Tournament MWP VII - Finals

[goldmason]

Art by Moosical
Hosted by goldmason, evakiyama!, and magialice

Monotype Winter Premier VII
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• Follow all rules listed here.
• Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for us to make decisions for activity calls when I can actually see what went down with scheduling.
• If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP. Managers, please ping the opposing team's pingable role to inform them.
• Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.
• If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.
• Replays are mandatory. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, but they also contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later.

vs

Victory Road Victinis (0) vs (0) Northern Veils
SV: Rio Vidal vs twinkay
SV: Xiri vs Tarre25
SV: Fusien vs Chaitanya
SV: MichaelderBeste2 vs Vodoom
SS: Rinda vs Tenebricite
SM: etern vs Sabella
ORAS: 1 True Lycan vs feen
BW: nomadderwhat vs DAHLI
NatDex: Fixzation vs Premonitions
Monothreat: Ewin vs Taka

Threat type is FLYING

Prediction Template

Victory Road Victinis (0) vs (0) Northern Veils
SV: Rio Vidal vs twinkay
SV: Xiri vs Tarre25
SV: Fusien vs Chaitanya
SV: MichaelderBeste2 vs Vodoom
SS: Rinda vs Tenebricite
SM: etern vs Sabella
ORAS: 1 True Lycan vs feen
BW: nomadderwhat vs DAHLI
NatDex: Fixzation vs Premonitions
Monothreat: Ewin vs Taka

Deadline: <t:1769403540:F>​

 

[Ethereal Sword]

Predictions based on theoretical manager prices using the MPL formula.

Details

In MPL, the manager pricing formula was:
Manager price = (M-1) * 500 * # of wins last MPL + (P + 3000) + 750 * # of wins last MPL - 1000 * # of losses last MPL
where M is the number of selfbuys and P is the price in the previous MPL.
For simplicity, we'll take M=1 here for everyone, P as the auction price from this tour, and the wins and losses based on this MWP as well. I will not be adjusting for the tier they are playing. I will also not be imposing the minimum price of 10000 that was used in MPL.
Disclaimer: This does not mean anything with regard to future manager prices as MWP does not use a formula like MPL does. This is purely hypothetical.

Data

Player	Price	Wins	Losses	Final
Rio Vidal	6500	4	4	8500
Xiri	7500	6	2	13000
Fusien	21500	5	3	25250
MichaelderBeste2	19500	2	4	20000
Rinda	10000	4	4	12000
etern	7000	4	2	11000
1 True Lycan	17500	6	2	23000
nomadderwhat	3000	6	2	8500
Fixzation	8500	3	5	8750
Ewin	7000	4	3	10000
twinkay	20000	7	1	27250
Tarre25	6500	5	3	10250
Chaitanya	17000	3	4	18250
Vodoom	6500	0	5	4500
Tenebricite	20000	4	4	22000
Sabella	9000	4	4	11000
feen	6000	6	2	11500
DAHLI	17500	5	2	22250
Premonitions	3000	3	1	7250
Taka	3500	1	1	6250

Victory Road Victinis (6) vs (3) Northern Veils
SV: Rio Vidal (8500) vs twinkay (27250)
SV: Xiri (13000) vs Tarre25 (10250)
SV: Fusien (25250) vs Chaitanya (18250)
SV: MichaelderBeste2 (20000) vs Vodoom (4500)
SS: Rinda (12000) vs Tenebricite (22000)
SM: etern (11000) vs Sabella (11000)
ORAS: 1 True Lycan (23000) vs feen (11500)
BW: nomadderwhat (8500) vs DAHLI (22250)
NatDex: Fixzation (8750) vs Premonitions (7250)
Monothreat: Ewin (10000) vs Taka (6250)

Good luck all.