Tournament SCL V - LC Discussion Thread

BlackKnight_Gawain

LCPL Champion
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Another year, another iteration of Smogon Champions League! This thread is the hub for Little Cup's involvement in the tour — we'll be posting matches, predictions, discussions, metagame trends, Norwood status of all your favorite players and whatever else relevant to the Little Cup side of things in this tournament. Much like the last two years, I'll be your host for the thread bringing you all the updates and commentary!
(Faster this time I promise)

Relevant Links:

SCL V Commencement Thread
Schedule Sheet
Replays Thread
Usage Stats
Overall Spreadsheet

Teams in full:

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LC Player Cores + Prices (starters in bold):

Studio Gible:
Laroxyl (12,000), fade* (10500), Taka (9000)
Orange Islanders:
Envy (10,000), Colin (10500, retain)
Indigo Platoon:
Kaboom (5000), Fille (3000) [Kingler and Quinn manager support]
Uncharted Terrors:
Lokifan (10,000, retain), BlackKnight_Gawain (5500), Hacker* (8000)
Technical Machines:
tazz (10,000, retain) [Expulso, Piyu manager support]
Mt. Silver Foxes:
Always Edgy (3000), Onraider (3000)
Power Plant Dynamos:
jake (3000), Greedy_eb (4500)
Showdown Shoguns:
Eniigma (10000)
Circuit Breakers:
Wail Wailord (4000), AJ (5500)
Arena Spartans:
Starsama
(16000) [tko manager support}
(* indicates that a player may be listed as signed up for LC and/or tierlocked but not necessarily playing)
 
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as you know, i made scl v draft predictions woo! here are the overall results:
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: How much of a bum is DVS. Número de respuestas: 18 respuestas.

the people have voted: dvs is most definitely a bum. there's only one person who voted against it, most likely dvs himself while coping.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: is colin playing lc this tour. Número de respuestas: 18 respuestas.

72% of people think (wrongfully) that colin will not be playing lc this tour. this is probably due to the fact he locked out of it and has a very competent svlc partner in envy, but do not let this fool you: svlc will be his new swsh jail
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Laroxyl. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Starsama. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Envy. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Eniigma. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.


laro, eniigma, envy and starsama are the four players who the people were absolutely sure were gonna get picked. we still dont know officially if laro is gonna play lc or not, and i guess technically we dont know if envy is playing lc (even tho its totally clear), but they all did get picked. democracy wins this time.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Onraider. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: PigWarrior19. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Drifting. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: wesh papillon. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Acehunter1. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Fille. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: seraphz. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Greedy_eb. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Always Edgy. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: LeJames Chonk. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: dunoks. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.

this is the bunch of players who got around evened out spreads of votes, meaning no one had a fucking clue whether theyd get picked or not. out of these, only edgy, onraider, greedy and fille got picked. only edgy is expected to start here, as onraider, greedy and fille all have an lc teammate that went for more money in auction. they are absolutely no slouch (except greedy who is bad and bald), so dont count them out!
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: jake. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Elfuseon. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Wail wailord. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.

these are the three people who had overall positive responses, meaning theyre likely to get picked, but not guaranteed. jake and wail got picked, while elfuseon got snubbed for some reason (unless gawain missed him in his post). these kinds of players are the most interesting to watch always, so keep an eye on them! wail def 9-0ing
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: AJ (drew). Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: fade. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.
Gráfico de respuestas de formularios. Título de la pregunta: Santu. Número de respuestas: 17 respuestas.

lastly, these are the people you guys had absolutely no faith in getting picked, but did. you bastards. actually, i dont really know if santu got picked. gawain didnt put him in the op, but come one he is one of the best players on the site, i will just assume he missed him.

thanks for reading! and remember: if you want this post deleted, want me to post something else, or want your specific result, you can give me money for free in paypal.me/eridbst
 
since no one did a list yet and some other managers did a pretty fantastic job with the lower tiers, I guess I'll take the baton here. I'm not shake so my lc players aren't in here obviously. I've talked to a ton of lc players over the last 4-5 months and played the tier way more so this does factor in other minutiae but by and large these are my opinions. someone decided to play their adv revival series now so blame the lack of LC PR writeups on that and my unwillingness to be alone for that ordeal

1. lokifan
2. laroxyl
3. starsama
4. tazz
5. envy
6. eniigma
7. jake
8. always edgy
9. wail wailord

1. lokifan - this kind of needs no introduction. i believe fille told me he has like 3 losses to date in the LCPL all-time sheet and he is unfortunately set to surpass me after my disastrous LCBC/current LCPL campaigns in The Sheet. great player, intuitive and has played in playoffs. had a dominating 8-2 record last SCL and did well in this LCPL after he got to play past his week lock (i'm not looking this up so i'm gonna say like 3-0). i was going to say he didn't play indivs as a negative but that's moreso me being completely afk in those till may LOOL he made the finals of the winter seasonal and made it to a respectable like r7-r8 in the fall seasonal with i'm assuming not that much effort honestly. he didn't make it out of majors pools tb I think but pools is unviable anyway. the one actual concrete negative you can say is that he got outplayed vs larry in playoffs, so you can argue that he has a clutch problem that I will discuss for a few others, but this is not a handwave as I think his main test begins if his team makes the playoffs but I have him at #1 because he could be up to the challenge vs whoever. he said if he wins scl he's winning every lc indiv? in which case I might have to stop bro in his tracks like eniigma. he also has taka as support who is wonderful, but I must say guys spending 9k on support is wild stuff. he also has goatwain LOLOL i just know they have some insane ideas they are not gonna bring bc shiloh is gonna veto it or something.

loki was a retain, which makes him 10k. he was their only retain aside from the obvious oldspicemike retain, and while i was a little perplexed during the time it's certainly understandable to retain someone who is almost definitely doing well in the pool. this and another retain had some... let's just say interesting effects on future prices.

