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Open Setup Classic Mafia - Game Thread

apricity said:
All right guys so here's the full plan.

AirC joey Tommy phoopes Evie realiti bluedoom

Right now we're at 6-3-1

The reason we aren't voting the confirmed mafias today and tomorrow is that if we do so, town gets shot twice, and we go into 2-1-1 MYLO in which town is a kingmake and doesn't really have a shot at winning

So that means that either today or tomorrow, we have to take a shot at the werewolf. There are five people the werewolf could be located in: joey, airc, tommy, realiti, bluedoom

It's better to try to get the werewolf today because this group of 5 also contains the 3rd scum. If we hit the 3rd scum today, we get to try again to hit the werewolf tomorrow. So there's a 40% chance of hitting a baddie.

If we hit town, for various reasons werewolf is forced to side with town tomorrow and in the nightkill, and so we go to 2-1-1 anyway.

Now, if we get the werewolf today, it turns into 5-3, then 4-2, then 3-1, which is MYLO and it's either a town or scum victory. The scum apparently know who the werewolf is and are refusing to tell us, and so they're trying to avoid the 3-1 MYLO. Which is a little silly, which is why we're saying that if we get to the 2-1-1 kingmake situation, we're going to try our best to side with werewolf.

If we get the 3rd scum today, then tomorrow after 2 town deaths is 4-2-1 we have another crack at werewolf within the POE. Voting mafia doesn't work because after two town deaths we again return to 2-1-1 which is a town loss.

Thanks and good luck to us!
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We need everyone to acknowledge that they understand this
 
I'm not going to echo tommy's whole speech but I guess I'll find out postgame why scum thought that a 20% chance of town going to 3-1 MYLO, a 5% chance of town win, and a 75% chance of a werewolf win is better than 100% chance of 3-1MYLO

That's crazy to me.

We have a 20% chance of hitting WW today (3-1MYLO), 60% chance of hitting town (wolf win) and a 20% chance of hitting scum which then leads to a 25% chance of hitting WW (+5% of town win), and a 75% chance of hitting town (+15% WW win)

So poorly played
 
apricity said:
All right guys so here's the full plan.

AirC joey Tommy phoopes Evie realiti bluedoom

Right now we're at 6-3-1

The reason we aren't voting the confirmed mafias today and tomorrow is that if we do so, town gets shot twice, and we go into 2-1-1 MYLO in which town is a kingmake and doesn't really have a shot at winning

So that means that either today or tomorrow, we have to take a shot at the werewolf. There are five people the werewolf could be located in: joey, airc, tommy, realiti, bluedoom

It's better to try to get the werewolf today because this group of 5 also contains the 3rd scum. If we hit the 3rd scum today, we get to try again to hit the werewolf tomorrow. So there's a 40% chance of hitting a baddie.

If we hit town, for various reasons werewolf is forced to side with town tomorrow and in the nightkill, and so we go to 2-1-1 anyway.

Now, if we get the werewolf today, it turns into 5-3, then 4-2, then 3-1, which is MYLO and it's either a town or scum victory. The scum apparently know who the werewolf is and are refusing to tell us, and so they're trying to avoid the 3-1 MYLO. Which is a little silly, which is why we're saying that if we get to the 2-1-1 kingmake situation, we're going to try our best to side with werewolf.

If we get the 3rd scum today, then tomorrow after 2 town deaths is 4-2-1 we have another crack at werewolf within the POE. Voting mafia doesn't work because after two town deaths we again return to 2-1-1 which is a town loss.

Thanks and good luck to us!
Click to expand...
I agree with everything except this:

"If we hit town, for various reasons werewolf is forced to side with town tomorrow and in the nightkill, and so we go to 2-1-1 anyway."

hitting town leads to 5-3-1 -> 4-2-1 and we have odds to win
 
Screenshot 2025-10-17 at 10.57.05 AM.png

Here i put it in a picture you idiot
 
realiti said:
I agree with everything except this:

"If we hit town, for various reasons werewolf is forced to side with town tomorrow and in the nightkill, and so we go to 2-1-1 anyway."

hitting town leads to 5-3-1 -> 4-2-1 and we have odds to win
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I don't really want to address this, I know what you're saying and it's not really correct but I just want to skip over that for now.
 
apricity said:
lmao i just saw the "internal use only" peeking out in the bottom right corner lmfao
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LOL I didn't notice that that's highk funny

thank you town for backing us up though you're right, werewolf should be scumsiding tonight :sphearical:

I mean that's why I made that whole cool collaboration plan where we have to learn on each other !
 
wolf has to kill phoopes because they're fucked if phoopes hits anyone other than our 3rd so yk

even one more town clear pretty much kills wolf's winning chances

we're in the same boat in that regard phoopes absolutely must die that's why we're giving the job to the wolf who can't be hooked :boi:
 
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