Tournament TLT IV: Round 4

Tranquility

Love Wins
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Banner by sirDonovan
Approved by Zodiax
Thanks to MJ for letting us use his post as a reference

Welcome to the fourth iteration of TLT (Tours' Leaderboard Tournament)! Throughout this tournament, players will battle in a best-of-three/best-of-five (from the 6th round on) format each round, with Smogon's standard tiers being the metagames played. This tournament is also Swiss for the first five weeks, so even if you're defeated once, you can still have a chance to qualify for the playoffs (3+ wins).

The tiers that will be played are:

SS Ubers
SS OU
SS UU
SS RU
SS NU
SS PU
SS LC


In order to fairly determine the three of these seven tiers played in each individual matchup, players will take turns locking and eliminating tiers among themselves. They'll both lock one tier, followed by eliminating two tiers, thus leaving three tiers to be played. The lower seeded player (determined by points in the cycle) will lock the first tier, followed by the higher seed player. Then the lower seeded player will eliminate the first tier, followed by the higher seed player, and it will repeat in that order one more time. The higher seed player picks what tier is played first of the three tiers. After that, the loser of game one picks which of the two tiers is played for game two. Naturally, game three will be played in the last remaining tier.

(Example: Temp placed #1 in cycle 1, while Axgwd placed 12th in cycle 3. Ax, the lower seed, decides to lock PU, followed by Temp locking OU. At this point, neither PU nor OU can be eliminated. Ax, the lower seed, chooses to first eliminate Ubers. Temp follows with RU. Ax then eliminates LC, and Temp eliminates NU. So thus the three tiers that would be played are PU (what Ax locked in), OU (what Temp locked in) and UU (the tier that didn't get banned). Of these tiers remaining, Temp, the higher seed, chooses to play OU first. Temp then loses game one, and chooses to play UU next. Should it go to game three, the tier to be played will be PU.)

Basic tournament rules - you absolutely should read this, especially if you're new to forum tournaments
Sportsmanship: Don't be an ass. Not to your opponents, not on PS, not on Smogon, not to me. A bit of friendly banter is ok, but please know where to draw the line. Think before you type, please.

Scheduling and Activity Wins: Contact your opponent as quickly as possible on their Smogon wall, and look out for them on PS. You will have one week from the posting of the week's matches to get it done. Extensions will be for two days after the scheduled deadline, and no further. If your opponent is not responding to your post on their wall, cannot be found on PS, or miss multiple scheduled times, make a detailed activity post in the thread letting me know why you deserve the win. No activity post means no activity call. As long as you have visible attempts at scheduling (such as wall posts), you will be fine.

Disconnections and Timer: A timer loss is a loss. No if's, and's, or but's about it. If your opponent is nice enough to replay that's fine, but they are by no means obligated to.

Ghosting and Identity: Don't take or give battle advice or make moves based solely on the suggestions of others, and don't pretend to be someone else in order to play as them. You will be caught, and you will be disqualified from this tournament as well as future PS! tournaments (BLT, PSPL, etc.).

Substitutions: Substitutions will be made only for rounds one & two, with round two subs taking the record of the person they are subbing in for.
Round 4 Matchups

3-0*:
kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We
100%GXE vs Sensei Axew
Luthier vs TeamCharm69
Stareal
vs Sificon

2-1:
TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV
EternalSnowman vs blinkboy
Failures vs 52Gambit
PrinceOfAllTacos vs Hys
NotAnHacker vs PokeArt2004♥
iNoLife
vs 7u9i2
imjustgray vs Baloor
saba1111 vs TheFranklin
APW001
vs RaJ.Shoot
MJ vs Decem
Cheese5555
vs RichardPepper
Gilgamesh9 vs FatFighter2

1-2:
Maki vs micoytancinco12
t0te vs halaman95
e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee
Skipkan vs LethalHobo723
Zualbr vs lkapkd1
The Thunderbirds vs Sets
Lugia_numair vs Mr. DoTooMuch
Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi
Angels & Airwaves
vs Dragon246
realSurfyTeen vs Trade
KabilaPok vs Alternatif
Ronman5
vs Henguinie


0-3**:
Suzize vs get_lucki
furya vs Pamplona
giove97 vs Hoopa590
Atiman vs Maple


Here is the full bracket. Note that you will not be able to proceed with battles for the next round, until the thread for the next round has been posted.

Deadline will be 20th of December at 11:59pm EST. Good luck everyone!

Tier bans that happened before this round was posted WILL apply.

Replays are mandatory.

* Have clinched a playoff spot (Better Swiss Record = Better Playoff Rank, not mandatory).

