Tournament OMCL I - Week 7

[goldmason]

Wonderful art by ?
Hosted by dhelmise, goldmason, Giagantic, and RoyalReloaded​

• Follow all rules listed here.
• Schedule via Smogon VMs or in your team's war room in the Discord. It's easier for me to make decisions for activity calls when I can actually see what went down with scheduling.
• If you are unable to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so they can communicate that to me or the other team's managers for a potential substitute.
• Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag myself, the managers of the opposing team, and all of the players affected by the substitute to ensure that everyone is made aware. Players who have already played in the week or were subbed out in the same week cannot be subbed back in.
• If a match remains incomplete by the time of the deadline, it will be subject to an activity call.
• Replays are mandatory. Not only are they useful for confirming wins, they contribute to usage stats and allow the people who couldn't watch the games live to watch them later.
• Managers: Please send me your lineups in the same format that I used to post pairings. It makes it much easier to post future rounds more quickly.

>>Administrative Decisions<<
>>Spreadsheet<<
Courtesy of Princess Autumn
>>Commencement<<
>>Replays<<

Giga Genshin Impacters (0) vs (0) Slashing Leaves
BH: QT vs TTTech
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike
AAA: matte vs Greybaum
PiC: SeaLife vs zee
INH: Mindnight vs One Last Kiss
ABC: GlalieGoesBoom vs waffle04
ABC: Quinn vs Baddy
Forme: pannu vs DripLegend

Prometeo Primeapes (0) vs (0) Noxious Nightshades
AAA: Kinetic vs feen
MnM: PociekMociek vs seraphz
PiC: Chromate vs GhastlyPixie
STAB: avarice vs lag=bad
Camo: Swas vs jb291
Cross Evo: anaconja vs Tanny89k
Forme: Jojen vs damflame 3
INH: Glory vs Tbp24

Grandiose Gracedias (0) vs (0) MOCCing Machamps
GG: nya vs lemonstre1
PiC: HiZo vs crow crumbs
PiC: ValiantValerie vs LogIce
MnM: RoFnA vs pecha nerd
SP: Chloe vs vnmmv
TM: about15gals vs Clas
ORAS PH: Electra102 vs realExcaliju
ABC: Bella vs ExguardiaN

Zangetsu Zacians (1) vs (0) Heart Takers
BH: FlamPoke vs Ivar57
GG: XYStarshine vs AM
MnM: zastra vs Axzel
STAB: Fissure vs lepton
INH: Taka vs Siamato
ORAS PH: Treeko928 vs SammyCe123
ORAS PH: RL vs O1V7O2X9O
Forte: Plague vs Delibird Heart

The deadline for this week is <t:1765774740:F>.

Tier Selections

ggi - AAA, BH, INH, ABC
sl - AAA, PiC, Forme, ABC

mm - GG, PiC, SP, TM
gg - MnM, PiC, ORAS PH, ABC

ht - BH, STAB, Forte, ORAS PH
zz - GG, MNM, INH, ORAS PH

pp - AAA, PiC, Forme, Cross Evolution
nn - MnM, STAB, INH, Camo

Predictions Format

Giga Genshin Impacters (0) vs (0) Slashing Leaves
BH: QT vs TTTech
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike
AAA: Matte vs Greybaum
PiC: Sealife vs zee
INH: Mindnight vs One Last Kiss
ABC: GlalieGoesBoom vs waffle04
ABC: Quinn vs Baddy
Forme: Pannu vs DripLegend

Prometeo Primeapes (0) vs (0) Noxious Nightshades
AAA: Kinetic vs Feen
MnM: PociekMociek vs Seraphz
PiC: Chromate vs GhastlyPixie
STAB: avarice vs lag=bad
Camo: Swas vs JB291
Cross Evo: anaconja vs Tanny89K
Forme: Jojen vs damflame 3
INH: Glory vs TBP24

Grandiose Gracedias (0) vs (0) MOCCing Machamps
GG: nya vs lemonstre1
PiC: HiZo vs crow crumbs
PiC: ValiantValerie vs logice
MnM: RoFnA vs pecha nerd
SP: Chloe vs vnmmv
TM: about15gals vs clas
ORAS PH: Electra102 vs realexcaliju
ABC: Bella vs exguardian

Zangetsu Zacians (0) vs (0) Heart Takers
BH: FlamPoke vs Ivar57
GG: XYStarshine vs AM
MnM: zastra vs Axzel
STAB: Fissure vs lepton
INH: Taka vs Siamato
ORAS PH: Treeko928 vs SammyCe123
ORAS PH: RL vs O1V7O2X9O
Forte: Plague vs Delibird Heart

