Exactly my point.I am sorry but all of this is your opinion, you cant prove any of it. It serves no real argument other than you think you can understand your opponent and know how he will make every move by watching him for a few turns. (slight exaggeration) I mean I am kind of dumbfounded, you are saying that ANY decent player can just be like "oh he lead with lando-t then u-turned on my heatran, he must be aggresive and wants to keep momentum on his side, I will now make all my predictions based on that" You would have to watch a person play games upon games before you were able to recognize any discernible patterns, and to think any different is just silly.
From my experience, and I play alot of good players,"decent" players (as you put it) are not predictable. Good players know what their plays make them look like and then later in the game they will switch it up, I see it time and time again, a player will be playing very aggresive the first half of the game(ie predicting double switches and attacking the pokemon he thinks will come out), and then the second half of the game they start making safer plays, so the opponent may feel safe leaving a heatran in on a threat with earthquake because the opponent has never used earthquake on the heatran up until that point, then BAM he hits him with an earthquake.
The idea that you can understand how a person plays ( especially randoms on the ladder) by watching them for a few turns is a joke, I am done talking about this because Aegislash does cause 50/50s any good player understands that, it is one of the biggest complaints from the top tier tournament players. And if your answer to the 50/50s is to be some omniscient God that can just perfectly understand his opponent by watching 5 turns then that is just arrogant and misguided.
I mean I know showing examples hardly ever gets through to anybody, but this is me playing against one of the best players on ladder, and you will see a true case of 50/50s that are similiar to aegislash(even though not specifically aegislash)
http://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/ou-117641045
I am just going to explain everything that went into this game to make my point as clear as possible. Sorry if this takes up alot of space but I think it will help out the whole 50/50 thing, even though Aegislash isnt in this game. First off CB Entei has about 0 switchins, air balloon heatran being the absolute best answer to him so I popped the balloon asap, if I sacred fire and he switched I will most likely kill a pokemon, if I bulldoze and he stays in I will kill his heatran, so now its just a bunch of 50/50s, he couldnt possibly hope to predict what move I was going to use because literally I guessed every. single. time. I didnt predict. that is the definition of a 50/50 and they are the same exact 50/50s that aegislash promotes.
So to sum up this rather poor post, are you telling me that you would accurately predict when I would use sacred fire or bulldoze? The answer is NO, because I didnt even know what I was going to use them. The same thing goes with aegislash. I mean I sound like a broken record, I recommend checking out Jukains post about 50/50s he does a much better job than I do, but the point is you are confusing 50/50s with regualr predictions that usually are more like 80/20. Anyway Im done for now I guess.
I dont think he's banworthy, however the 50/50 argument is certainly true.