NOC Matrix 12 NOC - Game Over, Mafia Wins

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Could you give a top town tierlist in whatever way you're most comfortable with?
uhhh dont lynch josh empoof tex moody and i want to say hawkie? i feel hawkie has done little since d1 but hes still a top tr. pancake could join this list i need to read thru his posts but the sr on leet + tex was interesting

need to sort through the rest but bottom tier rn is like yeti, knights, fcc.

i think scum leet = town ironic double but dont hold me to that 1
 
also pray i have enough time after work to study + play mafia #studious

if not tonight tomorrows my day off lest my managers flu has transitioned to aids or something
 
I have made my tierlist and put it in a notepad to refer to later but I want you all to do the work yourselves before I present it. I'm aware of how my words will influence opinion now.
hmm a large part of my eod push onto leet was to try to get content to work w. regardless of the flip

i was actually gonna say that this post

http://www.smogon.com/forums/threads/matrix-12-noc-day-4.3602966/page-79#post-7356326

i am thinking leet put at most 1 of his teammates in this list

but i was actually leaning towards he put none of his teammates in this list

It's a pet peeve of mine to look at falling scum spew for answers. Would rather focus attention on earlier in the game where their interactions are less deliberate and they are forced to have reads on people
 
Empoof

Blazade has been really easy to push. Yes been away, no one has really bothered to defend him. Makes him an easy target supported by wagonomics. Hawkie also fits the wagonomics. I'm concerned that he's been mostly universally town read since early on day 1 and hasn't been subject to any kind of significant pressure. In particular, the only person whose even pushed the idea of null!hawkie is yeti which is especially concerning in the event she's scum as there's no doubt she's willing to set up situations where scum flips make her look more towny.

Okay, if you really believe this to be true I need you to actually put some gusto into showing why hawkie would be scum with jalmont+hitmonleet and if you're comfortable with yeti but preflip associations are always weird af. Show me the wagonomics that make you think that, what you think is going through hawkie's head during some of their posts that you consider scummy

Like we've got 84 pages of content on everyone in the game, s h o w y o u r w o r k
 
hawkie and ullar had the rere fight d1

hawkie and ullar would be an extremely weird team as a result

jmo

Well yeah I'm personally of the opinion that if hawkie full bussed his partners and has this good of tone they can just win the game since they'll have to stay alive for like a billion night kills before the game is over while keeping it up
 
I need to sleep because i have a calc quiz tomorrow that might actually be difficult.

Sorry if I was spammy today, i'm multitabling a 12/12 during this which kind of puts me in that mindset

If your ideas are outlandish or against the grain, I want you to know that that's totally fine but I need work shown so we can both evaluate the mindset behind it and see if it's an agreeable thing.

I'll be in a better mood tomorrow, I'm just super sleepy. Honestly today was a really good day for me it's just that my body wanted to be asleep like 3 hours ago.

Feel free to tag me in everything and anything. Any questions or thoughts or whatever. I'm a narcissist so I respond well to people with their nose up my ass
 
asek has a more reasonable team of me and knights but is still boneheaded in thinking im mafia

these texas teams are just absurd

hawkie was way too hyperactive when he got into it with ullar to be staged, even if ullar might have done it IE with von in GUZ

ullar's side is consistent with his rere fight with king at the same time

me and blazade makes seriously no sense because of how tangible of a triangle that is between me/blazade/leet once i sub in

blazade hard busses leet starting d1, i scumread blazade fairly hard once i sub in and nullread leet/dont want to lynch him a ton, i dont even remember what leet did towards us but there's still a very clear relationship

"maybe" im trying to clear blazade when leet flips scum???????????? but come tf on

if blazade's intention was to hard bus leet AND i sub in to a situation where he tells me "theres like 5 other villagers on board" texas is saying we'd agree my best play is to nullread leet the whole time and scumread blazade and keep pointing on he's on leet's wagon

im really interested in hearing texas vomit out a bunch of bs about how these teams "makes sense" aka how can he lynch off one of his main detractors :^)
 
im feeling like my scumread on blazade was misplaced but i always scumread him in some fashion. cant wait for the borderline illiteracy lightwolf will add to this thread :heart:

ironicdouble im less certain about.

part of why i scumread these two so strongly was bc i was obv much less certain about leet being mafia and they didn't really make sense as his teammates. they made sense together, i think, and certainly as mafia trying to get a mislynch onto town!leet. with this proven false it makes me a lot less certain.

i do have a townread onto pancake who was p sure id was acting out of meta but i waver on this bc a lot of other people have pancake as scummy.

