Crisis in CK9++ City [Serial Killer Wins]

Since Im claiming PR and we're assuming SK as the most likely scenario (which is far more likely than vig), then that rules out TTTTT (5). Out of TTT and T, due to the Tailor it is most likely only 1 T was rolled. But TTT is more likely to be rolled than T, so maybe it balances out. Next most likely mafia PR is godfather, followed by JOAT.
 
Since Im claiming PR and we're assuming SK as the most likely scenario (which is far more likely than vig), then that rules out TTTTT (5). Out of TTT and T, due to the Tailor it is most likely only 1 T was rolled. But TTT is more likely to be rolled than T, so maybe it balances out. Next most likely mafia PR is godfather, followed by JOAT.
didn't panic station say something that ruled out godfather
 
didn't panic station say something that ruled out godfather

It's a conditional. See the emphasis mine below.

Okay, game start ratio: 9/3/1. Current ratio: 7/2/1. All even T setups are off the table.

Mafia Teams Possible (not including the evident SK):
(slashes indicate OR pairings)

1T: Tailor, GF, JOAT/RB
3T: Goon, JOAT/RB, GF/Tailor
5T is similar to 3T but apparently it's an OR pairing between the two OR pairings? I'm not sure I'm reading it right. (Honestly, just another reason 5T is an ass world.)

So there's no GF if there's a Goon, and the only way we don't have a definite JOAT or Roleblocker is if we're in the 5T world.
 
Okay, back to hot association takes. Heury's up in the air now, so let's go over Heal.

This is Clarinet's only mention of Heal:

Would like to mention a couple of fellas that I suggest we keep around for D2

HnD - he's not stepping on anyone's toes, I enjoy this comfort but in future phases, I expect HnD to blossom.

I've highlighted the wording I find particularly suspicious. Even in his "oh we must have chatty wolves, wonder whooo" post, Clar doesn't bring up Heal. But the one time he talks about Heal, he expects something from him?
 
that's pretty stronk haha
another point against a vig existing is that sultan was almost certainly not a good pick for vig
someone like heal (or even me) or one of the inactives would have been a better shot
 
Come on it's obviously smog and heury.

vote heuryalone

There is still a little too many variables to reliably determine the setup and it prolly stay that way til 1 or 2 more cycles.
 
heury, my scum buddy, please reply to Cance's question. What did you mean by me explaining better than you? What were you referring to?

on a serious note, I wasn't sure what heury meant, but I'm not seeing it as such a big deal
rule of thumb says that in every game there's at least 1 talkative wolf

who are this game's chatty guys?

HnD
Panic
Sultan
heury
somi
smogon
Reading this makes me want to vote myself. Feels like Clar was really dropping hints of buddying me. As such, don't really want to vote anyone else on this list. Smogon and Panic are def towncore right now. Need to relook at Heal and somi.
 
If Heury hadn't said anything about claiming, I would have posted the quotes above already, along with the rest of Clar's associative on Haury.

Funny how Heury decided to talk setup spec instead.
 
Back
Top