NOC Why is there a gun in my popcorn? GAME OVER SCUM WIN

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so uh some of his reads rubbed me the wrong way. esp the clear contradiction at some points.
hi sorry I have a lot more important things on my plate rn than this game

I don't really know how to approach this game because tbqh we don't even get to lynch so anyone can pressure anyone without it meaning jack shit unless the specific gunbearer is feeling similarly
blah blah

Also there's legit nothing to 'pressure' off of because again there's no lynch so it's not like most people are really doing anything they're just blathering
this part is important for below

I guess I'm a bit apathetic towards NOCs and this in particular because there's not much to talk about outside of 'I THINK X WOULD GIVE Y THE GUN BECAUSE Z' where Z is some spurious armchair psychology and X is someone who you hold a personal grudge against
this is also kinda lol for below

I guess I may as well just act like it's a normal NOC in terms of how people buddy each other though:
-Hitmonleet and Aura Guardian both are trying to be proactive and analyze things in a meaningful manner. I think that both are mostly pulling things out of their ass but at least they're trying
I kinda disagree. Aura's logic wasn't too convincing to me, and Leet's logic was just empty imo
-Fort Colorcastle seems to be trying really hard but not saying much, I think he is a definite scum read for me and imo probably the best shot today in terms of odds of mafia
why does that sound like the same thing as ^, except worded differently and with a different conclusion?
-Haruno is Haruno. Honestly I think a decent play might be to shoot someone who Haruno wants this cycle that isn't Haruno because I think that's the best way to determine his alliance; also I think that he would have a decent chance of picking mafia if he is village while also having as good a chance as anyone of bussing a teammate if mafia and pushed to it. I think that shooting him would be a bit of a mistake given he apparently has a history with Texas (?) that others might know about
if he's scum, that might give insight into his thought processes, but as asek said, town has like nada to work off of right now.
-Empoof reads town to me, I don't think he plays this ridiculously without having nothing to fear
XD that's an interesting way of looking at things. it does kinda ring true though, like texas on cancerous in OCNOC day 1.
-Blazade I don't like his play so far, but hell I wouldn't like my play so far either so shrug. I don't think he'd be a good shot and again I'd say maybe a bit more pressure but WTF IS THERE TO PRESSURE OFF OF ITG
I moved this up to referene it in the next two things
-Former Hope I mostly remember as posting bandwagon shit in this thread so more pressure on him would be good too. Same with winter-delta
see ^
-Jalmont is either resigned town or resigned mafia, I'd say pressure him more but eh not sure it would amount to anything; he's experienced enough I'd throw him on the pressure pile after Fort Colorcastle and Asek
see ^
-Twin is behaving a bit strangely this game, not posting much and when he does post it's mostly fluff; someone more in tune with Twin's life should comment on whether Twin has been more busy than usual lately
-I've got no read on Da Letter El yet but that should change pretty soon, I tend to find him suspicious in NOCs and most of the time I'm right so take that for what it's worth (nothing)
-Yeti is a qt
-Asek I have like no memories of meaningful posts in this game which is a bit weird, I guess I would've expected otherwise so I'd say I'd wanna pressure him more
-Flyhn has been afk as far as I can tell
-DeathbyWobbuffett is AFK I'm pretty sure so let's ping him here DeathByWobbuffet and see if he responds; if he doesn't then I'd say consider shooting him next day but probably not worthwhile this day
-MoodyCloud I haven't seen anything from lately though he was more active earlier, which is a bit weird to me. No clue as to his typical schedule or timezone though. He's been active enough I wouldn't shoot him though.
-Josh I don't like nearly as much as Texas does but I'd throw him in the null category next to Haruno. Haven't seen a ton out of him lately (aka last two pages) though?
-Has shubaka even done anything? I'd be ok shooting him tbh he seems like the sort of person who might gun Texas
I'll shuffle things so all his nonsubstantial/idler reads are here
I don't like how he completely ignores Yeti in his readslist.
Also that read on shubaka? that's the "there's not much to talk about outside of 'I THINK X WOULD GIVE Y THE GUN BECAUSE Z' where Z is some spurious armchair psychology and X is someone who you hold a personal grudge against" you just complained about, except without even bothering to give the "BECAUSE Z" part.
-UncleSam is the greatest mafia player in the universe and you are all fortunate to have been allowed to play in a game with him tbh
is this a mafia claim? :P


tl;dr I think that Fort Colorcastle, Asek, Former Hope, winter-delta, and shubaka is the pool of people I'd shoot from (roughly in order) in order to shoot scum. If part of our interest is in preserving discussion rather than simply aiming at the most likely mafia than perhaps winter-delta and shubaka move up the list while Fort Colorcastle moves down.
what happened to "I think he [Fort Colorcastle] is a definite scum read for me and imo probably the best shot today in terms of odds of mafia" ?
Also noting that list as a pool of players you grouped, for if you flip scum.