** Ineligible to qualify (Games are optional, but could be played for fun)
 
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Can't miss out on the predicts can we?
Let's go and good luck to all the players :3

3-0:
kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We: Both have been doing very well but I've seen more from kythr
100%GXE vs Sensei Axew
Luthier vs TeamCharm69: Unless TeamCharm69 gets his lucky charm up again, luthier should take the win easily
Stareal vs Sificon

2-1:
TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV: Scrafty bias lol
EternalSnowman vs blinkboy
Failures vs 52Gambit: go asiancy
PrinceOfAllTacos vs Hys: Looks close but poat is more goated in lower tiers
NotAnHacker vs PokeArt2004♥: Haven't watched what happened vs shadow but I've seen pokeart win more
iNoLife vs 7u9i2: unfortunately I still don't know how to pronounce 7u9i2's name, but they played well against surfy so this looks a bit even
imjustgray vs Baloor: gray is overall more goated
saba1111 vs TheFranklin: HL Match; saba played well against luthier so giving him the slight edge here
APW001 vs RaJ.Shoot: the matchups here look tough af, raj should take LC easily but I believe apw can get wins from the other two tiers
MJ vs Decem: this looks super close but decem has a hwasa pfp and kpop pfps get an auto bold from me
Cheese5555 vs RichardPepper: I heard Richard is a very good player but I saw cheese play really good
Gilgamesh9 vs FatFighter2: more familiar with omega's plays than FatFighter2's

1-2:
Maki vs micoytancinco12: Scrafty bias sorry micoy
t0te vs halaman95: I have no idea how they play but halaman is a more familiar name
e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee
Skipkan vs LethalHobo723
Zualbr vs lkapkd1: lol lkap gets two free wins in a row??? bolding zualbr
The Thunderbirds vs Sets: Sets had some interesting sets.. but tbirds is decent in a lot of tiers so he might take this
Lugia_numair vs Mr. DoTooMuch: he beat lkap and I consider lugia and lkap even
Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi: probs the best player in the 1-2 pool and I have no idea how shadow ended up here
Angels & Airwaves vs Dragon246: man idk, Angles & Airwaves is a cooler name ig
realSurfyTeen vs Trade: this would've been really fun, gws trade ;w;
KabilaPok vs Alternatif
Ronman5 vs Henguinie: bruh when did bdl drop out.. would've bolded him


0-3**:
Suzize vs get_lucki
furya vs Pamplona: HL Match, I have absolutely no idea who will get the win here
giove97 vs Hoopa590
Atiman vs Maple
 
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Not shit predictions

3-0:
kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We didnt know much about kythr coming into this but id be lying if I didnt say im super impressed with him. super solid player would be surprised if it goes the other way
100%GXE vs Sensei Axew a bit closer than it seems on paper to some people due to axews knowledge of the lower tiers but gxe has a superpower to be really solid at any tier he plays with little practice (but the rapping needs some work :l) so im taking him
Luthier vs TeamCharm69 charm already won, the king is dead
Stareal vs Sificon i know stareal is fairly solid and has solid performances but honestly ive been super impressed with sificon. hes really improved since ive last followed his matches last year and I think this is where sificon can pull a upset to flex before the elim bracket. stareal is still super solid though but he has faced some lesser opponents in the tour.

2-1:
TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV havent really followed either of these guys at all this tour, but from what ive seen sice has just picked better teams and has played better
EternalSnowman vs blinkboy blinkboy goated on the sticks my guy
Failures vs 52Gambit didnt know anything about gambit coming into this tour but ive been fairly impressed with what ive seen out of him so far and think hes better
PrinceOfAllTacos vs Hys poat is another player i think has improved a lot since last year when I came around and started playing, really rooting for him in this one, close but i think poat slightly edges him out
NotAnHacker vs PokeArt2004♥ pokeart is a super good guy and all but I just cant in good faith pick him based on the mess that was last week. im sorry poke forgive me
iNoLife vs 7u9i2 havent followed either at all outside of nolifes surfy game where he played semi decent so ill take him
imjustgray vs Baloor let me tell you vs this fucking asshole. this kid is the biggest shitter on this site. all i wanted was to talk about last week with him and he was never fucking on. this kid is a prick and bad at mons. how the fuck do you lose to gxe, you fucking geek. i hope you choke on a fucking walnut. go slip on a mud puddle you muggle hunchback dork lickilicky headass bitch. go back to your shit tours like olt you dork. your glasses are fogged up from all the mouth breathing you've been doing you neckbeard.
[00:13:13] imjustgray: nah i was deadass afk the whole week
[00:13:16] imjustgray: was hella busy
[00:13:24] imjustgray: u still won tho
[00:13:33] Baloor: yeah without u
[00:13:34] Baloor: fuck u
saba1111 vs TheFranklin I love arce but saba has had surprisingly very solid showings this tlt which frankly I think have been better than arce's
APW001 vs RaJ.Shoot raj has been competent in just about everything hes played when apw has played a tad worse. I think its close but not to the point where its 49-51
MJ vs Decem mj despite being better at some of the higher tiers, i think falls off in diversity. hes super solid at what he does but I think decem is a bit more of a mixed bag than him. super close mu but decem probably wins.
Cheese5555 vs RichardPepper Richard ironically brings more cheese than cheese. cheese is better here

