NOC Werewolf Mafia - Game Over: Mafia Wins!

Yea I mean IMO the reason why I say the SK is like a vig is that at least for night 1 I don’t really believe they have amazing odds to actually hit where they want to. If we don’t think we can vote the SK today (which is very low odds) I think I’m almost just happy letting the other two factions make their move and see what result
 
JALMONT said:
Yea I mean IMO the reason why I say the SK is like a vig is that at least for night 1 I don’t really believe they have amazing odds to actually hit where they want to. If we don’t think we can vote the SK today (which is very low odds) I think I’m almost just happy letting the other two factions make their move and see what result
Click to expand...
For some reason I get the odd feeling that the only one who would benefit from this is you.
 
I mean I still want to vote, because we can still try find mafia, but I do think it's fine if sk survives for now since they are throwing if they aim at towny slots and therefore help us clear Poe, as it basically lets mafia overrun town quick and turn on them faster
 
Ah.
Fun fact: I speedrun Putt Party and used to have a WR in Fortune Falls' Strokes (itemless) category. Now that run is in second place.
Screenshot_20230620_113104_Chrome.jpg

Of course my only actually good run was on the map that's a glorified plinko machine.
 
Anyway, now that I know I can’t actually wait around to see how people react to my pushes because we have fairly little time, it is onto actual business of reading people instead of prodding at people.



Right now I think it’s fairly likely that Spiderz and Celevete are mafia. Something to keep in mind is that it’s stated that Spiderz is a fairly experienced scum player and they are probably capable of making some townie sounding posts, but I think Spiderz would still struggle with TMI/pushing their own agenda which is why I think they are mafia right now.



Let’s take a look at SPIDERZ own entrance to the thread. Scum, even experienced players, often can be caught on their opening posts which is why you see people often push people for their opening. Despite this, people usually let these slots go for making “fair enough” “townish” posts despite the fact that they were perfectly catchable from their opening.



Their (most important, imo) opening posts are as follows:



Spiderz said:
Vote celever
Click to expand...



Spiderz said:
Hi tommie, hello everyone, thanks realiti for reminding me this game exists



JALMONT was that threat level shit just a bit or what
Click to expand...



Spiderz said:
Unvote



Vote Ehmcee



I hated that celever post as well but ehmcee looked terrible these 3 pages, their posts are way too overly cautious lol
Click to expand...



Spiderz said:
Vote celever
Click to expand...

Spiderz said:
Hi tommie, hello everyone, thanks realiti for reminding me this game exists



JALMONT was that threat level shit just a bit or what
Click to expand...

Spiderz said:
Unvote



Vote Ehmcee



I hated that celever post as well but ehmcee looked terrible these 3 pages, their posts are way too overly cautious lol
Click to expand...

Spiderz said:
Me when I randomly say 2 people are just scum with very little basis and engagement and then get town read for it





What is this dumbass townread
Click to expand...





Notice anything strange? Well I sure did. Spider opens up the game with a vote to presumably pressure celevter, but instead of actually following up on any of the pressure they actually exert MORE pressure on people who they were NOT actually voting, instead of the person they are voting. They also switch their pressure target from celevter to someone celevter was scumreading, despite the fact that they called those people Celevter was scumreading “completely random” people. I don’t actually have any experience with scum!spider on whether or not to confirm this but I think it’s fairly likely that scum spider saw a wolfy post from one of their partners, voted them, then decided that maybe bussing in a game where you can randomly die to a SK isn’t a good idea and decided to put pressure on someone else, which explains why there is a conflict between calling celeveters reads random and then voting one of those same people! I feel like if they were town they would kinda believe that maybe those people weren’t actually random if it vibed with one of their own reads, and this just reveals Spiderz having TMI.



Firekitten will be back later with more officially approved confirm biased cases, stay tuned!
 
Votecount 1.02 the, I think the unofficial count missed a vote on the counter but it's gone now edition. AKA the "I try to alphabetize it" edition.
Laurel (2) - Ehmcee, Nuxl
Spiderz (2) - Ehmcee, firekitten
Celever (1) - Duskfall98
Duskfall98 (1) - realiti
Nuxl (1) - JALMONT

Not voting: Celever, HydrogenHydreigon, ImaginaryNeon, Lady Salamence, Laurel, Psypsypsypsypsythe, skippergamez, Whydon
 
firekitten said:
Anyway, now that I know I can’t actually wait around to see how people react to my pushes because we have fairly little time, it is onto actual business of reading people instead of prodding at people.



Right now I think it’s fairly likely that Spiderz and Celevete are mafia. Something to keep in mind is that it’s stated that Spiderz is a fairly experienced scum player and they are probably capable of making some townie sounding posts, but I think Spiderz would still struggle with TMI/pushing their own agenda which is why I think they are mafia right now.



Let’s take a look at SPIDERZ own entrance to the thread. Scum, even experienced players, often can be caught on their opening posts which is why you see people often push people for their opening. Despite this, people usually let these slots go for making “fair enough” “townish” posts despite the fact that they were perfectly catchable from their opening.



Their (most important, imo) opening posts are as follows:



























Notice anything strange? Well I sure did. Spider opens up the game with a vote to presumably pressure celevter, but instead of actually following up on any of the pressure they actually exert MORE pressure on people who they were NOT actually voting, instead of the person they are voting. They also switch their pressure target from celevter to someone celevter was scumreading, despite the fact that they called those people Celevter was scumreading “completely random” people. I don’t actually have any experience with scum!spider on whether or not to confirm this but I think it’s fairly likely that scum spider saw a wolfy post from one of their partners, voted them, then decided that maybe bussing in a game where you can randomly die to a SK isn’t a good idea and decided to put pressure on someone else, which explains why there is a conflict between calling celeveters reads random and then voting one of those same people! I feel like if they were town they would kinda believe that maybe those people weren’t actually random if it vibed with one of their own reads, and this just reveals Spiderz having TMI.



Firekitten will be back later with more officially approved confirm biased cases, stay tuned!
Click to expand...

The thing is I probably wouldn't be able to be called out like this (as in based off of my entrance) because of just how incoherent I tend to be (I guess mainly because I don't exactly know how y'all play but idk).
Though I don't think we'll be able to test that hypothesis until I actually get Mafia for once lol.
And yes I did take my meds today.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top