Tournament NUPL IX - Week 2

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Quite Quiet

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Deadline: Sunday, May 9th @ 11:59pm GMT -4

Reminder to everyone: Game 1 of the Bo3 has to be played in SS NU. Game 2 and 3 are decided by the loser.

:ss/frogadier: vs :ss/piloswine:
Freedom Frogadiers (2) vs The Pile of Swines (6)
SS: GW vs Kushalos
SS: S1nn0hC0nfirm3d vs Eternal Spirit
SM: EviGaro vs GOAO
ORAS: Ninjadog vs obii
BW2: Bughouse vs PDC
DPP: Honko vs byronthewellwell
ADV: Heysup vs elodin
Bo3: gorex vs Finchinator

:ss/musharna: vs :ss/heliolisk:
The Moneymaker Musharnas (3) vs The Holy Heliolisks (5)
SS: Luck O' the Irish vs Feliburn
SS: Confide vs Accelgor
SM: PinkDragonTamer vs Jrdn
ORAS: quziel vs Chaitanya
BW2: DnB vs Chill Shadow
DPP: Expulso vs HSOWA
ADV: Rabia vs JabbaTheGriffin
Bo3: Punny vs Serene Grace

:ss/cacturne: vs :ss/blastoise:
Catacomb Cacturnes (2) vs The Pablostoises (6)
SS: Test Techles vs TDK
SS: tko vs snaga
SM: Lycans vs Santu
ORAS: Eternally vs Skysolo
BW2: Wamr vs SoulWind
DPP: brewfasa vs ima
ADV: nightcore vs DurzaOffTopic
Bo3: Garay oak vs watashi

:ss/vivillon: vs :ss/talonflame:
Vibrant Vivillons (4) vs Tailor-made Talonflames (4)
SS: Davon vs Thiago Nunes
SS: tlenit vs OnArceus
SM: jcbc vs Xiri
ORAS: soulgazer vs The Goomy
BW2: Star vs Raichy
DPP: vivalospride vs Staxi
ADV: Stockings vs Triangles
Bo3: mncmt vs Sensei Axew

If I made a mistake please contact me asap. Good luck everyone!​
 
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Low effort predictions, no 50-50s because I'm not a pussy
Freedom Frogadiers (3) vs The Pile of Swines (5)
SS: GW vs Kushalos - Kush is really good at this game
SS: S1nn0hC0nfirm3d vs Eternal Spirit - gama is really good at this game
SM: EviGaro vs col49 - 26k
ORAS: Teddeh vs obii - Teddeh wins if he tries I think
BW2: Bughouse vs PDC - edge to PDC bc I don't think Bughouse cares
DPP: Honko vs byronthewellwell - byron is the literal goat but this will be a good game
ADV: Heysup vs elodin - elodin doesn't play adv much I think but who knows
Bo3: gorex vs Finchinator - Finch difference

The Moneymaker Musharnas (1) vs The Holy Heliolisks (7)
SS: Luck O' the Irish vs Feliburn - Feli sucks lol..
SS: Confide vs Accelgor - Unwinnable
SM: PinkDragonTamer vs Jrdn - Unwinnable
ORAS: quziel vs Chaitanya - Unwinnable
BW2: DnB vs Chill Shadow - Unwinnable
DPP: Expulso vs HSOWA - Unwinnable
ADV: Rabia vs JabbaTheGriffin - Unwinnable
Bo3: Punny vs Serene Grace - Unwinnable

Catacomb Cacturnes (3) vs The Pablostoises (5)
SS: Test Techles vs TDK - interested to see test play but TDK is so good
SS: tko vs snaga - snaga is goated but they'll both load fucked up shit, more of a tossup than it seems
SM: Lycans vs Santu - internet difference
ORAS: Eternally vs Ren-chon - Eternally subs out before the match is played
BW2: Wamr vs SoulWind - soulwind
DPP: brewfasa vs ima - tossup but i'll bold fatty just bc idk how hot ima is rn
ADV: nightcore vs DurzaOffTopic - durza diff
Bo3: Garay oak vs watashi - garay

