Tournament OMPL XIII - Week One

Vertigo

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Art by Rex The Eater Of Worlds
Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Semifinals | Finals
Information Thread | Roster | Schedule | Standings | Replays


It is recommended to play all games on SmogTours in the most current version of the format corresponding to those listed above. Games can be played on the Pokemon Showdown main server, but run higher risk of interference from server restarts/crashes.​



Scheduling
Scheduling should be done on Smogon Profile walls, plain and simple:​
- If there is communication on only one user's behalf, the win will go to them. Feel free to call activity in this thread beforehand​
- If there is a very healthy back and forth regarding potential times and one user is a no-show, a manager may take the opportunity to sub out the no-show competitor; if this is not done, the user that showed up responsibly will be awarded the win.​
TL;DR: Post on your opponent's Smogon wall, schedule your matches, and be reliable. If you can't play for any reason, let your manager know so they can sub you out ASAP.​



Sportsmanship
Exhibitions of unsportsmanlike conduct with regards to the Other Metagame Premier League will be met with an infraction at the discretion of the OMPL host/OM mods. This is unlikely to include interactions within a team's private chat unless there is reason found to make an exception. This rule is meant to protect other users from being publicly flamed/bashed/provoked by another competitor for the duration of and following the tournament.​
All players must complete their matches by the given deadline. Any incomplete matches by that time will be subject to an activity decision (MAKE SURE YOU POST ON YOUR OPPONENT'S WALL); otherwise, it will be a deadgame. All matches should ideally be done on your most notable alt to avoid confusion and all match replays must be saved and posted in this thread.​



Substitutions & Lineups
Managers, if you wish to make any substitutions, you must post here tagging both the player you're subbing out, the player you're subbing in, the manager and assistant manager of the opposing team, the substitute's opponent, and all of the hosts. This is to assure that everyone is in-the-loop and that the OP is updated accordingly to reflect the new match-up.​
Managers, when you send in lineups, please send it in with the tier and Smogon username of each player fully written out for ease of transcription.​





:virizion: W VIRIZZIONS (0) vs (0) Crazy Diamond Dialgas :dialga:
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX
STAB: Fusien vs word
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek
GG: pannu vs Nashrock
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas

:ponyta-galar: Pink Ponyta Club (0) vs (0) Commanders :tatsugiri:
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs
AAA: feen vs Iride
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA
GG: Lily vs Fc
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3

:diancie: Dazzling Diancies (0) vs (0) Zoomer Zeraoras :zeraora:
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato
AAA: Mada vs Lana
BH: Wheaty vs quojova
STAB: abriel vs Kaif
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer
GG: LBN vs Fraise
PiC: yuki vs zoe
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster

:gholdengo: Gholden Witches (0) vs (0) Heart Takers :manaphy:
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike
AAA: pyu vs Stareal
BH: Akira 153 vs Ivar57
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123

bo3 first meta is Mix and Mega
1747666024984.png


Deadline for this week is <t:1748224800>

W VIRIZZIONS (0) vs (0) Crazy Diamond Dialgas
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX
STAB: Fusien vs word
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek
GG: pannu vs Nashrock
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas

Pink Ponyta Club (0) vs (0) Commanders
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs
AAA: feen vs Iride
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA
GG: Lily vs Fc
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3

Dazzling Diancies (0) vs (0) Zoomer Zeraoras
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato
AAA: Mada vs Lana
BH: Wheaty vs quojova
STAB: abriel vs Kaif
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer
GG: LBN vs Fraise
PiC: yuki vs zoe
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster

Gholden Witches (0) vs (0) Heart Takers
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike
AAA: pyu vs Stareal
BH: Akira 153 vs Ivar57
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123
 
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W VIRIZZIONS (4) vs (4) Crazy Diamond Dialgas
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O - shiloh has more experience but O1 has the better builder
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom - matte probably takes it
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX - I don't know how well Quinn can play BH but sevag has experience and has a stronger builder so probably takes this
STAB: Fusien vs word - w0rd has a bit of catching up to do in terms of metagame trends and fusien has a strong builder on their side + is a very very strong clicker
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek - placu goat
GG: pannu vs Nashrock - yeah
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp - nf is fresh of a seasonal win, that momentum could help them here although dfm has more experience
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas - highlight match. both are extremely strong players with extremely strong builder support. if clas keeps his head he wins