2. laroxyl - he would not have been at #2 if you asked me a few weeks into lcpl. an atrocious 0-3 start and overall probably middling record in that tournament wasn't anything to write home about, but he played two excellent games in the semifinals unfortunately against my team. he proved his ability to win in tiebreak against a very good player that basically does not make mistakes. a massive redemption after the year where my team beat him and he lost to pig in the lead-up game as well as fille in the finals tiebreak (he was their star player). he was like 15k last year to play ou and he has a world cup trophy, coming to be a top tier player in just a few years since he was playing lpl scrubs and it was a question whether he was good in a certain lc server (they concluded in the affirmative). but yeah, I don't think laro's had consistently excellent records or anything in lc at this stage to back this up but his ability to play in the clutch is very important.

laro was 10.5k, an absurd overpay given last year's draft situation but I guess with the lc prices this inflated it's definitely acceptable. at least retaining him for 18 would sound silly given this context so his team from last year has no regrets

3. starsama - i wasn't sure where to place star or tazz because (and this is especially set in my mind after talking to a good friend) I see them in the space of LCers that you would bet money on go positive. he went 5-2 last SCL until my boy quinn needed playing time bc the foxes were out already LOL (i think he lost to bbb but after his lcpl test shenanigans I'm in the club too), he also went like 7-1 in LCPL with like one speed tie against dunoks that he won and one timer win vs laro in a probably worse position. the loss to laro in semifinals was definitely in part a result of some pressure, with a massive early lead partly due to luck being evened out by some outplays. i think the pressure factor is the only reason he is not in one of the spots above, because while he can go positive it's almost impossible to teach or learn playing under pressure the same way as playing regularly--it's a trial by fire and we will see if he succeeds provided he makes it there.

he was an absolutely absurd 16k for an lcer, thanks in part to yours truly aggressively upbidding all the way up to 10k and two managers deciding an lc slot was worth this price. i'm not sure if gondra feels regret for not retaining him but given the direction they went in i don't think 10k starsama would work in their plans anyway since the possible support would add on to the lc price even more. he has tko for support and can handle himself in builder.

4. tazz - tazz is one of the oldest faces on the scene, even in terms of his div 1 experience (compared to the pool). he helped me out during slam playoffs and was on levi and my LCPL team for our maiden voyage all the way to the finals. he got his start in 2019 in snake iii, already being highly esteemed within the power rankings iirc and having a strong showing. fast forwarding to now, he's had a few bad tours and mostly great tours and you can expect him to go positive, he even won an SCL supporting bouli whose career i missed during my smogon sleep. tazz is a solid builder, good pilot, and expected to go positive. as far as LCPL goes, he managed the rufflets who were one of the strongest teams this year and had great teambuilding contributions i'm sure, getting inexplicably blown out vs the remoraiders in the semifinals. he mostly plays sm in those but his records are great. tazz went 6-4 in SCL last year (if expulso is to be believed and i'm sure tazz in the machines' lc chat, main season losses were to Hax). the important part here is the finals loss to larry, which kind of in the starsama vein does leave something to be desired in terms of proof that he can win in the important situations.

tazz was one of the later retains, which while surprising for his record i guess is sort of unsurprising because his managers trust him and he is good. this retain combined with the lokifan retain drove lc prices to a truly ABSURD amount (again, starsama was 16k). i heard dvs was like close to 10k in a previous scl LOL so this isn't an isolated incident maybe but just want to make sure people understand the absurdity we went through 3 days ago.

5. envy - envy came onto the scene last year. i beat him in lc classic semis, where he played decently. he definitely elevated his play in 2024, making it to the finals of LCWC as well as the finals of LCPL, being a key part of the #4 seeded rufflets team that upset the #1 team and brought our truly dominant LCPL team to finals tiebreak, where he slotted in BW, losing to kaboom. he played scl that year and went negative, but not by a huge margin. fast forward to this year where he was pretty much unanimously ranked #1 bw lc and did way worse fsr LOL. but he's been doing well in basically everything, top 8 or something of majors right now, very good player whose rise has been far more recent compared to all the names above (he namechanged maybe a year and some change ago and all his accomplishments have been since then, that alone is a very impressive resume). i guess i'll add that he's a circuit winner and scheduled for me one week, which led me to playing eniigma on saturday instead of sunday like i wanted. how do you wire 10$ to a brazil account?

envy was 10k, which is still on the pricey end even given that managers spent money on this tier like they had borrowed credits on a covid PPP loan. you can expect him to go even or above, but he could go below. for support he has colin, who likely would have been a LC pick until his miraculous slam run, which secured him a retain for 10.5k and the ability to escape LC Hell.

6. eniigma - the madman. he's legitimately been around for so long that to get his start in 2023 is ridiculous; by comparison i thought tazz was kind of a late break into the div 1 scene when i'd been in spl since 2016, and he got his start in MID 2019. he made good use of his start, going 5-4 in SCL III and winning circuit. he is kind of known for being lucky or whatever i have a post from 2015 in the lc open i won saying this LOOOOOOL but he's a good dude and solid player. no real bullshit here, he can click. he went like 6-3 in LCPL or something but it was a 6-1 in the regular season, maybe not against the best opponents but at the very least pigwarrior who was playing well. he has a tendency to bring the worst shit known to mankind; nymble? fuckin idk man look at the bottom of the builder and make sure u know what this does if ur playing eniigma. he lost in semis in LCPL and in the tiebreak to me; the tiebreak game in particular left a quite good deal to be desired, he sacced his tera fire trapinch after his mon died to hazards. so i think he has some work to do under pressure lol, but he's definitely one of the better players in the bottom half. he does just have a tendency to churn out good records; despite his snub last season, he quite comfortably got in this year (partly due to the non-signups and tierlocks from some).

7. jake - in a move reminiscent of the “how do you do, fellow kids?” meme, upon receiving a random message from me relating to my history post, jake took it upon himself to ladder about 50 LC games and learn this metagame. while he brings up the average age of the pool by conservatively 5 years (you do the math for 10 players), he is one of the greats especially when you consider the 2017-2020 mini-era. levi said in the SPL XI discussion thread in 2020 that jake is one of the only players who he felt at a loss against while prepping, which is very high praise. it also might mean that jake is a little insane, given what is known about levi. jake being very old is a real downside, however, and while i'm not going to make fun of greedy for anchoring him down with [insert unmon here] (i think they'll get along well actually), it remains to be seen if the quality and execution is there. he could easily perform better than this ranking, and he could also perform far worse.

