Tournament MnMPL I - Week Five

[Murphy Lawden]

Amazing Art by Meganium1579.
Hosted by Chessking345 and Murphy Lawden.

Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Semifinals | Finals
Administrative Decisions | Replays and Usages | Spreadsheet​

Rules

• Follow all rules listed here.
• Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for me to make decisions for activity calls when I can actually see what went down with scheduling.
• If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to me or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.
• Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.
• If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.
• Replays are mandatory. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later.
• Managers: Please send me your lineups in the same format that I used to post pairings. It makes it much easier to post future rounds more quickly.

MOCCing Machamps (0) vs (0) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs kDCA
SV MnM: Treeko928 vs hayedenn
SV MnM: Lightniong vs seraphz
SS MnM: lepton vs Axzel
SM MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs jb291
ORAS MnM: lag=bad vs qways
SV LC MnM: DragonPhoenix333 vs bleahey
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Mincera31 vs Sagazinha

Sol Raizing Necrozmas (0) vs (0) Pressing Poisonceuses
SV MnM: cat vs Mindnight
SV MnM: Time2Bonk vs TKYSZL
SV MnM: Greybaum vs db
SS MnM: Osake vs Redflix
SM MnM: adriancosmoem vs Tempo di anguria
ORAS MnM: Ainzcrad vs Terracotta
SV LC MnM: pecha nerd vs qtfox
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Tbp24 vs QT

Sleepy Suicunes (0) vs (0) Magearna Never Misses
SV MnM: mm vs ghostlike
SV MnM: Glory vs Tanny89k
SV MnM: Itoshiflwr vs liliou
SS MnM: HATS vs Jojen
SM MnM: zastra vs ZombieEyeZ
ORAS MnM: Swas vs dhelmise
SV LC MnM: Novax vs Clas
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): damflame 3 vs hxmo


Deadline for Week 5 is <t:1771822740:F>, GLHF!

Predictions Format

MOCCing Machamps (0) vs (0) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs kDCA
SV MnM: Treeko928 vs hayedenn
SV MnM: Lightniong vs seraphz
SS MnM: lepton vs Axzel
SM MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs jb291
ORAS MnM: lag=bad vs qways
SV LC MnM: DragonPhoenix333 vs bleahey
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Mincera31 vs Sagazinha

Sol Raizing Necrozmas (0) vs (0) Pressing Poisonceuses
SV MnM: cat vs Mindnight
SV MnM: Time2Bonk vs TKYSZL
SV MnM: Greybaum vs db
SS MnM: Osake vs Redflix
SM MnM: adriancosmoem vs Tempo di anguria
ORAS MnM: Ainzcrad vs Terracotta
SV LC MnM: pecha nerd vs qtfox
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Tbp24 vs QT

Sleepy Suicunes (0) vs (0) Magearna Never Misses
SV MnM: mm vs ghostlike
SV MnM: Glory vs Tanny89k
SV MnM: Itoshiflwr vs liliou
SS MnM: HATS vs Jojen
SM MnM: zastra vs ZombieEyeZ
ORAS MnM: Swas vs dhelmise
SV LC MnM: Novax vs Clas
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): damflame 3 vs hxmo

 

[Chessking345]

MnMPL I Team Playoffs Qualifying Requirements
Note: All use of "OR" and "/" means "AND/OR" (inclusive or). Exclusive or will be used as "one of".
Note2: DNQ = Do Not Qualify, X+ means at least X
Note3: Using something like X+ wins means just their wins in their matchup, while X+ more wins means compared to the team being qualified (e.g. For X's analysis, Y 2+ more wins means Y at least 2 more wins than X, not necessarily paired vs each other)

Current Standings for easier reference: W-T-L (Score) | Diff
3-1-0 (7) | 8
1-3-0 (5) | 4
1-2-1 (4) | 2
1-2-1 (4) | 2
0-3-1 (3) | -4
0-1-3 (1) | -12


The guaranteed qualification threshold right now is 6 points, which is the default in 6 team 4 playoffs PLs when every team has secured at least one point.