Vibrant Vivillons (4) vs Tailor-made Talonflames (4)
SS: Davon vs Thiago Nunes - davon is more consistent
SS: tlenit vs OnArceus - who fucking knows lol but i'll give leni the edge bc i like him
SM: jcbc vs Xiri - both will throw a bit
ORAS: soulgazer vs The Goomy - goomy is a tryhard but sg probably wins if he doesn't just recycle (never gonna happen)
BW2: Star vs Raichy - not impressed w raichy's buidling but idk
DPP: vivalospride vs Staxi - viv in dpp lol
ADV: Stockings vs Triangles - interesting game
Bo3: mncmt vs Sensei Axew - mncmt is goated

Edit: putting out a public apology for my teammate Feliburn, I don't mean it please don't cancer
 

Expulso

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medium effort predicts

Freedom Frogadiers (4) vs The Pile of Swines (4)
SS: GW vs Kushalos - anyone taking bets on whether kush uses the same team as last week now that glastrier is legal? ngl the gw irish game last week was very weird, i feel like gw had some odd decisions in the midgame. irish did too w the celebi dying etc. gw still ended up with a great chance in the endgame if he went flygon on salazzle (eq into muds, click eq a few times, then on any random turn u can go to Xatu and win unless he doubles to lazzle on that exact turn) but ended up w a worse endgame.
SS: S1nn0hC0nfirm3d vs Eternal Spirit - Gama's definitely good, and he is having an impressive slam run rn. However he got dropped by HO last week. As much as I think Ho3n's HOs have some holes, he plays well with them and finds ways to win even in seemingly bad MUs (like last week, where he prob had a win barring crit despite no scarf helio resist). Gama could take this in builder but idk abt their familiarity with the meta, not many SS builders on the swines
SM: EviGaro vs col49 - theres not that much reason to this, Evi's good at the tier and probably should be favored by me, but SM feels like a very standardized meta to me and that seems to be where col49's classic techs and anti-meta builds shine the brightest
ORAS: Teddeh vs obii - From what I understand abt teddeh, he does very well in neutral MUs, struggling mostly when people go out of their way to counter-team the standard 'teddeh balances'; he's probably a better player and obii doesnt seem to care enough to CT (nor have the tier knowledge to do so, since only like 3 ppl build this tier lmao)
BW2: Bughouse vs PDC - meri said 'edge to PDC bc I don't think Bughouse cares', I'm not sure PDC cares much either but bughouse's team was basically a sample team with one mon changed...? before the game i tested samples vs dnb and one was nearly identical to bughouse's, lol. pdc might be using old teams too (almost surely, in fact) but his team last week looked quite cool -- the teams he's been passed from eo/elodin seem cool, unique, and less standard
DPP: Honko vs byronthewellwell - I didn't love Honko's team last week, felt a bit slow and really lacking in Water-type answers - only resist poliwrath doesn't cut it when slowking's one of the most common waters. plume seemed like a massive pain too and it also, again, didnt have a ton of offensive threats of its own. however byron's game seemed over very early against fatty - it was just folded by hitmonchan - so think id favor honko here
ADV: Heysup vs elodin - heysup prob gets unlucky tho
Bo3: gorex vs Finchinator - Finch is good at all these tiers, gorex is prob able to keep up decently well in them but idt there's any individual one where he would be favored, so edge to Finch

The Moneymaker Musharnas (6) vs The Holy Heliolisks (1)
SS: Luck O' the Irish vs Feliburn - Unwinnable
SS: Confide vs Accelgor - Unwinnable
SM: PinkDragonTamer vs Jrdn - Unwinnable
ORAS: quziel vs Chaitanya - Unwinnable
BW2: DnB vs Chill Shadow - Unwinnable
DPP: Expulso vs HSOWA - I copied meri's thing above so i bolded myself then i realized thats a dick move LOL. gl hsowa, hope it's a good one:pimp:
ADV: Rabia vs JabbaTheGriffin - Rabia sucks lol..
Bo3: Punny vs Serene Grace - Unwinnable

