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Smogon Champions League VI - Week 4

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goldmason

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RoA & Tour Head
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>Spreadsheet<
>Games Schedule<
>Season Schedule<
>Prediction Form<

Tournament Rules and General Guidelines

Matchups:

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Showdown Shoguns (5) vs (5) Orange Islanders

SV OU: Axzel vs MemphisDepay
SV OU: Silent Waltz vs Ewin
SV OU: Vert vs kDCA
SV Ubers: Sheik : vs Highlord
SV DOU: breakfast enjoyer vs Xrn
SV UU: Sabella vs mintwinter
SV RU: hjkhj vs robjr
SV NU: lax vs GeniusX
SV PU: Trichotomy vs zS
SV LC: Eniigma vs reggg

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Arena Spartans (5) vs (5) Technical Machines

SV OU: Patatexv vs Potatochan
SV OU: Attribute vs zioziotrip
SV OU: Niko vs Separation
SV Ubers: Fc vs entrocefalo
SV DOU: Nails vs eragon
SV UU: etern vs Punny
SV RU: Spitfire vs THE_CHUNGLER
SV NU: Shadow079 vs HAVOCKNIGHT
SV PU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Kushalos
SV LC: JuanSG vs Envy

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Studio Gible (4) vs (6) Uncharted Terrors

SV OU: sire clod vs SirPeanutCronch
SV OU: Dugtrio Is Broken vs LB
SV OU: Fusien vs Achimoo
SV Ubers: Taka vs baconeatinassassin
SV DOU: bagel vs zee
SV UU: Gilbert arenas vs ChrisPBacon
SV RU: lighthouses vs zugubu royale
SV NU: Shengineer vs big tony 2014
SV PU: LpZ vs Drud
SV LC: tazz vs SammyCe123

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Circuit Breakers (5) vs (5) Indigo Platoon

SV OU: crying vs NoName6293
SV OU: SoulWind vs clean
SV OU: Rubyblood vs yerdunc
SV Ubers: Vitiate vs Icemaster
SV DOU: Ann vs DubiousBulb1033
SV UU: JustFranco vs Mossy Sandwich
SV RU: xavgb vs Hacker
SV NU: Nat vs Esteb4n
SV PU: MZ vs Cielau
SV LC: Lokifan vs Gondra

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Mt. Silver Foxes (7) vs (3) Power Plant Dynamos

SV OU: vk vs glass shadows
SV OU: Stareal vs Kebab mlml
SV OU: Pkel SweeTforU vs Garay oak
SV Ubers: Skyiew vs Mareep
SV DOU: qsns vs EternalSnowman
SV UU: pdt vs spell
SV RU: DugZa vs TheFranklin
SV NU: Danny vs Ruffles
SV PU: Mako vs Metallica126
SV LC: Laroxyl vs wail


Deadline will be September 27, 11:00 PM GMT -4.

Showdown Shoguns (0) vs (0) Orange Islanders
SV OU: Axzel vs MemphisDepay
SV OU: Silent Waltz vs Ewin
SV OU: Vert vs kDCA
SV Ubers: Sheik : vs Highlord
SV DOU: breakfast enjoyer vs Xrn
SV UU: Sabella vs mintwinter
SV RU: hjkhj vs robjr
SV NU: lax vs GeniusX
SV PU: Trichotomy vs zS
SV LC: Eniigma vs reggg

Arena Spartans (0) vs (0) Technical Machines
SV OU: Patatexv vs Potatochan
SV OU: Attribute vs zioziotrip
SV OU: Niko vs Separation
SV Ubers: Fc vs entrocefalo
SV DOU: Nails vs eragon
SV UU: etern vs Punny
SV RU: Spitfire vs THE_CHUNGLER
SV NU: Shadow079 vs HAVOCKNIGHT
SV PU: MichaelderBeste2 vs Kushalos
SV LC: JuanSG vs Envy

Studio Gible (0) vs (0) Uncharted Terrors
SV OU: sire clod vs SirPeanutCronch
SV OU: Dugtrio Is Broken vs LB
SV OU: Fusien vs Achimoo
SV Ubers: Taka vs baconeatinassassin
SV DOU: bagel vs zee
SV UU: Gilbert arenas vs ChrisPBacon
SV RU: lighthouses vs zugubu royale
SV NU: Shengineer vs big tony 2014
SV PU: LpZ vs Drud
SV LC: tazz vs SammyCe123