8. always edgy - edgy was our breakout star in lcpl. after like one kind of mediocre lcwc iirc, fille knew he wanted him. he got him, and edgy proceeded to beat ghost, laro, and bbb, which is honestly kind of an insane schedule for a 3k player. yeah, his loss against danny was a disastrous choke. but he could've been 6-3! with an insane schedule! 5-4 isn't super bad. a lot of people seem low on edgy, he is not going to end up high on the power ranking list, but it is interesting that with a somewhat smaller pool of locks people decided to go with him over, say, fille and onraider to start who were left in the pool? following lcpl, edgy won lcbc with a pretty bad 3-5 record and in last lcpl his record was also like probably negative idr i think he went negative or even. while this looks like nothing special, edgy always asks to play the best player apparently, which i can kind of respect, and i guess his managers looked past the sheet or looked at the games or saw that expulso called him "heat" in the lc discord. idk which, but this is kind of last year's triumph catching up to him in terms of giving him the opportunity to start on the big stage. onraider support means his opponents should prepare for gothita i believe.

9. wail - once I wrote up the SPL PR for wail it actually seemed like edgy should be lower. however, wail really just has not shown anything in SV and i spent time arguing with kaboom and [redacted] if 5 games in LTWC and like 5 games *check notes* in the LCPL two years ago that i didn't even remember I was in was sufficient sv experience. wail is older compared to the SV guys like edgy and to starsama and loki in terms of his div 1 tournament experience, but he's been just about average in everything aside from a 6-3 in an SCL that had SS LC. nothing to write home about, solid clicker who retired me in SS LC this LCPL with a natu but I just don't see him pushing a new metagame forward. look to be proven wrong because kaboom and [redacted] really think he's going to pop off or whatever. let's see.

i got tired, i'll type the rest later if i get enough likes <- edit this is done
 
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since no one did a good list yet and some other managers did a pretty fantastic job with the lower tiers, I guess I'll take the baton here. I've talked to a ton of lc players over the last 4-5 months and played the tier way more so this does factor in other minutae but by and large these are my opinions. someone decided to play their oraspl series now so blame the lack of LC PR writeups on that and my unwillingness to be not ghosted by coconut for that ordeal

1. Starsama
2. BlackKnight_Gawain
3. Envy
4. Greedy_eb
5. Fade
6. Expulso
7. Sire clod
8. Wail Wailord
9. Eniigma
10. Edgy/Onraider

1. Self-explanatory
2. Only other mainer on the list. Gawain has been supporting the Foxes for some time so I expect him to come back with Finizen tech. Unsure why Hacker is listed here, Gawain clearly said he's not needed in this slot.
3. Best Br
4. I don't know how Greedy convinced Jake he wasn't the one talking shit about him, but if anyone in this pool is capable of putting a hit on their starter, it's him. Expect tragic news and Greedy starting in 3-4 weeks.
5. Why Fade isn't starting is baffling. Only player on here with a trophy that isn't bubble Lakers levels of Mickey,
6. Tazz has told me he prefers to support this year. Streets are saying he took a job as a drug prosecuter and is worried about his cosmic karma, which is concerning at the least if you watch his games last year.
7. Apparently so good, even Vert is impressed by his skills.
8. Not even an lc mon. Sell him back for Daunt Vs.
9. Shoguns picked the wrong gold medal ladder player
10. No jokes about this pair, they're actually last but hoping to see them do well so I can boost my stocks with my 8 replays of haxxing Edgy.
 
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SV LC: Always Edgy vs Lokifan - Edgy is always solid and I can see Loki overcooking either in the builder or ingame and running aground on Edgy's team, but it's pretty much impossible to bold against Lokifan given his record and his support.
SV LC: Starsama vs Laroxyl - incredibly close match, brutal start for both competitors. I think Laro will be wanting for support this tournament, so Starsama is more likely to get an edge in the builder. These two are about equal in playing skill.
SV LC: Envy vs Kaboom - these two are pretty close in skill, but I think kaboom will be really hungry this week and is very in-tune to the meta coming out of what was the best SV core in LCPL.
SV LC: Eniigma vs jake - highlight of the week for sure - the completely unpredictable eniigma on one side against someone just coming back from a 5-year hiatus. I see jake in the top half of the pool by the end of the tournament, but he'll probably be catching up the first few weeks. However, eniigma more than anyone exploits people who get too comfortable in their lines - against someone new to the meta who is harder to adjust to, he might have a harder time.
 
Week 1 predicts

SV LC: Tazz vs Wail Wailord- tazz good
SV LC: Starsama vs Laroxyl - i think starsama will have a better record in the tour, but picking laro especially based of the recent lcpl encounter where he was completely outplaying starsama/starsama was playing too passive, feel like that will be lingering the back of the mind and we are gonna see another win for laro in this matchup.
SV LC: Envy vs Kaboom - got to prep a bit with kaboom/see how he prepped during lcpl playoffs and was really impressed, think he will have one of the better records in the entire pool.
SV LC: Eniigma vs jake - imo a rough week 1 matchup for jake giving eniigma's crazy versatility, might be uncomfortable for someone who doesnt have has much experience in the metagame, and will be difficult to replicate eniigmas style of teams in tests as well. eniigma does have potential to overcook tho so wont be surprised if he loses
 
eridpredicts w1

loki vs edgy: i think loki is the best pilot we have in svlc currently, and i will probably bold him over everyone. i think edgy will have an edge on the builder, maybe that edge could be enough for him to close the game, but i expect loki's playing skill to be unmatched given he uses a good team which is to expect.
starsama vs laro: i took a lot of time for this one. on the one hand, star i think is incredibly skilled at the game, is really good at winning games and controls pressure like no one. on the other hand, i'm laro's biggest fan, his results are on part with stars over the years, and the he played amazing the overmentioned lcpl semis tb game. i expect star to adapt from that game and bounce back, but i could definitely see this going either way
envy vs kaboom: im guided moreso on results here. i think, in their peak, theyre pretty similar in terms of skill. however, midas is on a winning streak, while envy is having a hard time getting those wins in teamtours. this could go either way, but i feel safer predicting midas getting the win.
eniigma vs jake: funny first matchup for jake. nothing against the guy, but i have this incredible feeling he is gonna have to play the most bizarre mr balls mon out there, wont know what it does or what to do, and will sadly lose. this game will probably affect my future jake predictions, because i have no info of him.
tazz vs wail: i believe wail can do it. i think there are multiple ways wail could win. however, i think i value tazz's playing ability a bit higher, while they're in a similar building level imo
 