Magearna Never Misses

is the only team to guarantee playoffs with their impressive performance thus far.

MOCCing Machamps

Win or Tie - Qualify.

Lose - Losing puts them behind and so they need to be ahead of either or .
passes with a win, or tie while lose more than 3-5. Tiebreak if tie and lose 3-5.
passes by winning with 5+ more wins. Tiebreak if winning with 4 more wins.

Ironhide Great Tusks

Win - Qualify.

Tie - Tying puts them behind and so they need to be ahead of either or .
passes with a win. Tiebreak if tie.
passes by winning 8-0. Tiebreak if win 7-1.
Lose - Similar to above:
passes with any better result. Tiebreak if same result.
passes with a win, or tie while lose 0-8. Tiebreak if tie and lose 1-7.

Pressing Poisonceuses

Win - Qualify

Tie - To not qualify they need to place behind all other 3 teams in contention, but since two of those teams play each other, they are guaranteed at least tiebreaks.
Tiebreaks only if win 7-1 or 8-0 and vs is 4-4 or 3-5. Tiebreak with 7-1, 3-5, 4-4.
Qualify if any of the above is not true.

Lose - Losing puts them behind and so they need to be ahead of either or .
passes with any better result. Tiebreak if same result.
passes with a win, or tie while lose 0-8. Tiebreak if tie and lose 1-7.

Sleepy Suicunes

Win - They need to pass one of the 3 teams.
is passed if they lose with 5+ fewer wins. Tiebreak if lose with 4 fewer wins.
+ are passed if they tie while win 8-0, or if they lose. Tiebreak if they tie while win 7-1.

Tie - They need to pass one of the two teams with 4 points, .
Qualify if either team loses 0-8.
Tiebreak if either team loses 1-7.
DNQ otherwise.

Lose - DNQ

Sol Raizing Necrozmas

The Necrozmas cannot qualify.

TLDR:
1 team guaranteed in, 1 team guaranteed out. Other 4 teams have competitive qualifying conditions. Lots of potential tiebreak scenarios, including 3-ways, but 4-way is impossible.

 

[Shing]

47W(+12) | 41L(+12) | 9(+0) Invalid
I'll keep the Zuzhou and cat predictions, and take each loss before I begin, so it's 1-1. So yes, Zuzhou > cat, and Sky > Lepton was my intent either way.

Alright, so I was off the charts on the Machamps vs Necro by 2-6 lmfaoo, and ended up barely being positive tf...
MOCCing Machamps (3) vs (5) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs kDCA
SV MnM: Treeko928 vs hayedenn

Both of these teams are omega bums for not slotting the best players with an undefeated record against each other. Obviously kDCA and Treecko have been extremely well in MnM PL, but c'mon both Zuzhou and Hayedenn have just swept against every opponent, and this could have been peak MnM gaming... Instead, you'll see each of them get another typical sweep, very fraudulent indeed... Because of this, I hope Zuzhou and Hayedenn lose this week for fraud dodging smh.

SV MnM: Lightniong vs seraphz - I think I remember Lightniong with a funny bird avatar, but he slandered Cofagrigus at Clas vs QT, so I want Seraphz to kick this guy's ass.
SS MnM: lepton vs Axzel - It's rough to be a MnM Axzel fan these days.
SM MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs jb291 - Probably some misplays, but Tectonic will win in the end.
ORAS MnM: lag=bad vs qways
SV LC MnM: DragonPhoenix333 vs bleahey - Bleachey is pretty swag in LC tho DragonPhoenix333 is an epic name.
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Mincera31 vs Sagazinha - Sagezinha got kinda owned by Shedninja, but I think Mincera is someone Hayedenn can help to support to combat Mincera's offense preferences.