Circuit Breakers (0) vs (0) Indigo Platoon
SV OU: crying vs NoName6293
SV OU: SoulWind vs clean
SV OU: Rubyblood vs yerdunc
SV Ubers: Vitiate vs Icemaster
SV DOU: Ann vs DubiousBulb1033
SV UU: JustFranco vs Mossy Sandwich
SV RU: xavgb vs Hacker
SV NU: Nat vs Esteb4n
SV PU: MZ vs Cielau
SV LC: Lokifan vs Gondra

Mt. Silver Foxes (0) vs (0) Power Plant Dynamos
SV OU: vk vs glass shadows
SV OU: Stareal vs Kebab mlml
SV OU: Pkel SweeTforU vs Garay oak
SV Ubers: Skyiew vs Mareep
SV DOU: qsns vs EternalSnowman
SV UU: pdt vs spell
SV RU: DugZa vs TheFranklin
SV NU: Danny vs Ruffles
SV PU: Mako vs Metallica126
SV LC: Laroxyl vs wail
 
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3/4 for RU, 2/4 for NU. Ig I have consistency in my predicts to an extent.

SV RU: Spitfire vs THE_CHUNGLER
Spitfire had a cool sub herscu team that unfortunately lost to a lategame bisharp. Chung kinda got farmed by a TR team, which was a good call to make into him. I think I'm leaning spitfire here I feel? Chung I think has mainer dif, but his builds have felt very 'standard' and spitfire can flex into other stuff that does beat usual playstyles.
SV RU: lighthouses vs zugubu royale
Lighthouses ran a pretty standard team with feliloom (see Feliburn, I'm using sets/teams that reference you!) and lost while zugu ran a TR team that matched very well into chung. I do like zugubu's bring but I have a gut feeling lighthouse is going to bring something unexpected and win. Idk, lighthouse is def good and so this isn't a complete shock predict, but going into it you would think zugu has this. But idk, gut says diogo so I'm going with him.
SV RU: xavgb vs Hacker
Xav won with a pretty basic BO with d-tail rhyp (much to the chagrin of LBN prob) while hacker loaded an encore garde team that did well into HJK's load. I'm leaning xav, that last win does give me more confidence and I think he might now farm. Hacker is def not slouching, so lets hope this isn't a repeat of RUPL as a former teammate :)
SV RU: DugZa vs TheFranklin
Dug won his match yesterday as I predicted with a second espeon squad (why are people spamming this mon, its a bum) while franklin brought a fairly unique snow (well in terms of snow) that lost to a gastro that was somehow able to live all game (partially due to a crabhammer that let it get to full). I think I'm still leaning frank here. Dug has used unique teams which I do like, but I think frank will lock in now and farm. Though even I am bolding frank, please continue loading those nicknames they are funny AF LOL.

SV NU: Shadow079 vs HAVOCKNIGHT
Shadow unfort lost due to CB pert+flygon being too much to handle once his own flygon went down. Havoc used an offense team that beat whatever tony was running. I'm leaning shadow. Shadows team last week wasn't bad, just some misplays I think. Havoc's win I think will good, was less impressive. Still, close match I think. Unless shadow loads ground immune flygon with 3 ground weaks again but meh, not happening.
SV NU: Shengineer vs big tony 2014
Shen loaded Apersian+hoopa offense (I refuse to acknowledge apersian as real) which won once incin was forced to tera. Meanwhile tony loaded... a tony team. Look it had 4 actual mons and the shitmon got 1.5 ko's I'm counting that as a win. Two wacky people facing each other, I'm actually going tony. 1. I despise apersian and now shen is my enemy now for loading it 2. for a lesser reason, I think tony cooking will mess with shens cooking, leading to shenanigans that will give him the win.
SV NU: Nat vs Esteb4n
Nat brought a CB pert team that actually did quite well while esteb4n brought taunt gligar BO. I've liked both people so far (they are undefeated ofc) but I'm leaning nat. I've liked nat's techs and teams more wild nature, which I feel does well into esteb4ns more grounded approach.
SV NU: Danny vs Ruffles
Danny got a bit stomped by the combo of intel+hoopa, while ruffles (sorry, cheeser) won with stall against rain which had a few cool techs. I'm going cheeser on this one. Danny's teams have been a bit hit or miss, which I feel cheeser will exploit here. (If you want for me to stop calling you cheeser ruffles, my paypal is open and only needs $10 USD)
 
SV DOU: breakfast enjoyer vs Xrn
xrn and kcric r all 2-1 but shogun set breakfast. it is a little surprise, but breakfast is also good at dou. i vote him because i had imagined some cold burst.