Wail Wailord vs Starsama - Both these had games last week where it's hard to judge them going forward. Wail had a really bad matchup pull and had to complicate things to pull himself back. Starsama also had a bad matchup pull, but was able to get lucky with some misses to clinch the game. I think just based on Starsama's overall SV LC results I'm bolding him here as if this were week 1, but I think Wail showed with the doubles in my game that he's comfortable making plays on this stage.
jake vs Always Edgy - Eniigma played the first 10 turns against jake pretty much perfectly, and from there the lead was near insurmountable. That being said, I don't think jake played bad by any means - the lead resulted from nailing predicts rather than exploiting misplays, which can happen to anyone. Jake didn't go down easy though - he played to every luck-based out he could, and successfully forced eniigma to dodge crits and hit 90%s despite his position (though I think that eniigma could have played in a way to avoid those in many cases). I wasn't a fan of jake's team choice, but based on his play I think he'll be successful this season. Edgy had a good team and had a very good lead against lokifan, which is no small feat. But his midgame and endgame were marred by some misplays that cost him the game. I attribute those to nerves, and those first couple turns did show that he's capable of keeping up with the best of them. Hopefully those nerves are out with the first game, but I'll bold jake based on last week's games.
Kaboom vs Eniigma - Kaboom's pathing against envy was likely improvable to avoid weakening at least one of his checks to hgrowl, but always easier said than done. On Eniigma's side, his first ten turns against jake were immaculate - but imo his play from there was slightly suboptimal, and left him way more open than necessary to luck. Still, I think that eniigma's play week 1 was better, so giving it to him.
Laroxyl vs Envy - the hardest game to predict. Laroxyl was lucked pretty badly in his game against starsama. He had a winning play that he missed, but playing correct with minimal time immediately after getting lucked is very hard. Envy pulled out a very impressive win after being down significantly out of the early game. I think Kaboom could have avoided this, but you can't argue with results. This will be hard on both sides, but I'll go with envy, especially with colin support.
 
WEEK 1 MATCHUPS:
[Foxes] Edgy vs Lokifan [Terrors]
[Spartans] Starsama vs Laroxyl [Gibles]
[Islanders] Envy vs Kaboom [Platoon]
[Shoguns] Eniigma vs jake [Dynamos]
[Machines] tazz vs Wail Wailord [Breakers]


Another edition of SCL begins, this time around yours truly is officially on the Terrors bringing you weekly coverage on the biggest stage of Little Cup's team tours. Week 1 saw some great highlight matchups — Let's talk about the games below.
  • [FOX] Always Edgy vs Lokifan [TER]
    It's fun I get to talk about this game in an official capacity now compared to last year where I had to pretend I wasn't there and had ttm banned for half the season because I thought it was bad — which makes it all the more funny we start our season with tt..dog? Now we were giggling because if you watch the Envy game you can see Edgy dismiss dog at the end of the game, but we already had this concept locked and loaded to go. Loading this into a proper ttm with wingull was a little bad, especially given Loki's first few turns were rough getting the lead wrong and then knocking into the Tink mirror. Getting rocks up and losing them immediately before being forced to sack our Tink was definitely not the ideal start, but Loki's sense of play was only getting warmed up. Getting the Goth double correct to force Mare to tera was great, as it means our dog is about to start tearing holes and not predict which fake fire resist pops up in a key moment. Moments later, Edgy gifts his Wingull for free in a bizarre switch, which just pretty much positions Loki to comfortably play the rest of the game and win with dog. Guess edgy owes that mon an apology now huh?
  • [SPA] Starsama vs Laroxyl [GIB]
    LCPL Champion Laroxyl comes in this season to play for Gibles after not LCing last year, and he's here to remind people why he deserved that LCPL belt this year despite a not-so up to his standards tournament. Meanwhile, Starsama comes in hot as most people's favorite LCer in the PRs (or close, if they don't believe in my goat Lokifan) and is looking to prove more especially after their last game in LCPL. Laro's team call here is great, bringing a similar team to something people used a bunch for Hail structures 2 years ago into a very standard build from Starsama. Laro has a good start, forcing Star's Mienfoo to reveal Sub and predicts around carefully to get in his Snover and Gothita to get some chip and a kill on Glimmet. By t16, he's forced Starsama to tera Mudbray to ensure Laro loses hail and start playing for the kill with Sandshrew immediately. Unfortunately, as I correctly predicted in terrors chat in real time.... Laro misses on a Foongus that Spores it.
    1758303882194.png

    He does wake immediately to get a kill on foo soon after....only to hit 2/3 on Foongus and get max slept this time. I still do maintain he won had he gone Glim first or sacked the Koffing instead of going Mienfoo, but alas that real robbery was in those misses. Tight game and easily my favorite of the week showing off two of top 3's chops.
  • [ISL] Envy vs Kaboom [PLA]
    Big Kaboom is back after winning it last year, and has a lot to prove despite a not great SCL run in the same campaign. Coming off hot a good LTWC, he's up against former circuit superstar Envy who's teamed up with other LC powerhouse Colin in the Islanders this year. Envy's six is pretty close to what we brought, with an Elekid in for a more offensive dog-focused ttm build while Kaboom brings a double poison with the kinda underrated as of right now Stunky. The game is pretty rapid fire from the get go, with Kaboom teraing Vullaby to ground blast Envy's Tink which reveals Encore. Envy is on the backfoot from this point on, trying to get some Knocks in and play out the Mare mirror into a better spot but ends up losing more mons while Kaboom is comfortably up. The turn where it goes wrong is once Toed comes in for cheap and gets a spin off, while revealing Spikes to get 2 layers in on top of rocks which Kaboom can no longer play around as switching just means you end up fodderized for dog to win.
  • [SHO] Eniigma vs jake [DYN]
    Resident weirdo eniigma, also returning to SCL after a year off, comes back to play for the Shoguns also fresh off an LCPL win. Jake returns to not only SCL, but also LC after being discharged from the elderly nursing home. Jake also has Greedy "why am I not starting over this grandpa" _eb in his support on the Dynamos, and despite both sides having clear influence to build around shitmons, namely Nymble — neither team has a fucking shitmon, let alone a Nymble. I almost don't even want to review this game out of protest and annoyance now but alas, professionalism must make me continue. Eniigma's brought a Shellos structure with Shrew and Gothita, while Jake has a fairly normal Grookey-Mare-Chou with neither remembering LC's #2 mon Vullaby (actually surprised by how frequently it was dropped this week). Eniigma's start is excellent into forcing Jake to tera after trying to Sub too early with his Mienfoo, which he also comfortably scouts by doubling out Gothita instead of a greedy (no relation to mr_eb) click on Psychic or something. After a lil tusslin, he gets the Goth to claim Jake's Mareanie...and from this one point on the game gets confusing for both sides. Soon after Jake's Grookey reveals SD on Foongus and then does....nothing? Eniigma spams recover on Shellos with no hint of a crit-me-not or rocks set, and his Mudbray mysteriously has High Horsepower (not Scarfed but Grookey prepared??). T36 Eniigma stops playing around and baits Jake's foo into dying with his own Mienfoo teraing to Ghost, before comfortably getting Shrew into endgame position to win. Bizarre game all around, but can't deny it was interesting to watch live.
  • [TMS] tazz vs Wail Wailord [BRE]
    Almost every week for 2 years in a row, I've had to make a weekly remark on tazz's shit luck* — and this year we (mostly him) thankfully starts off very clean, no hax yada yada. Wail makes the SCL roster this year, which is a little surprising to me because he's been mostly uninvolved and dissatisfied with SV, but he's got shit to prove. I like Wail's team for being the most interesting of the week, if only for bringing underrated Salandit (the people yearn for fire types, free magby hacker) while tazz brings boring ass ttm + stunky...only to reveal immediately t1 it's not so boring by revealing scarf vullaby. Colin will tell you this is common, but given that a similar thing happened last SCL with Osh claiming a free kill t1 on unsuspecting Mienfoo leaders with the same trick I'd give Wail grace here for it. This does put Wail immensely on the back foot from the get go, as he's forced to make some fancy doubles to get into a good spot but tazz does wonderfully into getting every turn vs him right. It's a pretty big beatdown from this point on, as nothing Wail does just gives him any progress while tazz keeps racking up chip and kills into a comfortable start of the season. But hey, maybe we turbo luck him this week ;)
    *tazz you will know real pain when you miss 16 hi jump kicks in consecutive games like I did this year you are experiencing only 1/1000th of my pain

