NOC Bigvivor Mafia Game Thread Day 5

if we know how last night split's worked (aka, is it a normal game event ala mashes or someone deciding to use it) this would definitely help analyze the situation a bit better. i'm kind of thinking of myself in circles because "why haruno was killed" can get a different plausible explanation based on like, "who was the mafia in group a" or "did they have multiple NKs" or "is this mafia aligned"

the first group is the first half of the alphabet, the second is the second half of the alphabet.
There is no randomization here so could be a game mechanic rather than a role
 
Town: Spiderz, clouds (but I’m not fully sure of clouds)

Everyone else is neutral because I don’t want to bandwagon Texas for the sake of it.

I think whydon was right about what he said abt Dyo earlier but I also don’t like whydon as much as everyone else does.

I think people are right on their (you)caff reads and think that you could potentially be part of the pair.

M2H is still M2H

Cleaver or however you say it I am also sus of but don’t have any real reason I could write out so I’m keeping that to myself

My opinions mostly align w clouds though this far into the game. I will catch up on the last 10 or however many pages

Here Nuxl
 
OK first of all I agree with everything everyone's said in relation to the wall post I made. It was a bad post and I was in a mindset of only thinking of one scum bc I was specifically trying to work out the kill (which one person performs) but ofc that's dumb af bc if there's more than one scum in that group, they would discuss the kill with each other LOL

Also yes the post involved a lot of thread narratives and discussions up until that point that I was kind of taking at face value. It was a bad stream of consciousness and I could tell it was dumb after I posted it and so went to bed bc clearly my brain was functioning at limited capacity :shrug:

I didn't get to sleep until much later (we love sleep disorders :heart_eyes:) so I'm still at limited capacity probably

It doesn't help that the entire tribe feels p towny to me still. I was running scenarios where Caff is scum but that doesn't extend to a scumread of him; I think it's a situation to continue considering and testing as the game progresses. M2H is still the scummiest of D2's lil war but they've had a good D3 and atp I struggle to see why Sam is so wrong so much unless he thinks me and Texas are 3p of some description. Current bias is toward that being TvTvTvT which is a point I kinda got to toward EoD2 and that's only become more enticing today in my mind

I'll read back now but there's something else I want to look at after more so I might rush through a bit lol
 
Yeah there’s scum in Group A but
-What ties Clouds and Drookez alignments, especially enough to remove them
In their minds they basically confirmed each other's alignment so I bought into it but having slept on it lbr Drookez is a gift giver that gave Clouds something that implicates Drookez as town, Clouds could have been literally anything

Granted Clouds' role feels extremely town if we trust Dyo that that's his entire role PM. Scum roles tend to have a good bit of role compression, and so having a mafia with a troll/for-fun ability and then this kill list prio thing that no one understands and we know can be town from Hydro's flip just doesn't feel particularly realistic. Ofc this happened after my wall post but atp considering that a town duo for a while feels acceptable

Nuxl said:
-Why does Dave specifically kill DLE…? This is acting under assumption there’s also just one person here
Me taking Sam's rationale to an unreasonable extreme :shrug:
 
Like idk how those takes lead into a Zach vote lmao
I mean it was basically process of elimination Zach/Laurel performs the nk but that's me tring everyone too much. More than anything I wanted to see people's reaction to pressure being put on Zach for the first(?) time but no one really reacted to it and pushed it under the rug. Compound that with the p frequent tring of Zach for absolutely 0 legitimate reason and I'm becoming more confident this slot is scum
 
Okay something really irks me about your read on me and I want to get this straight. Why exactly do you agree with other people's read on me? They are (as far as I can tell) all exclusively based on one post (#1752). Have I done anything else for you to get this read?

You overplaying the sificon debacle before we knew the extent of it did throw me off a little but there have been multiple Srs and Trs on you so I have been watching closely. Back then I thought you were the most suspicious but currently I sus Celever more for reasons already explained and am just watching you to see if I can get anything to really shift one way or the other.
 
Vote Celever

It’s not like I’m doing a ton myself and I can be missing a lot .

but I feel like he’s pushing blame onto a lot of people a ton which has been referenced earlier. I keep flip flopping with how I feel about clouds but I do think he made a point regarding Celever and the Drookez situation.

