Tournament MnMPL I - Week Three

[Murphy Lawden]

Amazing Art by Meganium1579.
Hosted by Chessking345 and Murphy Lawden.

Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Semifinals | Finals
Administrative Decisions | Replays and Usages | Spreadsheet​

Rules

• Follow all rules listed here.
• Schedule via Smogon VMs. It's easier for me to make decisions for activity calls when I can actually see what went down with scheduling.
• If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to me or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.
• Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.
• If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.
• Replays are mandatory. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later.
• Managers: Please send me your lineups in the same format that I used to post pairings. It makes it much easier to post future rounds more quickly.

MOCCing Machamps (0) vs (0) Sleepy Suicunes
SV MnM: RoFnA vs pannu
SV MnM: lepton vs mm
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs Itoshiflwr
SS MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs HATS
SM MnM: Mincera31 vs zastra
ORAS MnM: Pokemh vs Glory
SV LC MnM: giove97 vs Novax
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Treeko928 vs damflame 3

Magearna Never Misses (0) vs (0) Sol Raizing Necrozmas
SV MnM: Betticus IV vs Time2Bonk
SV MnM: Slikkles vs sky
SV MnM: ghostlike vs cat
SS MnM: Ivar57 vs Osake
SM MnM: TrainerGoldAlt vs adriancosmoem
ORAS MnM: dhelmise vs Ainzcrad
SV LC MnM: Quinn vs pecha nerd
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Clas vs Tbp24

Pressing Poisonceuses (0) vs (1) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: Mindnight vs seraphz
SV MnM: GhastlyPixie vs hayedenn
SV MnM: TKYSZL vs kDCA
SS MnM: Redflix vs Axzel
SM MnM: db vs jb291
ORAS MnM: Terracotta vs qways
SV LC MnM: rarre vs bleahey
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): QT vs Sagazinha

Deadline for Week 3 is <t:1770008400:f>, GLHF!

Predictions Format

MOCCing Machamps (0) vs (0) Sleepy Suicunes
SV MnM: RoFnA vs pannu
SV MnM: lepton vs mm
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs Itoshiflwr
SS MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs HATS
SM MnM: Mincera31 vs zastra
ORAS MnM: Pokemh vs Glory
SV LC MnM: giove97 vs Novax
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Treeko928 vs damflame 3

Magearna Never Misses (0) vs (0) Sol Raizing Necrozmas
SV MnM: Betticus IV vs Time2Bonk
SV MnM: Slikkles vs sky
SV MnM: ghostlike vs cat
SS MnM: Ivar57 vs Osake
SM MnM: TrainerGoldAlt vs adriancosmoem
ORAS MnM: dhelmise vs Ainzcrad
SV LC MnM: Quinn vs pecha nerd
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Clas vs Tbp24

Pressing Poisonceuses (0) vs (0) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: Mindnight vs seraphz
SV MnM: GhastlyPixie vs hayedenn
SV MnM: TKYSZL vs kDCA
SS MnM: Redflix vs Axzel
SM MnM: db vs jb291
ORAS MnM: Terracotta vs qways
SV LC MnM: rarre vs bleahey
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): QT vs Sagazinha

 

[zastra]

Magearna Never Misses (7) vs (1) Sol Raizing Necrozmas

SV MnM: Betticus IV (60) vs (40) Time2Bonk

not a great showing from bonk last wk while betticus managed to win a gruelling battle with lepton (i think?). i think bonk will need to step up his game/building if he wants to win this

SV MnM: Slikkles (45) vs (55) sky

my son Slikkles slotted lets go. I'll have to give it to sky though cuz experience matters

SV MnM: ghostlike (65) vs (35) cat

Im a ghostlike fan but i think their team last wk was kinda weird. cant remember the last time i saw cat play though so id say ghost is still heavily favored

SS MnM: Ivar57 (60) vs (40) Osake

Best SS MnM player of today vs uhh best SS MnM player whose name starts with O and ends with sake (yes i stole ur words)

SM MnM: TrainerGoldAlt (60) vs (40) adriancosmoem

Electrifying performance from Gold last wk (tho some plays were a little questionable). He did lose his SM game tho (to cheese) so ill have to cut some confidence points. Regardless I believe in his ability to win this if he loads something cheeseproof.

