Is this just based on thread presence and not wagon?Yeah, imo it's a lot more likely that one maf is one of Vizh/LS than Schia/psy
Is this just based on thread presence and not wagon?
How thoroughly have you read the thread?I'd say a bit of both, especially sincee you and LS were the final two from the flash wagon
this read as preflipping to anyone else?Wow it's striking how few posts there are when Psy and I don't bicker lol
Schia's posts were good. Honestly there is a decent likelihood we should simply Psy -> Schia in the next 2 days and the order doesn't matter that much because even though Psy is optimal wagonomically, they have enough scumbud equity with one another (independent of the wagonomics tbh) that either one of their flips won't provide a massive amount of information on the other slot. At this point, a key difference though is that if we do vote them out sequentially then Schia will help us solve the game much more than Psy will. If Schia is town, their work getting greenflipped is rather useful actually, because we know to put stock in it. Maximising the amount of time town!Schia can help us despite a bad D1 is just a good idea, and Schia doesn't endgame regardless so.
Maybe we'll get cold feet on Schia D3 though. The menial scumbud equity is primarily from Psy's interactions with Schia and not the inverse. The main thing that links Schia to Psy is just the scumbud equity chart being less insightful or careful as far as Psy is concerned yet Schia being confident enough in those cells to say they equivocally don't want to vote Psy out today, at the start of the day at that. Pretty much all the rest of the equity is Psy -> Schia, and the likeliest player organisation game theory-wise is still one more wolf on OM one wolf off of it, so![]()
just like how not a single bit of interaction between you and me actually has made it likelier for me to be voted out today :)think this can be foiled slightly with the fact that not a single bit of interaction between Psy and Caff actually made it likelier for Caff to be voted out yesterday though.
this isnt true. why are we meant to believe you're so credible when you've said plenty of incorrect things in these posts and you, what, justdont double check? that's a dangerous way to spread misinformationThe optics of Psy doing his best to support the flashwagon while not once actually speaking about Caff's alignment
yes. what realiti is showing to me through his posting is that hes disinterested in this game so this wouldnt surprise meTbh i wouldn't read too much into how i voted for Caff, it was definitely a throwaway vote that wasn't meant to continue a bandwagon (iirc i don't think i even knew there were more votes on him). Obviously the Caff wagon ended up happening, Aura Guardian and Celever are the main ones that caused it to happen, especially since they were both around at EoD, and could've fairly easily switched without real need for explanation if need be.
Psypsypsypsypsythe you might have to explain to me your read on realiti, do you really think they would've just forgotten to remove their vote on a fellow maf up until deadline?
theres no way I'm gonna do that villages are such an important resource!yeah you kill iron golems
whyim good! I am pretty confident on Celever being town
what's actually happening is that schia is correct and you're making up reasons that they're wrong which arent trueSchia's post is coherent it just misses out certain things. New information that wasn't considered (Psy not talking about Caff at all once he voted for OM), etc.. It's still game theory and analytical, someone just pointed out that the google spreadsheet had a sheet 2 button down the bottom
what's actually happening is that schia is correct and you're making up reasons that they're wrong which arent true
This is one of those times where providing evidence for your baseless assertions is actually useful in trying to prove your pointthis isnt true. why are we meant to believe you're so credible when you've said plenty of incorrect things in these posts and you, what, justdont double check? that's a dangerous way to spread misinformation
caff I dont really have any lean on at the moment aside from that hes sort of just unhelpful. feels more possibly town than om but could be s/s
I think it’s weird that Psy quoted this Celever post instead of my post where I question the reasoning Schia used to clear Psy. Not necessarily alignment indicative, just interesting.what's actually happening is that schia is correct and you're making up reasons that they're wrong which arent true
I dont remember anything weird about that postI think it’s weird that Psy quoted this Celever post instead of my post where I question the reasoning Schia used to clear Psy. Not necessarily alignment indicative, just interesting.
Which post?I dont remember anything weird about that post
Deadline is tomorrow, and also at midnight GMT+1 (so would be 2 hours from now)Nuxl what is the vote count? is deadline in an hour
yourWhich post?