Pink Ponyta Club (5) vs (3) Commanders
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs - glory is just too strong as a player builder for me to be confident in bird here
AAA: feen vs Iride - feen is incredibly strong and has a great builder behind him
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - this is probably the last person you want to see on your ompl debut
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem - could go either way but i feel like rudi has better recent results
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA - it's the battle of builder vs clicker. the commanders don't have that much support in mnm and slither wing is a very competent player builder so won't be surprised to see them take the win, but rofna is equivalently a very strong player
GG: Lily vs Fc - i think not bolding lily is a crime
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo - tough w1 mu for hizo. he can defo take it though
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3 - damflame 3 is a great all rounder with BH experience, and with decent GG support he probably pulls this off

Dazzling Diancies (4) vs (3) Zoomer Zeraoras
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato - I think kinetic is the stronger player, and has the building skills to keep up with siamato
AAA: Mada vs Lana - ultimately lana is an incredible player but mada is as well, and i think diancies have the stronger builder
BH: Wheaty vs quojova - experience says quojova but don't count wheaty out
STAB: abriel vs Kaif - this can go either way, abriel is an extremely strong player and she can definitely win if she gets the matchup right
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer - yeah... i'll bold zasnoob...
GG: LBN vs Fraise - lbn is defo the stronger player but fraise has a lot of experience in the tier and will probably be ready for most builds the diancies can throw at him
PiC: yuki vs zoe - matchup of the week. i refuse to predict this
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster - i think tttech probably has this on the grounds he is far more competent at BH, but i won't count icemaster out

Gholden Witches (4) vs (4) Heart Takers
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike - french derby?
AAA: pyu vs Stareal - stareal is such a great clicker but i won't count pyu out
BH: akira vs Ivar57 - i think we pinged the wrong akira on the lineups :sob:
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi - baddy can defo do this but sylvi has a lot of experience in the tier
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn - i feel bad predicting against hayedenn but career is that good
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo - starshine is a bit of an unknown quantity to me - pannu backed them and they have les support so what the hell, sure.
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel - i love pixie but i think it would take a miracle for her to win a game here
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123 - another big matchup. i feel like this is a hot take esp given that qt is so good in bh and mnm, but my gut is telling me the swede has it
 
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX - Really hoping I'm wrong with this one but I have no idea if Quinn can play the tier well, their support is limited and Sevag has plot armor.
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - Ballfire can do it.
BH: Wheaty vs quojova - quojova is sort of a wild card bc it's not clear how much they'll put in to relearning the tier. They can click better but Wheaty's gonna be way more in-tune with the meta week 1. It'd be quojova bolded any week but the first.
 
GG predicts, likely won't be recurring.

GG: pannu vs Nashrock - I'll be pretty shocked if this team's GG slot goes negative this season with pannu and greybaum. The only clashing maybe of ideas between the 2 of what works and or what is good but otherwise the GG core is the one of the 2 stronger ones with the Heart Takers being the other. Won't count Nashrock out, they have Clas and Lordbox to bounce off ideas, but Clas is a last minute builder and Lordbox is more natdex GG. Whether or not the cores Natdex experience will translate well into regular GG is up in the air for the first couple of weeks.

GG: Lily vs Fc - Bolding Lily I think her strength in SV OU is what will translate well for her into regular GG, as it's the OM that is most similar to SV OU and she always had very strong showings in OU this gen. I am always unimpressed by Fc's GG, not because he's a bad player, quite the opposite in fact, but his builds seem to always be 6-0d by something relevant (Zacian-C is a big one he seems to constantly lose to). It's questionable to not put Fc in STAB and GG seems to be his weaker tier so we'll see how this one goes.

GG: LBN vs Fraise - Pretty close matchup where Fraise will have the edge in GG experience but LBN is a better clicker than Fraise, and sometimes in GG that's all you really need. LBN also has TTTech feeding which is a plus for LBN as TTTech has pretty strong builds, Fraise is French though and the French always build wonky stuff, GG being no different.

GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo - Im predicting Starshine because they're actually pretty good in GG, faced them once for a seasonal and they have diverse builds that can throw their opp off guard. Entro has the support of Ivar and Sammy, with Ivar being very strong in GG with Sammy support and ability who will put together a very strong structure for entro. If it was for playing ability I would normally predict entro, but I feel like this game is going to come down to matchup/Tera more than anything.
 