Catacomb Cacturnes (3.5) vs The Pablostoises (4.5)
SS: Test Techles vs TDK - TDK has been quite strong in NU recently, he had some good opponents in NU open and won wk1 vs TNunes. I def trust him versus the newcomer Lilo; his teams are sick though so this will surely be an exciting game to watch
SS: tko vs snaga - prep for HO! dont time out! i legally cannot bold against snaga, since he's defeated me in this tier for last nupl and nusd (im malding)
SM: Lycans vs Santu - Santu is rly good at this tier, went like 6-1 or 6-2 last time? super consistent
ORAS: Eternally vs Ren-chon - ya ok this game is prob not being played
BW2: Wamr vs SoulWind - soulwind + his opp lost last wk pretty hard iirc
DPP: brewfasa vs ima - fatty won very convincingly last week, ima lost the wk decider
ADV: nightcore vs DurzaOffTopic - :smogduck:
Bo3: Garay oak vs watashi - garay! but also watashi! This is a bitch move by me yes ik but I really cant predict one! gl to both, hope it's an even series

Vibrant Vivillons (3) vs Tailor-made Talonflames (5)
SS: Davon vs Thiago Nunes - TNunes is really good at NU, honestly. He made it to top6 of so of the most recent ssnl, is in Open still (and won this round to make it to top 12), and has done well in recent side tours too. Losing to TDK wk1 doesnt detract from that too much. Davon's good too but I'm gonna make the biased (bc he beat me twice lol) pick of choosing Nunes here
SS: tlenit vs OnArceus - epic MU, both players seem pretty good at punishing standard builds. leni's a really good teamtour player, i see him go cheap in all of these then end up like 3-1, 4-2, etc. OnArceus has a ton of potential as well, and I liked his squad wk1, but I'm gonna predict leni here
SM: jcbc vs Xiri - Xiri's def a better player, I've teamed with him in two recent (non-NU) team tours and he has been quite consistent. I'd expect him to win here barring a horrendous MU, which is possible
ORAS: soulgazer vs The Goomy - Goomy will bring something rly weird and almost win but sg will have a cool counter-tech that wins
BW2: Star vs Raichy - star's good, rozes has enough bw experience to provide something good
DPP: vivalospride vs Staxi - This is def more even than it seems; I picked up DPP from being on the vivillons last year and had a good record with no prior experience, so surely rozes can also teach Viv the ropes and enable him to do the same. I lost to staxi last year tho :pirate: so gotta predict the repeat. he's been very consistent in this tier, 5-1 or 6-1 last NUPL and I liked his week 1 team as well
ADV: Stockings vs Triangles - triangles won last week. stockings was my advpl teammate, i know he's def keeping up with the tier and i'll be cheering for him! but triangles seems p strong so ill favor him
Bo3: mncmt vs Sensei Axew - Sensei (NU mainer in denial) will prob make and bring a better team in SS and I think they're even in the other 2

gl to all. go musharnas!!!
 