Also I think that Texas should pressure at least 2-3 idle players under threat of getting shot then shoot whoever he thinks is most likely to be mafia regardless of activity. Imo the value of 'preserving discussion' is meaningless itg because if you shoot someone who is village they don't die but you do; the result is that if you are contributing to discussion (like Texas is), then you should be trying to shoot someone who you think has the best odds of being mafia and therefore keeping you around for another cycle if you shoot them. I'd be most comfortable shooting someone from the above list though Flyhn and DeathbyWobbuffett should be added to the list if both continue their hardcore idling
this seems interesting, especially the suggestion about the gunholder pressuring people.
 
A) I already had more posts than people he DIDN'T call out, despite listing. That's where the real rub with that post is
B) I have been following the thread, just got sidetracked today. I was checking it from my phone at school as often as i could get away with
C) I unfortunately have to go to bed after this post, so uh... yeah

Also, Texas i wouldn't have DBW in that list, they're always an idler regardless of alignment, and if it's a miss an idling townie isn't exactly an optimal gunbarer.
an idling townie is probably the worst gunbearer, because it gives mafia power again, as well as guaranteeing a town death without anything substantial achieved from it (A conftown dies)
 
i just re read this and what the fuck?

how does this in anyway help to put a frame onto harunos allegiance when if hes town hes going off of DAY 1 CONTENT ONLY? I know im town so im guessing this is scum trying to get me or some1 else from harunos list shot and when we get gun say 'welp harunos probably scum then'.

yeah i dont buy into this or a lot of the other stuff you're saying in your big post
FoS unclesam
Haruno plays the same way no matter what his alliance is. The quality of his reads tends to be the primary distinguisher between whether he is mafia or village.

I wasn't aware Haruno had a 'hitlist'? Honestly your post doesn't really make sense; like you're literally assuming that Haruno would shoot you as town and that I would somehow know how to manipulate town!Haruno as mafia then try to cast the blame on Haruno??? Like I have that right, right? That's your story?

Twin's post isn't really worthy of a response outside of 'do something'. There's no hypocrisy to telling people to post a list after I posted a list; that is literally the opposite of hypocrisy lmao

That being said I don't really care as long as he has a read: Twin, since you don't wanna post a list because 'HYPOCRISY', who are my teammates then since you're '99% sure'? Say something substantive thx

Also lol Fort Colorcastle pointing out that my strongest scum read was also the first person listed on my 'to shoot' list - that's your big conclusion?

The difference between AG + Leet and you is that AG + Leet are both posting analytical posts, while you're posting a lot but saying very little to pin you down. See the difference?

Your most recent post was a good example. You 'point out' obvious shit in someone's elses' post to pad the length of your own, but don't pin down any concrete positions of your own. Say something original.
 
-Haruno is Haruno. Honestly I think a decent play might be to shoot someone who Haruno wants this cycle that isn't Haruno because I think that's the best way to determine his alliance;
Haruno plays the same way no matter what his alliance is. The quality of his reads tends to be the primary distinguisher between whether he is mafia or village.

I wasn't aware Haruno had a 'hitlist'? Honestly your post doesn't really make sense; like you're literally assuming that Haruno would shoot you as town and that I would somehow know how to manipulate town!Haruno as mafia then try to cast the blame on Haruno??? Like I have that right, right? That's your story?

.
literally assuming

yeah ur definitely the shot id take today buddy
 
You don't

You do however need to post something relevant which in case you haven't noticed is what I'm prodding you for

Keep on keepin' on though if you wanna keep being useless
 
lol Asek thinks I read the intro bullshit to a NOC

also Asek thinks that was a real post

Like come on how can you not yet tell when Haruno is obviously trolling how many games have you played with him now?
 
the failure of many smogon NOC villages is to determine likely teammates, if there's one thing MU players can do at the least it's assemble reasons for scumteams and lynching or not lynching based off that.

sam even screwed that one up in fire and ice noc when he mislynched haunted diamond who had not a single plausible teammate. ppl just dont think enough about the relationships between people in games and instead look at behavior they subjectively find scummy in a vacuum. esp once they start down a mislynch road.