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washed spectator returns to deliver low effort washed predicts

:virizion: W VIRIZZIONS (4) vs (4) Crazy Diamond Dialgas :dialga:
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O - i love this guy down. p sure the other person is good but the username needs changing bc it looks like a low effort keyboard mash and that just gives negative aura
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom - these two are best friends p sure or something idk. glalie is super good from what i hear though
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX - every single mock i was told sevag was bench riding and now this flightless bird is starting. i hope you go 0-7. realistically sevag is winning this but i'm putting out this energy into the universe
STAB: Fusien vs word - this is a spicy ass game, word is cracked. question is how cracked can word be week 1? im making this predict w/ the knowledge that this is probably a hot take, but i have a gut feeling. dont let me down word
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek - i dont recognize the other person. i dont know this one that well either but i recognize the name
GG: pannu vs Nashrock - ugh
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp - a fish vs someone who deep fries fish
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas - fiora used to be absurdly good but i haven't seen her play that much lately. that being said i'm putting respect on her name. clas tilts a lot but fiora can tilt too so that's basically a non factor

:ponyta-galar: Pink Ponyta Club (7) vs (1) Commanders :tatsugiri:
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs - i can never tell if this guy hates my ass or not but i think glory's good at the game and didnt glory used to play ag? only people w/ insane mental fortitude can do that.
AAA: feen vs Iride - i remember feen's insane from my time in other areas of the site but i'm surprised he plays still. that being said he has a banner so he's gotta be good
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - city's a veritable bh queen and ballfire has played before but idr much from that. i'm fairly confident in this read but anything can happen in bh
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem - i love clem so bad but i heard this person is a demon
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA - the name is bonk. how can you root against someone named bonk
GG: Lily vs Fc - i just know my inbox is gonna get a dm or two from fc if i predict against him, so i'm doing that just to mess w/ him. also lily is an icon
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo - hizo i love your roguelike but i have to bold chromate here
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3 - uhhh i dont recognize mindnight too well but i know they were sorta cracked in something. i also forget what metas are in bo3 but i think it's bh mnm and uhhh stab or gg. i think damflame takes bh for sure and mindnight takes whatever the third is, unsure on mnm though so that's what'll determine the series according to my washed ass.

:diancie: Dazzling Diancies (4) vs (4) Zoomer Zeraoras :zeraora:
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato - i love siamato badly but he forgot i was managing him during his first ompl and i hold grudges. that being said im rooting for him bc i love the guy. unfortunately i also love kinetic
AAA: Mada vs Lana - god im so gay i saw this pairing and my first thought was "mada dadada lana lanana aaa aaa aaa aaa aaa want your bad romance" anyway i dont recognize mada but lana's a beast
BH: Wheaty vs quojova - quo's insane i love this guy's playing so much. idk what they've been doing lately but excited for this game for sure. i heard wheaty's also good, so we'll see how this goes. i don't really like mini wheats as a cereal. froot loops are better (what a surprise the fruit likes froot loops haha i made that joke so you all can't)
STAB: abriel vs Kaif - abriel's been tearing it up in other parts of the site while kaif's been tearing up oms, gonna go for the home advantage here but this is definitely a hl match that could go either way.
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer - zastra gave me a team once
GG: LBN vs Fraise - fraise sweats this i think and i love strawberries saur
PiC: yuki vs zoe - ugh i love both of these ppl down.. i think yuki's more highly regarded in pic though
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster - apparently tech's a god now?? which feels super unnatural but i'll trust the people who are smarter than me on this

:gholdengo: Gholden Witches (3) vs (5) Heart Takers :manaphy:
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike - atha's allegedly the best aaa player rn but i'm fairly sure ghostlike is also cracked. im excited to see this one
AAA: pyu vs Stareal - stareal is an icon
BH: Akira 153 vs Ivar57 - oo this is a spicy ass game, i dont think ivar likes bh rn though? or was that aaa? either way i know akira lives and breathes this so im gonna go w/ her but take that space out of your name ASAP i wont always feel like double clicking twice to bold you
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi - i dont recognize the name baddy and it sounds so unserious im sorry.. but i know sylvi likes it when ppl predict against them and i expect them to win so im bolding sylvi here to see what happens. scientific renxperiment
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn - ??? arent both of you washed as hell i didnt even know you two still played LMAO but i think career was betetr when they played, but hayedenn prob has more recent experience?? idk i flipped a coin
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo - apparently the first person is good but the second person is also cracked like i see them winpost all the time
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel - that's a friend
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123 - qt's an actual deity sometimes, but i hear sammy's also cracked and he also has a banner. and he's swedish! i'm probably going to start learning swedish soon so i can rizz up the swedish guy i met in japan with his own language. this indirectly buffs sammy somehow. do i know how? no. but i just have that influence

have fun yall
 
welcome to week 1 of ChatGPredicTs
:virizion: W VIRIZZIONS (3) vs (5) Crazy Diamond Dialgas :dialga:
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O - O1V7O2X9O's name looks like a Wi-Fi password. shiloh might not need to decrypt that to decrypt their gameplan.
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom - If Glalie goes boom, matte might just go poof. Expect explosions—hopefully on purpose.
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX - You can slap X’s on your name, but you can’t X-out Quinn’s matchup knowledge.
STAB: Fusien vs word - Fusien may bring the fire, but “word” is literally mightier than the sword. Also: cool username advantage.
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek - This one sounds like a cartoon showdown, but PociekMociek is the likely protagonist.
GG: pannu vs Nashrock - pannu is solid, but Nashrock's name has rock in it, and Gen 9’s full of those. Edge secured.
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp - NovaFish is swimming strong, but Magikarp got fried for power. Comeback arc begins now.
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas - Clas is tough, but fifi flutters into Bo3 with unpredictable wind currents.