1-2:
Maki vs micoytancinco12 really upsetting to see both these guys down here. i think maki edges micoy just by a little. goodluck both
t0te vs halaman95 not really impressed with either but t0te has shown more ability than halaman to this point
e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee ethey has had some really terrible luck in this tour, despite not playing like an absolute shitter when roxiee has had some questionable moments. I think ethey picks up the win here. this mu is interesting for sure though cause roxiee can play well but hasnt really shown a lot of good playing in the tournament
Skipkan vs LethalHobo723 skip has had kinda a sad run but I do think hes better
Zualbr vs lkapkd1 sCrAfTy biAs sOrrY LkAP
The Thunderbirds vs Sets thunderbirds has shown to be pretty decent but has come up short in his matches, when sets techincally hasnt won a set due to a r2 act win.
Lugia_numair vs Mr. DoTooMuch lugia vs lkap will happen
Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi again I cant in good faith pick shadow this week due to the pokeart set. they havent played amazing and have had pretty eh team selection (no softboil blissey). im sorry dude, I really wish you the best though i hope you win
Angels & Airwaves vs Dragon246 dont follow either of these guys, goodluck both of you.
realSurfyTeen vs Trade
KabilaPok vs Alternatif i think kabila is just having a bad run but because of their week 1 game vs arce + win was fairly impressive considering arce is above average in ability, im taking kabila.
Ronman5 vs Henguinie

sorry if anybody is offended by these, I dont like to sugar coat anything. I wish everybody goodluck! also guys please stop bring shit teams to fucking ou. im getting super annoyed and would like to not grow a brain tumor, thanks.

edit: I forgot fatfighters game but like you cant bet agaisnt a dude named "fat fighter" considering the playerbase of competive mons
 
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okay ill do as much as i can before i get bored :mehowth: not doing games of people who i havent been paying attention to/don't know

3-0*:
kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We - kythr is, as most of us know, strong in most of the tiers in this tournament and its unlikely he is going to play poorly or have a rushed or unimpressive team selection. Noting however that it doesnt matter what happens to anyone in this seed from here on out, I don't think kythr will be too influenced by any certain team choice but he will win just based on skill. kythr enjoy this useless tag lol get fucked
100%GXE vs Sensei Axew - Both strong players, and I'm going to favor the boy Axew simply because much like kythr, he's got resources in every tier and knows them well, Axew's experience in these tiers is what's going to win him this one.
Stareal vs Sificon - Not knowing who Sificon was before this tour would lead me to favor Stareal immediately, but that's because I was quite new to this part of the community. After seeing him hyped up by others he's obviously got the skill to make that talk worth the merit. I do think that if OU is locked here it will favor Stareal and the lower tier games will come completely down to to skill, I think both players can win an unfavorable MU, however I will favor Stareal here simply assuming that OU will be locked. also Stareal haha pinged loser

2-1:
TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV - I skim through replays and don't really know who is the better player here but I'm impressed with Sice so, bolding him.
EternalSnowman vs blinkboy - Both competent players, I think that most of this set will come down to matchup and who will be willing to pull triggers faster on making plays, given from what I've seen by ESM's videos and his thought process I think he may be slower to make those plays, but definitely not counting him out of this series, 50/50.
imjustgray vs Baloor - Baloor is funnier (so he will win).
Okay fr though this is another MU I can't really decide on, gray is impressive in OU and Baloor isn't a pushover either, so, calling it even.
saba1111 vs TheFranklin - Saba has been on fire recently IMO, but I'm not counting TheFranklin out of this, just gonna hope saba rides his winner high into another W
APW001 vs Raj.Shoot - Favoring Raj as I've seen him perform exceptionally well when he focuses, but *insert t1-t2 choke meme here* and that's the only reason I think he may end up dropping this series.
MJ vs Decem - I've seen Decem play a multitude of tiers and do well in just about all of them, MJ from what I've seen from others is good but haven't seen the play to confidently say that this will be even. Go December!
Cheese555 - RichardPepper - From what I remember, Cheese's only loss has come from pretty poor luck, and Cheese I think is the more well-rounded player so I'm going to favor him
Gilgamesh9 vs FatFighter2 - Gilgamesh has been playing quite well, not too keen on FatFighter here.