i dont think i want to push this into an actual 50/50 that one has to be scum, though. i think max 1 is scum between them but after the flip im no longer certain it IS one scum between them.

id subbed in for a slot i didnt see as particularly scummy bc i see former hope's town meta as being scummy (always gr8) and only then hard pushed leet. that kind of certainty that id wouldnt need to consider any other reads or pushes strikes me as Odd coming from an unfamiliar player.

also someone questioned earlier why subs would have the same reads as who they sub in for

thats how you get a consensus town; just by the number of people in the game versus number of scum both parts of a slot are gonna have to agree on some townreads unless one is mega paranoid and scumreads everyone (read: lightwolf). also if they find certain behaviors of another slot scummy, maybe not even the same behaviors, both sides of a sub could scumread one slot

the sudden decision of id to go onto leet as hard as id did when fh didnt seem to do much about leet pings me as way weirder.

i feel pretty comfortable saying theres a scum between fcc/knights/texas. the leet scum flip makes texas look clearer wagon-wise but his brain dmged scumteam suggestions today among other reasons give me great pause. does he stage that squabble with jalmont AND push leet both on d1? then continue that after jalmont flips scum? ma a a aaybe if texas is feeling super confident that jalmont + leet flipping scum after he had a confrontation/push will falsely clear him.

i think this is unlikely and thus i consider fcc and knights both higher priority targets.

the fcc slot had more than we've seen from aubisio in most other nocs combined plus dle doing his normal flyby hot takes (including hard townreading my slot as always) and then fort came in and has been unremarkable but also comparable to moody

speaking of part 1, im surprised nobody's trying to push me and fort as a scumteam due to that dle driveby/ullar save in the d1 wagons. it'd be wrong, but i'm still surprised.

speaking of part 2, moody is someone i think shouldnt be given a pass. putting leet at l-1 could be noobtown 'mistake' in that it let leet hammer early or it couldve been requested by leet and (last partner) to let leet hammer before we could discuss more. moody is the clear choice to be the one to vote to l-1 assuming the other partner straight up isnt on the wagon already bc nobodys gonna believe moody had malicious intent or awareness of the l-1. nobody even called out leet hit l-1 and could thus self-hammer iirc so this is pretty innocuous and a tinfoily point to bring up. however since i have to reconsider my prior strongest reads im gonna be looking at moody in some detail.

i had a strong townread on knights when the game began and also felt pretty cool about asek being town. ive flexed a bit on asek but come back around to town. i see a lot of EoD activity and involvement that contrasts sharply with leet. it cant be ignored asek has also been pretty nully on leet and not in favor of lynching him, certainly not on d1/d2, and this could also be interpreted as a partner slot. i find it Odd the people who are gucci with me being a leet partner for this same reason dont really consider it for asek. i dont think its true, fwiw, just inconsistent.

i think my knights read is waning. the reasons i felt knights was town before didnt exactly manifest how i expected in the thread. knights has done some work but i did the same as scum in popcorn and knights as the host may have picked up a few things on how to hustle town.

i also dislike knights' tunnel onto empoof and now vote onto asek. I Get knights' logic behind the shubaka scumread but i think it carried on a bit long as well as had several problems. that linked site with scumtells has many that apply to smogon villagers commonly and to knights himself in setup spec i believe. i think the asek vote is an odd choice today and pretty unsupported unless you believe asek has been lynchshifting away from hitmonleet on d2.

KnightsofCydonia
"Asek - Took a strong stance against the massread on Hitmon. An obsessively strong stance. This 2 cd compilation includes such classic scum hits as "X is worse at abc, so why not lynch X?", "these widely Townread players are suspicious for scumreading him", and that oldtime favorite "get in here and do stuff or I will scumread you". Snark and pop culture references aside, she's firmly in my lynch pool."
- citations wanted

what bothers me most about these knights votes is how they let him stay out of the main wagons. knights took a stance! voted his strongest scumread! every day! but then parked his vote on empoof for like 2 days and i feel like used this as an excuse to step away from the main wagons going on. now that empoof has claimed bpv (and lets be real knights was totally gonna go on empoof again today) he picked a fairly common townread in asek (but not SO common as josh as to be totally unbelievable) that would again let him sit back and skate the main wagons, presumably.
 