:ponyta-galar: Pink Ponyta Club (2) vs (6) Commanders :tatsugiri:
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs - Glory takes the whole baguette while crow’s still pecking at crumbs.
AAA: feen vs Iride - feen is a staple. Iride might bring spice, but consistency wins here.
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - Ballfire’s blazing, but cityscapes covers all terrains—urban advantage.
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem - Rudi may crash midgame—.exe warning detected. Clem has the patch notes.
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA - Slither Wing brings bug buzz. RoFnA brings...violence. Advantage: RoFnA.
GG: Lily vs Fc - Lily’s calm, but Fc plays like they’re speedrunning Pokémon Showdown.
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo - HiZo’s gonna turn this into HiZowned unless Chromate brings some rare chemistry.
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3 - Midnight may be a vibe, but damflame 3’s burning bright in all three games.

:diancie: Dazzling Diancies (4) vs (4) Zoomer Zeraoras :zeraora:
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato - Kinetic’s got energy, but Siamato’s got sauce and matchup reads.
AAA: Mada vs Lana - Mada makes it matter. Lana’s got flair, but Mada’s got meta locked.
BH: Wheaty vs quojova - Wheaty is farm-fresh, but quojova’s field-tested. Advantage: jojova.
STAB: abriel vs Kaif - abriel’s learning curve steepens. Kaif just logs on and wins.
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer - TectonicDestroyer shakes the earth. zastra floats above it.
GG: LBN vs Fraise - Fraise is sweet, but LBN doesn’t sugarcoat their gameplay.
PiC: yuki vs zoe - zoe’s tricky, but yuki might just freeze them out.
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster - TTTech’s solid, but Icemaster built their house on freeze hax and fear.

:gholdengo: Gholden Witches (3) vs (5) Heart Takers :manaphy:
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike - ghostlike might vanish mid-game. Atha stays grounded—and wins.
AAA: pyu vs Stareal - pyu’s unpredictable. Stareal’s just real.
BH: Akira 153 vs Ivar57 - Akira’s writing the script, but Ivar’s already in the sequel.
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi - Baddy talks the talk, but Sylvi’s walking it with crits.
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn - With a name like that, the result might be self-fulfilling—hayedenn beware.
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo - Starshine’s bright, but entrocefalo’s name is too long to lose.
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel - GhastlyPixie floats, but Frixel fries. Toasted fairy wings incoming.
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123 - QT’s got the name, the vibes.
 
Official predicts by certified fraud Osake
don't cry. I'm better than you, and if I bolded against you, you're probably bad. But for only 5$ per hour, I can teach you to get better ! (yes, I'm broke)

W VIRIZZIONS (3) vs (5) Crazy Diamond Dialgas
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O - I'm realy eager to watch O1V's debut in OMPL, I haven't watch him play lately (but admittedly I watched like 3 AAA games in the last 5 months) but he was goated in AAAPL and I hope he's even better now ! shiloh on the other hand is most of the time a late bloomer in ompl, first 2 weeks they gotta learn the meta and are not the best, before becoming a real threat. However, I have the feeling that for the O1V's first game in OMPL they might choke a bit or something, and shiloh with (from what I've seen now, but is unproved) better fundamentals will get the win
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom - from lovers to enemy, matte is a very cool support to have, very active and with a lot of ideas, but I'm not sure they're yet ready to compete at the highest level. Glalie has proven that they are a good player, and I expect them to win if they don't load a trash ass stall
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX - no idea who Quinn is and if they even play BH, but sevag + chessking is a duo I expect to perform very nicely this season if sevag is motivated, they should take this one easily
STAB: Fusien vs word - ok so apparently Fusien is the goat of OU and word is the goat of prehistoric times, I haven't seem any of them play so I don't know what to expect. Stab feels a bit harder to build and play as an OU player (unlike GG for example) so I'd say word's experience in stab will make the difference here
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek - chinese unknown player (but hyped by Nihilslave) vs retired placu (hasn't played a competitive game since 2023), could be the best or the worst game of the week. I'm surprised placu is starting, if they're motivated they def got this but I'm gonna bold emoxu9 for this first week as I'm unsure abt placu motivation for the moment
GG: pannu vs Nashrock - pannu sucks, do I have to say more ? more seriously, pannu is a very good builder and player but they are sometimes... erratic in their plays and while they would win this matchup 80% of the time I feel like Nashrock, who's a very good player too while unexperienced in GG I think ? (they played bo3 at wc so idk) can, and will, take this one
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp - PiC predict, I'm not gonna act as if I have any idea of the level of those players
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas - curious to see fiora play and how good she is in game, but if she's focused and doesn't tilt she should win this

