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NOC Everchanging Mafia - Game thread - Day 4!

I mean, I was previously on the D1 No Vote wagon in past games. I think this setup is probably the one where we gain the most value from not voting Day 1 as well.

I’ll answer the rest later
 
@LN the problem with no vote is we're largely just going into D2 blind whereas even if we miss on our vote D1 we can at least learn something about who voted where and why, and there are ways to vote that can minimize the effects of town losing one person

I stand by what I said in the last thread that getting rid of the players with the lowest long-term value to town early is probably optimal but also that I'd feel bad doing it to des two games in a row
i disagree we're necessarily going in blind due to the roles (though i will agree thats unlikely to matter) and also like, just because we didnt vote someone doesnt mean we dont have info
 
With the general consensus of the NOC veterans being "shut the fuck up LN" though, I'm a bit curious by DBD's decision to sheep me because I would actually put him in high esteem as a NOC veteran. So he should know that apparently No Voting on day 1 is a stupid decision (forgive my ignorance in the matter of no voting vs. voting, i don't play NOC)

My vibes say it's DBD wanting to placate my ego because he thinks doing so will make me less suspicious of him.

So for the moment, I'm in favor of voting Dead By Daylight at least until he comes around to make a defense.
my understanding is that no vote is generally not preferred but depending on the setup it could be preferred and im a little surprised everyone just immediately rejects the concept
 
I have never played a NOC, can someone tell me why we would ever do anything other than no vote rather than risk a misvote on D1?

D1 no vote: 14/4
N1 Kill: 13/4
D2 Misvote: 12/4
N2 Kill: 11/4
D3 Misvote: 10/4
N3 Kill: 9/4
D4 Misvote: 8/4
N4 Kill: 7/4
D5 Misvote: 6/4
N5 Kill: 5/4

Results in a LYLO on D6

Misvoting on D1 allows N5 to be the night that mafia equalizes the numbers, giving us one fewer day cycle to converse.
like this to me is very convincing, even if you believe that d1's talk is entirely meaningless we basically get that day 'back' on d6
 
i do think theres a higher than 1/14 chance of protect working bc the mafia is more likely to go for some targets (like the vets) than others (like the newbies), but i agree that its pretty unlikely
 
whys this game dead. Speaking of Dead by Daylight why are u town?
role PM says so

Dead by Daylight can i get your 4 strongest townreads at this point so i know who to vote for?
ppl like you/laurel maybe?

forgive the angleshoot, but we talked about des in between games. What made you change your mind from what you said there?
we learned a bit about scum des last game + believe NVing D1 in this setup is optimal
 
I'm naive when it comes to this game and stuff, but I also see no reason to need to vote someone out here N1. Yeah, maybe we shoot right, but I think the math works out so that we might just be better off waiting for more information idk.
 
I like the idea of a mafia game being held hostage by a town refusing to hang people and a mafia refusing to kill people to prevent either side from gaining anything

LonelyNess is this your first mafia game? or just your first noc?

Definitely not my first mafia game. It is just my first NOC. In a high powered OC (as is typical of a Smogon OC mafia), a no vote that results in a guaranteed additional night cycle is generally strong because it gives the village an entire extra night cycle to use their abilities (and the village typically has strong informative roles and far fewer misvote buffers in Smogon OC games)

In an NOC with such weak villagers i'm willing to agree that a no vote doesn't help nearly as much (if at all)
 
i do think theres a higher than 1/14 chance of protect working bc the mafia is more likely to go for some targets (like the vets) than others (like the newbies), but i agree that its pretty unlikely
its way more since for a no vote to be suboptimal there just has to be one protect throughout the whole game

if we care about the extra cycle to discuss, we can just no vote in MYLO which is optimal anyway.

I dont love dbd hopping on the no vote honestly

LN and laurel are still my towncore atm
 
Definitely not my first mafia game. It is just my first NOC. In a high powered OC (as is typical of a Smogon OC mafia), a no vote that results in a guaranteed additional night cycle is generally strong because it gives the village an entire extra night cycle to use their abilities (and the village typically has strong informative roles and far fewer misvote buffers in Smogon OC games)

In an NOC with such weak villagers i'm willing to agree that a no vote doesn't help nearly as much (if at all)
Doesn't help is an understatement, it actually harm town unless I'm mistaken. Unless we go the route of denying mafia abilities (which they already have like almost 0 uses for), no vote just amounts to wasting actions for town and gaining no additional info from it
 
i feel like every game these days theres like 1-2 people advocating for no vote, definitely i think there should be a vote. someone i forgot who when i was first starting told me this philosophy i still stand by, that like our votes as town is our form of kp and we shouldnt waste this power and try to get information
 
not scumreading anyone on no vote though, seems to be valid reasons, but seriously ln uve been on this site playing mafia since before i was fucking born and youve never played a noc?
 
Definitely not my first mafia game. It is just my first NOC. In a high powered OC (as is typical of a Smogon OC mafia), a no vote that results in a guaranteed additional night cycle is generally strong because it gives the village an entire extra night cycle to use their abilities (and the village typically has strong informative roles and far fewer misvote buffers in Smogon OC games)

In an NOC with such weak villagers i'm willing to agree that a no vote doesn't help nearly as much (if at all)
We're kind of opposites then, I don't really think OCs are for me. I like everything being in one easily reviewable thread

I think also in NOCs we need information as quick as possible and in weaker games like this something like voting patterns can at least be a start, since N1 Mafia kill is essentially random and leaves no real public information, if that makes sense.
 
I have never played a NOC, can someone tell me why we would ever do anything other than no vote rather than risk a misvote on D1?

D1 no vote: 14/4
N1 Kill: 13/4
D2 Misvote: 12/4
N2 Kill: 11/4
D3 Misvote: 10/4
N3 Kill: 9/4
D4 Misvote: 8/4
N4 Kill: 7/4
D5 Misvote: 6/4
N5 Kill: 5/4

Results in a LYLO on D6

Misvoting on D1 allows N5 to be the night that mafia equalizes the numbers, giving us one fewer day cycle to converse.
Mathematics aside -- voting D1 generates information quickly (both from the flip and from voting patterns). If everybody agrees to no vote D1, then D2 becomes D1. Just with one fewer player. Towns lose when nothing happens in thread.

Also idk if anyone has pointed this out yet but it's easier for a doc to hit the kill target when there are fewer people.
 
Like just plain and simple, the protect action working is such a minute chance that we should assume it will never succeed and go with the conservative play of a no vote. We get 4 misvotes either way.
If the person using it is competent the odds are actually decent later on. The fact that we're passing it around is interesting for this. Like, it can't get stuck on someone who won't use it well. We also won't have a single hero doc who stops 2+ kills lol.

In general I think we should expect the powers to go better than average but in a very swingy way. Unfortunately I think claiming "I'm usually good at <role>" is extremely bad here...
 
If the person using it is competent the odds are actually decent later on. The fact that we're passing it around is interesting for this. Like, it can't get stuck on someone who won't use it well. We also won't have a single hero doc who stops 2+ kills lol.

In general I think we should expect the powers to go better than average but in a very swingy way. Unfortunately I think claiming "I'm usually good at <role>" is extremely bad here...
Extremely bad? I claim that im good at doc and usually get a heal in games, I DARE mafia to try and kill me, lets see if they hit the protect heal or the turn where im doc...
 
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