People who voted Hitmonleet during day1 : Hawkie, Blazade, Paperblade, Texas, Josh
People voting Hitmonleet at eod1 : Josh

People who during day2 voted Hitmonleet then parked their vote somewhere else at eod : Texas, Josh technically
People who didnt vote Hitmonleet at all day2 : Pancake, Moodycloud, Asek, Ullar-Yeti, Fort, Empoof
First d2 Hitmonleet voters : Hawkie, Ironicdouble, Knightsofcydonia
Pancake and Yeti are the only slots who didn't vote for either of Leet/King d2

People who during day3 voted Hitmonleet then unvoted and didnt vote anyone else (unvote happened fairly early in the day) : Hawkie, Blazade
People who didnt vote Hitmonleet at all day 3 : KnightsofCydonia, Asek, Yeti, Fort
First d3 Hitmonleet voters : Texas, Pancake, Ironicdouble, Hawkie (all in #1299 to #1324)

People who had ended d2 voting Hitmonleet and didn't do the same d3 : KnightsofCydonia, Hawkie, Blazade
People who didn't vote Hitmonleet at any point during d3 despite having ended d2 voting him : KnightsofCydonia
People who ended d3 voting Hitmonleet and didn't vote him d2 : Pancake, Moodycloud, Empoof
People who had voted Hitmonleet d1 and didn't follow up with it d2 : Paperblade slot
People who had voted Hitmonleet d1 and ended d2 voting him : Hawkie, Blazade


There's a consistency with how Asek/Yeti didn't push on Leet as they were townreading him and with how Hawkie/Blazade pushed on him early on despite them unvoting d3, I have to say Blazade would've been doing a pretty good job at bussing and distancing if he was scum here. The double unvote from them looks weird in hindsight tho. The way Knights was one of the early d2 pushes on Hitmonleet but ended up not voting him at all d3 looks shady though I'd expect Leet's teammates to be a lot more likely to bus him d3 than d2.

Will try and make something out of this tomorrow
 
16. Josh / 1. Hawkie
10. MoodyCloud
12. Asek

7. Paperblade->Pancake
3. Blazade->Lightwolf / 9. Former Hope->Ironic Double
13. Texas Cloverleaf

5. KnightsofCydonia
15. Aubisio->Da Letter El->Fort Colorcastle
if josh is scum hes taken A Lot Of Attention and risks i guess he was very active in popcorn i find him more town. im also p confident hawkie is town

moody and asek are about the same level of probtown but moody slightly higher if only bc i think asek is a bigger threat (sorry moody ur a qt babby learning tho!)

im questioning my stance on pancake but not yet moving him down to scum

i have lw and id as not-really-scumreads who are on the same level of "need rereading and reconsideration in light of scum!leet conf" but if you put a gun to my head id say pancake was town before id say they are atm

texas's relationships with jalmont and leet say not-mafia but his other posts say this is shady and opportunistic

knights has moved down a lot, i am starting to see a pattern of parking his vote in useless places and his tunnels onto my townreads arent a good look

fcc is skating by under the radar and i want to grill this slot today

vote fort colorcastle
 
moody doing my leetwagon table is a Good look but also an Interesting one considering moody isnt exactly the most active?

i like the effort from moody and appreciate it but i tinfoil its bc the scumteam felt itd be a good way for him to look town when theyre in a p bad spot rn

prob not i think moodys town tbh
 
Votecount
Fort Colorcastle (2): Moodycloud, Yeti
Asek (1): KnightsofCydonia
Yeti (1): Texas Cloverleaf

Not Voting (8): Hawkie, Lightwolf, Pancake, Ironic Double, Asek, Fort Colorcastle, Josh, Empoof
 
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I mean... there's really nothing I can do to prevent my lynch lol
My wagonomics are shit (was on both mislynches, NOT on the scum lynch)
my posting record is shit (the whole jalmont lynch fail >:| + empoof read)
my posting times are shit (haven't been nearly as active as I would love to be in both reading and posting)

is empoof now uncc'd town?

I guess I'll post reads?

???? is he basically conftown or did I misread his claim earlier?:
empoof

scumread:
---

scumlean:
IronicDouble
pancake

null:
knights

townlean:
Asek

townmiddling:
lightwolf
josh
moodycloud

townread:
Yeti
Texas
Hawkie

myself:
fort


>.< I don't actually see "fcc" and think "me" rip but so many people use it
 
fort you believe 1 of id or pancake is scum but not the other? i remember someone saying that

do you think knights fits with one of them as a teammate better than the other or why is he a nullread (thus your most likely last scum) and they're scum?
 
fort you believe 1 of id or pancake is scum but not the other? i remember someone saying that

do you think knights fits with one of them as a teammate better than the other or why is he a nullread (thus your most likely last scum) and they're scum?

that was not me
I've had a scumread on ID for a while, but my last read on pancake was null.
 
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