Pink Ponyta Club (4) vs (4) Commanders
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs - crow crumbs as your solo frontlane in the tier you don't wanna hear about, ngl this dude always gets good records in random tiers and they are pretty good. Glory is an excellent builder and a good player but as I said I haven't watched so much AAA lately so I'm unsure if they're top 2 or top 5 of the pool. Will bold them for experience but crow is not an opponent to underestimate
AAA: feen vs Iride - idk who iride is, I know feen is a good clicker. Not too hype abt this match up I hope we get fun teams at least
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - I'm a huge fan of cityscapes and they could be 0-5 in the season I would probably still bold them against most of the pool, city is so good at BH that I enjoy watching their games bc so many cool techs, I hope they're still as creative and 6-1 the pool with style
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem - both good builders and players, really offensive (I think when they faced in wcup they both brought cringe cloyster HO), I'm gonna build my friend for this one and I hope he does a great season even though I didn't draft him :(
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA - promising OM player vs brainrot meme expert, is RoFnA even an OM player at this point. Thing is, with a good team he can win but man pls Slither Wing don't let him win it's for OMs' reputation
GG: Lily vs Fc - After 2 (I think ?) OMPL with mid results in AAA and Inh iirc, Lily's back in the tier where she destroyed everyone, Godly Gift. However, while I do expect her to perform well in that pool because she both has GG experience & high skill, Fc is also one of the few GG players who has that and I think they're better by a little margin. Really cool matchup though, really eager to watch it
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo - Chromate is in my mind the best PiC player but yea, this is pic
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3 - honestly if damflame loses this he should retire. Mindnight is not bad, but he was supposed to learn 1 tier, and the easiest (GG), and now he has to learn MnM and BH looool there is NO way he wins this honestly I don't understand why he's in BO3 but I really hope he gets benched by w4 after his 0-3

Gholden Witches (3,5) vs (4,5) Heart Takers
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike - I just want both of them to lose, because the one who wins will brag for 6 months and it will be annoying as fuck (esp since I'm not playing so I can't humiliate them). Will be there to meme the loser though
AAA: pyu vs Stareal - pyu is like very active but had a rough season in mnm last year, I don't know how good they are in AAA, did not know they were playing it but if they have some experience I think they should win this.
BH: Akira 153 vs Ivar57 - I rate Ivar's skill higher esp bc he does less mistakes I think but he also has a very predictable tiers in most tiers and while I'm not a BH expert I assume he loads classic Siamato-like balance, I feel like Akira can find some unknown techs to surprise Ivar esp since BH is not his main tier. also allez la France
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi - who's Baddy ? Sylvi is good if they're motivated, I was surprised that Virizzions didn't draft them and I wonder if it might play on their motivation, but for now they're the favorite
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn - washed player #1 vs washed player #2, thing is hayedenn will just bring an hayedenn team, losing to half of the meta but with 3 broken mons and will win and act as if they're the goat after their 5-2 against a washed pool. I wonder if Career will be able to have a strong showing despite lacking time/motivation
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo - i don't know starshine, entro is a good clicker, that's what you need in GG esp with Sammy support. If Witches are able to CT Sammy's style they might have a chance but we'll see
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel - Frixel is good and they're nice :)
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123 - hmhmhmm this is an interesting BO, I rate QT's skills higher in a tour setup but they struggled last year. We will see in this bo if they get on the right feet and have a stellar performance as they're able to, or if they still struggle and might have a bad season. Sammy is obviously not to underestimate but they're yet to prove they're able to shine in a tour setup when people can prep for their playstyle, it will be interesting
 
BH Predicts:

Ballfire vs cityscapes
Rough start for Ballfire, cityscapes is a very unforgiving first opponent especially considering both have been fairly active in their laddering. While city always has the wild factor in loading something unviable I think it is a fairly unlikely event here and excluding that Ballfire has a very difficult time going through this especially with support within the team being rather lacking.