hands r starting to hurt +_+

1-2:
Maki vs micoytancinco12 - I think both players are good, Maki obviously showing competence as a player in any tier, Micoy hasn't been a slouch either when it comes to playing. I think Maki just has to switch-up his playstyle. Calling it even for now but I'm going to lowkey favor Maki 55-45.
e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee - From watching ethey's videos, I don't think he's bad or anything, but I think some of the team selections/sets have been average or interesting at most, some decisions when making plays were counterintuitive as well. Both players I think will be really motivated to win this but I've been on side PL teams with Roxiee and I think he is overall the stronger player, one thing I think to note though is after watching Roxiee play I think he's also sometimes slower to pull the trigger on certain plays, which may end up being unfortunate but overall I don't think this will be unfavorable for him even if that is a problem.
Zualbr vs lkapkd1 - is he being serious about back to back bye's??? hello this dude is praying to jesus, god, and sending hosts $400 via paypal imo ill send you my lottery tickets
The Thunderbirds vs Sets - Haven't seen much in this tour from either (because I haven't seen their replays) but not too sure on how cleanly Sets will play if I recall my games with him when I was grinding points in tour room. I feel that Tbirds is more motivated to win at this point and that's what's going to matter in this series.
Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi - Shadowmonstr7 I think (?) is better but....no Soft-Boiled on Blissey is, interesting. Maybe this will come down to builder?
realSurfyTeen vs Trade - gary come home
KabilaPok vs Alternatif - Based on my games with Alternatif in R2, he's knowledgeable, and I'm not too sure who KabilaPok is so I'm going to favor Alternatif

okay cool i've now wasted 10 years of my life awesome
wow.PNG
gl everyone
edit :cant use reaction emojis in posts?.. now i gotta go find a link to the image, cringe.
edit 2: cant find it i hate this website
edit 3: found it
 
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:Torterra: Please listen to this music while reading this message thank you ! :Torterra: -->

Hello everyone and welcome to TLT! Round 4 :Smogjynx:

I am the Great Mellow ! Renowned player known throughout France, I climbed to the top of the top 1 Girl Category France. But I am also nicknamed Mellow Grand Ecran ! Having covered very very big tournaments like the TPP as well as BLT, I will bring you closer to the action every match thanks to a great tool called Pokémon Showdown Replay. You will be able to live and admire each match of your favorite player ! :Gengar:

In order to reward your victory, you have the possibility of obtaining a small custom avatar next to your name ^^ I ask to choose the Pokémon of your choice that will represent you in the tournament (Your favorite Pokémon, a powerful Pokémon or whatever) :Smogjynx:

Here are the choices available to you are as follows ->

- All 898 pokémon differents --> https://bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net/wiki/List_of_Pokémon_by_National_Pokédex_number

- All regionals Versions --> https://www.pokepedia.fr/Forme_régionale ( This is the French version but you can use the pictures for your choice )

- All Gigamax Version --> https://www.pokepedia.fr/Gigamax ( This is the French version but you can use the pictures for your choice )

- Shinylock --> Unfortunately all shiny are not available :psysad:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------​


  • Replays will be necessary in winposts.
  • The winners of the matches will have the possibility of having a small avatar of their favorite Pokémon in order to represent them at best (I know that it is a little poor but it is the best I can do to support and thank you for making this tournament
  • A big thank you to the staff who make this tournament possible, a big thank you to all the players who participate in this tournament and we are amazed in this crazy competition. :jynx:
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:Gengar: Round 4 Matchups :Gengar:

:Arceus: +S Player " Immortals " :Arceus:


kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We | kythr :Shinx:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1246735557-xmpn7y8el0mjzoodub7p39yacj0viuapw :Shinx:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1246724875-mfuwpvo9f5mr7c5s3y0bv8ktojg3idqpw :Shinx:

100%GXE vs Sensei Axew | Sensei Axew :Serperior:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1243622615 :Serperior:
- Game 2 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1243630303-6q0cs9cknu8hfd25hz3ut1pr9knfiq9pw :Bisharp:
- Game 3 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ru-1243638881 :Serperior:

Luthier vs TeamCharm69 | TeamCharm69 :Lopunny-Mega:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1243236970 :Lopunny-Mega:
- Game 2 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1243232908-gfo5758izk20einkied0uxo97oo0h92pw :Charmander:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1243240414 :Lopunny-Mega:

Stareal vs Sificon (:Lunatone:) | Stareal :Sableye-Mega:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1243538909-0ouamrx8fsz8jw5uwdyxgit1ixmlcn1pw :Sableye-Mega:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ru-1243526501-4y1qe85hcvetji3vpj03tq8putu7hqfpw :Sableye-Mega:

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:Darkrai: +A Player "Nightmare" :Darkrai:

TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV | SiceXV :Pancham: ***

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1244476084 :Pancham: ***
- Game 2 PU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8pu-1244495567 :Corsola-Galar: ****
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1244491104 :Espeon:

EternalSnowman vs blinkboy | blinkboy :Gengar-Gmax:

- Game 1 UU Showdown Version : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1246137269-3w611t10drrp6pwaxoo5aryldpq4exopw :Gengar-Gmax:
- Game 1 UU Youtube Version : :Gengar-Gmax:

- Game 2 OU Showdown Version : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246125139-f4udfwrht0m680k9fzyt8sm93zspjgzpw :Gengar-Gmax:
- Game 2 OU Youtube : :Gengar-Gmax:

Failures vs 52Gambit | 52Gambit :Greninja-Ash:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1245727415-iaq9hwaogfdvshaljltj48fqccmbq93pw :Greninja-Ash:
- Game 2 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1245736803 :Greninja-Ash:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1245731590-xqdw3lk83rj40duper670e8vkag68tvpw :Meloetta-Pirouette:

PrinceOfAllTacos vs Hys | Hys :Yamper:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246789637 :Yamper:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246793126 :Rayquaza:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1246795166 :Yamper:

NotAnHacker vs PokeArt2004♥ | PokeArt2004♥ :Furret:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1247537538-bfca7iefh0au2ws66mfutj8xn4f8qw9pw :Furret:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1247500160-6aaskqvem78be0zvuu17aiwzbxv7fzipw :Furret:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1247485022-og8i879jzhv0aurauzf9ficgikj8qfvpw :Luxray:

iNoLife vs 7u9i2 | iNoLife :Cubchoo:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246906671-pzrc0hqbgdj107m8wd1z3tfjth3axqxpw :Cubchoo:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ru-1246910881-25j8f0qxyo8h2rwaeq0194m3sm7bxhypw :Cubchoo:

imjustgray vs Baloor | imjustgray :Crobat:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ubers-1246385096 :Crobat:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ru-1246390127 :Crobat:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1246380140 :Zacian:

saba1111 vs TheFranklin | TheFranklin :Smeargle: *

- Game 1 Uber : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ubers-1246152592 :Scrafty:
- Game 2 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246173435-2pmbt631bclhjma7x8dv0e1vwc8ropbpw :Smeargle: *
- Game 3 PU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8pu-1246183131-z1niv3ah0xxny7hhezopgfbuh27g0tqpw :Smeargle: *

APW001 vs RaJ.Shoot | APW001 :Incineroar:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246078616-gqx98ma067y1vt6p797adpnnbdcf6w2pw :Incineroar:
- Game 2 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1246071429 :Incineroar:

MJ vs Decem | Decem :Goodra:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1245008551 :Goodra:
- Game 2 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1245027186 :Goodra:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1245018560 :Alakazam:

Cheese5555 vs RichardPepper | Cheese5555 :Glalie-Mega:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1247355907-43ffe886mnibbrxea0oeac68ax28oxopw :Glalie-Mega:
- Game 2 RU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1247372898-f53s6cocdb1l0q91lyoyfid7e9k74z7pw :Glalie-Mega:
- Game 3 NU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8nu-1247363676 :Kingdra:

Gilgamesh9 vs FatFighter2 | FatFighter2 :Oshawott:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1246736126 :Oshawott:
- Game 2 PU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8pu-1246743071 :Oshawott:

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:Heatran: +B Player "Veteran" :Heatran:

Maki vs micoytancinco12 | Maki :Fennekin:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1247417565-7ov1vh4i9o5awjq6to2ftlut2qjk7kzpw :Fennekin:
- Game 2 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1247420541-ap5bu09y1h9d3z150c70wxv35ggk5vxpw :Fennekin:

t0te vs halaman95 | t0te :Bayleef:

- Game 1 Uber : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ubers-1247456281-kbeqjb4icg0fyvg2umjqfn5n9s42213pw :Bayleef:
- Game 2 NU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8nu-1247452835-4yhehcr7ulpd0xf6wbpgwdhimvm5ctupw :Bayleef:

e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee | Roxiee :Mawile-Mega:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1243732415-f41h4aq8svofmattah8hxceam1mq2r4pw :Pignite:
- Game 2 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1243737473-tgn858q3wj0n0g0o2qnqhzv6ioc9i2upw :Mawile-Mega:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1243740176-pez6jjkqrycuhbe3h7zxvxu2dl2e6uvpw :Mawile-Mega:

Skipkan vs LethalHobo723 | LethalHobo723 :Chatot:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1247329761:Chatot:
- Game 2 PU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8pu-1247334920:Chikorita:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1247341970:Chatot:

Zualbr vs lkapkd1 | lkapkd1 :Larvesta: **

The Thunderbirds vs Sets | This Match Never Happend :Darkrai:

Lugia_numair vs Mr. DoTooMuch | Mr. DoTooMuch :Cryogonal:

- Game 1 OU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ou-1244945259-ydgbkk9kg86uq97dt5s41kzz8wls4lqpw :Charizard-Mega-X:
- Game 2 Uber : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ubers-1244963683-fc262iwf2xi77nf40w0g79t8iokfztlpw :Cryogonal:
- Game 3 LC : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1244954221-0pae8kpbeue03fgb4gyr2s2tm3k7yd5pw :Cryogonal:

Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi[/USERAngels & Airwaves vs Dragon246 | Angels & Airwaves :Altaria-Mega:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246972183-x3zxdxh1l204v2xi8epddrvi97bs6ubpw :Altaria-Mega:
- Game 2 RU :
https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ru-1246978041-fgrfb1nms8ehg7ays46knbv6eaxfov4pw :Altaria-Mega:

realSurfyTeen vs Trade | realSurfyTeen :Sharpedo:

KabilaPok vs Alternatif | This Match Never Happend :Darkrai:

Ronman5 vs Henguinie | Ronman5 :Skorupi:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

:Regigigas: +C Player "On the way to victory" :Regigigas:​

Suzize vs get_lucki | get_lucki :Lanturn:

furya vs Pamplona | This match never Happend :Darkrai:

giove97 vs Hoopa590 | giove97 :Weedle: **

- Game 1 PU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8pu-1246544415-mbyj8wotsvtbhphpt10dznx3ukaatdypw :Weedle: **
- Game 2 LC :
https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1246543514-g88066us186ceeu8kyjqc82b3vttlvvpw :Weedle: **

Atiman vs Maple | Atiman :Rhyperior: **


Good Luck for TLV IV Round 4 !:Smogjynx:


Important Information :

  1. Replays will be necessary in winposts. | Replays are mandatory.
  2. Tier bans that happened before this round was posted WILL apply.
  3. Deadline will be 20th of December at 11:59pm EST.
  4. In the event that I will not have an answer from you if you win, a custom avatar will still be designated to you but randomly and you will be notified by * next to it.
  5. The double ** means that an automatically assigned avatar has been tributed to you according to your avatar if you lost your match
  6. The triple *** means that you were assigned a random custom avatar because your avatar during the match was a neutral trainer avatar.
">] | This Match Never Happend :Darkrai:

Angels & Airwaves vs Dragon246 | Angels & Airwaves :Altaria-Mega:

- Game 1 UU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8uu-1246972183-x3zxdxh1l204v2xi8epddrvi97bs6ubpw :Altaria-Mega:
- Game 2 RU :
https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8ru-1246978041-fgrfb1nms8ehg7ays46knbv6eaxfov4pw :Altaria-Mega:

realSurfyTeen vs Trade | realSurfyTeen :Sharpedo:

KabilaPok vs Alternatif | This Match Never Happend :Darkrai:

Ronman5 vs Henguinie | Ronman5 :Skorupi:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

:Regigigas: +C Player "On the way to victory" :Regigigas:​

Suzize vs get_lucki | get_lucki :Lanturn:

furya vs Pamplona | This match never Happend :Darkrai:

giove97 vs Hoopa590 | giove97 :Weedle: **

- Game 1 PU : https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8pu-1246544415-mbyj8wotsvtbhphpt10dznx3ukaatdypw :Weedle: **
- Game 2 LC :
https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/gen8lc-1246543514-g88066us186ceeu8kyjqc82b3vttlvvpw :Weedle: **

Atiman vs Maple | Atiman :Rhyperior: **


Good Luck for TLV IV Round 4 !:Smogjynx:


Important Information :

  1. Replays will be necessary in winposts. | Replays are mandatory.
  2. Tier bans that happened before this round was posted WILL apply.
  3. Deadline will be 20th of December at 11:59pm EST.
  4. In the event that I will not have an answer from you if you win, a custom avatar will still be designated to you but randomly and you will be notified by * next to it.
  5. The double ** means that an automatically assigned avatar has been tributed to you according to your avatar if you lost your match
  6. The triple *** means that you were assigned a random custom avatar because your avatar during the match was a neutral trainer avatar.
 
