ZU Olympiad III - Week 5

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AC7

AC7

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art by skrimps <3
Hosted by FlamPoke and myself

Follow all tournament rules, as shown here.
Please schedule on Smogon, through VMs if able, makes it easier for me in the case an activity call needs to be made.
Managers may make substitutions once the week has begun, please tag the hosts( FlamPoke and I) as well as the opposing manager, and the opposing player that is affected by the substitution. Players that are subbed out may not be subbed back in that week.
Replays are mandatory for your win to count.

<<Commencement Thread>>
<<Admin Decisions>>
<<Spreadsheet>>


:ivysaur: Ivy Gang (6) vs (4) Moonshine Musharnas :musharna:
SV: Tuthur vs Tizio
SV: LettuceLeaf07 vs BloodAce
SS: Toto vs diegoyuhhi
SM: sugar ovens vs LPY
ORAS: sleid vs neomon
BW: Monai vs Dusk
DPP: Hubriz vs BeatsBlack
ADV: nebi vs JoaF
GSC: LustfulLice vs THE_CHUNGLER
RBY: Maris Bonibell vs NotVeryCake

:probopass: Pretentious Probopass (8) vs (2) Venomous Vigilantes :venomoth:
SV: fish anemometer vs sinnabyss
SV: DripLegend vs Ineros
SS: PrinceOfAllTacos vs Pokeslice
SM: Drud vs DugZa
ORAS: a fruitshop owner vs Baddy
BW: Yovan vs OranBerryBlissey10
DPP: btboy vs yo cho
ADV: bydy vs Zpice
GSC: Alice Kazumi vs BaitWiz
RBY: torkonpeter vs SaDiSTiCNarwhal

:persian: Pay Day Persians (3) vs (6) Simi Spectacles :simisear:
SV: asa vs SPHZ
SV: Michael Jordan vs feen
SS: 5gen vs Ninja
SM: MZ vs Danny
ORAS: estra vs 5Dots
BW: skrimps vs Tack
DPP: Plague vs wooper
ADV: Baoba vs Pengu
GSC: Aurist vs BeeOrSomething
RBY: YBW vs Cao Jie

The deadline is Sunday, February 23rd at 23:59 GMT -5.
Ivy Gang (0) vs (0) Moonshine Musharnas
SV: Tuthur vs TomatoZause
SV: LettuceLeaf07 vs BloodAce
SS: Toto vs diegoyuhhi
SM: sugar ovens vs LPY
ORAS: sleid vs neomon
BW: Monai vs Dusk
DPP: Hubriz vs BeatsBlack
ADV: nebi vs JoaF
GSC: LustfulLice vs THE_CHUNGLER
RBY: Maris Bonibell vs NotVeryCake

Pretentious Probopass (0) vs (0) Venomous Vigilantes
SV: fish anemometer vs sinnabyss
SV: DripLegend vs Ineros
SS: PrinceOfAllTacos vs Pokeslice
SM: drud vs DugZa
ORAS: a fruitshop owner vs Baddy
BW: Yovan vs Valerie
DPP: btboy vs yo cho
ADV: bydy vs Zpice
GSC: Alice Kazumi vs BaitWiz
RBY: torkonpeter vs SaDiSTiCNarwhal

Pay Day Persians (0) vs (0) Simi Spectacles
SV: asa vs SPHZ
SV: Michael Jordan vs feen
SS: 5gen vs Ninja
SM: MZ vs SBPC
ORAS: estra vs 5Dots
BW: skrimps vs Tack
DPP: Plague vs wooper
ADV: Baoba vs Pengu
GSC: Aurist vs BeeOrSomething
RBY: YBW vs a fairy
 
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Predicts:
Ivy Gang (1) vs (3) Moonshine Musharnas
SV: Tuthur vs TomatoZause - Among the strongest SV players in the pool; Zause has been coming off a hot streak in ZUPL and boasted excellent results, and Tuthur has some of the most experience and knowledge in the tier. Despite Tuthur's record I'm predicting zause to win thanks to his greater willingness to use anti-meta teams and greater upset potential, though I wouldn't be surprised to see the matchup flip either case.
SV: LettuceLeaf07 vs BloodAce - Both boasting even records, BloodAce is a strong favorite coming into the matchup, coming in with more experience backed up with Zause and CHUNGLER support. LettuceLeaf has proved to be well worth the 3K cost and has upset notable tour players in his run, and likewise has support from fellow managers sleid and Toto. Leaf also has more games played and has provided some relatively consistent teams. This is a closer matchup than one would think and would like to see how it turns out.
SS: Toto vs diegoyuhhi - Diego is tearing up the pool and doesn't look like he's going to stop. Boasting the sole 4-0 record in Olympiad and being one of the strongest builders in SS, he is the player to beat going forward in the playoffs. However, Toto has proven to be a capable player and builder in the SS pool himself, and has boasted excellent results in previous ZUPLs himself.
ORAS: sleid vs neomon - sleid is the favorite here, boasting council experience and several tours of ORAS as a builder and starter. neomon has pulled off great work in the pool through a solid record and piloting teams well.