SV DOU: Nails vs eragon
i believe eragon will come back but nails send sub last w, which means he didnt come back.

SV DOU: bagel vs zee
that is a tough season for zee. otherwise bagel did more soild.

SV DOU: Ann vs DubiousBulb1033
ann catch 2-1 and his skills r great. dub won last w, which means he has ability to catch scl. i think ann is more soild but dub has akaru to support so it will be an interesting game.

SV DOU: qsns vs EternalSnowman
the two player r all good. will esm bring his cool dnu mons? haha im interested avout it. and svdou have no shadow tag so i think qsns could do better.
 
Well, fuck me in my fat fuckin ass huh. 0-5. Yall really took it personally LMFAOOOO. Good shit though. I like being wrong. Looking like a dumbass isn't anythin new to me. If you can poke fun at anybody but yourself your a fuckin loser. Anyways, did you think this would make me stop my reckless slander techniques?

xavgb vs Hacker
You know it's very fucking funny. Last week I begged the breakers to intervene on stresh innovations, and the first week it happens he loads fucking Pressure Entei and it dies to Krookodile. Like come on bro LMFAOOOOOOOOO.

Off the backend of being against all odds and somehow even his own support, stresh Bisharp'd spitfire into oblivion. I think a lot of this had to do w low timer panics by spitfire, but still. Money where my mouth is, yeah? On the flip side, Hacker beat crowned prince HJK. In a game of KrookVernEmpo mirrors, BU Loom put in bullshit work as expected. I think this matchup is far more even than it looks and by all accounts I can see so many worlds this goes poorly for me. Buut I sniff the stresh redemption arc of spite coming. I don't dislike stresh by any means by the way, I may have ripped that man to shreds in my predicts last week but I do not mind seeing him win or anything lmao.

hjkhj vs robjr
This feels like one of those games where its just gonna be gore. zS winning and then being relocated back to PU is interesting, probably rob was just busy to be benched this early but who knows. Last week HJK lost using generic KrookVernEmpo slop, and if I'm honest, we gotta start retiring this team comp. Vern is one thing I think that mon is amazing, but these builds are solid but extremely exploitable, and last week tells me that more people gotta start branching out further for their BOs and balances. People gotta start trying some Swampert Offenses that teamcomp is flames. Also if nobody loads Feraligatr or some shit in HJK one of these days I'm gonna start crying.

Spitfire vs THE_CHUNGLER
This one is hard. If god loved him just a bit more, Spitfire would be sitting at a much prettier 2-1 record, if zugu didn't suck the holy spirit off for a last turn crit. Last week stresh handled him, with some misplays vs Tera Bisharp. Happens, Bisharp is a terrorist funded by- yknow lemme not finish that. Spitfire meanwhile lost to some bullshiiit I'm gonn get into later. But he basically auto lost on preview. This will be an important game for both, imo. I personally am bolding the one I wanna win most, personally. But it really can go either way.

lighthouses vs zugubu royale
Last week, Zugu loaded Gallade Trick room and unfortunately blasted the family man to pieces. Frankly there was no universe chungies was stopping that shit so good shout. Personally, I think loading more bullshit in this pool is the way to go. KrookEmpoVern type builds are not winning, and last week they accounted for almost every loss, barring a mirror and the zS frank game. I think these teams lack the bullshit insurance you want, and tends to not really excel in any one specific situation. Now I get it, covering shit is hard in this tier but all I see being rewarded rn is people getting more fun with it. The teams like Gary loaded W1, or chungy loaded week 3 aren't really cutting it. Be a bit more dishonest, and a bit more extreme w your guys. All I'm sayin'

DugZa vs TheFranklin
This might be the only time I'm bolding against Franklin all tour, but I feel like being brave. DugZa impresses me a lot, and his teams in particular are my favorite loads in the tour so far. Really good ass squads that mostly work. He'd be like 3-0 rn if he didn't not tera MMQ W1, but who knows. Maybe it was like Tera Normal for opposing MMQ. As for Frank, last week zS stopped the Cetitan Advance. This is why we run removal on snow, by the way. Sandslash or the rat pack, take your pick. Or Tentacruel. Tentacruel is cute actually.

Overall though, I think I wanna favor Dugza. Teams are on point, nicknames are on point and funny asf, especially the Zone W3 slander on the TL who has voted on 1/8 VR slates this entire year.
 