    See y'all next week again for another fun SCL discussion, happy to have multiple people doing their own this year. Makes the thread active and it's fun to hear differing viewpoints on the games!
 
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SV LC: Wail Wailord vs Starsama - Wail played a good game but had a rough matchup. There were turns where I think he played too safe into tazz and got punished as a result. Starsama played a good game but probably should have lost this game if Laro played optimally. Going to give the edge to Starsama this week, I think he's got a better feel for the meta. Probably my highlight match for the week.

SV LC: jake vs Always Edgy - I think jake played great, but frankly I will not bold him until he's given a team that's made for him to win. After jake brought that team, I not only think it was a terrible bring into eniigma, but I don't have faith that jake has a pulse for the meta, and that greedy has lost it entirely. I would love to be proven wrong, but Edgy has been on the wave of the meta for like 6 months. This is yet another rough matchup for jake.

SV LC: Kaboom vs Eniigma - Eniigma was the best player last week until like turn 12. Full stop. After that? I think Kaboom wins in the margins, he's one of the best midgame players of this current meta and if he can get into a position where the endgame lines are even or slightly in his favor, I think he gets the win. Would like to see if Eniigma brings something closer to standard or deviates further, this will be a very telling week.

SV LC: Laroxyl vs Envy - I'm not convinced by Laro's game last week. Laro should have managed his clock better and won the game last week. Despite getting pretty unlucky, its hard to complain about luck when you have a line to win and don't take it. Envy played an amazing endgame, as expected, and I would assume he's going to do the same again this week. Would like to see a turn around for Laro this week, but I'm going to take Envy.

SV LC: Lokifan vs tazz - I'm a huge lokifan fan, but I think tazz has loki's number. Over the course of the generation, they haven't really matched up much, but when they have prepped into each other, Loki's worst losses are people who were pseduo-supported by tazz. Are you willing to look back several metas ago and potentially several years ago to predict something like that? I am.
 
SV LC: Wail Wailord vs Starsama - Starsama’s better, you win the games you win chokes on the other side or not. Put the laro demons to rest, on track for a x-2 or x-3 season. Not super impressed by wail losing his mienfoo turn 1, but scarf vull reminds me of my own scarf vull vs lily in lc open finals, her bringing woobat webs and instalosing LOL tazz is heat for that

SV LC: jake vs Always Edgy - Edgy played a strong early game vs Lokifan. He proceeded to throw it away on a couple turns and you’re gonna get punished on inaccuracies by the best. Jake just got super punished by Eniigma with a low-risk tera bait and the game basically looked so over. I believe in him as a player. I think he’ll end up positive by the end of the dynamos season wherever it may be should he continue to start. But when I mentioned him understanding the intricacies of tera it was serious stuff, and he clearly does not have this gen all the way down.

SV LC: Lokifan vs tazz - only doing this so expulso likes my post rly. And bc i kind of regret not putting tazz top 3. He’s great and got lucked by him last time. Expulso
 
The Official SCLV SVLC game analyses for week 1 are here! We are going to take a look at how each game played out, and maybe even insult Gawain while we're at it.

replay: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9lc-869851
starsama: :mienfoo::glimmet::elekid::foongus::vullaby::mudbray:
laroxyl: :mienfoo::snover::sandshrew-alola::koffing::gothita::glimmet:

A much anticipated game for this week between the most expensive LCer in the pool Starsama, and one of the most experienced players in the pool, Laroxyl. To give some added spice to this matchup, this is their 3rd meeting in a forum tour for SV LC in the last 2 months, with Laro winning the previous encounter and Starsama winning the 1st, thus adding to the anticipation of this trilogy bout. Looking at team preview we see a very standard Foongus build from Starsama with Elekid as the speed control, and on the other end an extremely interesting semi-snow team from Laro with the rarely seen Koffing as well. On paper with no ice resist for Starsama, the matchup looks favoured to Laroxyl.