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roxie

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got lazy halfway
:ss/frogadier: vs :ss/piloswine:
Freedom Frogadiers (4) vs The Pile of Swines (4)
SS: GW vs Kushalos - If the swines do a good job with there SS here, I can see Kushalos winning this. GW is also an interesting player and is of course the mainstream player for NU but I'm going to go with Kush here.
SS: S1nn0hC0nfirm3d vs Eternal Spirit - Eternal Spirit is cool, didn't really like his interactions with his games on that Sunday. I feel like S1nn0h is def the better SS this feels like its going to be a hyper offense mirror
SM: EviGaro vs col49 - Col was not feeling ADV at all last week. Elodin is also very good at SM so I was surprised to see him swapped out? I'm glad col is in a tier he'll maybe/somewhat/potentially try in? EviGaro has some consistency with SM I believe but I think col is going to pop off here
ORAS: Teddeh vs obii - Teddeh has more experience in oras nu, has either won or came into playoffs in older oras nu tours along with playing Oras/bo3 in previous editions of NUPL I'm pretty sure. I've personally never seen/or really studied obii but I think Teddeh could build a team in his sleep atp
BW2: Bughouse vs PDC - Bughouse has a ton of experience in NU oldgens and NUPL. I've never seen PDC play a single game of NU and I assume most of his teams are coming from Finchinator. Bughouse would've had a better matchup if it wasn't for the turn 1 but I feel like he tried to capitalize to try and get the win...but it just wasn't enough. Going to bold Bughouse here for having more experience in the tier however.
DPP: Honko vs byronthewellwell - Honko also knows Oldgen tiers and should test games with Bughouse and Heysup. I honestly don't know who or if Byron has support (besides Fincinator) so same reasons above
ADV: Heysup vs elodin - elodin slotted here means he wants to take this slot a little more seriously? and he's generally a solid player overall. I haven't studied Heysup but I am going to bold elodin here.
Bo3: gorex vs Finchinator - Heavy support and testing is going to be needed to even stand a chance against user: Finchinator who has been in countless NUPLs. the SS->SM->ORAS support/knowledge is here but its a matter of tests, how bad the team wants to win, and etc.

:ss/musharna: vs :ss/heliolisk:
The Moneymaker Musharnas (6) vs The Holy Heliolisks (2)
SS: Luck O' the Irish vs Feliburn - Irish is more familiar with the tier but you never know, Feliburn may end up having some good ass SS support. Meri berry is supporting the Heliolisks I'm pretty sure but it should be exciting nonetheless
SS: Confide vs Accelgor - NU CIRCUIT CHAMPION
SM: PinkDragonTamer vs Jrdn - This is an interesting matchup. I am unfamiliar of their knowledge on SM? But I'm not bolding against US SOUTH
ORAS: quziel vs Chaitanya - with solid support, chait should win. quziel getting the W off teddeh is impressive. I am a big fan of quziel recently actually, idk his knowledge just seems pure? and his battling also matches up with that.
BW2: DnB vs Chill Shadow - Both are familiar with the tier but the records from last NUPL makes me lean towards Chill Shadow. CS is also retained ghost manager?? so he has to be good
DPP: Expulso vs HSOWA -
ADV: Rabia vs JabbaTheGriffin -
Bo3: Punny vs Serene Grace - More familiar with the bo3 setting. I believe he's undefeated in the grand slam tours as someone anonymously said in the nu cord. 100% underpay on punny

:ss/cacturne: vs :ss/blastoise:
Catacomb Cacturnes (8) vs The Pablostoises (0) - no comment required.
SS: Test Techles vs TDK
SS: tko vs snaga
SM: Lycans vs Santu
ORAS: Eternally vs Ren-chon
BW2: Wamr vs SoulWind
DPP: brewfasa vs ima
ADV: nightcore vs DurzaOffTopic
Bo3: Garay oak vs watashi

:ss/vivillon: vs :ss/talonflame:
Vibrant Vivillons (3) vs Tailor-made Talonflames (5)
SS: Davon vs Thiago Nunes - Davon always has cool and great builds
SS: tlenit vs OnArceus - Ssnl winner OnArceus needs some good support and this is in the bag. Tlenit builds and has been familiar with the tier? i think also
SM: jcbc vs Xiri - familiar with a lot of lower tiers. unsure of jc's knowledge on sm
ORAS: soulgazer vs The Goomy
BW2: Star vs Raichy
DPP: vivalospride vs Staxi - undefeated last nupl.
ADV: Stockings vs Triangles - undefeated or like 7-1 last nupl. big fan.
Bo3: mncmt vs Sensei Axew - mncmt has more experience in nupl bo3
 