Wheaty vs quojova
quojova has way more tour experience and I think is better in game. The main advantage Wheaty has is significantly more up to date metagame knowledge, but as long as quojova is invested in picking up the tier again it shouldn't be hard for him to know all the new stuff especially with rightclicker's likely high activity in teamcord.

Akira 153 vs Ivar57
Kind of surprised to see Ivar here? but maybe because its to try to get revenge. Both players are obviously great and Ivar definitely has an edge in game but its not a very significant edge unless he already has an advantage. Akira has way better support though considering how active and strong QT is despite their styles being different. That is supplemented by way more up to date knowledge (Akira being literally one of the few players defining/changing the meta), which means Ivar can be hit by some more modern techs.

Mindnight vs damflame 3
BH likely - I think only scenario where it is not played is if damflame wins in 2 (MnM and GG), since if he loses G1 he should never be picking GG over BH here. I think this scenario is possible but I think Mindnight can give good fights in both tiers so I think its more likely than not that the set includes BH.
BH game damflame should have no issues. Always loads pretty solid teams and Mindnight to my knowledge does not play BH and I don't think is particularly enthusiastic about learning it either? Hopefully I'm not completely wrong and have people hahaing this.

TTTech vs Icemaster
BH unsure - If TTTech loses a game he probably takes BH but there is a fair chance TTTech wins both MnM and GG.
Obviously since I think Tech would pick BH he should be favoured. Icemaster isn't bad but he seem to have some interesting takes, and while those can be surprising against most players, Tech structures tend to be rather resilient. However Tech without his signature wincon might need to change up his structures moderately and also his teams often have some undesirable aspects which can be capitalized on.

QT vs SammyCe123
BH likely - I think only scenario not played is if QT wins in 2 (MnM and GG), but I think Sammy is favoured in GG probably.
QT is advantaged for sure just by recency, as both players are skilled enough and Sammy also drags the game out in terms of timer which gives QT less opportunities to mistake. QT also has Akira support which can provide that extra bit of nuance to their teams.
 
Well, w1 cottdicts are a tradition atp.

Walking Wokes (5) vs (2) Commanders
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs - I think that glory is one of the most obscenely overhyped players I've ever seen, maybe I'm just not tuned in but I do not think this guys builds or plays are that spectacular and definitely not worth 16k. However, they're experienced unlike crow crumbs, who while had a stellar run in last aaapl, said run was in uu. frankly the commanders aaa support looks incredibly dire and I'm not quite sure what to make of it, definitely a wildcard duo. anyways glory should experience gap this but ngl if this game was after w4 or so id have to think more closely about bolding bird.
AAA: feen vs Iride - I've played iride a few times on aaa ladder, whether it be testing teams or just being bored in class and not seeing cat or bonk online to harass for friendlies, and shes been mildly impressive in those games, I also know she has a history in NDAAA. I think the times we've faced on ladder are more times than feen has even thought about SV AAA, and while bro is a fantastic clicker I think he is bound to get knowledge gapped here.
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - City is always fun to watch, a battle between two GRRR Alumni is bound to be amazing, I don't know how in-tune ballfire is with BH atm but having to think about prepping for city has to be a headache for anyone that isn't at the tippy top of the BH tower. the city bold is a cautious one as she is 100% prone to overcooking and losing in builder, something ballfire def has the fundies to take advantage of if it should happen
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem - clem isn't very in touch with stab as he only rlly plays it like a few times a year for pl, meanwhile ik rudi has been grinding for a while. I generally like rudis teams more than I like what clem likes to bring and I think his prep mindset + the bonk support is bound to nab him a win here, especially because clems own support is very lackluster.
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA - I think rofna sucks, like no jokes or funny banter, this dude is horrendously washed. However, last time I saw him win a game that wasn't due to hax or mu fish working out, it was him beating me in mnm-- so I might be underestimating him? Bonk is newer to the tour scene but he has fantastic MNM teams and I'm sure he can manage his nerves and clutch this one out.
GG: Lily vs Fc - I don't have much interesting to say here lol, I don't really like fc's GG teams like, ever. and while he's a good clicker idt you can outclick a lot of the time with some of the stuff I've seen him run, lily has solid fundies + experience and fantastic support id be genuinely bewildered if she lost this.
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo - I do not know pic, I will be bolding pic based on superficial factors. Chrom talks genshin with me and while hizo is a fantastic friend whom I hold very dear to my heart, he does not talk to me about genshin.
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3 (Highlight!) ohh sacre bleu this one is fire MDRRR. Mindnight is a fantastic player who I've heard a lot of good stuff from uu playing friends from, I think he is severely underrated and he has amazing support in all 3 tiers. Damflame is a demon but I think that his BH is very meh and I am not a fan of his GG Teams, but he plays very good. This series will be fun to watch

