Team Monotype Winter Premier VI - Week 6

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goldmason

goldmason

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Spreadsheet
Replays
Commencement
Administrative decisions

:yanmega: Yabai Yanmegas (6) vs (4) Hundreds of Bibarels :bibarel:
SV: Fogbound Lake vs Piyu
SV: Whitespaniard vs feen
SV: Fraolain vs RoFnA
SV: Dieu Amphibien vs Vlarcheops
SS: LoSconosciuto vs dunoks
SM: terrors vs Chaitanya
ORAS: Vid vs drizzle
BW: mind gaming vs Sabella
NatDex: Elvira vs Charmriah
Monothreat: ToxaNex vs Gelbel3c

:duraludon: Dural Madrid (6) vs (4) Hotel Del Lunalas :lunala:
SV: yedla vs memomiguel
SV: TheWyvernKing vs Floss
SV: Ethereal Sword vs ikiarihS
SV: Pengairxan vs vk
SS: Ashbala vs Azick
SM: Mateeus vs DugZa
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs etern
BW: Trouser Snakes vs hellom
NatDex: Quinn vs Aeran
Monothreat: Jolly Togekiss ^-^ vs pas_touchao

:flutter-mane: Fierce Mother Flutter Manes (8) vs (2) Mewtwo's Mafias :mewtwo:
SV: King Choco vs Xiri
SV: Rinda vs Shiba
SV: Lana vs RoyalReloaded
SV: Sificon vs Bouff
SS: Cielau vs Gondra
SM: adjustments vs DAHLI
ORAS: Jojo8868 vs Master Chief
BW: crash vs Breezy
NatDex: Sunnyboi0 vs Rio Vidal
Monothreat: twinkay vs Meta

:murkrow: Mossdeep Murkrows (5) vs (5) Fortree Firelights :flygon:
SV: Tarre25 vs Scarfire
SV: Neko vs Leafium Z
SV: Stories vs LBN
SV: myjava vs style.css
SS: 3d vs schwipper
SM: Magician vs Tenebricite
ORAS: fade vs shieldpoke
BW: zioziotrip vs JojoOui
NatDex: Splash vs Fixzation
Monothreat: GeniusX vs TezGreninja


This week's Monothreat type is ICE
:yanmega: Yabai Yanmegas (0) vs (0) Hundreds of Bibarels :bibarel:
SV: Fogbound Lake vs Piyu
SV: Whitespaniard vs feen
SV: Fraolain vs RoFnA
SV: Dieu Amphibien vs Vlarcheops
SS: LoSconosciuto vs dunoks
SM: terrors vs Chaitanya
ORAS: Vid vs drizzle
BW: mind gaming vs Sabella
NatDex: Elvira vs Charmriah
Monothreat: ToxaNex vs Gelbel3c

:duraludon: Dural Madrid (0) vs (0) Hotel Del Lunalas :lunala:
SV: yedla vs memomiguel
SV: TheWyvernKing vs Floss
SV: Ethereal Sword vs ikiarihS
SV: Pengairxan vs vk
SS: Ashbala vs Azick
SM: Mateeus vs DugZa
ORAS: Dj Breloominati♬ vs etern
BW: Trouser Snakes vs hellom
NatDex: memedose46 vs The Strap
Monothreat: Jolly Togekiss ^-^ vs pas_touchao

:flutter-mane: Fierce Mother Flutter Manes (0) vs (0) Mewtwo's Mafias :mewtwo:
SV: King Choco vs Xiri
SV: Rinda vs Shiba
SV: Lana vs RoyalReloaded
SV: Sificon vs Bouff
SS: Cielau vs Gondra
SM: adjustments vs DAHLI
ORAS: Jojo8868 vs Master Chief
BW: crash vs Breezy
NatDex: Sunnyboi0 vs Rio Vidal
Monothreat: twinkay vs Meta

:murkrow: Mossdeep Murkrows (0) vs (0) Fortree Firelights :flygon:
SV: Tarre25 vs Scarfire
SV: Neko vs Leafium Z
SV: Stories vs LBN
SV: myjava vs style.css
SS: 3d vs schwipper
SM: Magician vs Tenebricite
ORAS: fade vs shieldpoke
BW: zioziotrip vs Cow
NatDex: Splash vs Fixzation
Monothreat: GeniusX vs TezGreninja

