NOC Bigvivor Mafia Game Thread Day 5

M2H said:
I haven't played scum in literally a year and a half so uh yeah I dunno.
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2nd or 3rd time saying this, albeit prompted it’s worth noting that you might want us to believe you’re town and can’t get a good read on scum due to how long it’s been, i’d believe it’s been a while since the last time you were scum but i don’t think your re-learning curve is as steep as you claim it is

got one eye on you
 
Dyo said:
I feel that Celever and Eli largely skew town to me, mainly because of the amount of discussion that they have been driving and the direction they are leading the conversation in. I feel like that level of productivity gives me the leader of the bloc kinda vibes
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agree
dyo said:
Contrarily, Whydon also gives me town vibes. I feel like he's just fucking with everyone rn and having fun with the game, it kinda seems harmless to me. This is similar to how I feel about Texas, which is why I was apprehensive about the discussion around him, because the vibes at the earlier pages seemed majorly jokey.
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only difference is that texas has literally said nothing useful (as in <0 posts that weren’t memes) in this thread so far…
Whydon said:
s dave atomicllamas btw-
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oh wait

him either lol
 
HydrogenHydreigon said:
What is a POE
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Process of Elimination.

Some mafia players (some really good ones too) sort of invert the game of mafia to some degree in that they choose to hunt town slots rather than mafia slots. You can calculate how many misvotes (or votes on town) that the town can afford without losing and then try to clear that many people and simply vote the others off (still from most sus to least sus obviously).

So hypothetically speaking if we were to assume that the current setup is 18 town 5 mafia 1 serial killer which is probably a trash setup but whatever we'll roll with it you could calculate the misvotes we can handle like this.

DAY 1: MISVOTE (17T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 1: MAFIA KILL TOWN / SK KILL TOWN (15T/5M/1SK)
DAY 2: MISVOTE (14T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 2: 2X KILL TOWN (12T/5M/1SK)
DAY 3: MISVOTE (11T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 3: 2X KILL TOWN (9T/5M/1SK)
DAY 4: MISVOTE (8T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 4: 2X KILL TOWN (6T/5M/1SK)
DAY 5: TOWN LOSES PARITY

In the above (admittedly a very pessimistic outlook as you would expect crossfire/at least some successful votes most of the time) we would have only 4 misvotes to work with before considering any other kills/abilities.
 
dave said:
2nd or 3rd time saying this, albeit prompted it’s worth noting that you might want us to believe you’re town and can’t get a good read on scum due to how long it’s been, i’d believe it’s been a while since the last time you were scum but i don’t think your re-learning curve is as steep as you claim it is

got one eye on you
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okay little homie
 
Psypsypsypsypsythe said:
a table?
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1C11CCF7-B89D-408A-BB67-608A76398F67.jpeg
 
M2H said:
Process of Elimination.

Some mafia players (some really good ones too) sort of invert the game of mafia to some degree in that they choose to hunt town slots rather than mafia slots. You can calculate how many misvotes (or votes on town) that the town can afford without losing and then try to clear that many people and simply vote the others off (still from most sus to least sus obviously).

So hypothetically speaking if we were to assume that the current setup is 18 town 5 mafia 1 serial killer which is probably a trash setup but whatever we'll roll with it you could calculate the misvotes we can handle like this.

DAY 1: MISVOTE (17T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 1: MAFIA KILL TOWN / SK KILL TOWN (15T/5M/1SK)
DAY 2: MISVOTE (14T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 2: 2X KILL TOWN (12T/5M/1SK)
DAY 3: MISVOTE (11T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 3: 2X KILL TOWN (9T/5M/1SK)
DAY 4: MISVOTE (8T/5M/1SK)
NIGHT 4: 2X KILL TOWN (6T/5M/1SK)
DAY 5: TOWN LOSES PARITY

In the above (admittedly a very pessimistic outlook as you would expect crossfire/at least some successful votes most of the time) we would have only 4 misvotes to work with before considering any other kills/abilities.
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also failed to mention that us having only *3 misvotes would require us to have a pure town core of ~12 people (24 - (3 misvotes + 9 hit votes)) to have a safe POE. That is neglecting the SK kill (actually makes things much tighter if they aren't voted quickly assuming there is a SK), other kills in the game (a secondary scum kill, a vigi kill, etc.), protective abilities, etc.
 
Haruno said:
tf do you want from me lol. I don't think day 1 matters too much and meta-gaming is kinda stupid imo especially since it's been so long.

It'll literally just be divided into idlers and not idlers.
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This is a... horrendous take? This isn't how mafia works?

I want a reads list. Who's been towny and who's been scummy. AI posts don't start on day 2.
 
If you really want some metagame shit, call out US for not trying to lead like he'd (technically they cuz hydra) do in a previous game.

Texas for not saying shit.

DLE for idling and trying to carry on with the status of a "good" player
 
Haruno said:
If you really want some metagame shit, call out US for not trying to lead like he'd (technically they cuz hydra) do in a previous game.

Texas for not saying shit.

DLE for idling and trying to carry on with the status of a "good" player
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Didn't acc ask for metagame shit, wanted to know your thoughts on this game in particular
 
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