Alright responses to posts made since I started that one first, then I'll get to BT:
guess i was wrong about spiffy
but spiffy was wrong about haunted so all is well
What I get from the night kills are that team 1 are pussies and team 2 are bad at mafia.
gale is pretty much confirmed town at this point
I agree with you on the kills more or less, though I question your assumption that Gale is 'confirmed town' at this point. I could definitely see Gale killing ButteredToast, for example, and it is interesting that you stated that your Gale reads would be 'null' early on but are now pushing him into a position where perhaps people won't question him as much when he plays strangely and will just write it off as 'Gale being Gale', which, while there is some merit to it, can't just be used to give him a free pass.
See guys? The one time i'm gonna say something original, i get ninja'd by US.
These kills just seem baffling to me, particularly Spiffy... why would mafia kill such a strong supporter of the HD lynch... though BT makes a little sense, as it gives us very little info, something the mafia would definitely want from a kill in my experience on Epicmafia.
I believe these kills, as well as the HD flip, should be the most important points of discussion today, but of course not the ONLY points of discussion
(inb4 i get jumped on for "DRAMATICALLY" changing my demeanor, i just wanna actually be useful ;-;)
I really hate this post and frankly this is one of the reasons that I voted you in my last one. It looks pre-written slightly, and again contributes nothing. Post some reads please, who do you think is mafia and why?
If I was mafia I would have left Spiffy alive, I think there were enough people suspicious of him at some point during the day that a mislynch could've happened. Probably without that much push from Mafia 1.
Mafia 2 seems to not be very intelligent. ButteredToast is a weird kill. I guess they were trying to avoid someone likely to be doctored, and he was definitely not going to be protected? Still, there were so many better targets. PokeguyNXB is a solid candidate to be on this one.
I want to take a long, hard look at UncleSam today. I remain unconvinced by his lynch on Haunted Diamond. The guy was seriously indeterminable as mafia on Day One. He played like a fool, not like a scum. He had NO scumtells about his partner. Unless you considered the people he suggested to be protected and he was stuffing his partner in as one of the two. But that's not what happened. Sam was right, I suppose, in that I was defending my teammate when I stated I wasn't in favor of a lynch. Except neither of us is mafia.
I see Sam's lynch as picking on a bad who could never defend himself from Sam. If a townie did try to stand up for HD or counter Sam's points, he could do exactly what he did to me and insist that person is HD's scumbuddy. I don't find it to be a particularly town move, especially how he sort of just said "this day is ending in its use, we need a lynch, I am picking." And low and behold, it was the mislynch I had speculated it would be all game.
The only thing is, which kill was UncleSam responsible for? Unless he killed Spiffy in a panic move, to sell "look! the other villager who was super in favor of HD was town, me too!" to us. I don't think he would have made either of these kills. But, maybe he let his noob partner pick so he could appear as exactly that.
Also want to look at Celever who was feuding with HD all game, and, ahem, look who flipped town.
I agree that Spiffy was a weird kill and it's the reason that I analyzed his posts first (also because there was so much more to go on then from BT), and looks a lot more deliberate tbh. I agree that taking a look at me makes sense given the mislynch, but you also note (correctly) that neither of those kills makes any sense if I'm mafia unless I'm playing some weird reverse-psychology mindtricks. Like, Spiffy was practically my biggest supporter during Day 1 and why would mafia me kill ButteredToast when he would probably be one of the easier mislynches on the town from my perspective?
As for the lynch on Haunted Diamond, obviously I was wrong but his play was so horrible that I can't really see any reason to think he wasn't mafia. You yourself thought he was mafia and so did lots of other people. He dropped every possible scumtell along the way, played exactly as he did as mafia in the last game, refused to contribute, and finally threatened to rage-sub. I can say that I'm really angry with Haunted Diamond for not even remotely trying to contribute because I can honestly say that I was looking for a reason to pressure Acidphoenix/Pokeguy a lot more yesterday, but he just refused to be helpful or contribute at all. As for the theory that I 'let my noob partner pick the kill'...would you seriously think I'd do that if I was mafia? You know the answer to that is no, so why even bring it up lol.
