Recent content by elrod

"Probability Theory: the Logic of Science" by E.T. Jaynes has been absolutely fantastic as far as probaiblity & statistics is concerned. I hardly took math classes in undergrad, and thus have to play a lot of catchup: I eventually hit a point where I could no longer follow what was going on...

There will be a few months between now and the next update. I am starting a PhD+Masters program in statistics in the last week of July. There are at least five textbooks I want to read between now and then, two of which are directly relevant for the future of this project. The others establish...

Currently, I am reading "Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligence Systems" by Judea Pearl to study Bayesian networks. There are a lot of theoretical advantages, and I expect it to outperform a neural network given realistic numbers of games-played. Thanks Simperheve. Once I start simulating...

Hi everyone! A few updates: -With the release of February stats, a new and improved version will launch online tomorrow. I am expecting it to still be terrible. -I am posting all the code. It is poorly documented at the moment, but I added some notes. Ask anything about the code, and I should...

I am working on a major revamp, to try and address a lot of the glaring issues. Once the revamp is done, I will reply to all the posts numbered 47+. The bot will only train against itself for at least the duration of the month. It wont play online again until sometime in the first week of March...

The bot has been playing under the name "SirSwitchalot". Because, it switches WAY too often. I figured opponents would either get a laugh, or predict switches and rightfully punish it for switching when it shouldn't (ie, practically every time it switches). I have since modified the script to...

I'm working on thinning the herd of bugs. The bot rarely crashes now, but a lot of bugs screw with the data. For example, for a while opposing mega pokemon were registered as being both impervious and incapable of dealing damage while the bot didn't think it's mega Charizard X gained STAB from...

Approved by AM. Hi, I wrote a bot that automatically plays on the OU ladder (EDIT: I asked Smogon staff members for permission before running it online). Currently, it is extremely bad. Its only win was against a poor chap who used toxic orbs on both a Breloom and Gliscor, neither of which had...

It also uses three files you can find here. The June 1825 usage statics, saved as "ou-1825_use_june.txt", and the 1500 and 1825 chaos .json data saved as "oujune.json" and "ou-1825june.json", respectively. Feel free to convert the code to java, or modify it in any other way you'd like.

Blissey is the 60th most used, so she wasn't included. Expanding it to the top 50, and Conkeldurr is back and Pinsir was considered as an option for the first time: Team: ('Aegislash', 'Heatran', 'Venusaur', 'Talonflame', 'Mamoswine', 'Conkeldurr') ; Relative Prob: 1.0 Team: ('Heatran'...

Hmm. I'll have it simply save the entire output onto a spreadsheet that I can upload. Given that it'll be a list I'll I'll share with everyone, I decided to increase the team-candidates to the top 50 pokemon. For opponents, it is looking at the 70 most used pokemon. EDIT: Given that a...

Xerneas, no stealth rock on that team? Is stealth rock no longer as important as it used to be (thanks to defog's buff)? The script favors having at least one pokemon with a moveset typically have stealth rock at the moment. I made two changes to how the script works: 1) It now considers the...

I played 15 games with a team generated from my most recent script. My record is 14 - 1, but a) I played far from optimally and b) my opponents probably did too, because creating a new account meant their ratings were all rather low. My name is "data scientist". The learning curve for a...

Hi, I would really appreciate your thoughts on the following thread, if you have the time: http://www.smogon.com/forums/threads/data-driven-team-building-theorymon.3510782/ Thanks!