Idk he just comes off to me as someone jumpy to bandwagon and against different people in a way that unsettles me + I’ve been iffy on caff and Celever for a little while now. The recent additions on the threat (up to like page 106) are just kinda feeding into it

I’m assuming he rebuttals more and I will probably have something to say about that too
NVM 3 posts after 2 of which were his own I thought I was being nice saying 10 LOOOOOL

IDR how much maf experience you have but the job of active posters is to pressure less active posters to get information used to solve in late-game. That's what I'm doing and its town mindset sorry :shrug:
 
It's really freakin weird that you post agreeing with Sam's post that was echoing my initial reaction (which Sam himself said is an echo (though Sam framed it better)) like 10 posts before you vote me without any explanation js js
I was reading through the thread and replying live as I read, Sam made a great point but then clouds actually conceded after Sam posted rather than debating further, to me that eliminated the whole “us vs them” thing and opened everything back up for me.

Sams reaction holds more weight to me because you have a lot of “initial reactions” that flip flop between people constantly. I wouldn’t be surprised if every read on every side of the game was Celever OG lmao
 
It would definitely be an odd scum role given that it is providing a kill list to players who can kill, but then why would they be providing a list if they are scum and can already kill.

I would be INCLINED to say Clouds is heavily likely (maybe confirmed) to be town off of that if you are town, but I say that with some degree of caution because I don't think I fully understand the role either.
Since Hydro's priority was [2] and Dyo is saying Clouds priority is > that (probs [3] I'm assuming), that means there is at least one more unknown player with the suggest ability.

Still have no idea how that works though Duskfall98 given that one copy of the role ability has been flipped, can you describe how that ability works generally?
Granted M2H piggybacks on it and this strikes me as odd bc it's once again irrational to think 3 players can have the same conftown ability

If anything it feels extremely 3p but you or Eli said Tommy hates multifac so?? I could believe they throw one of these abilities on scum considering we have a rolecop but we know it's not Hydro and tbh prob isn't Clouds if Dyo posted Clouds' full role
 
NVM 3 posts after 2 of which were his own I thought I was being nice saying 10 LOOOOOL

IDR how much maf experience you have but the job of active posters is to pressure less active posters to get information used to solve in late-game. That's what I'm doing and its town mindset sorry :shrug:
As an inexperienced mafia player I’m willing to wait and see if anyone had a read on your defensiveness and how you express it : )
 
I wouldn’t be surprised if every read on every side of the game was Celever OG lmao
OK this made me chuckle a bit

But all my reactions are still my own reactions. I get how it can come off as flip-floppy bc I'm responding to individual posts at a time to try and get as much value out of each post as possible, but it's bad to conflate that with reads. My reads haven't been hugely consistent either, but much more so. Pushing a post for pressure doesn't mean I sr it, it means it's a scummy post

Town players usually have quite a few scummy posts bc townies are trying to function with less information. This is loosely what people mean when they say a player seems "coached", it means they're too perfect
 
Celever I'm reading through your posts, can I get your take on Caffbo? I know you think he's been fanning the flames, but I'm also curious that like, when reading your wall you end with a conclusion that "Dyo or Ayia" is the vote
IDK, I'm struggling to read Caff I think that's p evident LOL. He's slowly been depreciating in town cred as the game has moved on but I need to read back at some point and figure out if that's legitimate or just a vibe. I get that the TvTvTvT with Caff stoking the flames is also somewhat tinfoily and it's more so a headcanon atm that I think is important to reiterate bc that quartet is still a somewhat likely circle to start dying and if they start flipping town I think based on connections Caff should be inspected v closely
Nuxl said:
It feels like ur operating under assumption that some one person had the biggest shot on the kill, which doesn't seem to make sense based on your prior reads
Yeah I was it was a badly (barely?) thought out post LOL
Nuxl said:
Also, do you remember why you heavily focused on M2H here and not Caff for also voting Texas during this entirely?
Imma be real, probably bc M2H provided reasoning and Caff didn't so my brain didn't latch onto Caff piggybacking on it. Like NGL I forgot that that happened
 
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