ORAS MnM: dhelmise (55) vs (45) Ainzcrad

Ainz is struggling to find their footing in oras--i was not a fan of what they loaded last wk at all. I think dhelmise has a better understanding of the meta

SV LC MnM: Quinn (65) vs (35) pecha nerd

surprised to see pecha in lc. the whole necrozma lineup (or in a broader sense, roster) is a little weird. anyway quinn is prob the best lc mnm player of the pool so ill give it to him

Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Clas (60) vs (40) Tbp24

I think clas is stronger in all 3 gens. tbp's had a relatively weak showing

Pressing Poisonceuses (1) vs (7) Ironhide Great Tusks

SV MnM: Mindnight (40) vs (60) kDCA Mindnight vs seraphz

this noob not winning

SV MnM: GhastlyPixie (35) vs (65) hayedenn

unimpressed by pixie and hay is cooking

SV MnM: TKYSZL (40) vs (60) seraphz TKYSZL (49) vs (51) kDCA

Great matchup. seraphz has proven to be a competent mnm player. tky is good but I haven't been impressed by the teams he's been loading this tour. I hope TKY opens his teambuilder and goes full cook mode this week.

SS MnM: Redflix (45) vs (55) Axzel

What a matchup. SS pool is good. Flix's game last wk was weird but im willing to dismiss it as an outlier. Hope to see a nice game

SM MnM: db (49) vs (51) jb291

db's having a rough time. 0-3 in this pool would suck though so i hope he can bounce back. jb though, great performance last wk and loaded Threatened. My heart is with jb for this one.

ORAS MnM: Terracotta (45) vs (55) qways

qways was geeked in his prime and is 2-0 now (spiritually). Terra's doing good but theres some lucked involved in it so ye.

SV LC MnM: rarre (40) vs (60) bleahey

im surprised to see pceus lc 0-2. #freevelcroc. anywayyy i think bleahey is more experienced and wins this.

Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): QT (65) vs (35) Sagazinha

Awesome performance from Sagazinha last wk. Im impressed. A 6-0 with Threatened (kept the nicknames on too). That said I unfortunately can't bold against QT (oldhead with centuries of mnm experience moment) sorry.


I "predicted" two 7-1s wtf. It wasn't intentional I swear. I don't think they'll be 7-1s though.

Highlights
SS MnM: Redflix vs Axzel
SV MnM: TKYSZL vs seraphz
ORAS MnM: Terracotta vs qways

 

[seraphz]

won gg

https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9mixandmega-905168

 

[Shing]

26W | 17L | 6 Invalid - Very one-sided wins this week, I'll say on that, and I was on point with that. May be as well this week IMO.

MOCCing Machamps (5) vs (3) Sleepy Suicunes
SV MnM: RoFnA vs pannu - This is a highkey 70:30 ass mu.
SV MnM: lepton vs mm - Not sure who mm is, but atm I don't vibe with Lepton's teams.
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs Itoshiflwr - Impressed with Zuzhouwawa's long-term game plan and the sequences pieced itself very well, especially mixing up the common scenarios to its advantage.
SS MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs HATS - Tect's winning from here.
SM MnM: Mincera31 vs zastra
ORAS MnM: Pokemh vs Glory
SV LC MnM: giove97 vs Novax
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Treeko928 vs damflame 3 - prolly a 65:35 mu.