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Well yeah as I’ve played a lot of Ubers Calyrex shadow and Zacian are huge threats it looks like most people deal with em using Ditto and Yveltal

There are also meme trick mons like Shedinja who blanket most varaints of Zacian C (since a lot don’t carry crunch) while also completely blanketing Xern unless it decides to waste a slot on Toxic

Also most scarfers can take Zacian C. Honestly the metagame has became a lot more fair and balanced since the Dynamax ban Since before the ban it was far to common to see people DDance Necrozma dusk, Geomancy Xern, DDance/coil Zygaurde to just Dynamax after and nearly or completely sweep

Anyways little rant over it’s kinda what stuck out to me while watching the vid
 
[Analyzing the following match-ups...]
[Analysis complete.]
Here are the predictions:

3-0*:
kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We - Hellray's been on a roll so far, but I don't see him beating a goat like kythr. Let them rumble, shall we?
100%GXE vs Sensei Axew - This should be a great series, and I see 100%GoatXE winning in 3. While Sensei Axew has shown to be quite the solid contender, I think gxe holds the advantage in overall playing skill and his ability adapt to any tier.
Luthier vs TeamCharm69 - WHAT. (Charm won in 3)
Stareal vs Sificon - This should be close, and it will probably come down purely to the tiers they play. Based on what I've seen from both players so far, I think star takes this by a hair.

2-1:
TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV - Sorry tgr, but sice impressed me last week by beating skipkan in 2. I've only seen tgr win against 2 newcomers (to these events like tlt), so with this gap in experience between these 2, sice should take it. Rooting for tgr though.
EternalSnowman vs blinkboy - Another really close one, damn. While the blinking boy has been facing stronger opponents to get here, I think the everlasting ice lad still has the edge as I've been more impressed with how he has played. I could easily see this going either way, though we know who'd lose in a staring contest.
Failures vs 52Gambit - This might be a bit of a gambit but I'll favor 52gambit here. Gambit's been playing well throughout the tour imo, maybe a bit better than Failures who got a bye. Gambit should take this is he uses more than 52% of his power, but this actually seems pretty close skill wise.
PrinceOfAllTacos vs Hys - The H in Hys is for hidden, hys is a hidden goat. I've seen poat play a lot, and when playing at his best, he's really good, but I think hys is better here. Sorry poat, the Taco Kingdom shall suffer a loss this time.
NotAnHacker vs PokeArt2004♥ - Looking forward to a good series, NotAnHacker.
iNoLife vs 7u9i2 - Inolife has been pretty impressive from what I've seen, while 7u9i2 has also been good, just to a lesser extent. For this reason, I think inolife takes this.
imjustgray vs Baloor - No hard feelings baloor, I'm not proud of what happened last week either lol. Anyways, this is an unusual predict as I've already seen the tiers. Given the chosen tiers (LC, OU, NU), gray should take this as he's good in both ou and lc. Normally would have picked baloor, but based on tiers I favor gray.
saba1111 vs TheFranklin - I don't want to predict against arce9, but he hasn't had the best showing so far, while saba looked great vs luth and seems to have a lot more versatility in tiers overall.
APW001 vs RaJ.Shoot - Both are good players. While I think apw is more versatile, I think raj wins this with sufficient prep. Should be a close one.
MJ vs Decem - Def an Hl match that holy crap I don't want to miss. Mj has had a relatively good showing so far, same with decem. I'm favoring mj slightly given his versatility and how goated he is overall, but if he doesn't play at his best, I think decem may take it.
Cheese5555 vs RichardPepper - I think cheese is just the better player overall here, sorry richard.
Gilgamesh9 vs FatFighter2 - I feel omega has really proven he can play normal tiers quite well, and given what I've seen from him vs what I've seen from OverweightFighter2, omega seems to be better and should win this.