I agree that Celever absolutely has to be one of the focii of discussion today, particularly his relation SPIFFY however, not Haunted Diamond. Haunted was playing so badly that I don't think anyone feuding with him or disliking his play was indicative of mafia-ness (if anything, probably the opposite honestly). Celever however had among the most reason in the game to kill Spiffy.
UncleSam Celever
Explain yourselves.
Answered this above but honestly I think HD has a lot more explaining to do in postgame then myself, or any other villager who voted him. His play was total garbage and reeked of passive scum.
The only sort of kind of read that ButteredToast had was a light scum read on Gale, and disliked the way that Sam, Yeti, and Celever had played but didn't offer much in the way on reads on any of them. Pretty sure BT is a pussy "I want to hit a person I think is town but won't be protected" kill anyway so unless Gale's the best mafia member on his team and got worried about a ButteredToast push on him, I think the only read we get off a ButteredToast kill is that the team that made it doesn't like taking risks.
Spiffy kill is weird; I think the first player that jumps to mind that makes that kill is Sam but considering I'm not mafia reading him all that much I don't see who makes that. But spiffy actually has some reads so I'll go through those in a bit.
UncleSam pretend you're mafia. Do you agree with my assessment that you'd probably consider a Spiffy kill as one of your top 2 kill targets
Again, I find it interesting that you're pseudo-protecting Gale. Interesting connection that seems to be forming there (or rather that I hadn't seen previously). That being said I don't think that a DLE+Gale team has much of a reason to kill either Spiffy or BT (though SOME reason for both), and I could totally see you picking a kill and then calling your own mafia team 'bad' because you'd find that hilarious. I think it's very unlikely though, and I find you to be one of the most towny players so far in any case (Gale not nearly as much as you seem to find him or as I found him near the end of yesterday, however).
I absolutely 100% disagree that mafia me would kill Spiffy. He was basically with me the entirety of the first day, he would've shared a LOT of the heat I'm sure to get for the Haunted Diamond lynch, and he pointed out how bullshit the Celever+UncleSam mafia theories were (while still accusing Celever; he was the ONLY PERSON the entire day to attack Celever for play not surrounding myself). Mafia me would kill Celever for obvious reasons if he wasn't my partner because I'm getting so much shit for his buddying me, and UltrasPlot/you (DLE)/Yeti if my partner were Celever. There's zero fucking chance that I'd kill Spiffy or ButteredToast.
Lol
UncleSam you think i'm dumb enough to be that obvious, love ya too <3
Okay, so Spiffy was really fosing me hard, and you're saying i'd kill him for it? #1 rule, NEVER kill someone for fosing you. That's like wearing a sign that says "I'm scum, lynch me", and why in my right mind would i do that? I wouldn't. And sure, you could say this is WIFOM, but c'mon, it's Mafia 101
Another terrible post. Post some reads, answer my questions, stop posting fluff.
Also posting my agreement for
Gale Wing Srock 's proposal that we let the newbies lead the lynch (for obvious reasons)
Currently reading Gale and
Da Letter El as town. Celever and UncleSam as scum.
What about letting newbies lead the lynch is 'obvious'??? What are you talking about? Firstly no one is 'leading the lynch' and no one is deciding who 'leads the lynch', everyone is posting who they feel is mafia and why and once a large enough group of people come to a consensus we will vote someone, regardless of who suggested it first and regardless of who voted first. There will not be a 'lynch leader', and there shouldn't be. There will definitely be people more and less in favor of the lynch today, but that's different.
I think DLE is strong town though his buddying Gale is worrying me. I'm not reading Gale nearly as town as I was near the end of yesterday because I think that he's getting too much of a free pass for a lot of weird shit he did earlier on because 'lol Gale', but as I said earlier in this post, I don't think that DLE+Gale kills either of those two and I don't think that DLE is likely scum with anyone else among the actives (though Yeti is a slight possibility on that front).
I will continue responding and look for BT's posts but I want to post this because this is already getting super long.