Pretentious Probopass (0) vs (1) Venomous Vigilantes

These games are a 50-50, so I picked a coin to substitute me in.
Screenshot 2025-02-17 at 1.31.54 AM.png


Tagging @Heads Tails for their thoughts on the Moths and Noses.
 
ADV ZU:

bydy vs Zpice - Should be a close set, but I give the edge to bydy because of his support with Melninja. Since these 2 are running a bo3, this could really go either way. If Zpice can get good support from his team, but not drift too far from his style of builds, I can see this being a slog fest to the end.

Baoba vs Pengu - After seeing that the adv zu God, Baoba can be defeated, I see this being a close battle if Pengu prepares well. Baoba should be the favorite, but Pengu is a very knowledgeable player that could squeak out a win. After coming off 2 losses in a row however, I expect Baoba to lock in for his team.
 
Ivy Gang (0) vs (0) Moonshine Musharnas
SS: Toto vs diegoyuhhi - Tough to predict against diego with how well he's done so far. Toto looked great last week with how he nailed prep and cruised to a win. diego's prep was also spot-on last week, and I feel that he knows Toto well enough to craft a good matchup. I rate both of their in-game play more or less evenly. I just think diego will put more effort into prep, so I give him the slight edge.
SM: sugar ovens vs LPY - It's happening. The Musharnas opted to slot in LPY in this final week. I'm not sure how much time LPY has had to build and test this tour, and tbh a big part of me doesn't think that matters much. Full disclosure, I'm biased here because LPY has loads of SM experience to fall back on. Meanwhile, sugar ovens hasn't looked too impressive this Olympiad. I think he's a sound pilot most of the time, but there have been some noticeable turns with misplays or mispredictions over these past four weeks.
ORAS: sleid vs neomon - Although sleid lost last week and neomon won his game, I think sleid is favored. sleid is more in-tune with the meta and has a lot more experience in it. However, neomon has proven to be a capable player in ORAS. I've liked neo's teams for the most part (didn't like not having a Normal resist last week) and he can pilot them. Wouldn't be surprised if neomon pulls an upset.

Pretentious Probopass (0) vs (0) Venomous Vigilantes
SS: PrinceOfAllTacos vs Pokeslice - To be honest, I'm rooting for poat because I've drafted him before and know how good he can be. Using my head though, it wouldn't be fair to predict against slice because he's had many more reps in the tier. slice also has OBB support, which outclasses the SS support the Probos have.
SM: drud vs DugZa - Highlight matchup. Dugza is back to even after he started out 0-2, whereas this is the first I've seen drud in SM in idk how long. drud has fruits and btboy's support and is a great pilot in general, so I can easily see him win this. The thing is, both teams can't make playoffs so idk if either player will build something new. I'm going with dugza as he's more proven in SM.
ORAS: a fruitshop owner vs Baddy - I've never seen Baddy play ORAS. There could be an upset here considering it's ORAS, but I don't really see that happening.
 
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I've come to curse predicts once more. Good luck. You'll need it.

Oh also I'm done predicting ADV-RBY sorry

Ivy Gang (0) vs (0) Moonshine Musharnas
SV: Tuthur vs TomatoZause - Zause is living rent free in Tuthur's head and he seems to be playing well so I'll give it to him
SV: LettuceLeaf07 vs BloodAce - i wont predict this just for u bloodace good luck both players :)
SS: Toto vs diegoyuhhi - diego's been cooking out of his skull and Toto loaded a giga cteam into us last week that lost to basically anything real
SM: sugar ovens vs LPY - LPY's freed and I believe in him and his prior experience. It's time.
ORAS: sleid vs neomon - I stand by neomon's performances being pretty lackluster and I think sleid's doing quite well - plus, he's got Toto support which counts for something.
BW: Monai vs Dusk - They've both been doing solid but I've got a bit of bias towards Monai just because I think he's a great player and his losses tend to be pretty misleading most of the time.
DPP: Hubriz vs BeatsBlack - I think beats going negative would be crazy and I'm honestly here for it, maybe people will stop buying him for 27k

Pay Day Persians (0) vs (0) Simi Spectacles
SV: asa vs SPHZ - They're both solid but I feel like Simis have a little bit better grasp on SV atm so I'm giving Seraphz the edge
SV: Michael Jordan vs feen - feen will break the ZU curse and be positive again
SS: 5gen vs Ninja - 5gen's builds always get a plus from me and he's been doing great this tour. Ninja's a solid player but his support's not the greatest unless Danny steps up this week.
SM: MZ vs SBPC - I'm not bolding against an absolutely on fire MZ in SM, but I think SBPC's wild ass building could find a hole in MZ's builds or just catch a solid matchup.
ORAS: estra vs 5Dots - One of 5Dots' greatest strengths in this tier is finding weaknesses in peoples' building and I think that estra's building definitely has some flaws that can be taken advantage of if he isn't careful.
BW: skrimps vs Tack - 4-0 skrimps is inevitable
DPP: Plague vs wooper - Plague's an excellent player and has been doing well basically all tour while wooper's improving but not quite on the same level imo when both sides are putting their full effort in. Wooper played fine enough last week, but he also got lucky between two full para's on Grotle which prevented Drud from getting rocks up and some fortunate crits in the mid to lategame.
 
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