NOC Pokemon Mystery Dungeon NOCfia DX

Nuxl : Regarding where else I could go, I do feel in a similar spot to you in terms of concrete scum reads not really materialising.
  • M2H is the one I’m most confident on, though I wouldn’t die on that hill yet. Would say it’s just leans/null after that.
  • I can’t imagine a HeaL lynch happening today but what they’re laying down has pinged me: vote on schia and (even discounting banter with M2H/Lrr) a lot of their posts don’t feel like they’re trying to figure out who is who. Idk if you’re the person to ask but how likely do you think it is for scum to publicly-ask for something they already know the answer to (e.g. Heal’s #105 if he were scum)? Reading that properly feels inaccessible to me right now.
  • I could swing Schia although Heal and M2H’s willingness to vote, given how i see them, give pause. But M2H hasn’t actually voted them!…. The scum lean on schia is very much gut, based on not being able to quickly think of good answers for their pattern of engagement/choice of what to go after.
  • I feel like I need more data for Zaroco and Clarinet, though for different reasons.
  • I don’t appreciate what Haruno’s playing at, but I don’t really feel like that’s coming from scum.
Zaroco said:
I found Clarinet's flip flopping vote a bit strange, but not enough for me to change my vote. It was interesting to observe how people voted for Clarinet after that in quick succession - do you think that's justified?
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you asking about if the flip flop or the votes are justified? I guess the two are intertwined. I want to hear clarinet’s answer to my question on the timing of the unvote. As for people voting, i don’t think it’s actually for the flip-flop. Panic’s justification was Clarinet’s walk back on the caffeine read, and Mega-Poke is ...sheeping Panic? Panic seems like he's seeing something there so it makes sense that they'd vote on it.

Going to sleep, but i anticipate being around at least an hour and a half before deadline.
 
Love how dopog just randomly inserts bullet points into his post similar to how rednecks insert bullets into... well anything.

Can somebody please give me some haruno town games? I don't think they're scum here comparing w/ Shots NOC but I have no town games to look at.
 
M2H said:
He's basically a perma null slot for me because he tends to lurk as both alignments. I'd prob be more firmly advocating for him to be a day one lynch here, but Nuxl suggests that Caffe is an easy read for him and is a town lean for him and I'm inclined to sheep that for the time being. It also seems that Caff is actually posting content regarding the game (!) which is a pretty big surprise actually.
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Bit confused how Nuxl townleaning Caffe -> not advocating for Clarinet for D1 lynch. Am I reading that right, Could you explain?
 
Unless you were referring to Caffe the whole time, I was talking about Clarinet in this post


Zaroco said:
I think there is warrant for suspicion there, but a few things running through my head.

Would mafia want to draw attention to themselves by doing this D1? (I'm unsure of this, but I'd assume unlikely unless it was a mistake). Which leads me also to 441 where M2H talks about this being Clarinet's play-style. Haven't read any of their previous games, so can't confirm this.
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CaffeineBoost said:
smh call that an implication arrow?
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*⇒

Fixed that for me
 
Been trying to judge Schia using past games and it's not going well. I'm p. sure Schia's acting slightly different here than they usually do because they're not as familiar with this group of fuckheads people.

What's really annoying me is I've played with Schia on PS and can't remember a single fucking thing about their meta.
 
dopog said:
so you're pretty strong on this read, hey?
I guess I find it hard to resonate with an anecdote - but obviously you do given the context.
is the plural of anecdote really data though? how many times have you seen M2H scum?

An anecdote for you is personal experience for me, so the plural is meta. It's only been twice, but the success rate is 100%.
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Zaroco said:
I think there is warrant for suspicion there, but a few things running through my head.

Would mafia want to draw attention to themselves by doing this D1? (I'm unsure of this, but I'd assume unlikely unless it was a mistake). Which leads me also to 441 where M2H talks about this being Clarinet's play-style. Haven't read any of their previous games, so can't confirm this.
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My expereince with scum!Clar is he either gets caught D1 or surrenders when the rest of his scum team is down.
 
Lrr said:
also my feeling on a player like nuxl is it will be sorted out sooner or later :blobshrug:

players like this sometimes have tells but I've literally never played with him before and the chance of me looking up past games of his without being a 3 man lylo situation is approximately zero
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to be totally fair looking up past games would help you a lot
 
i feel like nothing of value has happened in the last few pages for me

partly just voted schia not only bc "i don't townread them" but also to see if people would follow again + which uh sort of happened LMFAO
 
dopog said:
Nuxl : Regarding where else I could go, I do feel in a similar spot to you in terms of concrete scum reads not really materialising.
  • M2H is the one I’m most confident on, though I wouldn’t die on that hill yet. Would say it’s just leans/null after that.
  • I can’t imagine a HeaL lynch happening today but what they’re laying down has pinged me: vote on schia and (even discounting banter with M2H/Lrr) a lot of their posts don’t feel like they’re trying to figure out who is who. Idk if you’re the person to ask but how likely do you think it is for scum to publicly-ask for something they already know the answer to (e.g. Heal’s #105 if he were scum)? Reading that properly feels inaccessible to me right now.
  • I could swing Schia although Heal and M2H’s willingness to vote, given how i see them, give pause. But M2H hasn’t actually voted them!…. The scum lean on schia is very much gut, based on not being able to quickly think of good answers for their pattern of engagement/choice of what to go after.
  • I feel like I need more data for Zaroco and Clarinet, though for different reasons.
  • I don’t appreciate what Haruno’s playing at, but I don’t really feel like that’s coming from scum.

you asking about if the flip flop or the votes are justified? I guess the two are intertwined. I want to hear clarinet’s answer to my question on the timing of the unvote. As for people voting, i don’t think it’s actually for the flip-flop. Panic’s justification was Clarinet’s walk back on the caffeine read, and Mega-Poke is ...sheeping Panic? Panic seems like he's seeing something there so it makes sense that they'd vote on it.

Going to sleep, but i anticipate being around at least an hour and a half before deadline.
Click to expand...

I don't ever think I have played a game with scum heal but I think it could be semi-likely. I figure it's NAI at best

Don't really think pokebattlerz is really sheeping anything it kinda looks as if he's doing his own wave lmfao

M2H CaffeineBoost why r u not voting

HeaLnDeaL why schia over clarinet/haruno iyo
 
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