Ranking tiers in this tournament by the quality of coverage from their mainers:

1. RU

44 posts in its RU forum thread, and there's nice variety in the kinds of posts. lighthouses, Mareep, and HisuiHeat are all putting effort into their predicts, Slikkles is doing that while also making excellent match reviews, a handful of other posters are making predicts as well, and it's also the best-represented tier in terms of posts in the main SCL thread thanks to Heatranator and LBN.

2. DOU

somewhat fewer posts in DOU forum, only 22, although that's largely because fewer people are making the low-effort predicts. I really like that everyone who chips in (xqiht, Schister, mike, qsns, iPetBigfoot, Hys, gephicka, Val16) have all put effort in when they post. would probably be in first if Hasayo had kept posting after w1, their posts were really excellent and detailed

3. PU

pretty nice variety in the people talking in the PU forum thread. everyone has SOMETHING to say, and the forum's getting pretty consistent predicts. will say that recaps have only happened in video format, and generally there's an absence of larger posts. still, pretty respectable

4. UU

low in volume, solid in detail. bouff, slip, petros contributors so far. starbitstorm's posted video recaps: boo video recaps but at least it's something! and also, like, I feel like ru/nu/dou have more mainer depth once you get past the scl starters anyway, so uu just has a smaller supply of potential predictors anyway. not great, not bad

5. NU

could move this up or down, tbh. the NU forum thread has more activity than any of the non-RU threads, which is good! problem is that almost none of it has come in the form of high-effort posts. highest effort has come from like heatranator in scl week threads? definitely room for this to rise to top tier over the course of the tournament because clearly people are invested in this tour

6. LC

mostly just Trawkan and BlackKnight_Gawain, who have both had some posts that I've really enjoyed reading. problem is that they account for basically all the activity since w1, very dry otherwise in terms of predicts. however, lilyac's pr was peak

7. Ubers

pretty bad except for LouisIX, who's put in a ton of effort into going over every match so far. actually, pretty bad is an understatement, so thanks louis. notably like zero involvement from the people actually playing in the tournament, which sucks

8. OU

unimaginably dogshit. the thread is literally empty. last year was carried by 1LDK, and I don't expect that again because it was a ton of work and thankless, but NOBODY has highlighted cool matches or sets or anything. nobody has even mentioned cress in this thread. you can blame it on year 4 of sv all you want but none of the other tiers are in anywhere near this sorry a state. feel like the issue here must be that the ou mainers/ou forum goons from the last few years are now either like tour players or main another tier now and no one's come to replace them. I've generally liked the games, too, I don't think it's that the tier is so irredeemably dogshit that no one wants to talk about it. none of the starters even want to come in to defend or complain about cress??
 
Im doing this for ego
i was happy just winning fantasy league but i guess ill do this since its dead

Showdown Shoguns (0) vs (0) Orange Islanders
SV OU: Axzel vs MemphisDepay - Axzel is great and has more experience
SV OU: Silent Waltz vs Ewin - Hes gonna keep the drama up with this win
SV OU: Vert vs kDCA - could honestly go either way on this one. Expecting vert to bring some heat


Arena Spartans (0) vs (0) Technical Machines
SV OU: Patatexv vs Potatochan both subbed in recently but patatex won his
SV OU: Attribute vs zioziotrip - Attribute just looked better in previous weeks
SV OU: Niko vs Separation - china numba wan


Studio Gible (0) vs (0) Uncharted Terrors
SV OU: sire clod vs SirPeanutCronch - neither are doing too hot so ill go with the ost winner
SV OU: Dugtrio Is Broken vs LB - im doing this from my phone so idk how h2h looks but i feel like they have matched a lot? And dib has had the edge? (Dont quote me on this one. Not on pc to check my secret files)
SV OU: Fusien vs Achimoo - a slumping fusien vs a very good clicker. Just praying on a bounce back


Circuit Breakers (0) vs (0) Indigo Platoon
SV OU: crying vs NoName6293 - going with the youngblood, good olt run too
SV OU: SoulWind vs clean - clean is 3-0 while Sw is 1-2. But i do think sw played a way stronger schedule until now so ill bet on him not going 1-3. I also dont believe in a OU x-0
SV OU: Rubyblood vs yerdunc - although i did take ES over yerdunc in w1 of fantasy league im here to bless him with his 3rd consecutive


Mt. Silver Foxes (0) vs (0) Power Plant Dynamos
SV OU: vk vs glass shadows - f it, this OU core for the Foxes are doing amazing and is kinda hit so im going all in them
SV OU: Stareal vs Kebab mlml
SV OU: Pkel SweeTforU vs Garay oak
 
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