Tournament Hackmons Premier League II - Playoffs

[Electra102]

(art by Rex, repurposed winners art for HPL I)
For any questions please refer to Rex or Electra102

- Roster and Schedule | Standings (Records) | Commencement -
- Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Playoffs | Finals -

Welcome to the sixth week and playoffs of HPL II! Let’s get into this week’s matchups-

Nefarious Necrozmas (0) vs. (0) Pink Giraffes
SV BH: damflame 3 vs Wheaty
SV BH: Taka vs Treeko928
SS BH: quojova vs Jqlove
SM BH: Chessking345 vs jasprose
ND BH: shadowpea vs Clas
SM PH: TheCreatorOfBullsht vs sussyamongusdrip
ORAS PH: Ballfire vs LycanrocWastaken
ORAS PH Bo3: aerobee vs Glory

Nihilistic Nihilegos (0) vs. (0) Sigma Star Kyogres
SV BH: pannu vs NightEdge
SV BH: One Last Kiss vs FlamPoke
SS BH: Tanny89k vs Kabilapok
SM BH: QT vs rumia
ND BH: TTTech vs Mewtwo's Greatest Soldier
SM PH: aidan amoongus vs PenultimateToast
ORAS PH: GhastlyPixie vs adriancosmoem
ORAS PH Bo3: NToTheN vs jb291

Good luck to all of the teams!

Deadline for this week is <t:1757908740:f>​

 

[aidan amoongus]

i was told the necrozmas and nihilegos would win

 

[mayonnaise. mayo.]

ok so for the playoffs instead of top 5 matchups i'm doing FULL-ON PH PREDICTS YIPPEEEEE!!!!!! (week )

Nefarious Necrozmas (2) vs. (1) Pink Giraffes
SM PH: TheCreatorOfBullsht (60) vs (40) sussyamongusdrip
sussy did poor in the regular season for his standards and bullsht gets to alternate between him and Pure Hackmons himself
ORAS PH: Ballfire (50) vs (50) LycanrocWastaken
i wasn't keeping up with either's records this tour so i'm going to make this a tie
ORAS PH Bo3: aerobee (50) vs (50) Glory
last time i checked glory hates oras but aerobee left the council so i don't know. making this also a tie.

Nihilistic Nihilegos (2.5) vs. (0.5) Sigma Star Kyogres
SM PH: aidan amoongus (50) vs (50) PenultimateToast
both are eh pilots and aidan's most likely to pilot n teambuilding while ptoast has adrian teambuilding. don't know who to give this to so i'm making it a tie
ORAS PH: GhastlyPixie (75) vs (25) adriancosmoem
i've barely seen adrian play oras at all and pix has played oras this tour + n's teambuilding which is arguably the best in the tier
ORAS PH Bo3: NToTheN (65) vs (35) jb291
jb did well last hpl but he got to pilot teams made by Pure Hackmons himself and their opponent is literally the tier leader

 

[GhastlyPixie]

The predicts above me are awful so I have to do better.

Nefarious Necrozmas (7.5) vs. (.5) Pink Giraffes
SV BH: damflame 3 (60) vs Wheaty (40)
Wheaty will either build something super unorthodox that works or build some basic shit that loses. Damflame is also the better clicker.
SV BH:Taka (60) vs Treeko928 (40)
Treeko and their building doesn’t impress me so I think Taka with a good team wins.
SS BH: quojova (55) vs Jqlove (45)
I think QuoJova is the better clicker and builder so I’m leaning towards them.
SM BH: Chessking345 (55) vs jasprose (45) ChessKing is good when they don’t throw for no reason so as long as Chess plays well I think he wins.
ND BH: shadowpea (65) vs Clas (35)
Shadowpea is really good, that is all.
SM PH: TheCreatorOfBullsht (60) vs sussyamongusdrip (40)
Sussy hasn’t amazed me with their usum builds whereas bullshit builds decent teams.
ORAS PH: Ballfire (55) vs LycanrocWastaken (45)
I think Ballfire builds are more consistent but Lycan can win if they don’t choke.
ORAS PH Bo3: aerobee (50) vs Glory (50)
I can’t in good faith bold either of them. I think this could go either way.

I am not biased towards the necroz btw.

MATCHUPS I’M HYPED FOR:


ChessKing vs Jasprose
Aerobee vs Glory
GhastlyPixie vs AdrianCosmoem
QT vs MICKLE
NToTheN vs Jb

 

[LycanrocWastaken]

Nihilistic Nihilegos (1.08) vs. (.92) Sigma
Kyogres

SM PH: aidan amoongus (60) vs PenultimateToast (40)
From prior weeks, the Nihilegos have proven to be slightly better usum supports. Clicking wise, not sure how PToast performs.