The first noteworthy interaction we see is on turn 3 where Starsama reveals Sub foo as and correctly predicts Laro U-turning on it. Laro makes a nice play from turns 4-5 to go back to foo on the Knock Off and looks to set up a line where he U-turns again on the sub to break it after tanking a HJK and trap/force tera from the foo using his Gothita. However Starsama is able to recognize this and goes to his Vullaby on the U-turn. After a few turns of trading hazards pass by, Laro is able to switch in his Gothita nicely on turn 10 to trap the Glimmet, whilst having enough health to give it another chance to enter later in the game. Turn 15 Starsama reveals a slightly speedy Mudbray as its able to win the tie/outspeed the slowfoo, as it U-turns to bring in the Snover yet again. Starsama is now forced to tera the Mudbray to resist the Blizzard, and is able to take down the Snover at the cost of getting trapped the very next turn by the Gothita, with the game position looking very favourable right now for Laroxyl. Turn 18 Starsama takes out the Goth with his Vullaby, but a better play would have been to stall some of the snow turns as possible by roosting on the Energy Ball locked Gothita, and try to win some mindgames with a Knock Off at the correct time.

As a result the monstrous looking Snowshrew enters the game and picks up the Vullaby KO immediately. Starsama attempts to stall a snow turn by going Elekid->Mienfoo on turn 20, but it sets up a perfect opportunity on turn 21 for the Shrew to rapid spin and guarantee it outspeed Starsama's mons even after snow finishes. Laro reveals the Tera-Ice on the Shrew as well on turn 21, on the basis of needing less hits with Shrew with Triple Axel to KO mons. Unfortunately, he misses the first hit of it on turn 22, and the Foongus is able to Spore it. Laro however gets a bit of fortune and wakes up after one turn of sleep on turn 24 and takes out the foo. But once again unfortunately for Laro on turn 25, he misses the 3rd hit of Triple Axel and is just barely not able to KO the Foongus and gets put to sleep again. After some funny turns of Focus Blast misses and a full 3 turns sleep, Starsama finally KOs the Shrew with Elekid on turn 28. From this point onwards, a bit of messy play from Laro ensues, culminating with him misclicking on turn 33 and Starsama's Elekid claiming the win(barring a high roll/crit, Starsama would have been able to switch out after the intended Mud Shot and would have been able to win the game regardless). The cleaner path to victory for Laro was to go to his Eject Button(revealed in post game discussion) Koffing on turn 30 to potentially tank an incoming Psychic or get knocked out to give another clean entry to Mienfoo. The foo would then Fake out+ Knock Off, and Laro's Glimmet would be able to clean up the endgame.

Overall, despite having some terrible misfortune in the game, this will feel like a missed opportunity for Laroxyl to get his first win of SCL, and Starsama walks away with the win in this encounter.
replay: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9lc-870913
tazz: :mareanie::mienfoo::vullaby::tinkatink::toedscool::stunky:
wail wailord: :salandit::elekid::vullaby::mienfoo::foongus::mudbray:

Another exciting game here between the ever dangerous LC mainstay tazz, and Spain's very own Wail Wailord, making his SCL return after SCL 3 and looking to mark it with a good win over a tough opponent. On team preview, tazz has brought a solid looking Dark-spam based TTM, while Wail has brought a standard Foongus based build with the somewhat uncommon Salandit as one of his offensive threats, a bit reminiscent of the role Torchic would serve in these type of builds before its ban. Tazz looks certainly favoured in this matchup, but its far from a guaranteed win.

We see the first great surprise of the game on turn 1, where tazz's Vullaby outspeeds and KOs Wail's Mienfoo turn 1, most certainly suggesting that's its the rarely seen scarf Vullaby, thus immediately putting tazz in the lead. Turn 4 Wail tries to catch Tazz's potential Tinkatink switchin to the Vullaby by hard switching to his own Mudbray to try generate some offensive momentum, but tazz calls it out and stays in with Toedscool to attack the Bray. We see a similar situation on turn 6 where tazz calls out the Vull switch and gets a nice Dazzling Gleam on it as well. Turn 7 and 8 Wail makes some nice aggressive switches to get in Salandit then Elekid to generate some offensive momentum, but tazz once again cuts it out entirely by going to Stunky on the Elekid's Psychic turn 9, correctly predicting Wail's decisions yet again. The Stunky gets great value by KOing Wail's Vullaby and getting some nice chip on the Elekid before eventually going down on turn 12. Wail once again tries to generate some sort of offensive initiative by doing a similar Salandit-> Elekid switches on turns 14-15, but tazz calls out the Elekid switch on turn 15 and gets a nice KO on it with Toedscool. The game is pretty much won at this point for tazz due to his scarf Vullaby, and after a few turns and a Tera Fly reveal from Vullaby, he cleans up the endgame very nicely.

A very impressive win from tazz this week, in terms of both prep and play.
replay: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9lc-870370
eniigma: :shellos::gothita::mudbray::mienfoo::foongus::sandshrew-alola:
jake: :mienfoo::chinchou::elekid::tinkatink::grookey::mareanie:

In the middle of our roundup for Week 1, we have LC’s most eccentric builder Eniigma, and Jake, coming off a 5 year break, determined to prove he is not rusty.

On team preview, it is immediately apparent that this is not the most ordinary game of LC, being noticeable as neither player has the nearly ubiquitous Vullaby. On Eniigma’s side, we have 2 Pokemon typically tasked with Stealth Rock; Mudbray and Shellos. One’s mind immediately jumps to the crit-me-not Curse Amnesia Shellos set that saw a heightened popularity in SS, but Rest Talk Mudbray or a Choice Scarf set are not to be ruled out entirely. While Jake’s team has less immediately intriguing elements on team preview, that is not to say it is entirely un-noteworthy. Grookey is not the most common pokemon within LC right now, and while it’s 4 Attack Pivot set is the most common, an offensive set with SD and possibly itemless Acrobatics. Relying on 2 weaker sleep immunes to answer Foongus is an interesting tactic as opposed to 1 ironclad answer. Eniigma is strongly favored in this matchup, as without Vullaby and using Mareanie as their only Mienfoo answer, Jake's team is going to greatly struggle against Gothita if it can trap the Mareanie early or force it to Tera.