Deadline: Sunday, January 12th, 11:59 PM GMT-5.
​
 
Last edited by a moderator:
predicts :>
take them lightly, have fun

Yabai Yanmegas (7) vs (3) Hundreds of Bibarels
SV: Fogbound Lake vs Piyu - fog is more accustomed to the monotype way, piyu is slowly adjusting but will it be enough (60/40)
SV: Whitespaniard vs feen - feen is on a solid winstreak and wspaniard's performance has been sadly underwhelming despite the large fanbase (40/60)
SV: Fraolain vs RoFnA - season looking a bit neutral for the circuit finalist but i think this is one game he'll effortlessly outplay (65/35)
SV: Dieu Amphibien vs Vlarcheops - vlarcheops finally gets off the bench to face monotype demon dieu, sadly it looks like we wont be hearing a victory screech in this matchup (70/30)
SS: LoSconosciuto vs dunoks - despite having 2 undefeated players on their roster, bibarels are struggling on the leaderboard. will that faze dunoks' motivation this week? (55/45)
SM: terrors vs Chaitanya - phenomenal performance by both players this tour, will terrors be able to subdue the monotype villain's winstreak? highlight game (51/49)
ORAS: Vid vs drizzle - drizzle might be a beast in indivs, but he seems to be fizzling out in team tours, and the probability for vid winning this feels higher (60/40)
BW: mind gaming vs Sabella - with mg off of the monothreat jail, will sabella get a fortunate game versus yabai yanmega's prized possession? (40/60)
NatDex: Elvira vs Charmriah - could be an upset here, elvira has shined before maybe she can shine again despite faded's stellar record (55/45)
Monothreat: ToxaNex vs Gelbel3c - gelbel is top 3 threat players rn and as someone who has personally seen his prep i think this is a guaranteed win for the mpl winner (30/70)

Fierce Mother Flutter Manes (5) vs (5) Mewtwo's Mafias
SV: King Choco vs Xiri - finally getting his first win vs dbd last week, xiri might be slowly inching his way towards a much-needed comeback (40/60)
SV: Rinda vs Shiba - shiba is a solid consistent player but rinda winning means they both go 3-3 and balance is a must! (55/45)
SV: Lana vs RoyalReloaded - without kyogre in the tier, ubers main lana might face trouble against ladder king royal (40/60)
SV: Sificon vs Bouff - while bouff was bought for 3x the cost of sifi they both hold the same record. will push for the less costly player, performance-wise (55/45)
SS: Cielau vs Gondra - undefeated gondra maintains his streak and defeats manes's best player, however its a good thing cielau is back in ss. feels like its one of his stronger tiers, def a highlight game (49/51)
SM: adjustments vs DAHLI - both players are 1-4, which is something.. but dahli is more consistent in this tier compared to adjustments (40/60)
ORAS: Jojo8868 vs Master Chief - i apologize but idk who the latter is and i know jojo's mastery lies in this tier so this is a rather simple predict (65/35)
BW: crash vs Breezy - i assume crash is supposed to be one of the best in the bw pool. breezy is off the bench and playing in undefeated avarice's place. will he be able to reproduce the same result this week? (60/40)
NatDex: Sunnyboi0 vs Rio Vidal - beating the washed allegations rio's had a decent tour compared to hardcore natdex mainer sunny who hasn't had a bad tour himself but feels like expectations were higher. (45/55)
Monothreat: twinkay vs Meta - purchased for nearly the same price with a difference of just 500, they both sit at the same record, with twinkay's debut in threat just last week. maybe they can even their threat score this time around but it def won't be easy (52/48)

Mossdeep Murkrows (4) vs (6) Fortree Firelights
SV: Tarre25 vs Scarfire - scarfire seems better equipped and more invested in the tournament compared to his opponent. (40/60)
SV: Neko vs Leafium Z - leaf has significantly higher confidence than neko when it comes to tour games, esp after his fresh circuit win. that'll definitely make a difference (40/60)
SV: Stories vs LBN - stories is having a beautiful run for a 4k player, murkrows got a steal here but lbn's engine just started and he has adjusted well to the tier, would be interesting to see his performance (40/60)
SV: myjava vs style.css - myjava finally off the bench after a rough start but style.css is more suited to monotype than mj. if it was any other tier im sure the former would win but monotype is style's very own domain expansion (35/65)
SS: 3d vs schwipper - neither player is having a fun tour but the latter seems to have been running into a bit of a slump. wondering how the support in firelight's ss slot goes because they are yet to win a single game in this tier and they haven't been able to zero in on the issue. (65/35)
SM: Magician vs Tenebricite - magician beat some very strong players so i feel like he does decent against regular tour players, the profile of which tenebrecite fits perfectly. (60/40)
ORAS: fade vs NoName6293 - noname has insane aura and while his opponent has had a superior run so far, noname has the ability to turn the tables in his favor (49/51)
BW: zioziotrip vs Cow - self-proclaimed luck merchant is currently 5-0 in this slot contrary to their ss. the consistency has a higher probability of continuing in this matchup (40/60)
NatDex: Splash vs Fixzation - experience and price tag screams the former's name louder despite both players being undefeated so far. one of them will end up with a x-1 this week which is a little bit of a climax but splash has more consistency. (60/40)
Monothreat: GeniusX vs TezGreninja - having lost to only meta last week, geniusx's draft creativity has been inherited into monothreat. will tezzy be able to match his genius? (60/40)

thx for reading, gib likes pls :)
 
Hello everyone. Here are the playoffs qualification probabilities as of the end of Week 5:
Code: 
Fortree Firelights = 0.95567695
Mossdeep Murkrows = 0.8553126
Hotel Del Lunalas = 0.7550771
Mewtwo's Mafia = 0.60229145
Yabai Yanmegas = 0.40987105
Hundreds of Bibarels = 0.4085479
Fierce Mother Flutter Manes = 0.01322295
Dural Madrid = 0
Hala Madrid...
 
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