medium effort predicts
Freedom Frogadiers (4)
vs The Pile of Swines (4)
SS: GW vs
Kushalos - anyone taking bets on whether kush uses the same team as last week now that glastrier is legal? ngl the gw irish game last week was very weird, i feel like gw had some odd decisions in the midgame. irish did too w the celebi dying etc. gw still ended up with a great chance in the endgame if he went flygon on salazzle (eq into muds, click eq a few times, then on any random turn u can go to Xatu and win unless he doubles to lazzle on that exact turn) but ended up w a worse endgame.
SS:
S1nn0hC0nfirm3d vs Eternal Spirit - Gama's definitely good, and he is having an impressive slam run rn. However he got dropped by HO last week. As much as I think Ho3n's HOs have some holes, he plays well with them and finds ways to win even in seemingly bad MUs (like last week, where he prob had a win barring crit despite no scarf helio resist). Gama could take this in builder but idk abt their familiarity with the meta, not many SS builders on the swines
SM: EviGaro vs
col49 - theres not that much reason to this, Evi's good at the tier and probably should be favored by me, but SM feels like a very standardized meta to me and that seems to be where col49's classic techs and anti-meta builds shine the brightest
ORAS:
Teddeh vs obii - From what I understand abt teddeh, he does very well in neutral MUs, struggling mostly when people go out of their way to counter-team the standard 'teddeh balances'; he's probably a better player and obii doesnt seem to care enough to CT (nor have the tier knowledge to do so, since only like 3 ppl build this tier lmao)
BW2: Bughouse vs
PDC - meri said 'edge to PDC bc I don't think Bughouse cares', I'm not sure PDC cares much either but bughouse's team was basically a sample team with one mon changed...? before the game i tested samples vs dnb and one was nearly identical to bughouse's, lol. pdc might be using old teams too (almost surely, in fact) but his team last week looked quite cool -- the teams he's been passed from eo/elodin seem cool, unique, and less standard
DPP:
Honko vs byronthewellwell - I didn't love Honko's team last week, felt a bit slow and really lacking in Water-type answers - only resist poliwrath doesn't cut it when slowking's one of the most common waters. plume seemed like a massive pain too and it also, again, didnt have a ton of offensive threats of its own. however byron's game seemed over very early against fatty - it was just folded by hitmonchan - so think id favor honko here
ADV:
Heysup vs elodin - heysup prob gets unlucky tho
Bo3: gorex vs
Finchinator - Finch is good at all these tiers, gorex is prob able to keep up decently well in them but idt there's any individual one where he would be favored, so edge to Finch
The Moneymaker Musharnas (6) vs The Holy Heliolisks (1)
SS:
Luck O' the Irish vs Feliburn - Unwinnable
SS:
Confide vs Accelgor - Unwinnable
SM:
PinkDragonTamer vs Jrdn - Unwinnable
ORAS:
quziel vs Chaitanya - Unwinnable
BW2:
DnB vs Chill Shadow - Unwinnable
DPP: Expulso vs HSOWA - I copied meri's thing above so i bolded myself then i realized thats a dick move LOL. gl hsowa, hope it's a good one
ADV: Rabia vs
JabbaTheGriffin -
Rabia sucks lol..
Bo3:
Punny vs Serene Grace - Unwinnable
Catacomb Cacturnes (3.5) vs
The Pablostoises (4.5)
SS: Test Techles vs
TDK - TDK has been quite strong in NU recently, he had some good opponents in NU open and won wk1 vs TNunes. I def trust him versus the newcomer Lilo; his teams are sick though so this will surely be an exciting game to watch
SS: tko vs
snaga - prep for HO! dont time out! i legally cannot bold against snaga, since he's defeated me in this tier for last nupl and nusd (im malding)
SM: Lycans vs
Santu - Santu is rly good at this tier, went like 6-1 or 6-2 last time? super consistent
ORAS:
Eternally vs Ren-chon - ya ok this game is prob not being played
BW2: Wamr vs
SoulWind - soulwind + his opp lost last wk pretty hard iirc
DPP:
brewfasa vs ima - fatty won very convincingly last week, ima lost the wk decider
ADV:
nightcore vs DurzaOffTopic -
Bo3: Garay oak
vs watashi - garay! but also watashi! This is a bitch move by me yes ik but I really cant predict one! gl to both, hope it's an even series
Vibrant Vivillons (3) vs
Tailor-made Talonflames (5)
SS: Davon vs
Thiago Nunes - TNunes is really good at NU, honestly. He made it to top6 of so of the most recent ssnl, is in Open still (and won this round to make it to top 12), and has done well in recent side tours too. Losing to TDK wk1 doesnt detract from that too much. Davon's good too but I'm gonna make the biased (bc he beat me twice lol) pick of choosing Nunes here
SS:
tlenit vs OnArceus - epic MU, both players seem pretty good at punishing standard builds. leni's a really good teamtour player, i see him go cheap in all of these then end up like 3-1, 4-2, etc. OnArceus has a ton of potential as well, and I liked his squad wk1, but I'm gonna predict leni here
SM: jcbc vs
Xiri - Xiri's def a better player, I've teamed with him in two recent (non-NU) team tours and he has been quite consistent. I'd expect him to win here barring a horrendous MU, which is possible
ORAS:
soulgazer vs The Goomy - Goomy will bring something rly weird and almost win but sg will have a cool counter-tech that wins
BW2:
Star vs Raichy - star's good, rozes has enough bw experience to provide something good
DPP: vivalospride vs
Staxi - This is def more even than it seems; I picked up DPP from being on the vivillons last year and had a good record with no prior experience, so surely rozes can also teach Viv the ropes and enable him to do the same. I lost to staxi last year tho
so gotta predict the repeat. he's been very consistent in this tier, 5-1 or 6-1 last NUPL and I liked his week 1 team as well
ADV: Stockings vs
Triangles - triangles won last week. stockings was my advpl teammate, i know he's def keeping up with the tier and i'll be cheering for him! but triangles seems p strong so ill favor him
Bo3: mncmt vs
Sensei Axew - Sensei (NU mainer in denial) will prob make and bring a better team in SS and I think they're even in the other 2
gl to all. go musharnas!!!