Magearna Never Misses (5) vs (3) Sol Raizing Necrozmas
SV MnM: Betticus IV vs Time2Bonk - Bonk's prolly the better builder, but is prone to make mistakes and can be exploited while Betticus kinda cooked last week lmao.
SV MnM: Slikkles vs sky
SV MnM: ghostlike vs cat
SS MnM: Ivar57 vs Osake - I think Osake's gonna make an upset here ngl.
SM MnM: TrainerGoldAlt vs adriancosmoem
ORAS MnM: dhelmise vs Ainzcrad - I like dhelmise, but I am not impressed with their performance and making plays that give the upper hand. IMO once their momentum isn't in their favour, they slowly lose the game.
SV LC MnM: Quinn vs pecha nerd - It's Quinn we're talking about.
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Clas vs Tbp24 - Not sure why Clas didn't play in this format to begin with??? Then again, not seeing the top of the top play in this slot makes me question why this was created to begin with lmao

Pressing Poisonceuses (2) vs (5) Ironhide Great Tusks
SV MnM: Mindnight vs seraphz
SV MnM: GhastlyPixie vs hayedenn
SV MnM: TKYSZL vs kDCA
SS MnM: Redflix vs Axzel - Axzel is that guy, but unfortunately, had a bad start. But I'll still predict him, especially if his team can make up the plays vs Redflix.
SM MnM: db vs jb291 - Same goes for db with unfortunate start. Kinda funny to see these two buds have a bad start, but I still think they can be positive by the end of the tour.
ORAS MnM: Terracotta vs qways - A highlight MU IMO, but I'll give it to qways since he seems to be in control in most occasions.
SV LC MnM: rarre vs bleahey
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): QT vs Sagazinha - QT's farming continues.

btw, the prediction format has an error on mindnight vs seraphz and tykszl vs kdca

 

[GhastlyPixie]

MOCCing Machamps (5) vs (3) Sleepy Suicunes
SV MnM: RoFnA vs pannu
Rofna is good at mnm.
SV MnM: lepton vs mm
Idk who mm is.
SV MnM: zuzhouwawa vs Itoshiflwr
Zuz seems to be performing quite well so I have faith in them.
SS MnM: TectonicDestroyer vs HATS
I think tect is better.
SM MnM: Mincera31 vs zastra
Zastra has simply left me unimpressed while I feel as tho Mincera has been cooking.
ORAS MnM: Pokemh vs Glory
Glory seems to have picked up ORAS easily and is a good clicker.
SV LC MnM: giove97 vs Novax
I think Novax is preforming better in LC.
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Treeko928 vs damflame 3
Tough call but I have to favor Damflame here.

Magearna Never Misses (7) vs (1) Sol Raizing Necrozmas
SV MnM: Betticus IV vs Time2Bonk
Bonk has seemingly been underperforming so far so I favor Betticus here.
SV MnM: Slikkles vs sky
I think slikkles is better.
SV MnM: ghostlike vs cat
Ghostlike will likely outbuild and potentially outplay.
SS MnM: Ivar57 vs Osake
I think Ivar is one of the best SS MNM players so I favor him here.
SM MnM: TrainerGoldAlt vs adriancosmoem
They finally slotted my goat, I think as long as Adrian doesn’t get too lost in the sauce then he can outplay and maybe even outbuild.
ORAS MnM: dhelmise vs Ainzcrad
I remember Dhelmises games more so I’m bolding then.
SV LC MnM: Quinn vs pecha nerd
Quinn is probably the best LC slot so I favor them.
Multigen Bo3 (SV/SS/SM): Clas vs Tbp24
I feel tbp hasn’t done super well this tour, I feel he is better suited for SV than old gens while Clas has more MNM knowledge than him across the gens.

 

[Ivar57]

won gg
https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen8mixandmega-905247

 

[Yoru97]

H4ru's LC MnM Matchup Predicts + Odds
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Quinn vs pecha nerd | 70-30

Quinn is probably the best LC mnm player playing this week and pecha nerd has basically zero relevant LC mnm experience. If this was Quinn vs Greybaum, it'd be 80-20.

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rarre vs Bleahey | 40-60

Bleahey should be favored in basically any matchup that isn't vs me, Quinn, or Clas. The main questions for rarre/Poisonceuses is about if rarre is both good enough at the tier and has good enough support to match Bleahey, and without anything to really suggest both are true, I struggle to see rarre winning. If the matchup was Velcroc vs Bleahey, I'd probably have it at 45-55, I think Velcroc is the best LC mnm player on the Poisonceuses' roster.

========================================================================

I'm disappointed none of my predicts have been wrong thus far, maybe pecha nerd upsets Quinn this week and it'll be exciting?