"why do i need to list teammates" well thats a dumb thing for sam to ask considering its d1 and there are no substantial relationship ties yet until ppl get into petty squabbles (see above posts) but its a dumb thing for twin to even ask, if you want someone dead based off your read strongly enough you darn well better make a compelling case for it including likely teammates. if you can't piece that together you should either reconsider your analysis or reread the thread to provide a plausible scumteam to convince ppl with.

i disagree that empoof is more likely to be town than mafia for playing fearless. the only thing mafia have to be afraid of in this game is the gunbearer they chose, there is no lynch, and equally town doesn't have to be afraid of getting nightkilled by the mafia. texas has shown no commentary towards empoof so atm empoof has nothing to be afraid of regarding texas shooting him.
 
atm I'm RNGing a shot between

Thetwinmasters
Fort Colorcastle
DeathByWobbuffet

I feel like twin is town.
I don't know how I feel about Fort, so he's probably scum.
All of these shots i'm okay with

the failure of many smogon NOC villages is to determine likely teammates, if there's one thing MU players can do at the least it's assemble reasons for scumteams and lynching or not lynching based off that.

sam even screwed that one up in fire and ice noc when he mislynched haunted diamond who had not a single plausible teammate. ppl just dont think enough about the relationships between people in games and instead look at behavior they subjectively find scummy in a vacuum. esp once they start down a mislynch road.

"why do i need to list teammates" well thats a dumb thing for sam to ask considering its d1 and there are no substantial relationship ties yet until ppl get into petty squabbles (see above posts) but its a dumb thing for twin to even ask, if you want someone dead based off your read strongly enough you darn well better make a compelling case for it including likely teammates. if you can't piece that together you should either reconsider your analysis or reread the thread to provide a plausible scumteam to convince ppl with.

i disagree that empoof is more likely to be town than mafia for playing fearless. the only thing mafia have to be afraid of in this game is the gunbearer they chose, there is no lynch, and equally town doesn't have to be afraid of getting nightkilled by the mafia. texas has shown no commentary towards empoof so atm empoof has nothing to be afraid of regarding texas shooting him.

Yeah I don't have anything to fear. None of my partners are getting shot! I could give you a detailed self meta but this is what my town play is. I'm known for being the easiest read on Mafia Universe :skype_sun: which should be apparent to everyone the more I post.

So are you reading me mafia for making quick reads? I feel like I'm going with intuition and thread flow ~pretty well right now.
 
unclesam said:
tl;dr I think that Fort Colorcastle, Asek, Former Hope, winter-delta, and shubaka is the pool of people I'd shoot from (roughly in order) in order to shoot scum. If part of our interest is in preserving discussion rather than simply aiming at the most likely mafia than perhaps winter-delta and shubaka move up the list while Fort Colorcastle moves down.
oh wait I misread that; I somehow managed to skip over the "in preserving discussion rather than" part, leaving it as "If part of our interest is simply aiming as the most likely mafia ..." my bad. That wasn't a conclusion, but my thoughts on your conclusion.
Though I suppose my lack of a conclusion is what you mean by "I'm not saying stuff" ?

So if the contradictions I pointed out in your post, of which two still exist after removing ^ mistake of mine, are "obvious shit in someone's elses' post", then why make the contradictions?
 
Answer this yeti is sam more likely to be scum or town in your opinion
inconclusive. he got called out for having a bunch of hypocritical posts in the MU hydra game we were town where nobody was familiar with his meta, he will drive conversation and stir up discussion and pressure idlers though so i don't think he's the greatest d1 shot but you can read every prior noc wherein i also state lynching ppl who will drive discussion and idlers is a subpar play. getting into a spat with (insertuserhere) is par for the course of sam's noc play. he will reveal himself as scum or town as the game goes on but i honestly couldn't conclusively say based on d1

nobody can conclusively say anything based on d1, it's just too little information with nothing factual about alignment. just speculation. he hasn't posted enough yet to formulate a proper speculation.
 
So are you reading me mafia for making quick reads? I feel like I'm going with intuition and thread flow ~pretty well right now.
i'm reading you as shady for making a bunch of completely unsubstantiated reads that enable you to retroactively claim they were stream of consciousness reads or extremely strong gut reads depending on the situation.

every post of yours is a one liner which i find consistently suspicious from people who i expect better from. i felt this was dyachei's top scumtell in that championship game she was in with DLE.

defend your reads or i consider them bogus. if you provide no justification for why you think sam and asek can never be mafia together that statement is utterly worthless and can be twisted to whatever suits your purposes later in the game. elaborated content is much harder to spin.
 
i'm reading you as shady for making a bunch of completely unsubstantiated reads that enable you to retroactively claim they were stream of consciousness reads or extremely strong gut reads depending on the situation.

every post of yours is a one liner which i find consistently suspicious from people who i expect better from. i felt this was dyachei's top scumtell in that championship game she was in with DLE.

defend your reads or i consider them bogus. if you provide no justification for why you think sam and asek can never be mafia together that statement is utterly worthless and can be twisted to whatever suits your purposes later in the game. elaborated content is much harder to spin.

Sam and Asek never shove on eachother or interact the way they did in the back and forth before my post as mafia partners. There's no reason for either of them to do so at that point in the game. They're both heavily discrediting each other.

I kind of just do one liners for the most part.
 
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