Dazzling Diancies (2) vs (5) Zoomer Zeraoras
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato (Highlight!) Boomer vs Zoomer aah matchup. Im a big fan of kine and especially his plays, he's also got good work ethic. But Mato is so unbelievably cracked and I think he's gonna have a hidden clutch gene activated for this entire tour like "oh shit, I'm teaming with osake, this team is gonna need wins badly, so I must win".
AAA: Mada vs Lana - Mada hasn't played aaa at all afaik and while lana had a middling performance last year its better than having not performed at all, I think kinetic is gonna whip mada into aaa shape, but that is gonna take a week or two.
BH: Wheaty vs quojova - quo is strong as fuck, but he's rusty. I like wheatys builds a lot, he builds and plays what he knows works for him and between tech support and hallward dropping useless oneliers in prep channel I think he's got a good supporting back bone, hard w1 for quo.
STAB: abriel vs Kaif - Amazing game between two seasoned STABbers, it was close to being my HL for this series but afaik abriel hasn't played stab in a while and is busy irl I think, so idk how much time she'll have to prep. Meanwhile kaif is fresh off of an open finals and knows how to wrangle a zamazenta.
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer - ahahahahhahahahaha lmfao? what the fuck is this mu? neither player should win
GG: LBN vs Fraise - billy in gg is gonna be interesting as fuck to watch, I wonder what kind of shit he is gonna cook up but man is it gonna be fun to watch. i am very high on fraise as a GG player (the french GG player tierlist goes like fraise > atha > damf > les > maybc > osake) and I think we're gonna see two crazy ass teams faced off against each other this game, another fantastic match.
PiC: yuki vs zoe - the arbitrary factor deciding this game is that I didn't wanna have an 1 - X predict.
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster - tech is on fire and while ice is no slouch I seriously wonder how motivated he's gonna be on a team that isn't a jerk draft, this could go either way but I think tech cares about winning more.

Gholden Witches (3) vs (4) Heart Takers
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike - atha is top 1 in pool and very familiar with ghostlikes picks, while ghostlike is an obscenely underrated player (even at 11k) I think that this is a tough mu for anyone in the pool. A Win is not out of the books though, as athas play and prep are both semi easily dissected, I've been told.
AAA: pyu vs Stareal - I think pyu is a meh builder with solid clicks, and atha teams arent the easiest to use for others. Stareal is a very good clicker who will be getting passed very good teams, I favour him based on that.
BH: Akira 153 vs Ivar57 - this game is a 50/50 because akira wins if she can win the imposter speed tie and loses if she cant :C
STAB: Baddy vs Sylvi Hey Sylvi, Sorry I couldn’t get you into OMPL this time to play Stabmons for me. It was great teaming with you in the past, and I really wanted to run it back. Wishing you the best of luck for the rest of the tour—just not when you're up against my team! btw did u read blue lock 303 lmk what u thought of it. (that last part wasn't chatgpt I added it myself do dm me and lmk what u thought if you've read). Toxic friendship aside sylvi is an amazing builder who has top tier support. Qt builds dogshit stab teams but wins bc they're QT, baddy is not QT, I do not trust that baddy is gonna win with walking wake voltturn slop or archaludon.
MnM: Career Ended vs hayedenn - hayedenn is less washed than CE.
GG: Starshine. vs entrocefalo - Im very high on starshine, I hope they have a fantastic season. entro is a strong clicker with GG experience + is being fed sammy teams so it cant be that bad, but I still expect starshine to be on top
PiC: GhastlyPixie vs Frixel - I've never seen pix play doubles and I see an orange trophy in frixels badgeset.
Bo3: QT vs SammyCe123 - originally I was gonna wait to predict this until their slam series tn and just bold whoever lost, but I came to the conclusion that sammy is winning that series, so qt is winning this one, fueled by sheer spite.

