if their records weren't up to par they still feel like the best bets here. With either of them here I woulda called a combustions win, but now I'm uncertain.

Oblivion Ambers (5) vs (7) Star Plasma Vessels
1v1 (Bo7): Fancy1 vs Kala chasmah - kala subbed out after a rfn challenge last week which has unfortunately weakened his aura
1v1 (Bo5): Akeras vs Close - rare akeras sighting, bro hasn't played since w1 while close has put up a good season
2v2 (Bo5): maybca vs Blanched - it wouldn't be an ambers set without at least 1 polar bear in arlington texas
2v2 (Bo5): fake tom numbers vs Arcanine1929 - arcanine seems to actually be a bit crisper than tom rn
AG: emoxu9 vs Bread Sandwich - emoxu fulfilling his role as the hard carry for his team, good manager Baddy take notes
AG: Glory vs ZowwyCafé♪ - it appears zowwy will never part ways with that beloved ditto
NFE: Mirbro vs Kingler - kingler can randomly lose by not giving a fuck but if he plays to his full potential gotta favor him
NFE: Shadow079 vs The Strap - I questioned shadow in nfe last week and while I still prefer him in uubers he proved his mettle here
UUbers: Mozonite vs Slikkles - this is a tough one, I favor slikkles as a clicker but mozo's builds might be too unorthodox for him
UUbers: OceanicGamer vs dunoks - I will take the clicker on this one, he just needs a good team to work with
ZU: O1V7O2X9O vs big tony 2014 - while I am a big steven glazer I can't deny the success tony has had this season
ZU: Irene vs One Last Kiss - friends to enemies arc for this week, I typically favor olk when this happens

The most consequential series of the week given that ambers are the only team left in contention that hold their fate directly in their hands. They gotta play the #2 team tho so they're still really gonna have to fight for it. Even tho I gave them a losing score here a lotta these games could go either way, and if ambers go full tryhard mode I don't see why they can't take this off of vessels who will likely be more lax.

Super Sh(a)ymin (5) vs (7) Thunderstorm Titans
1v1 (Bo7): lolebruh vs Nunnbetter - already played but woulda bolded ncal so props to mimir
1v1 (Bo5): TGK vs neomon - also already played and woulda been wrong again lmao
2v2 (Bo5): trace vs bellchime - I can't imagine either give a fuck so I'll just favor bellchime clicking
2v2 (Bo5): sheepie vs gorilaa - what the gorilaa doin
AG: Geysers vs Adhi - once again already happened and once again woulda gotten this wrong
AG: Kunvirgo vs Legendary spam - finally a game that happened that I woulda predicted correctly, bless your heart kunvirgo
NFE: 5Dots vs sleid - I rate sleid a bit higher but both are strong players
NFE: Zpice vs doom - both are 0-2 and I have limited familiarity with so we're going off vibes
UUbers: Rasche vs Celeste - both have lost their last 3 weeks but at least celeste had a good start
UUbers: Mik3y vs jackuzzler - what am I supposed to do with this, I like both guys but has either ever touched this tier
ZU: OranBerryBlissey10 vs Michael Jordan - mj hasn't won since w1 which makes it hard to bold him here but I still do rate him
ZU: Sificon vs DD Joe - joe will come in with the better team but sifi has a habit of winning when I least expect it so we'll see

Debated whether to even do predicts for this set since both teams are out and idk what to expect. The only thing on the line rn is pride given that the losing team will end in last place and even if you can't make playoffs no one really wants to be last. That said idk how much each team cares about that so again we could see some weird stuff here, that could actually make this a really fun set tho.
 
requesting double sub for me and arcanine goldmason Dead by Daylight July ojr zastra Lord Rekkuza MirrorSaMa SpaceSpeakers
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Anyways this has been a terrible teamtour, definitely not playing in any um related teamtours unless I somehow go for 5k onto a motivated team lol. I won't go into detail as I'd rather just "forgive and forget" that this ever happened, and I'm at fault for some things but yeah, if you're not having fun even when you win then theres a problem
 
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