 

[GhastlyPixie]

Giga Genshin Impacters (5) vs (3) Slashing Leaves
BH: QT vs TTTech
QT has preformed better this tour imo and in general, I feel QT is better.
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike
Close one for sure but I learn towards ghostlike.
AAA: Matte vs Greybaum
Matte is decent but Greybaum is good.
PiC: Sealife vs zee
Close matchup but I’m leaning towards sea.
INH: Mindnight vs One Last Kiss
Mind is currently undefeated in INH but I won’t count OLK out, they are an amazing clicker.
ABC: GlalieGoesBoom vs waffle04
Glalie seems better.
ABC: Quinn vs Baddy
Baddy is the better clicker and more familiar with the tier.
Forme: Pannu vs DripLegend
Pannu is the better player, maybe a Greybaum team will carry drip tho?


Grandiose Gracedias (1) vs (7) MOCCing Machamps
GG: nya vs lemonstre1
Lemon is prob more familiar with GG.
PiC: HiZo vs crow crumbs
I think crow is the better doubles player.
PiC: ValiantValerie vs logice
LogIce has a more solid record.
MnM: RoFnA vs pecha nerd
Rofna good.
SP: Chloe vs vnmmv
I think this comes down to who loads the better team but vn is a mainer.
TM: about15gals vs clas
Clas leads this tier.
ORAS PH: Electra102 vs realexcaliju
I think this will be a fun match, I think excaliju is slightly better at clicking tho.
ABC: Bella vs exguardian
Not many thoughts here.

Zangetsu Zacians (5) vs (3) Heart Takers
BH: FlamPoke vs Ivar57
I think Ivar outclicks but this could come down to matchup.
GG: XYStarshine vs AM
Starshine is a lot better imo.
MnM: zastra vs Axzel
As long as Zastra doesn’t throw in the builder again, I favor him.
STAB: Fissure vs lepton
Fissure will load a cool offense and win.
INH: Taka vs Siamato
Taka is more familiar I think and has chess support.
ORAS PH: Treeko928 vs SammyCe123
Sammy will click better.
ORAS PH: RL vs O1V7O2X9O
Tough call but I think RL has more familiarity.
Forte: Plague vs Delibird Heart
Deli is good at this tier.

 

[Chessking345]

OMCL I Team Playoffs Qualifying Requirements
Note: All use of "OR" and "/" means "AND/OR" (inclusive or). Exclusive or will be used as "one of".
Note2: DNQ = Do Not Qualify, X+ means at least X
Note3: Using something like X+ wins means just their wins in their matchup, while X+ more wins means compared to the team being qualified (e.g. For X's analysis, Y 2+ more wins means Y at least 2 more wins than X, not necessarily paired vs each other)

Current Standings for easier reference (Sheet is updated but I cba to delete): W-T-L (Score) | Diff
4-1-1 (9) | 4
3-2-1 (8) | 8
3-2-1 (8) | 7
2-2-2 (6) | 1
2-1-3 (5) | -2
2-1-3 (5) | -3
1-2-3 (4) | -6
1-1-4 (3) | -9

The guaranteed qualification threshold right now is 8 points (was 9 before Week 6), since only 4 teams can reach 8 points.
The minimum qualification threshold is 7 points, since one of and (they play each other) will end up with at least 7 points.

Zangetsu Zacians & Giga Genshin Impacters & Heart Takers

These teams have all secured PO qualification.

Noxious Nightshades

Win - Qualify.

Tie - Tying puts them at 7 | 1 and ahead of .
DNQ if wins 8-0 or 7-1.
Tiebreak if wins 6-2.
Qualify otherwise.
Lose - DNQ, behind .

Prometeo Primeapes

Win - Winning puts them at 7 | 0 to 6 and ahead of
Deadgames are not applicable for this due to mattering.
DNQ if wins with more wins.
Tiebreak impossible should deadgames be vetoed.
Qualify otherwise.

Tie or Lose - DNQ, behind .

Slashing Leaves

Win - Winning puts them at 7 | -1 to 5.
Deadgames are not applicable for this due to mattering.
Only qualifies if tie and they win 8-0 or 7-1, or if win and they win with more wins.
Tiebreaks if tie and they win 6-2.

Tie or Lose - DNQ, did not hit 7 points.

MOCCING Machamps & Grandiose Gracedias

Cannot qualify.