Sol Raizing Necrozmas (1) vs (7) Pressing Poisonceuses
SV MnM: cat vs Mindnight - aside from the one-sided beef since I saw him talking some bald ass shit behind me after our dpp ou set, I am very impressed how he plays his games, and cat has yet to win a game. More rough for Cat since their team is out and Posionceuses needs all the wins they can get, and I think Mindnight will simply be on Cat's Mind in-game, especially if they play on the night.
SV MnM: Time2Bonk vs TKYSZL - Time2Bonk should be cleaning this up unless TKYSZL has some insane mu fish if they get the prep right.
SV MnM: Greybaum vs db - I've the db copium even if he 0-10, my derp.
SS MnM: Osake vs Redflix - I've been loving watching SS MnM and both of these players, but I think Redflix will take this one tbh.
SM MnM: adriancosmoem vs Tempo di anguria
ORAS MnM: Ainzcrad vs Terracotta - Lowkey a cool matchup, but I like terracotta more tbh.
SV LC MnM: pecha nerd vs qtfox - won vs quinn, that's my goat woooo
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Tbp24 vs QT - QT is not losing let's be real,,,,,,

Sleepy Suicunes (4) vs (4) Magearna Never Misses
SV MnM: mm vs ghostlike
SV MnM: Glory vs Tanny89k
SV MnM: Itoshiflwr vs liliou
SS MnM: HATS vs Jojen
SM MnM: zastra vs ZombieEyeZ - ZombieEye almost convinced me w the name, but Zastra gatekeeping as usual.
ORAS MnM: Swas vs dhelmise - Zamn Dhelmise cooked... Swas vs Dhelmise is probably close despite no knowledge of the ORAS playerbase or tier, but I like it when Dhelmise wins tbh.
SV LC MnM: Novax vs Clas - Novax, I heard what you said, and if you lose this one, that's on you m8.
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): damflame 3 vs hxmo - Poor hxmo lmfao


Best of luck to everyone for this week!

 

[zastra]

MOCCing Machamps (2) vs (6) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa (60) vs (40) kDCA
dominant showing from zuzhou, i dont think he's dropping a game this tour
SV MnM: Treeko928 (40) vs (60) hayedenn
fish and chips (no im not british)
SV MnM: Lightniong (40) vs (60) seraphz
lightniong unleashed lets go. rough matchup though
SS MnM: lepton (40) vs (60) Axzel
this time axzel will win (just load a good team bro)
SM MnM: TectonicDestroyer (45) vs (55) jb291
jb makes less mistakes
ORAS MnM: lag=bad (40) vs (60) qways
the geeked comment is getting old now but i cant think of anything else to say
SV LC MnM: DragonPhoenix333 (40) vs (60) bleahey
it is lc so anything can happen but ill trust bleahey's abilities more
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Mincera31 (55) vs (45) Sagazinha
mince's gameplay hasnt been the cleanest but i cant bold against my bro (and he beat me)

Sol Raizing Necrozmas (4) vs (4) Pressing Poisonceuses
SV MnM: cat (40) vs (60) Mindnight
dis noob not.... ugh ok fine ill bold u once out of pity
SV MnM: Time2Bonk (55) vs (45) TKYSZL
if u make another misclick and lose bonk ill be very mad (use ur damn clock)
SV MnM: Greybaum (60) vs (40) db
ye i dont think db's winning a game this tour
SS MnM: Osake (55) vs (45) Redflix
old men showdown. osake's games have looked better imo
SM MnM: adriancosmoem (35) vs (65) Tempo di anguria
i feel like adriancosmoem played a disastrous game vs gold so im bolding tempo based on that. could be a fluke tho / lack of experience idk
ORAS MnM: Ainzcrad (51) vs (49) Terracotta
ainz has gained his footing in oras i think he'll win this
SV LC MnM: pecha nerd (40) vs (60) qtfox
pechanerd 2-0 would be a great storyline but he lost last wk unfortunately so im bolding the player who i believe is stronger
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Tbp24 (35) vs (65) QT
tbps had a rough season man. honestly theres always so much hype surrounding tbp b4 every tour & he ends up being 5 million k but then he.. kinda always fails to perform at that level? idk. qt is strong

Highlights
SS MnM: Osake vs Redflix
SV MnM: Time2Bonk vs TKYSZL