Open Setup Classic Mafia - Game Thread

[realiti]

so, recap of each strategy

correctly voting WW: gives us the safest number advantage of 3-1 MYLO (but doesnt actually mean anything)

voting mafia: the best we can do is a 2-1 LYLO on paper BUT there are specific worlds where we have better odds that I'm not saying RN

incorrectly voting town (AirC/realiti): we rely on the WW to help us with numbers to get to 4-2-1 and must correctly vote off the WW and go to a 2-1 LYLO, reduces the PoE by 1

incorrectly voting town (joey): same thing above but our 3rd scum PoE is the same in exchange for having a buffer on getting the WW wrong

 

[realiti]

if we are confident on Joey being WW I think we should vote in the 3rd scum PoE today

I do realize that all of my scenarios involve actively WW hunting and screwing them over so maybe they have no reason to help us, but as town we really have 0 room for error in any scenario, because if we don't WW hunt we are automatically kingmaking. Nothing personal its just how the scenarios play out and hopefully you understand why

 

[realiti]

##vote: AirC

 

[apricity]

##vote Joey

You’re correct but I just don’t know your alignment which makes it difficult for me to follow

 

[realiti]

apricity what are you thinking

 

[realiti]

##vote Joey

You’re correct but I just don’t know your alignment which makes it difficult for me to follow

that's fair, but you have to solve my alignment at some point. would you rather solve it now when we have a buffer or at LYLO?

 

[realiti]

I would rather not lose the game by getting misvoted off LYLO which is why I'd rather be solved now

 

[apricity]

I’m actually also not convinced why joey isn’t third scum, why is that? Is there no equity there?

 

[apricity]

I’m hungover going back to sleep, will you be around DL

 

[realiti]

I’m actually also not convinced why joey isn’t third scum, why is that? Is there no equity there?

I guess it depends on whether you think the fairy/joey interactions EoD1 are fakable. I sorted joey in the back of my mind as WW/not mafia but there is a possibility.

I will be on at DL

 

[apricity]

I guess it depends on whether you think the fairy/joey interactions EoD1 are fakable. I sorted joey in the back of my mind as WW/not mafia but there is a possibility.

I will be on at DL

It seems fakeable because they ignored each other day 2

 

[apricity]

Like Joey sorted fairy into scum and did nothing about it

Wtf is that

 

[Evie]

##Vote: joey

if we assume joey is not third scum then it doesnt matter whether we reduce the poe or not because by the time we get to f3 joey will be dead for being clear as not third scum

 

[Evie]

like if you include joey there are 3 town clears in the game and scum can kill all of them before lylo

 

[realiti]

Like Joey sorted fairy into scum and did nothing about it

Wtf is that

I'm reading AirC's ISO and am finding less scum equity than I initially thought aside from a weird genius case. I might come around to joey scum, but then who would you think is the WW?

 

[apricity]

like if you include joey there are 3 town clears in the game and scum can kill all of them before lylo

Well, if we hit WW they can’t

 

[apricity]

I'm reading AirC's ISO and am finding less scum equity than I initially thought aside from a weird genius case. I might come around to joey scum, but then who would you think is the WW?

I don’t know.

I just think joey has a decent chance of being both.

 

[realiti]

##Vote: joey

if we assume joey is not third scum then it doesnt matter whether we reduce the poe or not because by the time we get to f3 joey will be dead for being clear as not third scum

well he'd be dead if we vote him thinking he's WW

 

[realiti]

Personally my PoE is exactly joey and AirC, are we all agreeing that Tommy & bluedoom are town?

 

[apricity]

Personally my PoE is exactly joey and AirC, are we all agreeing that Tommy & bluedoom are town?

I certainly am not locktowning Ehmcee wtf

 

[realiti]

I certainly am not locktowning Ehmcee wtf

Well that's my PoE, I assumed I was in everybody else's

 

[apricity]

Oh sorry Bluedoom is the Cary slot

I’m less interested in that slot right now. Maybe LYLO

 

[apricity]

I don’t know. I can’t think this far ahead and I don’t want to plan a vote even though I don’t think I’m getting any new info tomorrow.

I think prio 1 is for me to not hit town in the POE because that gives us space to maneuver still

And I think Joey fits that bill

I could be convinced on you maybe, I could be convinced on AirC being bad for LYLO, I could be convinced to go take a long second look at Cary

Tommy is whatever I can’t with him

 

[Evie]

i do think joey could be third scum potentially

 

[apricity]

I think it should be pretty obvious that I am not mafia here so right now you are turning your 2/5 chance to hit maf/wolf into a 1/5 chance that I am wolf

This defense is so trippy lmao