The first noteworthy play of the game happens on Turn 2, as the standard lead Mienfoo handshake is interrupted as Jake uses Substitute on Mienfoo and either wins the speed tie or Eniigma’s Mienfoo does not have speed investment as it knocks off into a sub. The latter option is all but confirmed as Jake knocks off into the Eniigma’s Mienfoo U-turns out to break sub and trap Mienfoo with 1 move. Enigma makes a great play by scouting Mienfoo for Tera by immediately, going back to Foo, as Jake tera steels his Mienfoo and clicks Knock Off again. Jake’s Tinkatink tries to come in and catch a U-turn or Knock Off, but instead takes 56% from High Jump Kick. Forced to go into Mareanie, Eniigma does not immediately capitalize High Jump Kicking a second time for safety, but is able to Knock Off the Mareanie and U-turn into Gothita and trap it as Mareanie recovers. After a short interaction where Tera Steel Mienfoo forces out the Gothita and Shellos takes some chip after pivoting around with Tinkatink, Chinchou, and Mienfoo, but not before Chinchou eats an Earth Power as Shellos reveals it. On Turn 16, Eniigma brings in Foongus against Chinchou. To get out of this, Jake brings Grookey in on Spore, reveals Swords Dance on a spore predicting a switch out, and then switches into Steel Mienfoo on Sludge Bomb. Eniigma continues to use Shellos as a de facto Mienfoo answer as a result of Tera Steel Sub, but also to keep Foongus relatively healthy for the Elekid and Grookey. On Turn 23, Eniigma makes the trade off of letting Shellos remaining chipped to land another Earth Power on Chinchou, preventing it from coming back in safely. Elekid comes in against Foongus and is able to force it out after Psychic does half to it, and in response Eniigma opts to sacrifice his Shellos to safely bring in Mudbray. This results in further pivoting back and forth that results in Jake deciding to trade Tinkatink being slept for a knock on Foongus. On Turn 36, Eniigma Tera Ghosts his Mienfoo, causing Jake’s Mienfoo to crash and then be knocked out by High Jump Kick. This removes Alolan Sandshrew’s last check, and when it comes in on Turn 37, there is nothing left that Jake can do. Despite having a bad matchup and taking a few crucial missteps in the first few turns, Jake played very well and still made the game as close as he could.
replay: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9lc-871488
always edgy: :wingull::mienfoo::tinkatink::toedscool::mareanie::elekid:
lokifan: :growltihe-hisui::gothita::mienfoo::toedscool::tinkatink::vullaby:

This matchup was actually the second most polarizing one according to Ticken and mason's prediction contest, with 89.2% of voters predicting Lokifan, seeded #1 in this tournament, to beat Edgy, seeded 10th.

To try and beat the allegations, Edgy is rocking a structure known as "ttm", meaning Tinkatink + Mareanie + Toedscool, which is a strong defensive core that keeps hazards off and allows strong, frail mons like Elekid and Wingull here to hit the field. This offensive core tries to take advantage of volt-turn plays from Mienfoo and Elekid to get the biggest hitter, Wingull, on the field in places where it can threaten KOs, like in front of a Foongus or an opposing Mienfoo. On the other side of the field, Lokifan is using what strikes at first as an unusual team, reminiscent of ttm cores but dropping the Poison type for a Gothita, which aims to trap Mienfoo directly instead of switching into it. This more offensive approach of the core is accompanied by a Hisuian Growlithe, likely to be Choice Scarf, which should clean up end games after Mienfoo and Mareanie have been trapped by Gothita.

Looking at the matchup, Edgy will need to try and preserve a Fire resist after Gothita traps its target, or else he will lose to a Growlithe-Hisui locked into Tera Fire Flare Blitz. His way of winning will be getting Wingull on the field as much as possible, as Lokifan's team lacks a consistent answer. On the other hand, Lokifan's win condition is his Growlithe. He will look for opportunities to trap as many Pokémon as possible, especially Mareanie, to make way for a Flare Blitz sweep. He will need to be wary of a Wingull in combination of Tera Elekid breaking core tho, possible having to resort to trap Wingull with Gothita, which is inherently risky against Wingull's Tera.

This game starts with Edgy having an early advantage, as he leads Protect + Substitute Wingull into Mienfoo. This leads to Lokifan's Tinkatink getting a lot of damage, and losing its Eviolite thanks to Pickpocket from Edgy's own, as they trade rocks. Both will end up spinning them away with Toedscool, and real progress starts when Edgy takes a kill on Loki's Tinkatink with Mienfoo, as Loki's team has no Fighting resist. This would normally leave it wide open for a Gothita revenge kill, but Loki opts out of that, probably because he didn't want Edgy's Mienfoo to Tera, losing his Gothita which was his main way of getting rid of Mareanie for Growlithe. For that reason, he went into Vullaby, which immediately U-Turned into Growlithe as Tinkatink switched it. This is the position Loki wants, now being free to fire off a Growlithe attack, and giving him an opportunity to trap Edgy's Mareanie. It is at this point where, in my opinion, Edgy makes a mistake, wasting Tera Ghost on Mareanie to avoid Gothita's trap, but losing his only Fire resist and his Tera. Out of fear, he then chooses not to take on Vullaby with Tinkatink, because that would give Growlithe a free opportunity to wreak havoc. Instead, he chooses to take the U-Turn with Wingull, his main way of making progress, letting it get trapped by Gothita. After that, his more passive team has no way into the Growlithe, and Edgy loses the battle to Lokifan, who played the game flawlessly thanks to the easier matchup he probably had.
replay: https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9lc-869844
kaboom: :vullaby::stunky::mudbray::mareanie::mienfoo::elekid:
envy: :elekid::tinkatink::mareanie::toedscool::mienfoo::growlithe-hisui:

This matchup isn't as lopsided as the last one at first sight, with seed #5 Envy fighting off against seed #6 Kaboom. However, the predictions marked a clear victory for Envy, with 71.5% of participants predicting in his favor, probably because he has a higher seed and is more SCL experienced, as I would say they are in similar footing skill-wise.

We can see Envy is using another ttm core, but he chose Growlithe-Hisui as his main offensive mon instead of the Wingull that fellow Brazilian Edgy had. Like that team, Envy's team will want to use its defensive core to get rocks up and deny the opponents, and will also use Elekid and Mienfoo's voltturn core to get Growlithe into position. His opponent, Kaboom, has chosen a very different style of team. His consists of a defensive core of Mienfoo, Mareanie and Mudbray, and an offensive one known as dark spam, because it uses two different Dark types, Stunky and Vullaby, alongside Elekid. This team aims at weakening Dark resists with one of the Darks for the other to clean up, while avoiding opposing damage with Mareanie for Fire + Fighting types and Mudbray for Electrics + Vullaby.

In order to win, Envy will probably want to abuse Elekid's ability to threaten everything on Kaboom's team and gett damage on Mudbray, which goes a long way if he wants to set up endgames with Growlithe. He will have to be wary of Kaboom's Vullaby tho, his own way of winning, as any set it could be (Nasty Plot or Terablast Ground) could be incredibly threatening if not dealt with properly.