ORAS PH: GhastlyPixie (51) vs adriancosmoem (49)
Similar clicking, really depends on whoever builds better. I think Pixie knows slightly more about the current ORAS meta from prior games, but should be really close, especially in Bo1.

ORAS PH Bo3: NToTheN (45) vs jb291 (55)
N is the better clicker, however, Jb builds a bit more special = harder to cteam = likely have a better mu, we will see. If the MU is neutral, N probably wins by clicking.

Really close PH lineups.

PH Matchups I'm excited for:
Aerobee vs Glory
NToTheN vs jb291

 

[cityscapes]

subbing rumia in over Mickle314

QT GhastlyPixie Rex Electra102

 

[aerobee]

closer than the numbers imply, probably 5-3 Nihilegos in reality
Nihilistic Nihilegos (5) vs. (2) Sigma Kyogres
SV BH: pannu (57) vs (43) NightEdge
NightEdge is genuinely decent but to my knowledge their teams have been more one-dimensional, which pannu's building style intrinsically matches up well against
SV BH: One Last Kiss (48) vs (52) FlamPoke
I actually think this is really close, both have very strong building support and OLK didn't misplay that badly in their game. Giving FlamPoke a slight edge due to higher familiarity + greater shown consistency
SS BH: Tanny89k (60) vs (40) Kabilapok
Don't know how optimal building goes in this tier but from what I've seen piloting is much more important and Tanny is noticeably more precise
SM BH: QT vs rumia
Normally I watch a few replays when I'm not familiar with players when predicting, but I couldn't find any of rumia playing so no % values. From what I gathered the in-game lines are decently complex (but nothing ridiculous) so familiarity matters though, QT prob takes this
ND BH: TTTech vs Mewtwo's Greatest Soldier
Similar deal, I am familiar with gloomstalker's playing in PH though and Kyogres' ND has been struggling
SM PH: aidan amoongus (49) vs (51) PenultimateToast
I clicked on one of ptoast's replays and saw unecro spam. Think this is even
ORAS PH: GhastlyPixie (50) vs (50) adriancosmoem
I don't think either has particularly strong building support and both play similarly well. I'd bold Pix due to greater familiarity but adrian's still in our PHPL channels
ORAS PH Bo3: NToTheN (55) vs (45) jb291
I feel like N unintentionally wins/loses a lot in the builder and N/jb aren't vastly different in playing skill. N's teams are overall more likely to pull matchup though as long as they properly prep for Dual MMX

 

[Chessking345]

6-4 but I don't think it was very good, the closer ones I think I all bombed, fairly good top games.

SV BH: pannu vs NightEdge (47 - 53)
I think if pannu was really invested they can build a stronger team but otherwise their teams have been pretty lazy/sloppy, while NightEdge has gotten passed stuff I still think their teams look more solid. Playwise I think its similar, pannu is a stronger overall player but I don't recall seeing NightEdge make any notable mistakes which is very good. Also NightEdge came out on top in their last brawl.

SV BH: One Last Kiss vs FlamPoke (40 - 60)
OLK piloted very respectably in their debut game, but FlamPoke has been on fire this tour overall and the built up experience is relevant. Teamwise I think both are just going to load either a reuse or something super similar to a reuse, most likely OLK bringing some standard QT structure while FlamPoke bringing a build from their managers.

SS BH: Tanny89k vs Kabilapok (55 - 45)
Think this is very close, Tanny grinded out the win last time though I think they had a team advantage. Kabilapok as shown from last week is capable of piloting reasonably well as long as their team/matchup holds out. Team consistency though I favour Tanny so giving edge there.

SM BH: QT vs rumia (70 - 30)
I have no recollection of seeing rumia play a BH tier so I don't know for sure how they are, but QT is generally consistent (though has a habit of clicking too fast sometimes) and I think as long as stuff like Fairy Aura don't appear this should be pretty advantaged for QT.

ND BH: TTTech vs Mewtwo's Greatest Soldier (75 - 25)
I'm giving this much of an edge to TTTech because he's had a very good run so far despite barely building new teams for reg season, meaning if he's motivated he should be able to get some new sauce without being burnt out, and his teams have looked generally solid and enough diversity despite boringish nature. Meanwhile Mewtwo's Greatest Soldier I'm pretty sure has no tour experience on Smogon which is relevant, and also doesn't have much ND experience afaik. Kyogre's ND slot in general has been quite shaky and I think there is going to be knowledge + skill gap here. Oh and also Mewtwo's Greatest Soldier has an agenda for trying to get Triple Arrows banned so thats like huge points against them.

Top 2 games of the week:
ORAS PH: aerobee vs Glory
SS BH: Tanny89k vs Kabilapok