TLDR:
3 teams guaranteed in, 2 teams guaranteed out. Nightshades win = guaranteed, tie = need Leaves to falter. Primeapes need to win and not win less than Leaves. Leaves need to win and win big.
Tiebreak possibility: Nightshades tie Primeapes, Leaves win 6-2 Impacters. Lets make it happen.

---

10-14 last week. 14-18 homefield winrate, 11-13 vs 16-8 on predicts.

Italic represents the side that picked the slot, for dupe slots there will be no italics.
Giga Genshin Impacters (2) vs (6) Slashing Leaves
BH: QT vs TTTech
BH is the tier where I think QT is most solid in and Leaves BH is not having good tour.
AAA: Atha vs ghostlike
Atha is excellent but the Impacters have dodged AAA for like the entire tour and that can't be good, maybe Atha doesn't want to play this tier much.
AAA: matte vs Greybaum
Greybaum has cool builds which should hold against the opponent's supports and is better player here.
PiC: SeaLife vs zee
I think this is close but in order to support the 6-2 I will bold zee.
INH: Mindnight vs One Last Kiss
Mindnight in Inh with pannu support does seem to be pretty good and Leaves Inh slot is tough I heard.
ABC: GlalieGoesBoom vs waffle04
I'm not actually familiar with waffle04 but TTTech's support for ABC this tour has been remarkable.
ABC: Quinn vs Baddy
Baddy has been very good and Quinn hasn't had a great tour.
Forme: pannu vs DripLegend
pannu in Forme is not it.

Prometeo Primeapes (4) vs (4) Noxious Nightshades
AAA: Kinetic vs feen
Kinetic AAA strong and feen was getting Glory help last week which I think you can see the problem here.
MnM: PociekMociek vs seraphz
seraphz has been having an amazing tour in MnM but I believe in my exteammate placu.
PiC: Chromate vs GhastlyPixie
Chromate hasn't been having an amazing tour, Pixie has but been scattered across a lot of tiers. I'm convinced PiC matchups are coinflips anyways so I will bold for the 4-4.
STAB: avarice vs lag=bad
lag STAB very impressive but so has Primeapes STAB, and I think Primeapes matchups seem better?
Camo: Swas vs jb291
jb in Camo has seemed very very good and Swas has not played Camo thus far.
Cross Evo: anaconja vs Tanny89k
I'm still waiting for the CE resources to drop.
Forme: Jojen vs damflame 3
Glory teams are pretty good but I want to see damflame get a win.
INH: Glory vs Tbp24
Glory needs to not miscalc but his Inh performance in the pannu game was quite good and Tbp while I'm sure probably assisted the slot hasn't played himself yet.

Grandiose Gracedias (2) vs (6) MOCCing Machamps
GG: nya vs lemonstre1
From tales I have heard I think nya doesn't play much mons?
PiC: HiZo vs crow crumbs
PiC games are all coinflips but since its week 7 and game doesn't matter HiZo will probably load beyond unhinged stuff which I think is going to be very cool to see but not win.
PiC: ValiantValerie vs LogIce
LogIce has dispatched impressive opponents this tour.
MnM: RoFnA vs pecha nerd
RoFnA amazing tour.
SP: Chloe vs vnmmv
Definitely seems like vnmmv knows much about SP and though the gracedias is like the one other team with SP players they aren't playing here.
TM: about15gals vs Clas
I think Clas is more favoured here if this was a week that mattered more probably but since it doesn't matter it appears Clas is busy and tired and stuff and won't prep very much and lose to something on the spot.
ORAS PH: Electra102 vs realExcaliju
I think this is reasonably close but excaliju has played a week more recently.
ABC: Bella vs ExguardiaN
Neither player play this tier and this is like a tossup but the Gracedias ABC hasn't been the most performing so ill base it off of that even though Machamps lost their only game (I think that was an ability from a win too2.

 

[zastra]

first blood gg
https://replay.pokemonshowdown.com/smogtours-gen9mixandmega-892484

 

[Clas]

TM: about15gals vs Clas
I think Clas is more favoured here if this was a week that mattered more probably but since it doesn't matter it appears Clas is busy and tired and stuff and won't prep very much and lose to something on the spot.

on the flipside, i am very confused as to how i am 1-3 rn and will not let it be 1-4

i genuinely thought i was at least 2-2, but ig support win 3 times does that

 

[Ducky]

Predictions!!

Forme: pannu vs DripLegend - pannu is super washed and Drip is super goated