GOOOOOOOOOO VIRIZZIONS
 
:virizion: W VIRIZZIONS (4) vs (4) Crazy Diamond Dialgas :dialga:
AAA: shiloh vs O1V7O2X9O - Could go either way but shiloh is the better clicker imo and will have better teams. I have no idea how tapped in O1 is into AAA rn though, if they have been active and playing in the background I think they could easily take this.
AAA: matte vs GlalieGoesBoom - Could also go either way, I think Glalie has the clicking edge but if matte uses fiora teams then his builds will be better.
BH: Quinn vs XxLazzerpenguinxX
STAB: Fusien vs word - I genuinely have no idea how to approach this matchup; both of these players imo will be very fucking good at STAB by the end of the tournament, but neither of them I expect to be great at the start. Bolding word because I've seen him yapping in the STAB channel and assume that he's been playing the tier.
MnM: emoxu9 vs PociekMociek - I don't know if PociekMociek has played mix and mega recently but they will know the pokemon better and should have an advantage week 1 vs a clicker who is new to the tier.
GG: pannu vs Nashrock - Nashrock is a slightly better clicker imo but pannu is far more experienced in the tier and has constantly been pushing the metagame. Highlight matchup.
PiC: NovaFish21 vs DeepFriedMagikarp - NovaFish is just off winning the occasional and afaik dfm has not played PiC in ages. I think dfm is better but expect him to be in a worse position in week 1.
Bo3: fififlutters vs Clas - I think fiora is better at pokemon and more motivated, but Clas is more up to date and should be advantaged in BH, especially in week 1.

:ponyta-galar: Pink Ponyta Club (5) vs (3) Commanders :tatsugiri:
AAA: Glory vs crow crumbs
AAA: feen vs Iride - I think feen is better at Pokemon and will have Glory teams, but this is honestly a tossup.
BH: Ballfire vs cityscapes - Ballfire is solid and I think they deserve to start, but yeah getting city week 1 is rough.
STAB: xdRudi.exe vs Clem - This could go either way depending on how good their builds are but Rudi is the better clicker imo.
MnM: Slither Wing vs RoFnA - Bonk will know the tier better and probably have better builds, but RoFnA has a big clicking advantage here imo.
GG: Lily vs Fc - Lily will have better teams, will know the tier better, and is an excellent pilot.
PiC: Chromate vs HiZo - I don't watch PiC but I'm just going by what people say about either player. This should be a really cool matchup though, both very experienced and well regarded players in the tier, I'm excited to tune in.
Bo3: Mindnight vs damflame 3

:diancie: Dazzling Diancies (5) vs (3) Zoomer Zeraoras :zeraora:
AAA: Kinetic vs Siamato - Kinetic is the better clicker and will have better builds, but Siamato could definitely edge out a win.
AAA: Mada vs Lana - Tossup but I'm bolding based on the fact that I think Mada will have better support.
BH: Wheaty vs quojova - Have no idea how this matchup will go but I expect quojava to have a rough start reacclimating to the tier. For all I know though they're super motivated and by the end of the week they'll be totally unwashed though, no clue.
STAB: abriel vs Kaif
MnM: zastra vs TectonicDestroyer - I like Tech's mnm builds a lot rn and if zastra's look anything like that then they should be favored even if I think tect is maybe slightly better at clicking.
GG: LBN vs Fraise - LBN doesn't seem to have a lot of support in the slot and while I think they are a much better clicker, Fraise should be the favorite in week 1.
PiC: yuki vs zoe - I once again do not watch PiC but I have to root for my former teammate, also yuki had to have been going for 3 trillion during moccs for a good reason...right guys...
Bo3: TTTech vs Icemaster - Tech favored on BH and GG, Icemaster favored on MnM. Icemaster is pretty sick at mons, but Tech cares more and knows the metagames better, and should be favored here.

GO GHOLDS!!!!!!!!
 
MAYO'S TOP 5 MATCHUPS
(WEEK :electrode:)

That's right, boys. Mayo is ranking his top 5 matchups for Week 1. Why? Because I'm bored.

5. yuki vs. zoe (PiC)
Alright, let's face it: I have no idea who is good or bad at PiC besides yuki, who people in the commencement thread and OMcord talk about often. This is pretty much just filler.

4. TTTech vs. Icemaster (Bo3)
Don't know what Icemaster's good at besides MnM, but both are solid players at it and TTTech is decent at BH.

3. Ballfire vs. cityscapes (BH)
hpl moment
Both my former HPL teammates. Once acquaintances, yet now they're torn apart.
The challenge, the triumph, the Imposter Chansey...

makes me wanna play cello ngl

2. Akira 153 vs. Ivar57 (BH)
hpl moment 2: arceus-electric boogaloo
This time, only one side (Akira) of the MU was on my HPL team. Both are great BH players, so surely this will be entertaining.

1. QT vs. SammyCe123 (Bo3)
hpl moment 3: blaziken-mega v-creates back
And finally, the MU of the tour. Both Sammy and QT are great at both BH and MnM. Also, they were teammates in HPL, where they pretty much carried the Necrozmas to the title. Just like Ballfire and City, two acquaintances torn apart. It brings tears to my eggy eyes. :psytear:

And that's all! Don't forget to play this music when in a game:
(yes all of these are gonna be fnf songs)
 
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