etern

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Freedom Frogadiers vs The Pile of Swines
SS: GW vs Kushalos - GW is cool and underrated, but Kushalos is a consistently strong player that should thrive in a chaotic metagame like this one.
SS: S1nn0hC0nfirm3d vs Eternal Spirit - Should be close, but Gamma is strong and has the ability to manoeuvre around HO more effectively than most.
SM: EviGaro vs col49 - Hate bolding against 49 but Evi should be extremely motivated to do well after that 26k price tag and col is probably just gonna muck around and make something cool. Fun fact, this is one of the few games this week less likely to happen than mine.
ORAS: Teddeh vs obii - Teddeh doesn't dominate NUPL like he used to do in the big tours, but he's still a top tier ORAS player and should be the favourite or at least have equal odds against anyone in this tier as long as he doesn't phone it in.
BW2: Bughouse vs PDC - Bughouse has a decent grasp on these niche old gens which should be more than enough here.
DPP: Honko vs byronthewellwell - Fun matchup, but I'm gonna have to lean slightly towards Honko because very few are more experienced in this tier than him.
ADV: Heysup vs elodin - LOL this game is definitely a must watch, what the hell is elodin gonna bring??
Bo3: gorex vs Finchinator - gorex is a competent builder and player, but Finch is in the upper echelon and I don't think I'd bold more than a handful of people against him. SS should be a key game in this series and the one that gorex should focus on getting the upper hand in the most if he wants a chance. Finch should take SM without any fuss, and be favoured in ORAS if necessary.

The Moneymaker Musharnas vs The Holy Heliolisks
SS: Luck O' the Irish vs Feliburn - Luck is on council and plays a lot I assume, so he should take this, though you should never rule out Feli.
SS: Confide vs Accelgor - Accel is great, I'm cheering for you friend!
SM: PinkDragonTamer vs Jrdn - As long as Jrdn doesn't have a brainfreeze during endgame he should take this, and lay off the Hariyamas!
ORAS: quziel vs Chaitanya - Quz got a great win last week and he's motivated to do well, I can definitely see him nailing a strong matchup and beginning his season with a 2-0. Good luck friend!
BW2: DnB vs Chill Shadow - Very cool game, I always enjoy seeing both of these guys play in NUPL, gonna lean towards CS just because I've never seen him lose a game of Pokemon in my life.
DPP: Expulso vs HSOWA - I had trouble deciding on this one but I think Expulso wants it more and that might be the deciding factor for this game.
ADV: Rabia vs JabbaTheGriffin - Even trash can win once in a blue moon.
Bo3: Punny vs Serene Grace - Punny is an extremely aggressive player that pilots strong / straightforward teams, perfect for a PL setting, I expect him to do very well this season.

Catacomb Cacturnes vs The Pablostoises
ORAS: Eternally vs Ren-chon - Even Stevie Wonder can see that this match isn't happening.


Vibrant Vivillons vs Tailor-made Talonflames
SS: Davon vs Thiago Nunes - I rate Davon as probably the strongest currently active player in the NU room, and one of the best SS NUers over all.
SS: tlenit vs OnArceus - Not familiar with OnArceus so I'll have to go with tlenit here by default.
SM: jcbc vs Xiri - This one could go either way, wouldn't be surprised to see jcbc bring something that wins at matchup or vice versa, just a gut feeling really.
ORAS: soulgazer vs The Goomy - Idk how invested sg is but on paper he should take this, though Goomy could pull a Goomy and bring something insane that catches him off guard.
BW2: Star vs Raichy - Star is one of the best players on the site but for the love of god don't bring any rozes teams.
DPP: vivalospride vs Staxi - Gut feeling + I think viv has potential
ADV: Stockings vs Triangles - Should be straightforward for Triangles.
Bo3: mncmt vs Sensei Axew - mncmt is such a strong Bo3 slot and I remember he played out of his mind in our series last year, I'd bold him against anyone in this tour bar garay.
 
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