Kaboom started off with a very aggressive Vullaby lead into Envy's Mienfoo. This move tells Envy that this Vullaby is really unlikely to be Nasty Plot, as that set is way more threatening in later parts of games. As such, this gives Envy a bigger sense of security, which immediately fades away as he trades his rocks for Tinkatinks life, with Kaboom using Tera Blast Tera Ground to KO it. Having lost Tinkatink, Envy's matchup into the Vullaby and into Stunky gets way worse. To combat that, he sends in Mienfoo on the locked Vullaby, forced to switch into Mareanie, which allows him to knock it off. After some turns in Mienfoo-Mareanie mirrors, Kaboom gets his Vullaby into Envy's Mareanie, and he nets a KO with Brave Bird as Mienfoo switches in. Envy, while currently at a Pokémon deficit, takes this as an opportunity to KO Vullaby with his Growlithe, as opposing Mareanie was really low. Kaboom sets up rocks, as Envy grabs even more progress with his Toedscool, knocking off Envy's Mienfoo in exchange for half its health. Some turns later, Envy finds himself getting even more progress again, as his Elekid knocks off Kaboom's Mudbray, and gets Psychic damage onto it. At this point, Envy has perfectly set up the Growlithe sweep: Mareanie is incredibly low, nothing has Eviolite and Rocks + 2 layers of spikes are on the field. On the other hand, Kaboom's Stunky isn't proving to be enough to break through Envy's Mareanie and, after some turns of pivoting, Growlithe finds the perfect position to sweep.
 
Both players were the recipients of unexpected builds and sets last week. Wail Wailord lost a Mienfoo turn 1 and then made aggressive plays to claw back that ended up mostly fruitless. I'm curious about the Salandit set -- the fact that he so readily tried to double in and out of Mareanie made it seem like he had no realistic way to punish Mareanie with Salandit out. Honestly, it was the Spikes that really killed Wail. Repeatedly taking chip damage on a team that wants (needs?) to out-position the other just wasn't a recipe for success.

Starsama was on the receiving end of Goth hail. I generally liked how he played, even if it felt like he took way too much damage early with Mudbray to be able to beat Snowshrew later on. (It was trapped anyway! Goth!) Laro definitely had him on a very strong matchup, so he just needed to play to the only out he had -- and he got it.

I'd expect both players to be a little more wary in both their play and prep this week, probably to fall back on some more standard-looking builds with room to outplay off-meta sets. This one feels most like a coinflip to me out of any other matches, so my coin lands on: Starsama.
Eniigma opened up with a knife at my neck last week. I think he let off the gas a little bit afterwards and allowed me to start working my way back into it, but the timing of the tera ghost Mienfoo was impeccable (and maybe I shoulda subbed that turn). For all the conversation about the strangeness of Eniigma's teams before the tour, I think this one very much fit his brand and my expectations. I'm curious if Goth + strangemon will continue to flourish in Eniigma's builder throughout the rest of the season.

I was confused by Kaboom's physical tera ground Vullaby. Firstly, the speed -- both a slow Vulla and a fast Tink, I guess! But more importantly, I feel like I'm not sure why Kaboom committed to tera ground so early. Against the standard Tink spread, Adamant Brave Bird into ground Tera Blast doesn't ever kill unless you crit either move or hit a 1/16 roll with TB. Tink doesn't seem to be a worldbeater vs Kaboom's team, so maybe it was just in hopes of preventing rocks? Giving the rest of the team fearless Knock Offs? Or answering Elekid without risking Mudbray's HP?

Ultimately, I think that decision snowballed into putting Kaboom on the back foot the rest of the game. For example, it would've been nice to have a Flying-type to pivot into Mareanie's Mud Shots. Spending the tera also enabled Envy to click freely with Growlithe lategame.

I'm looking forward to seeing the teams for this game -- I think this is the one that'll most likely have a nonstandard matchup. My gut says Eniigma here.
Obviously this was already played earlier this week, but I would probably have predicted Laroxyl. Laro's bring vs Starsama was a huuuge teambuilder win, and I think that he played well enough to clutch it, even beyond the snowshrew misses. Bringing a team like this week 1 makes preparing for Laro extremely challenging in future weeks -- Snover lives in the back of everyone's mind when they're matched up vs him now, and so everyone will be a shred more exploitable for him.

I think Envy's play has been, overall, great. The game against Kaboom was near-flawless, especially when it came time to lock in and manuever into a win. I wondered if trading half of Snowshrew's HP was worth the 60% on Chinchou. It was clearly an incredible mon and was going to put in a ton of work, but taking the extra chip gave Laro a window to possibly steal back the advantage.

I'd really love to be in both of their minds during turn 15, which I think was a game-defining turn. Facing down a 5% Scarf Snowshrew with Foongus, Laro chose to switch out, sacking his Mudbray to Rapid Spin. There's a crazy number of ways that turn resolves, but I wonder if Laro should have clicked Giga Drain there. From an outside perspective, it seemed like Laro's wincon would ultimately be reliant on winning Elekid speed ties, so staying in would have ensured that shrew died, either to Fake Out, Giga, or rocks damage later. You risk the fight resist and put yourself in a position where you have to heavily outplay, but Snowshrew living makes you have to heavily outplay AND lets Envy keep their most guaranteed way to handle Elekid.

It was a fun game to watch til the end, but the lack of misses & solid play from Envy sealed it. Maybe Laro will get lucky next week...
This is my game of the week, probs. tazz blew the doors off of Wail immediately and then got a ton of value off of the early Spikes with aggressive plays, punishing WW's attempts to take momentum. It felt like watching a machine inevitably march towards victory, pivoting safely when required but otherwise pushing toward the win at all costs. I haven't watched tazz play in a while, but the calculated risks he put on display in that game made me think that he's deserving of that top 3 rank.

I liked the concept of Lokifan's team, but it seemed overly reliant on Goth getting a good trap or two. Without that, it felt like a more well-rounded team with Mienfoo and strong, proactive play could pick it apart, as Always Edgy almost did. Otherwise, Lokifan generally clicked good buttons, like pivoting Goth into Mareanie to force the tera & cleanly punishing Always Edgy's Wingull switch with a trap.

I think Lokifan can't go into this game with that same style of team, unless he fully expects to outplay tazz every turn. That'll be hard to do.

hf, always edgy
 
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