1-2:
Maki vs micoytancinco12 - Poor micoy finally gets a win and then gets an absolute goat who's 1-2 for some reason. The more I watch maki play, its like the better I see them play, so I don't see maki losing here. Sorry micoy ;-;.
t0te vs halaman95 - Halaman hasn't had a really good showing, while tote got pretty good opponents and seemed more solid vs them, based on this I think tote takes it.
e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee - Overall, roxiee is def the better player here, and is 1-2 due to facing 2 goats and losing.
Skipkan vs LethalHobo723 - It was def surprising to see skipkan lose vs sice, but comparing the experience and playing skill between these 2, Skipkan should take it. LethalHobo is def decent, but Skip is better.
Zualbr vs lkapkd1 - Getting a bye back to back, this is lkap hax at its finest. Lkap will make it to playoffs off byes alone.
The Thunderbirds vs Sets - While both haven't had the greatest showings, Sets has been more impressive than Thunderbirds, so I think sets should win, but this could be close?
Lugia_numair vs Mr. DoTooMuch - We haven't seen him do too much yet, but based on we have seen him do, he's been doing better than Lugia who has had a pretty poor showing overall.
Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi - Having personally played against shadow, I can say he is def a good player at his best, and a better one than vumshi who's one win is from a bye, so I don't see shadow losing this.
Angels & Airwaves vs Dragon246 - Dragon didn't look good in defeat , and when he won, the replays weren't even saved. While A&A is in the same spot here, I've seen more from them and overall I think they showed more potential, so I'm favoring A&A here.
realSurfyTeen vs Trade - realSurfyTeen got a bye, idk about fakeSurfyTeen though.
KabilaPok vs Alternatif - Kabila hasn't done very well after his week 1 win vs arce, while alternatif took their first victory against lant. Neither of them have been very impressive overall and I'm thinking this will be close, but I think alternatif is favored slightly.
Ronman5 vs Henguinie - I'm relatively disappointed with bdlol's showing so far, and was hoping he would redeem himself. Oh well, you finally got that bye you asked for ron!


0-3**:
Suzize vs get_lucki - Lant did get lucki this time around with a bye.
furya vs Pamplona - Why does this exist?
giove97 vs Hoopa590 - Ok, I've been wrong before with gi, but idt she can lose this one. No pressure, nothing to lose, gi will play well this time, even if it doesn't matter in the long run now.
Atiman vs Maple - And with that, I think all the 0-3 players (who are actually still in this) will all get their first win!

Playing NotAnHacker Sunday 4pm est (Gmt -5) in LC, RU, and UU.

(Apologies to anyone I may have possibly offended, please do not take these very seriously.)
 
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First (and probably last) time doing predictions, I'm bored.

LET'S ADD SOME PEPPER TO THE THREAD
(don't take me too seriously)

3-0*:
kythr vs Let's Rumble Shall We I'm a big fan of Hell Rayquaza, he's underestimated, besides Kythr is always an a$$hole with me, laughing for every single message I write, so I hope he will lose bad, better if haxed.
100%GXE vs Sensei Axew It's close, probably the best game in the week.
Luthier vs TeamCharm69 TeamCharm69 is really good, but I didn't see Luthier many times.
Stareal vs Sificon Go Stallreal.

2-1:
TheGreenRoman vs SiceXV I'm still burned for how I sacked a good BLT game vs Sice. Yes, I hold grudge.
EternalSnowman vs blinkboy I don't remember a single time where ESM predicted my victory (obv he couldn't this week against Cheese lol), but he remains one of my favorite players.
Failures vs 52Gambit Close I think.
PrinceOfAllTacos vs Hys I didn't see His many times but I remember him as a really good player.
NotAnHacker vs PokeArt2004♥ Really good player.
iNoLife vs 7u9i2 He beat me in the first week and I had a good impression of him.
imjustgray vs Baloor He considers me as a lucky player so I suffer in admitting it, but he is good.
saba1111 vs TheFranklin 51%
APW001 vs RaJ.Shoot Sorry Mal
MJ vs Decem Highlight match
Gilgamesh9 vs FatFighter2 Omega is a really good other metas player, but he can do it.

1-2:
Maki vs micoytancinco12 Idk why but Maki is another player with the laugh reaction always ready for my messages, but honestly I have laughed many times seeing him play mono. Go Micoy.
t0te vs halaman95 Halaman is good, he can take this win.
e~t~h~e~y vs Roxiee Read below
Skipkan vs LethalHobo723 Good player, idk why he risks elimination.
Zualbr vs lkapkd1 Zualbr was scared by lkapkd1 The Great so decided to forfait.
The Thunderbirds vs Sets Close.
Lugia_numair vs Mr. DoTooMuch Lugia is my nemesis.
Shadowmonstr7 vs Vamshi Really good player devastated by the loss of DOU.
Angels & Airwaves vs Dragon246 I've beaten it but I had a good impression.
realSurfyTeen vs Trade Trade would have win the TLT 100%.
KabilaPok vs Alternatif I remember him as a great player.
Ronman5 vs Henguinie Great win by Ronman.


0-3**:
Suzize vs get_lucki Get_really_lucky.
furya vs Pamplona Highlight match.
giove97 vs Hoopa590 JAMM BELL GIOVE, PIZZA, SOLE E MANDOLINO.
Atiman vs Maple It would have been nice. RIP.
 
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