Tournament Other Metagames Premier League IV - Finals [Won by The Bidoofs]

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1 True Lycan said:
Game came down to him hitting 2 hydros and avoiding a flinch to win. A few people have tried to work it out and have said it was a 50/50, I cba to check myself lol. Either way, I could have played this game better and I'm just gonna go ahead and blame rust since I hadn't played in a few days lol.

Anways, with those excuses out of the way, heres the replay. gg terrors and sorry for the flinch.

http://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/monotype-408727299
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0.8 * 0.8 * 0.8 ~= 0.51
(h-pump hitting) * (zen headbutt not flinching) * (h-pump hitting)

cool sTag team btw!
 
scpinion said:
0.8 * 0.8 * 0.8 ~= 0.51
(h-pump hitting) * (zen headbutt not flinching) * (h-pump hitting)

cool sTag team btw!
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Terrors could have scalded garde, then foddered Rotom on Tini and only have to risk one hydro (which Ik didnt happen). Another thing is a what about the chance of Zen Missing? So it's in terrors favor ever so slightly. I'd also like to say how OM Room and Josh are 100% on predictions so far :o.
 
0.8*0.1*0.8 + 0.8*0.8*0.9*0.8 + 0.8*0.9*0.2*0.1*0.8 ~= 0.54
EDIT: 0.8*0.01*0.8 + 0.8*0.8*0.99*0.8 + 0.8*0.99*0.2*0.01*0.8 ~= 0.51, My bad.
(hydro hit, zen miss, hydro hit) + (hydro hit, zen hit without flinch, hydro hit) + (hydro hit, zen hit and flinch, zen miss, hydro hit)
Having said that I can see the point of arguing who'll win before the battle, but why argue who should have after the winner is already decided?
 
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motherlove said:
0.8*0.1*0.8 + 0.8*0.8*0.9*0.8 + 0.8*0.9*0.2*0.1*0.8 ~= 0.54
(hydro hit, zen miss, hydro hit) + (hydro hit, zen hit without flinch, hydro hit) + (hydro hit, zen hit and flinch, zen miss, hydro hit)
Having said that I can see the point of arguing who'll win before the battle, but why argue who should have after the winner is already decided?
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I agree, but if we're posting calcs then I gotta point out that with victory star, zen headbutt from victini is 99% accurate not 90%.
 
Klang vs LaxLapras
DontStealMyPenquin vs thelinearcurve
1 True Lycan vs terrors

GO users that start with T! (and klang)
 
Kl4ng said the earliest he can battle is sunday, he's away this week

edit: also tagging The Immortal because Snorlax and Suicune are currently banned from AAA challenges, unless that's what you and Kl4ng want
 
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